The analysis says that it will take weeks or months to bring reservists up to combat readiness, that Russian reservists are “poorly trained to begin with,” and that the “deliberate phases” of deployment outlined by Russia’s Defense Minister are likely to preclude “any sudden influx of Russian forces that could dramatically shift the tide of the war.”

“Russian mandatory military service is only one year, which gives conscripts little time to learn how to be soldiers, to begin with. The absence of refresher training after that initial period accelerates the degradation of learned soldier skills over time.”

The analysis downplays any “explicit threat” of the use of nuclear weapons by President Putin.

“Putin emphatically did not say that the Russian nuclear umbrella would cover annexed areas of Ukraine nor did he tie mobilization to the annexation,” the analysis reads.

“He addressed partial mobilization, annexation referenda in Russian-occupied areas of Ukraine, and the possibility of nuclear war in his speech – but as separate topics rather than a coherent whole. The fact that he mentioned all three topics in a single speech was clearly meant to suggest a linkage, but he went out of his way to avoid making any such linkage explicit.”

The ISW researchers say that they do not believe that the speech should be read “as an explicit threat that Russia would use nuclear weapons against Ukraine if Ukraine continues counter-offensives against occupied territories after annexation.”

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The director of the Department of Forecasting and Analysis at EMA Mahmoud Shaheen said that the cold weather in the country is normal at this time of the year but differs in that it is persisting for longer.

He explained the reason behind the cold snap as due to air masses coming from southeastern Europe that passed through the Mediterranean Sea, which contributed to reducing temperatures.

He added that temperatures may dip to below zero in Saint Catherine, which is normal at this time of the year.

Shaheen appealed to citizens to wear heavy winter clothes during the early morning and late night periods, especially in the event of light to moderate rain from the middle of this week on the northern coasts.

He said that the temperatures in northern Upper Egypt will drop to four degrees, adding that governorates of northern Upper Egypt at this time of the year experience cold weather reaching cover frost.

The head of Climate Change Information Center and Renewable Energy (CCICRE) at the Agriculture Ministry, Mohamed Fahim warned of a sharp drop in temperatures which may be more severe during the middle of the week at night and early morning hours.

He added that the weather will be very cold even during the day, which necessitates taking precautions by citizens and farmers.

Fahim appealed to citizens and farmers to wear heavy clothes, as the drop in temperatures will be more severe than last week, as the severe drop in temperatures can lead to health problems.

Certain agricultural crops are sensitive to these weather phenomena, he said, especially the mango crop which is particularly susceptible to frost.

He warned that failure to adhere to irrigation guidelines and follow-up sensitive crops may lead to large losses.

The post Severe cold wave in Egypt will continue throughout the week: EMA appeared first on Egypt Independent.

Very hot weather is predicted for Upper Egypt, especially for the daylight hours.

Mist is predicted in the north in the morning. Low- and medium-level clouds are expected to increase in the north.

Winds are expected to be northwestern and moderate in strength. They are expected to be active along South Sinai and the Gulf of Suez, possibly disrupting maritime navigation.

Temperatures predicted for the following cities are: 33C in Cairo, 29C in Alexandria, 38C in Qena, and 38C in Luxor, and 40C in Aswan.

Waves in the Mediterranean will be moderate, ranging between 1.5 and two meters in height, while in the Red Sea they are expected to be moderate to turbulent, ranging between between two to 2.5 meters in height.

Northwestern surface wind are predicted for both seas.

Edited translation from Al-Masry Al-Youm

The post Weather forecast for Saturday appeared first on Egypt Independent.

Very hot temperatures will prevail across southern Upper Egypt during the daytime, and the weather will grow milder at night throughout the country.

Temperatures predicted for the following cities are: 30C in Alexandria, 33C in Cairo, 38C in Qena and 39C in Luxor, and 41C in Aswan.

Mist will impact visibility in the morning in the northern parts of the country, with low- and medium-level clouds anticipated.

Winds will be mostly northeastern and moderate, active in Cairo, northern Upper Egypt, and the Gulf of Suez, possibly disrupting maritime navigation there.

Waves in the Mediterranean Sea will be light to moderate and will range between one and 1.5 meters in height with northeastern surface winds, while waves in the Red Sea will be moderate to rough and will range between 1.5 and two meters with northwestern surface winds.

Edited translation from Al-Masry Al-Youm

The post Moderately hot weather for Egypt Friday appeared first on Egypt Independent.

Very hot weather is predicted in Upper Egypt, especially for daylight hours.

Mist is predicted for the north in the morning. Low- and medium-level clouds are expected to increase in the north.

Winds are expected to be moderate in strength, active in South Sinai and accompanied by dust in the south.

Winds are also expected to be active in the Gulf of Suez, the Red Sea and in the western part of Egypt’s Mediterranean, possibility disrupting maritime navigation there.

