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          The Energy Investment Model With A Glaring Problem      Cache   Translate Page      
The first master limited partnership (MLP) was formed by Apache Oil Company in 1981. In 1987 Congress legislated the rules for publicly traded partnerships in Internal Revenue Code Section 7704. MLPs slowly gained in popularity during the 1980s and 1990s, with about two new MLP IPOs each year. Then, in the 2000s, the popularity of the MLP model began to soar. There were six new MLP IPOs in 2004, ten in 2005, and eighteen in 2006. The recession and oil price crash of 2008-2009 briefly derailed the momentum for new MLPs, but demand began to surge…
          US voters head to midterm polls to render judgment on turbulent Trump era       Cache   Translate Page      

A turbulent election season that tested President Donald Trump’s slash-and-burn political style against the strength of the Democratic resistance comes to a close as Americans cast ballots in the first national election of the Trump era on Tuesday.

US voters will decide whether Trump will keep his Republican majority in Congress or face a hostile Democratic majority after a bitter campaign for midterm elections described by both sides as a battle for America's soul.

For almost two years, Trump's rule-breaking, sometimes chaotic administration has enjoyed a largely free hand from the twin Republican-controlled chambers, but the midterms could finally see his wings clipped.

The entire 435-member House of Representatives and a third of the 100-seat Senate are up for grabs.

US midterm elections
US midterm elections

Anxious Republicans privately expressed confidence in their narrow Senate majority but feared the House was slipping away. Trump, the GOP’s chief messenger, warned that significant Democratic victories would trigger devastating consequences.

“If the radical Democrats take power they will take a wrecking ball to our economy and our future,” Trump declared in Cleveland, using the same heated rhetoric that has defined much of his presidency. He added: “The Democrat agenda is a socialist nightmare.”

Tuesday’s results will be colored by the dramatically different landscapes in the fight for the House and Senate.

Most top House races are set in America’s suburbs where more educated and affluent voters in both parties have soured on Trump’s presidency, despite the strength of the national economy. Democrats were buoyed by a wave of Republican retirements and an overwhelming fundraising advantage.

They need to pick up two dozen seats to claim the House majority.

Democrats face a far more difficult challenge in the Senate, where they are almost exclusively on defense in rural states where Trump remains popular. Democratic Senate incumbents are up for re-election, for example, in North Dakota, West Virginia, and Montana — states Trump carried by 30 percentage points on average two years ago.

Democrats need to win two seats to claim the Senate majority.

Given Trump’s stunning victory in 2016, few were confident in their predictions.

“I feel less comfortable making a prediction today than I have in two decades,” Republican pollster Frank Luntz said.

'Awakening of the Democratic Party'

Democrats, whose very relevance in the Trump era depended on winning at least one chamber of Congress, were laser-focused on health care as they predicted victories that would break up the GOP’s monopoly in Washington and state governments.

Voters cast their ballots for Early Voting at the Los Angeles County Registrar's Office in Norwalk, California. ─ AFP
Voters cast their ballots for Early Voting at the Los Angeles County Registrar's Office in Norwalk, California. ─ AFP

“They’ve had two years to find out what it’s like to have an unhinged person in the White House,” said Washington Gov. Jay Inslee, who leads the Democratic Governors Association. “It’s an awakening of the Democratic Party.”

Democrats could derail Trump’s legislative agenda for the next two years should they win control of the House or the Senate. Perhaps more important, they would claim subpoena power to investigate Trump’s personal and professional shortcomings.

Some Democrats have already vowed to force the release of his tax returns. Others have pledged to pursue impeachment, although removal from office is unlikely so long as the GOP controls the Senate or even maintains a healthy minority.

Democrats’ fate depends upon a delicate coalition of infrequent voters — particularly young people and minorities — who traditionally shun midterm elections.

If ever there was an off-year election for younger voters to break tradition, this is it. Young voters promised to vote in record numbers as they waged mass protests in the wake of the February mass shooting at a Parkland, Florida, high school that left 17 students and staff dead.

Democrats are drawing strength from women and college-educated voters in general, who swung decidedly against Trump since his election. Polling suggests the Republican coalition is increasingly older, whiter, more male and less likely to have a college degree.

Diversity in national elections

Democrats boast record diversity on the ballot.

Three states could elect their first African-American governors, while several others are running LGBT candidates and Muslims. A record number of women are also running for Senate, House, governorships and state legislative seats.

“The vast majority of women voters are angry, frustrated and they are really done with seeing where the Republican Party is taking them, particularly as it related to heath care and civility,” said Stephanie Schriock, who leads EMILY’s List, a group that help elect Democratic women. “You’re going to see the largest gender gap we’ve ever seen.”

The political realignment, defined by race, gender and education, could re-shape US politics for a generation. The demographic shifts also reflect each party’s closing argument.

While the economy continues to thrive, Trump has spent much of the campaign’s final days railing against a caravan of Latin American immigrants seeking asylum at the US border. He dispatched more than 5,000 troops to the region, suggesting soldiers would use lethal force against migrants who throw rocks, before later reversing himself.

Republicans have privately encouraged the president to back off, to no avail.

Democrats, meanwhile, have beat their drum on health care.

“Health care is on the ballot,” former President Barack Obama told Democratic volunteers in Virginia. “Health care for millions of people. You vote, you might save a life.”

Bernie Sanders, the leftist populist who some feel would have had a better chance than Clinton to take on Trump in 2016, lashed out Monday at the president, calling him a "pathological liar".

"He is a sexist, a racist, a homophobe, a xenophobe and a religious bigot. He is trying to do what we have never seen in the modern history of this country, to do what he is doing right now, to gain votes by trying to divide the American people up based on where we came from," Sanders said on SiriusXM Progress radio.


          NCP names 5 candidates for Mizoram polls      Cache   Translate Page      
AIZAWL, Nov 6 - The Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) on Monday announced the names of five candidates for the November 28 election to the 40-member Mizoram Assembly. NCP State unit president Lalawmpuia Chhangte said he would contest two Assembly seats - Mamit and Dampa.
          Prairie State did its part in the Great War      Cache   Translate Page      
Editor’s note: The Illinois Press Association and the Illinois Associated Press Media Editors present this Illinois Bicentennial feature in advance of the state’s 200th birthday on Dec. 3. Stories published up to this date can be found at 200illinois.com.

Artie Bennett, a Marine from Clinton, Ill., was cut down by a hail of bullets 100 years ago in a far-flung foreign field, giving his life for his country in America’s first global war.

A letter home from a fellow soldier said Bennett, 18, had been attacking a machine gun nest as the Marines fought, successfully, to stem a German advance threatening the French capital of Paris in June 1918, the last summer of World War I.

The fallen Marine had lingered for an hour before dying, one of the first casualties from Illinois. The letter honoring him, typed by fellow Marine Pvt. John W. Olsen, read: “He passed away quietly, without a complaint, and was laid to rest near where he fell.”

Immaculately tended American cemeteries in France, and faded memorials at home, are among the few tangible reminders of the “Great War” that began on July 28, 1914, and ended, after 18 million soldiers and civilians had died on all sides, with an armistice that went into effect at 11 a.m. on Nov. 11, 1918.

Now, nearing the 100th anniversary of the war’s end, the push is on to recall and honor the men and women of Illinois, and all across America, who suffered and sacrificed for their nation.

Congress has created a United States World War I Centennial Commission, which is overseeing commemorations and fundraising for a World War I memorial in Washington, D.C.

Illinois Gov. Bruce Rauner signed a proclamation announcing the Illinois National Guard and Chicago’s Pritzker Military Museum & Library will lead the effort to ensure the Land of Lincoln remembers its role in the Great War.

A World War I Centennial Committee has been drafted to aid in that state mission, and it’s chaired by Jeanne Hamacher, who has taught high school history classes. She said the key lesson to learn is that Illinois went to extraordinary efforts to support a war that shaped the world we live in, right up through today.

“When I was teaching, I did a lesson where I could link basically every conflict the United States has had (since World War I) back to World War I in some shape or form,” Hamacher said. She said Illinois had helped win the war, and the war changed the world forever.

“Schools need to teach this, we need to remember,” she added.

The United States declared war on Germany and its Central Powers allies on April 6, 1917, and Illinois became part of the vast conflict that would mark America’s emergence as a global superpower.

The United States sent 4,734,991 soldiers and sailors to Europe and suffered 116,516 deaths, according to the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs.

Records from the Illinois Office of the Adjutant General list more than 351,000 Illinois men who served in the Army, Navy and Marines during World War I, and some 5,000 of them died.

One of every 12 enlistees in the Army hailed from Illinois, and each left a mark.

The American Legion Post in Clinton is Crang-Bennett Post 103, named for the fallen Marine and also Army Sgt. 1st Class Welby Crang, who lived about a block from Bennett and died in France in 1917 from pneumonia.

Ron Devore, 86, is a member of the Post 103 executive board and a former post commander who has fought to keep the memory of the World War I soldiers alive. He said the post was founded in 1919 not just to honor fallen veterans, but to help and lobby for those who returned home alive, if not always in one piece.

“Some of these guys had been gassed, their lungs were burned, they had missing limbs and disabilities; they were messed up for life, and they weren’t getting anything from the government,” Devore said. “Veterans knew that, if there was a bunch of them banded together, they could have a voice in Washington, D.C.”

Devore’s wife, Marjorie, whose father was a World War I veteran, vividly recalls the returned soldiers’ sense of pride despite all their trials and tribulations. She said that pride had been matched by the patriotic fervor of their communities at home. “My dad always said everybody had supported the war effort,” she said.

The civilian push to buoy the troops with maximum support on the home front was extraordinary. Illinois mobilized vast forces of industry, and especially industrialized agriculture, and turned them into an arsenal of democracy that flooded the American war effort with food, war materiel and cash.

Illinois created the State Council of Defense, the job of which was to persuade, corral and control civilian production, from engineering to seed corn, to fuel the war machine. When the council produced its wrap-up report in 1919, it was suffused with pride at the sheer wartime output from the people of Illinois.

It pointed out that the state’s agricultural production for 1918 had been geared to meet the needs of the wartime “national food authorities” and had been the third-largest crop harvest in state history, worth close to $880 million (about $15 billion in today’s dollars).

“Notwithstanding the drain upon manpower, the state in 1918 turned out manufactured products valued at $6 billion. ... Of these, $2 billion-worth were on direct war contracts, but virtually all were war contributions, for Illinois factories are not largely given to the production of luxuries or non-essentials,” the council reported.

It also lauded the generosity of Illinois citizens, who raised $45 million during the war to support everything from the Red Cross to the YMCA and the Salvation Army.

Timothy Kovalcik, associate professor of history at Millikin University, said it’s important to understand the wartime atmosphere gripping Illinois and the entire nation.

“Support for the war was at fever pitch, and the propaganda was incredibly successful,” Kovalcik said.

A state with a significant population of Germanic ancestry (Teutopolis in Effingham County, for example, means “City of the Teutons,” or Germans, and is typical of many towns founded by German settlers) had no trouble raising troops.

“The population of German ancestry volunteered at massive rates to show their patriotism,” Kovalcik said. “They wanted to prove they were true Americans.”

With troops rushing forward and humming factories full of nose-to-grindstone workers who had shunted aside labor grumbles for the greater patriotic good, the State Council of Defense believed it had glimpsed capitalism’s promised land.

“All war undertakings succeeded by virtue of the spirit of cooperation,” it concluded in its final 1919 report. “Since this unity of thought and purpose can be achieved under stress of war, why can it not be approximated, at least, in time of peace?”

But it was not to be. Kovalcik said a big influence that had pushed President Woodrow Wilson to steer America into the war is that much of it on the British side had been financed by American banks. They stood to lose their shirts big time if Britain and its Allies, fatigued with crippling losses by 1917, were defeated. And yet when the American intervention was over and the war won, the demand that had quadrupled the U.S. economy between 1914 and 1917 suddenly collapsed, taking jobs with it.

By the dawn of the Great Depression in the 1930s, jobless and hungry World War I veterans and their families, some 17,000 of them, had marched on Washington, D.C. They were demanding early payment of war service bonuses promised by Congress but not due to be distributed until 1945. On July 28, President Herbert Hoover ordered in the Army to help the police clear the protesters and, in street battles that followed, two veterans were killed.

Finally, in 1936, Congress overrode the veto of President Franklin D. Roosevelt, and the veterans were paid their bonuses nine years early.


          Steady stream of voters      Cache   Translate Page      
According to election officials Tuesday morning at Princeton Precinct No. 1, located at the Bureau County Metro Center, voter turnout was strong, and they said there had been a steady stream of voters coming in to cast ballots in the general election. In contested races, Bureau County voters were voting for statewide officials, a representative in Congress, county treasurer, and county clerk and recorder, and deciding on several referendums. FOR ELECTION RETURNS, PLEASE VISIT THE BCR’S WEBSITE, BCRNEWS.COM.


          Comment on 39th Congressional District Candidates Kim and Cisneros Trade Barbs During Heated TV Debate by Power Up: Trump is making a last-minute pitch to women. Is it too late? – The Conservative Investor Daily      Cache   Translate Page      
[…] The first Korean American congresswoman: Republican Young Kim, who could be the first Korean-American congresswoman, is a California House contender has distanced herself from Trump and has stated support for DACA.  […]
          Comment on 39th Congressional District Candidates Kim and Cisneros Trade Barbs During Heated TV Debate by Power Up: Trump is making a last-minute pitch to women. Is it too late? – USA News Hub      Cache   Translate Page      
[…] The first Korean American congresswoman: Republican Young Kim, who could be the first Korean-American congresswoman, is a California House contender has distanced herself from Trump and has stated support for DACA.  […]
          Comment on 39th Congressional District Candidates Kim and Cisneros Trade Barbs During Heated TV Debate by Power Up: Trump is making a last-minute pitch to women. Is it too late? | Atlanta Reports      Cache   Translate Page      
[…] The first Korean American congresswoman: Republican Young Kim, who could be the first Korean-American congresswoman, is a California House contender has distanced herself from Trump and has stated support for DACA.  […]
          Comment on Josh Newman is Recalled, Ending Democrats’ Supermajority in State Senate by California Republicans Had One Desperate Gambit to Get Their Voters to the Polls — And It's Failing – Liberal View News      Cache   Translate Page      
[…] gleefully of backlash against the Democrats’ tax overreach. A Democratic state senator was recalled from office earlier this year over the gas tax hike, and GOP congressional candidate Diane Harkey […]
          What The World's Largest Money Manager Thinks About The Midterms      Cache   Translate Page      
The House flips. But barely. Here's what happens to the stock market in a divided Congress.
          Wall Street ends higher ahead of U.S. election results      Cache   Translate Page      

Wall Street's major indexes closed higher on Tuesday as voters went to the polls in U.S. midterm Congressional elections and investors hoped the outcome would provide some relief for stocks after prolonged uncertainty.

The post <a href=http://feeds.reuters.com/~r/reuters/businessNews/~3/vmzoFQG8Gpw/wall-street-ends-higher-ahead-of-u-s-election-results-idUSKCN1NB1MX target=_blank >Wall Street ends higher ahead of U.S. election results</a> appeared first on Wide World of Work.


          Global stocks edge up, dollar steady as U.S. votes in midterms      Cache   Translate Page      

Stock markets edged up on Tuesday, with trading thin in the United States, while the dollar and Treasury yields held steady as Americans went to the polls in pivotal midterm elections that could shift the balance of power in Congress.

The post <a href=http://feeds.reuters.com/~r/reuters/businessNews/~3/rY5KHXT0JQo/global-stocks-edge-up-dollar-steady-as-u-s-votes-in-midterms-idUSKCN1NB032 target=_blank >Global stocks edge up, dollar steady as U.S. votes in midterms</a> appeared first on Wide World of Work.


          Bolsonaro tem dia de ‘superestrela’ na volta ao Congresso      Cache   Translate Page      
Na primeira visita do presidente eleito Jair Bolsonaro a Brasília, sua participação em evento sobre os 30 anos da Constituição lotou o Congresso na manhã desta terça-feira, 6. As sessões solenes, como a desta terça, raramente registram um grande número de parlamentares na Casa. Desta vez, porém, tanto deputados e senadores da base quanto da […]
          Bolsonaro participa de primeiro ato como presidente eleito no Congresso      Cache   Translate Page      
O presidente eleito Jair Bolsonaro desembarcou em Brasília por volta das 8h55 desta terça-feira, após uma viagem de cerca de 1h30 entre o Rio de Janeiro e o Distrito Federal. Essa é a primeira vez após as eleiçõesque Bolsonaro estará na capital federal, onde já está instalada a equipe designada para cuidar da transição com […]
          The OPM hack explained: Bad security practices meet China's Captain America      Cache   Translate Page      

In April of 2015, IT staffers within the United States Office of Personnel Management (OPM), the agency that manages the government's civilian workforce, discovered that some of its personnel files had been hacked. Among the sensitive data that was exfiltrated were millions of SF-86 forms, which contain extremely personal information gathered in background checks for people seeking government security clearances, along with records of millions of people's fingerprints. The OPM breach led to a Congressional investigation and the resignation of top OPM executives, and its full implications—for national security, and for the privacy of those whose records were stolen—are still not entirely clear.