Waves in the Mediterranean will be moderate to turbulent, ranging between two and 2.5 meters in height, with northwestern surface winds.

Waves in the Red Sea will be turbulent, ranging between 2.5 and three meters in height, with northwestern surface winds.

Temperatures predicted are 33C in Cairo, 29C in Alexandria, 39C in Qena, and 40C in Luxor, and 42C in Aswan.

Edited translation from Al-Masry Al-Youm

The post Weather forecast for Saturday appeared first on Egypt Independent.

Very hot weather is predicted for Upper Egypt, especially during the daylight hours.

Mist is predicted in the north in the morning. Low- and medium-level clouds are expected to increase in the north, with rains along the north coast.

Winds are expected to be northwesterly and moderate in strength, active along the western coast, South Sinai, and the Gulf of Suez, possibility disrupting maritime navigation there.

Waves in the Mediterranean and Red Seas will be moderate to turbulent, ranging between two and 2.5 meters in height, with northwestern surface winds on both.

Temperatures predicted are 29C in Alexandria, 32C in Cairo, 37C in Qena, and 37C in Luxor, and 38C in Aswan.

Edited translation from Al-Masry Al-Youm

The post Weather forecast for Saturday appeared first on Egypt Independent.

The weather will grow milder by night across the country.

Temperatures predicted for the following cities are 30C in Alexandria, 33C in Cairo, 38C in Qena, 49C in Luxor and 39C in Aswan.

Mist will impact visibility in the morning in the northern parts of the country, with low- and medium-level clouds anticipated.

Winds will be mostly northeastern and moderate, active on the eastern coasts, and will disturb sands and dusts on South Sinai and in the south of the country. Winds will also disturb the maritime navigation in the Gulf of Suez, across the Red Sea, and in Egypt’s western portion of the Mediterranean Sea.

Waves in the Mediterranean Sea will be low to moderate and will range between 2.5 and three meters in height, while waves in the Red Sea will be moderate to rough and will range between two and 2.5 meters with northwestern surface winds on both the Mediterranean Sea and the Red Sea.

Edited translation from Al-Masry Al-Youm

The post Hot weather for Egypt Friday appeared first on Egypt Independent.

Temperatures predicted for the following cities are 30C in Alexandria, 34C in Cairo, 37C in Qena, and 38C in Luxor and Aswan.

Mist will impact visibility in the morning in the northern parts of the country, with low-level clouds anticipated across the northern coasts.

Winds will be mostly northwestern and moderate, active across South Sinai, northern Upper Egypt, the Red Sea and the Gulf of Suez, potentially disrupting maritime navigation there.

Waves in the Mediterranean Sea will be moderate and will range between 1.5 and two meters in height, while waves in the Red Sea will be moderate to rough and will range between two and 2.5 meters in height, with northwestern surface winds on both seas.

Edited translation from Al-Masry Al-Youm

The post Hot, humid weather across Egypt for Tuesday appeared first on Egypt Independent.

The weather will grow milder at night throughout the country.

Temperatures predicted for the following cities are 32C in Alexandria, 36C in Cairo, 39C in Qena, 40C in Luxor and 40C in Aswan.

Mist will impact visibility in the morning across the northern parts of the country, with low-level clouds anticipated.

Winds will be mostly northwestern and active, disturbing sands and dusts in South Sinai and potentially disrupting maritime navigation in the Gulf of Suez and on the Red Sea.

Waves in the Mediterranean Sea will be moderate and will range between 1.5 and two meters in height, while waves in the Red Sea will be moderate to rough and will range between 2.5 and three meters, with northwestern surface winds on both seas.

Meanwhile, Chief of Egyptian Meteorological Authority Ahmed Abdel Aal denied rumors that temperatures will decrease across the country during the coming week due to cold waves.

Abdel Aal also pointed out that weather and humidity has started to improve and added that the autumn season, starting at the end of September, will bring various changes in weather.

Edited translation from Al-Masry Al-Youm

The post Hot weather expected for Friday appeared first on Egypt Independent.

Temperatures predicted for the following cities are 31C in Alexandria, 34C in Cairo, 39C in Qena, 40C in Luxor, and 41C in Aswan.

The weather will grow milder at night across the country.

Mist will impact visibility in the morning in the northern parts of the country, with low-level clouds predicted for the northern coasts.

Winds will be mostly northwestern and moderate, active on South Sinai, the Red Sea, and the Gulf of Suez, potentially disrupting maritime navigation.

Waves in the Mediterranean Sea will be moderate and will range between 1.5 and two meters in height, while waves in the Red Sea will be moderate to rough and will range between two and 2.5 meters in height, with northwestern surface winds on both seas.

Edited translation from Al-Masry Al-Youm

The post Hot, humid weather across Egypt for Tuesday appeared first on Egypt Independent.