To read this article in full, please click here


          2018 Fabtech      Cache   Translate Page      

Date: November 6, 2018

Location: Atlanta, GA, Georgia World Congress Center

Description: Event will be held on November 6-8, 2018. There will be more than 1,500 exhibiting companies showcasing their wares. Attend educational sessions and expert-led presentations covering the latest trends and technology in the metal forming, fabricating, welding and finishing industries. See cutting-edge exhibits, learn from expert-led education, network with peers and more. Hours: Tue 10am-6pm; Wed 9am-5pm; Thu 9am-4pm...View more detail »


          2018 Campaign: Biggest Issue by State      Cache   Translate Page      

What the 2018 Campaign Looks Like in Your Hometown Source: Bloomberg   Here are the details: “For much of the nation, health care has been the central talking point of 2018. It’s the most commonly mentioned congressional and gubernatorial campaign topic in television ads in 45 percent of local media markets this year, according to…

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The post 2018 Campaign: Biggest Issue by State appeared first on The Big Picture.


          The Big Question: What's going to happen next?      Cache   Translate Page      
With 470 Congressional seats up for grabs, and 38 million votes cast before polls even opened this morning, some are calling today’s midterm elections the most important in a lifetime. What will the results be?
          PA voters hit the polls in ‘bellwether’ race for control of House      Cache   Translate Page      
NBC’s Anne Thompson joins Ali Velshi and Stephanie Ruhle from Pennsylvania’s new first Congressional district, to discuss how the redrawn districts are affecting voters.
          How many veterans are running for Congress?      Cache   Translate Page      
No matter what state you live in, your right to vote is not a given. Over hundreds of years, countless people fought and died for that right – and some of them risked their lives to be on the ballots today. Watch Stephanie Ruhle and Ali Velshi break down
          As first Muslim women head to Congress, balancing symbolism and service      Cache   Translate Page      

As first Muslim women head to Congress, balancing symbolism and serviceRashida Tlaib never set out to be a “new face” of the Democratic Party – but on the cusp of her election to the US House of Representatives, she can hardly avoid the label. Not long ago, her profile – a Muslim civil rights lawyer and mother of two, raised by Palestinian immigrant parents in a majority-minority community in Detroit – might have been seen as too far a reach for Congress.



          Congress is favourite in gamble market; Ashok Gehlot is the first choice for CM in Rajasthan      Cache   Translate Page      

The BJP has not announced candidates yet, but speculative markets of Rajasthan made the Congress government in the state. However, the reality of the claims will be known only after December 11. The speculative betting in the market is in favor of the Congress.

The post Congress is favourite in gamble market; Ashok Gehlot is the first choice for CM in Rajasthan appeared first on NewsCrab.


          Will The Big Self-Funders Win Today?      Cache   Translate Page      

Many of the most egregious self-funders this cycle lost their primaries, like Democrats Herbert Lee (CA- $1,057,942), Alison Friedman (VA- $1,080,365), Hans Keirstead (CA- $1,080,400), David Kim (GA- $1,164,689), Jerome Segal (MD- $1,271,189), Tahir Javed (TX- $1,333,416), Sara Jacobs (CA- $2,117,987), Andy Thorburn (CA- $2,832,018) and Paul Kerr (CA- $5,912,728), as well as Republicans Troy Downing (MT- $1,100,000), Peter deNeufville (NJ- $1,238,165), Bob Corlew (TN- $1,496,153), David Dodson (WY- $1,643,784), Mike Gibbons (OH- $2,690,226), George Flinn Jr. (TN- $3,068,270), Don Blankenship (WV- $4,107,710), Sandy Pensler (MI- $5,009,578), John Kingston (MA- $5,188,265), and Kathaleen Wall (TX- $6,169,732).

Don't you love to see plutocrats waste millions of their own dollars on campaigns and fall flat on their faces. Today there are 18 candidates running who have already spent at least a million dollars of their own on their campaigns. Some will win and some will lose. Here are the ones still in the running, in order of how much they had put in by last month.


Florida Senate- Rick Scott (R)- $51,028,228 (45%)
New Jersey Senate- Bob Hugin (R)- $27,500,000 (30%)
MD-06- David Trone (D)- $15,983,172 (100%)
PA-01- Scott Wallace (D)- $12,756,892 (55%)
Indiana Senate- Mike Braun (R)- $9,614,377 (49%)
CA-39- Gil Cisernos (D)- $8,852,762 (60%)
Tennessee Senate- Phil Bredesen (D)- $5,516,942 (50%)
California Senate- Dianne Feinstein (D)- $5,006,050 (90%)
Massachusetts Senate- Shiva Ayyadurai (I)- $4,805,464 (1%)
Ohio Senate- Jim Renacci (R)- $4,000,000 (25%)
IN-02- Mel Hall (Blue Dog)- $2,522,000 (10%)
TX-03- Van Taylor (R)- $2,136,908 (99%)
NY-01- Perry Gershon (D)- $1,843,746 (25%)
PA-08- John Chrin (R)- $1,622,762 (10%)
Minnesota Senate- Jerry Trooien (I)- $1,591,000 (1%)
NJ-03- Thomas MacArthur (R)- $1,400,000 (45%)
PA-09- Dan Meuser (R)- $1,161,442 (99%)
CA-48- Harley Rouda (D)- $1,138,955 (60%)
That percentage next to each name is my own handicapping-- not the actual scores, but the chance the candidate has to win for all that money. We'll see later how many candidates have been able to buy seats in Congress.


          Prognosticators Have Never Learned How To Rate Races In A Wave Election-- And Pollsters Can't Get Their Models Straight      Cache   Translate Page      



Polls are all based on "likely voters." A campaign manager I was talking to last week was in a rush because he was still dragging homeless people onto buses to feed them sandwiches, etc and get them to the early voting stations. Over a thousand. Likely voters? Not a chance. Early voting shows "unexpected" upturns for women voters, black voters, Latino voters and millennials voters. How many extra seats is that worth to the Democrats beyond what the pollsters and prognosticators predicted? 10? 20? 30?

Last week Time Magazine warned them: Youth Voter Turnout in the Midterm Elections Could Be Historic, According to a New Poll. "Young voters could turn out to vote at record-breaking levels in the midterm elections next month, according to a new poll. The poll, released Monday by the Institute of Politics at Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government, found 40% of 18 to 29-year-olds say they will 'definitely vote' in the midterm elections on Nov. 6. Youth voter turnout has historically been dismal in midterm elections, which tend to draw fewer voters overall than presidential election years. The highest rate of youth voter turnout in past midterm elections was 21% in both 1986 and 1994, according to the Harvard report... In the 2014 midterm elections, 19.9% of adults under 30 voted-- 'the lowest rate of youth turnout recorded in the past 40 years.' In the 2016 presidential election, 46.1% of adults under 30 voted-- an increase from 2012, but still the lowest turnout rate of any age group."
In this year’s poll, a larger percentage of young Democrats (54%) than young Republicans (43%) indicated they were likely to vote.. Overall, 66% of respondents supported Democrats taking back control of Congress, compared to 32% for Republican control.
So how's that working out today? We don't know yet, but what we do know is that millennials turned out big in early voting. Yesterday, the Washington Post reported that early voting is pointing to a "Youth Wave."
Youth turnout rates in the midterm early vote are up by 125 percent compared to 2014, according to Catalist, a voter database servicing progressive organizations-- an eye-popping and historically high figure, say strategists on both the left and the right.

Young Americans ages 18 to 29 who say they are definitely voting tilt leftward, according to polls. But the data also shows young Republicans are bubbling with enthusiasm headed into tomorrow.

...2020 implications: Among young people polled, 59 percent said they would “never” vote for President Trump vs. 11 percent who said they'd be “sure to” vote for him.

... GOP pollster Chris Wilson, the CEO of WPA Intelligence, told us he thought it was a “bit too much” to call the turnout “historic.” But he said the electorate is looking younger “than both the 2016 and 2014 general elections. “Voters under 25 are outpacing their vote share from both the 2016 and 2014 general. Proportionately it’s not enough to make a huge difference, but it’s more,” Wilson said.

Nine months after 17 students were killed in a mass shooting at Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School in Parkland, Fla., Della Volpe's firm, SocialSphere, found that school shootings are the most worrisome issue to young Americans.



Surge in activism = a surge in voting: Tom Bonier, a Democratic  strategist and head of the firm Targetsmart, told us that skeptics initially cast doubt on the firm's findings that the “share of youth registrants nationwide increased by 2.16 percent” after the Parkland shooting in February.  A September memo showed that turnout among young people increased by an average of 4 percent in the 2018 primaries vs. 2014 primaries-- and doubled in some battleground states compared to 2014. Per Bonier, “Pennsylvania . . . has seen youth voter registration surge by 10 points after [Parkland]. Youth voters make up nearly 60 percent of all new Pennsylvania registrants.”

The mass shooting generation is showing up: We spoke with Jackie Corin, co-founder of March for Our Lives, who voted for the first time last week. Corin, along with a handful of her peers, has been traveling the country, meeting with lawmakers and mass shooting survivors, speaking on college campuses and visiting communities to build what the group calls a “youth infrastructure” to carry over into 2020. 
Civic engagement is cool: “Activism is becoming more of a normalized activity for teenagers-- they are seeing their friends get involved with campaigns and issues and it’s spreading like wildfire,” Corin added.
Twitter working against Trump?: Corin also credited the spike in awareness and engagement to Trump's Twitter habits. “The president uses Twitter as main source of communication and that’s something that young people see every single day-- they’re always on Twitter and Instagram so they're more engaged about what's going on.”
Real progress: Since the Parkland shooting that killed 17, over 60 state laws have been passed tightening gun control. “The constant mass shootings are large motivators … it’s what has activated thousands and thousands of people across this country,” Corin said.
We still don't know if the shift pollsters are seeing in early voting will be reflected at the ballot box.


So far today, it very much looks like it is. Meanwhile, everyone agrees that the likeliest of likely voters are seniors, particularly retirees. It's undeniable that they vote more than any other age group and that in recent decades that have been more prone to vote Republican. That party preference seems to have flipped on its head this cycle. Yesterday, the Wall Street Journal reported that campaign donors "who identify their occupation as 'retired' gave 52% of the $326 million they contributed through Oct. 17 to Democrats, compared with 48% to Republicans according to the nonpartisan Center for Responsive Politics. That is a reversal of their split four years ago-- and it’s a record amount of midterm money from retirees. This is the first midterms since the group began keeping donor industry data in 1990 in which retirees favor Democrats over Republicans. That year, retirees gave 76% of their $15 million in contributions to Republicans and 24% to Democrats. As social security and Medicare have become hot-button political issues, retiree donors have steadily crept toward Democrats, the center’s data show. By 2002, the GOP advantage among retiree donors had declined to 63% versus 36%. Eight years later, the split was 55%-44%."




          What's Happening With Florida Today? Plus-- A Note From Matt Haggman      Cache   Translate Page      

Politico: "The general consensus among Republicans is that they will lose the House, and end up in at least a five-seat minority-- that would correspond to a 28-seat loss. Senior Republicans tell us that even in a worst-case scenario, they do not expect to lose 40 seats. A prescient prediction or famous last words?"

Of all the senior Republican lawmakers they spoke with over the weekend, "only one made the case that the GOP will keep the House." If it's who I think it was, he was staggering drunk for the entire weekend. Many Republicans expected the House races to tighten up by election day. Instead the generic ballot polls have gotten even worse for them. The last one for CNN by SSRS shows an absolutely massive 55% to 42% preference for Democrats among likely voters. As I've said before, the pollsters' likely vote modeling is wrong because it is not taking increased Latino and millennial voting into account. Polls predicting less than 30 flipped seats will all be off by as much as 100% tonight.




Let's look at Florida. Yesterday's Marist poll shows Andrew Gillum leading Ron DeSantis in the gubernatorial race-- 50% to 46%-- and Bill Nelson leading Scott in the Senate race by the same 50% to 46%. Democrats are very lucky to have Gillum at the head of the ticket instead of dull conservative Gwen Graham, who had been the establishment candidate and who would have dragged the party down the toilet with her. But it's a shame Florida doesn't have any good congressional candidates who could ride the wave and Andrew's coattails into office. Instead, it's a bunch of DCCC-recruited backs from the Republican wing of the party-- New Dems and Blue Dogs. This is the key today: "Democrats in both races are performing better than their Republican counterparts with likely voters who are independents, minorities and women."


Stoking domestic terrorism goes over especially badly with independent voters

Results from Quinnipiac are nearly identical: seven point leads for both Gillum and Nelson, entirely because of double-digit leads for both among women, minorities and independent voters. Writing Sunday for the Miami Herald Steve Bousquet reported on the surge in early voting for Democrats. On Sunday, "Miami-Dade, Broward, Palm Beach, Hillsborough and Orange, the five biggest 'blue' counties, all reported their highest one-day early voting totals of the 2018 campaign. As a result, on a day when President Donald Trump rallied thousands of Republicans in Pensacola, the GOP’s ballot advantage over the Democrats shrank to six-tenths of 1 percentage point (0.6), with GOP ballots at 40.8 percent of the statewide total and Democrats at 40.2 percent." By Monday morning Dems had a +0.5% lead over Republicans in ballots cast. In 2014 Republicans held almost a 6% lead over Dems going into election day.

So how many Democratic candidates will Gillum's coattails and the anti-red wave drag to victory in Florida today? Most of the candidates are so terrible that it's hard to say-- but even the worst of them are less horrible than the Republicans they're opposing. Donna Shalala, as bad a candidate as you'll find anywhere, will probably beat Maria Salazar in bright blue FL-27 (PVI- D+5) despite herself. Nate Silver gives her a 6 in 7 chance to win (84.7%). Next door in Carlos Curbelo's district (FL-26-- where the DCCC and Pelosi's PAC have spent $7,175,066 attacking Curbelo-- another weak Democrat, Debbie Mucarsel-Powell looks like she'll take the seat (PVI is D+6). Silver gives her a 5 in 9 chance (55.6%). The other Republican-held Miami-Dade seat, Mario Diaz-Balart's 25th district (PVI- R+4) has the best of the 3 Democratic challengers, Mary Barzee Flores, but in the toughest race. Silver gives her a 2 in 7 chance (27.8%) to beat Diaz-Balart. The wave will have had to have turned into a tsunami tonight for her to win.




Silver gives Wasserman Schultz a 99.9% chance of retaining her seat in a 3-way contest against progressive Tim Canova and some Republican sacrificial lamb, more or less the same chance Joe Crowley had in beating Congresswoman-elect Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. The only polling in the district-- by a GOP firm-- shows Wasserman Schultz exactly tied with Canova.

The DCCC has 4 other Democratic candidates on their Red to Blue page-- Nancy Soderberg (FL-06, Ron DiSantis' open seat with an R+7 PVI), Kristen Carlsen (FL-15, Dennis Ross' open seat stretching from the Tampa suburbs to the Orlando area with an R+6 PVI), David Shapiro (FL-16, Vern Buchanan's Sarasota, Bradenton seat with an R+7 PVI) and Lauren Baer (FL-18, Brian Mast's Treasure Coast district with an R+5 PVI). Silver doesn't give any of them much of a chance to win. Soderberg 1 in 4, Carlsen 3 in 7, Shapiro 1 in 7, and Baer 1 in 12. Soderberg, Baer and Shapiro (as well as Mucarsel-Powell) are all New Dems. The 2 Florida candidates in red districts with the best shot are 2 normal Dems, Kristen Carlsen and Mary Barzee Flores. The DCCC has spent modestly in a few of the races-- $499,932 in FL-06, $146,362 in FL-16, $868,290 in FL-18, and $694,360 in FL-15
.




Matt Haggman is one of the progressive Democrats Blue America endorsed this cycle but who didn't win his primary, losing out, in this case, to an establishment nothing with lots of name recognition and money but with nothing to offer the voters except that she's not a Trumpist. Tragic waste of a blue seat but Matt has been good sport about it, endorsed her and has been working to help elect her. He agreed to catch us up on what he's been up to down in South Florida. He reiterated that "This is the most important mid-term election in our lifetimes. It’s a moment when we will decide as a country who we are and who we are not. Here in Florida I have been working to help Andrew Gillum, Donna Shalala, Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, Mary Barzee Flores and Bill Nelson all win. Just this weekend I was out canvassing. But, before this, I was a candidate. I was one of the many across the country who left good jobs to up and run for Congress following the 2016 presidential election. For me, it didn’t go as hoped. I lost to Donna Shalala in Florida’s Congressional District 27. Howie asked that I share a blog post I wrote in the weeks after the Aug. 28 Florida primary. It’s a reminder of the reasons why this mid-term is so important. Why each of us can have a big impact even if we’re not on the ballot. And why, whether a candidate or supporter, we must do all we can to ensure everyone gets out to vote this Election Day to turn a new page in our politics."

Until Next Time, Thank you

It’s been a few weeks since the primary election. Obviously, for me, it was a disappointment. But the many great wishes since election night from friends and supporters has been wonderful. I wanted to write a post and say thank you. And also reflect a bit on the past 13 months campaigning for US Congress.

Before doing that, I again congratulate Donna Shalala on her victory. This is a moment in our politics that is bigger than any individual and it’s critical that the Democratic party take control of the U.S. House of Representatives. We must unite behind her. In addition, we have to elect Andrew Gillum as our next Governor! His campaign has energized us all, and it’s time to bring it home.

Looking back on the primary, my overriding feeling is gratitude. I’m extremely thankful to my wife Danet, who supported me in this effort, and thankful to all of the people who propelled our campaign--  the volunteers, fellows, staff, donors and, ultimately, voters. I had never run for any elected office, yet so many went all-in supporting our campaign. Thank you very, very much.

Our fellows were, in particular, an inspiration to me. We recruited more than 50. Most were in college, some still in high school. Working on the campaign after class or full-time during summer break. Weekends, nights. Calling voters, knocking on doors. They were passionate and dedicated. Now, they are back on campus. At schools from Miami Dade College and Michigan to Boston University and Palmetto Senior High School. At a time when our political system badly needs a reset, they showed what it means to take hold of our democracy. With them, our future is so blazingly bright.

Along with our fellows, what I loved about being a candidate was talking with voters and being out in the community. I loved it. Going door to door on sweltering summer afternoons in Kendall, or Little Havana, or Richmond Heights. Evenings canvassing in Westchester or Palmetto Bay. Unfiltered and alone, it was just us; talking about our community and country. On those days and nights there was no place I would rather be.

Life revealed itself in its many forms on these unannounced visits. The couple celebrating their daughter who was headed to college. The single mom working three jobs to keep current on her mortgage. The middle-aged woman who tried to chat amiably but, after a time, couldn’t hold it back any longer, sharing that she’d just been diagnosed with cancer. “I need a hug,” she said, a tear running down her cheek, which she quickly and defiantly wiped away.

The conversations were always so real--  standing at front doors, sitting in living rooms, meeting people where they are, learning about their hopes and concerns, aspirations and struggles. At a time when Washington has so fundamentally and collectively lost its way, at the grassroots people are making sense. We need to spend more time listening to them.

Indeed, throughout the campaign I often said the best ideas come from the community, not candidates. I really meant it. Change happens from the ground up, and that’s never been more true than today. From start to finish, our campaign sought to stay true to that ethos. Namely, we focused on voters, rather than cutting down competitors as a means to win.

We visited every precinct, we knocked on some 45,000 doors. Again and again, I found a sincerity, thoughtfulness and a belief that things will get better. I always thought we lived in a special community, but over the last year I’ve vividly seen it with my own eyes in one neighborhood after another. Those thousands of conversations leave me today more hopeful and optimistic than ever.

If only our politics can be as good as them. I think it can, but we are going to have to change in big ways.

To me, election night 2016 was a shattering moment--  and it’s what ultimately prompted me to run. I had believed that America would never elect a person who said and did the things that Donald Trump said and did. I believed that America today would never elect a bully, a liar, someone who preyed upon our worst fears and sought to divide us to win support. We might come close to electing such a demagogue, but at this stage in our country’s history we would never actually do it. I was obviously wrong.

The better angels of our nature had given way to our most base sensibilities. A presidency built on hope was followed by one grounded in our worst fears.

In early January, as President Obama prepared to leave office, he gave his farewell address, warning that we can’t take democracy for granted. That it “falls on each of us to be anxious, jealous guardians of our democracy.” What the speech said to me is that, yes, America is a special place. But it’s only special because generation after generation has continually engaged in making it so--  even as there are setbacks, sometimes dramatic setbacks, along the way.

Then, at Danet’s urging, on January 21st we attended the Women’s March in Washington, D.C. My sister Meghan and our friend Lissette went too. It was an extraordinary day as millions around the world rose up. It was there that I thought to myself that this remarkable moment of protest must also be a moment of real and lasting change--  and wondered how to try and live that. It was there that I decided to run.

The reason I decided to drop everything, leave my job at Knight Foundation and do something I’d never done before was because I believed we were--  and are--  at a pivotal moment. This is not a normal election year.

I firmly believe that years from now people will ask about this time, what did we do?

What did we do when a President--  along with a compliant Republican-controlled Congress--  called for border walls, Muslim bans, tore thousands of immigrant children from their parents, bowed to a foreign power that meddled in our election, sympathized with neo-Nazis, sought to use law enforcement as a means to settle political scores, and declared the press an enemy of the state.

This election is our moment to reaffirm and declare who we are-- and who we are not--  as a country.

But, in doing so, we have to realize that this election is about what’s next. It can’t just be about what we’re against, but it has to be about what we’re for. Indeed, while Donald Trump has contributed much to our dysfunctional politics, the truth is that he’s the result of a dysfunctional system that has been spiraling for some time.

We are only going to achieve the change we need if we dispense with the incrementalism that has defined our politics for so long and think--  and do--  in dramatic new ways. And allow new leaders to emerge in a political system that’s long become stuck.

Put another way, it’s a two-part challenge: ensure that today does not become the new normal, and provide a vision for what tomorrow will look like. With that in mind, we sought to run a campaign that actually represented the change we seek.

At a time when money is undermining our democracy, we didn’t accept any funding from political action committees, federal lobbyists or special interests like big sugar.

At a time when so many have given up on politics, our campaign was powered by extraordinary campaign fellows who were the heart and soul of our effort.

At a time when so many are disconnected from our government, we built a field program that sought to personally engage voters in every neighborhood in every part of the district.

At a time when the leadership in Congress hasn’t changed in years, we called for an entirely new slate of people in leadership roles in the House. The new faces in the next Congress must not be just newly elected members, but the leaders at the top too.

Of course, our efforts did not result in a victory. But I have no regrets. After all, this is a moment to take chances. And throughout my life I’ve always sought to take chances by diving into entirely new things; and going all-in when I do.

Whether it was going to New Orleans to write a biography on Professor Longhair (still unfinished). Or moving to Miami-- where I didn’t know a soul (but met my soulmate)--  to become a journalist (where I had a great run that lasted nearly a decade). Or leaving the Miami Herald to join Knight Foundation (where I had an even better run), in which I launched an entirely new program that planted the seeds and propelled Miami’s rapidly emerging startup and entrepreneurial community.

I want to stretch myself, test boundaries and be willing to do entirely new things. Incumbent to that approach will be wins and losses. It’s the in-between that I want to avoid.

Make no mistake, I dearly wish I was part of the Blue Wave at this critical point in our country’s history. But I’m not. This moment belongs to candidates with names like Gillum, O’Rourke, Pressley, Lamb, Ocasio-Cortez, and so many others. I will be cheering every one of them on, and support in any way I can. We need them to win and be good leaders when a new Congress is sworn in in January.

And, each in our own way, we all need to lean in and help. The moment is too important. The challenges are too great. The stakes too high. No one can sit this out.

So what’s next? The short answer is, I don’t know.

I do know that I have many people to thank. I remember when I decided to run, a friend advised that people look at you differently when you’re a political candidate. He cautioned that you’ll be disappointed by friends you thought would be there. But he also said you’ll be surprised by the support from those you didn’t know before or never expected. Focus and delight in the latter, he said. And I will.

(One quick note: Danet and I took some time away after the election. If you haven’t heard from me yet, you’ll be hearing from me soon.)

After such an all-consuming period I also have many friendships to renew, which I am looking forward to doing.

Life is about chapters and seasons. The thing about political campaigns is the chapter ends so suddenly. After such an intense period, it’s quickly and suddenly over. It’s a crash landing. But a new chapter begins. There is power in blank canvases. I’ve experienced it before. It’s at moments like these when you can edit your life and think completely anew. It’s often at these moments when the unimagined happens, when you follow completely new paths and find unexpected success.

I have no idea what this next chapter will bring, but I’m excited to find out.

After the race, I spoke with Reggie, who is a great friend and the father of Joshua, my little through Big Brother Big Sister for more than a decade. Reggie said to me: “You gotta keep pressing on my man. It’s all good.”

That pretty much says it all. Keep pressing on.




          Yes, There's Still Something You Can Do Today Besides Voting      Cache   Translate Page      

We all want Trump and his servile, enabling Republicans to lose control of Congress. But many of us feel the Democrats are nothing more than the lesser evil, with a leadership that pursues opportunism and careerism rather than the party's values and principles. How do we change that? One way is to elect as many members of Congress we can who are not beholden to the corrupt party leadership. For example, these are progressive candidates who won their primaries and who the DCCC and Nancy Pelosi have refused to support:
Randy Bryce (WI-01)
Ammar Campa-Najjar (CA-50)
Audrey Denney (CA-01)
Kara Eastman (NE-02)
Kendra Fershee (WV-01)
Jess King (PA-11)
Nate MuMurray (NY-27)
J.D. Scholten (IA-04)
Mike Siegel (TX-10)
Dayna Steele (TX-36)
James Thompson (KS-04)
Instead, the DCCC and Pelosi are spending tens of millions of dollars on New Dems and Blue Dogs from the Republican wing of the Democratic Party, consciously shifting the congressional caucus in a sharply rightward.corporate direction-- in the opposite direction the Democratic base wishes it to move.


Today we have to deal with an existential problem-- Trump and his GOP enablers. But we should concentrate on making sure the progressives running for Congress today have every chance possible to win. Think back to when you were in school or the military or at summer camp. Did you have any pals back then who like in Omaha? Can you call them and ask them to vote for Kara Eastman? Sunday Kara told her supporters that her race "is one of the most closely watched in the entire country. Everyone’s eyes are on this district, waiting to see what happens on election day. If we can win here, it’s proof that our common-sense progressive platform can work around the rest of the country as well. We have grown this small grassroots movement into something bigger than all of us. We are ready to make history and create meaningful change in our country. Your vote matters. This race will be incredibly close, and we need you to show up and be counted on election day. Make sure you have a plan to get to the polls on Tuesday, November 6th and make your voice heard. Your vote would be the best birthday gift I could get this year." And her win would be a gift for every progressive in America. Think again... maybe you have a cousin in Omaha? No? Perhaps an old chum you haven't talk to in years who lives in Gretna or La Vista or Papillion? Today, only phone calls can help, not checks; too late for that.



How about someone who lives in Racine or Kenosha or Janesville, Wisconsin? Those are the 3 biggest towns in Randy Bryce's district. A persuasive GOTV call to someone you know, is worth more than any financial contribution right now. Maybe someone who moved to Elkhorn or Burlington? Lake Geneva? Muskego? Or maybe the suburbs south of Milwaukee-- Oak Creek, Franklin, Greendale, Caldonia? This is going to be a close race. Every vote counts.

In western New York, there's a big space with lots of suburbs and small towns between Buffalo and Rochester. Anyone you know up there who you could talk to about Nate McMurray. Most people who hear that Chris Collins is an extreme Trumpist and that he was arrested for corruption charges and is out on bail, are very open to hearing reasons to vote for Nate McMurray.

Same in Escondido, Ramona, Lakeside, Santee and the other suburbs east and north of San Diego. And Temecula... and the eastern parts of El Cajon-- that's all Ammar Campa-Najjar's district, where the incumbent, Druncan Hunter, is also an extreme Trumpist out on bail after being arrested by the FBI.

And on the exact opposite end of California, up in the northeast... maybe you know someone with a phone who moved to Grass Valley? Oroville, Redding, Chico, Paradise, Yreka, Red Bluff? Someone living on a houseboat in Lake Shasta or Goose Lake? That's all part of CA-01, where Berniecrat Audrey Denney is making tremendous headway against Doug LaMalfa and can use every vote she can get.


Don't tell me you don't know anyone in Austin. Everyone does... just think. Mike Siegel's district includes lots of Austin neighborhoods-- The Triangle, Rosedale, Ridge Top, Coronado Hills, St Johns, Broadacres, Brentwood, Oakmont Heights, Balcones Park, Abercrombe, Skyview, Crestview, Allandale, Wooten, North Shoal Creek, Mesa Forest, Quail Hollow, Gracywoods, North Oaks, up into Pflugerville and then out towards Houston in towns like Bastrop, La Grange, Brenham, Sealy, Weimar, as well as towns like Tombatt, Cypress, Prairie View and Fairfield on the outskirts of Houston. Mike's race to replace the Trumpist incumbent-- who helped formulate the babies in cages policy-- is going to depend on getting people to come out to vote today in those Austin neighborhoods, Houston suburbs and everything in between. Know anyone there you could call?

And on the other side of Houston... maybe you know someone from a past life who went to work for NASA? Dayna Steele's race is going to be decided tonight by voters in Seabook, Deer Park, Channelview, Sheldon and Crosby on the outskirts of Houston-- as well as by folks living in La Porte, Baytown, Beach City and up in Lumberton, Liberty, Livingston, Jasper, Bon Wier (right on the Louisiana border), Kirbyville, and in the Beaumont suburbs like Vidor and Rose City.

Maybe you know people in Lancaster, Pennsylvania or up in Ephrata or Elizabethtown or down in Hanover in York County. Call them and persuade them to vote for Jess King.

Is it possible you know someone teaching at Iowa State in Ames? Steve King's district isn't 100% farmland. Anyone in your phonebook from Sioux City? Mason City? Forest City? Rockwell City? How about Fort Dodge or Pocahontas? For J.D. to win today, he's going to need votes from all those places. Think! Anyone? A sister's old boyfriend? The coach of your high school basketball team?

Maybe coach moved to Kansas, not Iowa. James Thomson's district is mostly Wichita and Sedgewick County but he's going to need whatever votes he can pick up in Eureka, Howard nd Sedan in the east, Kinsley, Greensburg, Goldwater in the west and towns like Kingman, Medicine Lodge and Winfield in between.

That leaves us with the toughest district we're trying to flip this cycle, WV-01 (PVI R+19), where Kendra Fershee is running a progressive campaign in a district where Bernie did incredibly well. It includes Wheeling, Parkersburg and Morgantown (West Virginia University's Evansdale campus). Maybe an old babysitter? I used to volunteer at a People for the American Way office and I met a young woman there who helped me figure out what I was doing. She lives in that district now. In fact... she's the candidate!




A friend of mine, Richard Foos, worked with his wife and Ted Lieu and another friend of ours, Jody Uttal, and me, to put on a fundraising event for Ammar Campa-Najjar and Randy Bryce. We raised them each some money but that didn't feel proactive enough for Richard. He wanted to do something way more visceral. So... he called a dozen friends, printed up some voter guides and called up Katie Hill's campaign manager and offered to stand outside a dozen polling places and hand out the guides. He's done it before-- and it works, especially well for down-ballot candidates and propositions on the ballot. I asked him to explain what it's like doing this kind of volunteer work. He told me he believes "that the most effective thing we can do today is to work at a polling place with a three fold plus purpose.
1) hand out voter guides for the congressional Dems (not as important for the congressional race, but very important for down ballot candidates, non-partisan candidates and propositions.
2) Catch any voter irregularities by ensuring all Dems successfully voted on the way out of the polls.
3) Check the voter roles which are posted inside the polling place every couple hours and tell headquarters who has not voted yet so that they can get their GOTV team to remind the ones who didn't vote to do so.
I am going to be doing it for Katie Hill’s campaign and if interested email jake@katiehillforcongress.com/ Otherwise call your local Dem office or congressional candidate’s campaign headquarters."


Voter Suppression by Nancy Ohanian


          Working Class Hero      Cache   Translate Page      



Alan Grayson's grassroots PAC, The Resistance, did a final appeal for Randy Bryce Sunday evening. At this point, forget about the contribution part, just try to remember if you know anyone who lives in Racine, Kenosha, Janesville, the suburbs south of Milwaukee... and call them and tell them why they should vote for @IronStache. Meanwhile, though Grayson's PAC made some good points.
When no one else was willing to take on the Speaker of the House, Randy Bryce took on the Speaker of the House.  He put his hand right next to the woodchipper, filing to run against Paul Ryan in Ryan's Wisconsin Congressional district.

Ryan couldn't take the heat.  He quit the race, and he's stepping down as Speaker of the House two months from now.

Randy Bryce beat the second most powerful person in Washington, DC, a current Speaker and former Vice Presidential nominee. Bryce chased Paul Ryan out of politics.

But that is not the end of the story.
"You come at the king, you best not miss."
- Omar, The Wire (2006)
Paul Ryan's Super PAC, the "Congressional Leadership Fund," has spent $2.7 million in the last two months, relentlessly smearing Randy Bryce in order to hand Ryan's seat to Ryan's hand-picked successor.

We can't let Ryan beat Bryce from beyond the political grave.  Ryan wouldn't stand and fight for his seat; instead, he hides behind his Super PAC to fling mud at Bryce. Let's show our support for the candidate who stepped up to face Paul Ryan, and beat him.

Randy Bryce: Ironworker, veteran and cancer-survivor. A true Man of the People.

But now that Paul Ryan's Super PAC is spending $2.7 million to smear him, no one has come to Randy's defense.

Here is a list of Super PAC expenditures in Bryce's campaign. The blue ones are for Bryce, and the red ones against him:




Paul Ryan's Super PAC has outspent all the pro-Bryce Super PACs by nine to one-- combined!

(And by the way, there's no shortage of blue money available to help Bryce, The Democratic counterpart to Ryan's Super PAC has spent $72 million so far this year. None of that has gone to defend Randy Bryce.)

We can't let Republican sewer money defeat our Working Class Champion.

Yep, not a dime from the DCCC, not a dime from Pelosi's House Majority PAC-- both of which have been spending millions of Blue Dogs and New Dems from coast to coast. Fine, if Randy wins today, he won't owe them a nod.




          Por Favor Vote Hoy-- PorTodo Nuestro Bien      Cache   Translate Page      

This isn't a new poll but it could be the numbers we see on our TV screens tonight. Say a prayer. A result like that in Texas today is going to be dependent on, among other things, Latino turnout. Virtually all polling models assume Latinos will not turn out in large numbers. If that changes today, say goodbye to Ted Cruz and... HELLO BETO! Nearly 39% of Texans are Latino. BETO will win if they vote today in larger numbers than has been usual. AND, a big Latino turnout in Texas today could also help in more than a few districts with big Hispanic populations-- here's who has the most to gain:
TX-02- 29.6% Todd Litton
TX-07- 31.5% Lizzie Fletcher
TX-10- 25.9% Mike Siegel
TX-21- 27.7% Joseph Kopser
TX-23- 70.8% Gina Jones
TX-27- 50.8% Eric Holguin
TX-32- 28.3% Colin Allred


California is another state with a huge Hispanic population-- like Texas, around 39%-- where an oversized Latino turnout today could be determinative, maybe even electing a progressive senator, Kevin de León, instead of reelecting the conservative Dianne Feinstein, with a shameful anti-immigrant history unworthy of our state. In California congressional races, a big Latino turnout will make all the difference in 7 close, key races:
CA-10- 40.0% Josh Harder
CA-21- 72.1% TJ Cox
CA-22- 45.9% Andrew Janz (Devin Nunes' district)
CA-25- 37.9% Katie Hill
CA-39- 34.6% Gil Cisneros
CA-49- 25.7% Mike Levin
CA-50- 29.7% Ammar Campa-Najjar
And then there are the key Senate races in Arizona (30.1% Latino) and Nevada (27.1% Latino) which have both tightened up in the last month.



So... has Trump been enough of a determinant to rouse Latino voters up in big numbers tomorrow? All cycle, the answer has been a disappointing "NO!" But that seems to have changed in the last few weeks. Yesterday, Chris Kahn and Dan Trotta, reporting for Reuters, wrote that a new IPSOS tracking poll shows a 
marked increase in Latino enthusiasm for voting this week.




Hispanics are more interested in voting this year than in the last U.S. congressional midterm elections in 2014 and their enthusiasm outpaces that of all U.S. adults, according to a Reuters/Ipsos national tracking poll released on Sunday.

The poll also found likely Hispanic voters nearly twice as inclined to support Democrats for the House of Representatives as Republicans in Tuesday's elections.

Voter registration groups are using Republican President Donald Trump's nationalist, anti-immigrant rhetoric as an opportunity to drive up Latino enthusiasm. In an illustration of their passion, one group that is part of an alliance that has reached out to more than 1 million potential voters in Arizona took its name from the Spanish word for "fight."

...Latinos could play a crucial role in several races, from tight Senate battles in Arizona and Texas to Florida's close Senate and governor's races. In California, the flourishing Latino population has helped put in play some Republican-controlled House districts Democrats hope to flip.

The Reuters/Ipsos poll, taken Sept. 1 to Oct. 29, found that 36 percent of Hispanic voters said they were "certain" to vote, up from 27 percent in 2014. That increase is nearly double the five percentage point rise in voter enthusiasm among all Americans over the same period, the poll showed.

Enthusiasm appears especially high among Hispanic Democrats.

Forty-two percent of Hispanic Democrats said they were "certain" to vote, up from 29 percent in 2014. Among likely Hispanic voters, 60 percent said they will vote for a Democratic candidate for the House, and 32 percent would back a Republican.

Hispanics are a politically diverse group, with 55 percent of likely voters identifying as Democrats, 31 percent as Republicans and 12 percent as independent, the poll showed.

Just over half, 53 percent, of likely Hispanic voters said they were "very motivated" to pick a candidate for Congress who opposes Trump, compared with 43 percent of all likely voters, 75 percent of likely Democratic voters and 9 percent of likely Republican voters.

...America's 29 million Latinos account for nearly 13 percent of eligible voters this year, but their turnout rate has declined since 2006, according to the Pew Research Center. Only 27 percent of eligible Latinos voted in the last midterm elections in 2014, and only 16 percent of those aged 18 to 35, Pew said.

          DWT California Voter Guide For Tuesday (Reprise)      Cache   Translate Page      

We published this a few weeks ago for early voters but I figured I'd run it again-- with a bonus video at the end-- for Californians going to the polls on Tuesday. First and foremost on our list is the U.S. Senate race, in which we strongly back Kevin de León against fossilized conservative incumbent Dianne Feinstein.

Goal ThermometerWe don't usually back better of two evil candidates-- which is what the Democratic Party usually encourages, particularly on the federal level. But, this year, because of the existential threat from Trump, we are doing just that. Vote for every Democrat and against every Republican-- even for candidates as lacking in anything to recommend them as Andrew Janz and Gil Cisneros. There I said it!. That said, we are genuinely excited about some Democrats, especially Katie Porter, the progressive running in Orange County (CA-45), Ammar Campa-Najjar, the progressive running for Congress in San Diego County (CA-50) and Jovanka Beckles, the progressive running for state Assembly in the East Bay. All of our California faves are on the Blue America thermometer on the right. Prediction: Gavin Newsom will win and any progressive who voted for him will be very, very sorry. For state Superintendent of Schools, there's a really good candidate: Tony Thurmond and a really bad canddiate, the charter school guy, Marshall Tuck. OK, that's the easy stuff. Now the statewide propositions:
Prop 1- YES-- authorizes $4 billion in bonds to fund affordable housing for low-income families, seniors, people with disabilities, farmworkers and veterans.
Prop 2- YES-- authorizes $2 billion in bonds to provide supportive housing (i.e. ,mental health and drug rehab) for homeless Californians with mental illness.
Prop 3- NO-- an $8 billion boondoggle for Big Agriculture, while causing environmental problems.
Prop 4- YES-- authorizes $1.5 billion in bonds to fund building, renovating and equipping children’s hospitals.
Prop 5- NO-- another boondoggle, this one for wealthy developers and older rich homeowners-- expands Prop 13.
Prop 6- NO-- overturns the increase in gas taxes and vehicle fees that fund transportation infrastructure. Bad for Climate Change and deincentivizes electric car development.
Prop 7- YES or NO-- empowers the legislature to adopt permanent daylight saving time, eliminating standard time in the future if it Congress gives the OK.
Prop 8- YES-- requires notoriously profiteering dialysis centers to stop cheating their patients and to accept Medicare and Medicaid without discrimination.
Prop 10- YES-- allows cities, towns and counties to pass and strengthen rent control laws by repealing the Costa-Hawkins Rental Housing Act.
Prop 11- NO-- An anti-union proposal that allows private ambulance companies to require workers to remain on-call during meal and rest breaks.
Prop 12- YES-- an animal welfare measure set ting reasonable minimum floor space for pigs, calves and hens at one square foot.


L.A. County has Measure W, an excellent idea to fund rainwater capture, cleaning and storage projects in order to grow the county's local water supply. Vote YES.

And the city of L.A. has two measures, both worth supporting. Measure B amends the City’s charter to permit Los Angeles to establish a public bank. Vote YES.

Measure E sets the City’s primary election on the same date as the State’s primary election. Vote YES.




          The Dozen Worst Democrats Facing The Voters Are Better Than The Dozen Best Republicans      Cache   Translate Page      



Perhaps trying to torture Señor Trumpanzee, a 4 month old Pew Research poll was widely circulated on the internet over the weekend, showing that President Obama, by far, is the president who the most Americans think was the best in their lifetimes (31%) followed by Reagan (21%) and Clinton (13%).

I didn't have time to conduct a poll, but I'm going to tell you who the best non-incumbent candidates running for Congress on Tuesday are. In alphabetical order-- based strictly on how well they will perform in Congress if they are elected. These are a dozen potential superstars:
Lisa Brown (WA-05)
Randy Bryce (WI-01)
Kara Eastman (NE-02)
Jared Golden (ME-02)
Jess King (PA-11)
Nate McMurray (NY-27)
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (NY-14)
Katie Porter (CA-45)
JD Scholten (IA-04)
Mike Siegel (TX-10)
James Thompson (KS-04)
Rashida Tlaib (MI-13)
Nor did I poll anyone about who the worst Democrats are running for the House. I'm tempted to put this list in order of horribleness but I'll keep it alphabetical, so I don't get into any arguments about why I say Jeff Van Drew (NJ-02) is worse than, for example, Abigail Spanberger (VA-07). Hard to narrow it down to just 12 and I was tempted to sneak in another, calling it a baker's dozen, but I'll save Paul Davis (KS-02) and Anne Kirkpatrick (AZ-02) for another time. 12 Democrats-- bolstering and strengthening the Republican wing of the Democratic Part-- who will make Congress a far worse and less productive place than it would be without them:
Anthony Brindisi (NY-22)
Gil Cisneros (CA-39)
Jason Crow (CO-06)
Gretchen Driskell (MI-07)
Brendan Kelly (IL-12)
Joseph Kopser (TX-21)
Susie Lee (NV-03)
Kathy Manning (NC-13)
Dan McCready (NC-09)
Max Rose (NY-11)
Mikie Sherrill (NJ-11)
Abigail Spanberger (VA-07)
[Oops, I forgot New Jersey Blue Dog Jeff Van Drew... probably because I don't even think of him as a Democrat. But he's the worst Democratic candidate this cycle. The DCCC begged him to run. And he has absolutely no chance of being defeated. He will be in Congress next year, a real tragedy.]

Hold your nose and vote for these lunks so Trump winds up getting checked and balanced. The only horrible Democrat running for the House who I would not hold my nose, shut my eyes, vomit in my mouth and vote for is an incumbent, the shockingly Debbie Wasserman Schultz (FL-23). But in that case, the alternative is a progressive running as an independent, Tim Canova, who will caucus with the Democrats, making not just the House, but the wretched party, a better institution. The video message from Elizabeth Warren below is specifically about the Senate but... same, same; the principle works for the House as well. I have a question for progressives-- real ones only, please-- in Arizona: Are you going to vote for Sinema?



One more thing about the Senate. With a horrible map for Democrats, the likelihood of it flipping from red to blue in minimal-- though not impossible. Trump is counting on ignoring his likely evisceration in the House by claiming he saved the GOP from doom in both houses. That will be fun.


          Under Assault by Trump's GOP and Supreme Court, Unions Lead Massive Get Out the Vote Effort for Midterms: 'We Vote, We Win'      Cache   Translate Page      
"We don't know any other way. For us, it's a very natural way to survive: organize, organize."

In the face of a coordinated, corporate-funded assault on their very existence by President Donald Trump, Republicans at the federal and state level, and the right-wing Supreme Court, labor unions nationwide have mobilized massive numbers of struggling workersto turn out for Tuesday's critical midterms with the goal of defeating anti-union candidates and electing politicians willing to fight for progressive policies that benefit the working class like Medicare for All, a higher minimum wage, and the fundamental right to organize.

"The Culinary Workers Union registered 10,300 voters for the midterms. This union really gets it done. Still impressed by what I saw reporting on them in Vegas."
—David Jamieson, Huffington Post

"We don't know any other way," said Geoconda Arguello-Kline, the Secretary-Treasurer for the Culinary Workers Union in Las Vegas, which has registered over 10,300 new voters ahead of Tuesday's midterm elections to defeat Sen. Dean Heller (R-Nev.). "For us, it's a very natural way to survive here in Las Vegas: organize, organize."

With the rallying cry, "We vote, we win!" the union has provided resources for workers to learn about the candidates on the ballot, spread the word about the issues at stake in the midterms, and find the closest polling site.

The Culinary Union's get-out-the-vote efforts have been replicated throughout the nation, including in so-called "right-to-work states," where Republican legislatures have barred unions from collecting dues from all workers they represent in collective bargaining efforts to raise wages and improve working conditions.

"Things aren't changing for the better like they thought would happen. Real wages are not keeping pace with inflation. We haven't replaced the well-paying manufacturing jobs that we lost."
—Tim Burga, Ohio AFL-CIO

In Southern states like North Carolina, Tennessee, Florida, and Georgia, the Communications Workers of America (CWA)—which represents 700,000 workers nationwide—say it organized canvassing, mail, and phone bank operations that resulted in over four million door knocks."

In the Midwest, where workers have suffered from decades of deindustrialization, corporate outsourcing, and neglect from politicians who so often claim to care about their plight, the AFL-CIO says it has convinced thousands of union workers who backed Donald Trump in 2016 to turn out for progressive Democrats on Tuesday.

"About half of union households that voted for Trump said they are planning to vote for Democrats in two key statewide races," Vox reported on Monday, citing figures from the Ohio AFL-CIO. "That includes 51.4 percent of Trump voters who plan to cast a ballot for progressive Democrat Richard Cordray for governor and 49.9 percent of Trump voters who favor incumbent Sen. Sherrod Brown—the only Democrat currently holding statewide office."

Tim Burga, president of the Ohio AFL-CIO, said many union workers who initially backed Trump have realized after two years of plutocratic policies and stagnant wages that the president and his billionaire-filled cabinet are not on their side, and never were.

"Things aren't changing for the better like they thought would happen," Burga said. "Real wages are not keeping pace with inflation. We haven't replaced the well-paying manufacturing jobs that we lost."

With a historic number of House Democratic candidates backing Medicare for All, National Nurses United (NNU)—the largest organization of registered nurses in the U.S.—has also been tirelessly canvassing and phone banking in Maryland, Florida, and the many other states where candidates are standing up to America's disastrous for-profit healthcare industry.

See NNU's full list of all 225 House Democratic candidates running on Medicare for All here.

     

           GOTV Strategies; Turnout History; Charitable Tendencies; Lincoln's Crucible      Cache   Translate Page      
Good morning. It’s Tuesday, November 6, 2018, Election Day. Although Americans are choosing a new Congress, along with governors in 36 states -- and not a president -- Donald J. Trump is very...

          Pete Davidson Under Fire for SNL Joke About a Wounded Veteran Running for Congress      Cache   Translate Page      

Pete Davidson may have received positive marks for his gentlemanly treatment of his breakup with Ariana Grande during his appearance on Saturday Night Live's "Weekend Update," but his comments about one GOP candidate's wartime injury have a lot of viewers crying foul.

In the segment, he lampooned

...

Read More >



Other Links From TVGuide.com


          Trump Is Bracing for the Worst as White House Aides Warn the Election Results Could Be 'Brutal': Report      Cache   Translate Page      
The president has no public events scheduled.

After weeks on the campaign trail for Republicans around the country, President Donald Trump has hunkered away in the White House Tuesday as Americans head to the polls.

And according to a new report in the New York Times, the president and his aides are bracing for the worst.

Reporters Michael Shear and Maggie Haberman say the mood in the White House was "gloomy" on Tuesday, citing aides and others who have talked to the president. The majority of pollsters and analysts expect Democrats could make significant gains in the House of Representatives and are likely to flip control of the chamber. The fact that the GOP is expected to keep control of the Senate — due in large part to the favorable terrain this year for Republicans on the ballot — is offering some comfort in the White House, the report said.

"For days, Mr. Trump’s advisers have warned him that the losses could be brutal, even as they have said that the Senate should be a bright spot," the report said. "Advisers acknowledge that Mr. Trump has a problem with women voters as he begins his own re-election effort."

The report notes that Trump seemed to admit in an interview Monday with an ABC affiliate that his rhetoric may have gone too far at times — a rare admission of error on the president's part. People familiar with his thinking told Haberman and Shear that he does, in fact, believe he may have stepped over the line. Yet even Monday night, Trump was his usual pugnacious self at the final rally of the cycle, attacking Justice Brett Kavanaugh's accusers — who say he is guilty of sexual assault and misconduct — were part of a "scam" as his supporters cheered "lock her up."

Whether or not the dire warnings for his administration and his party will be borne out can only be confirmed once the votes around the country are tallied. The possibility of contested results and close calls may even leave the question of who controls Congress up for grabs until Wednesday, or possibly even later.

 

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          ‘Saturday Night Live’ Got It Right: New Gallup Poll Finds High Anxiety Among Democrats on Election Day      Cache   Translate Page      
There's a lot at stake.

NBC’s long-running “Saturday Night Live” has never been shy about making fun of Democrats along with Republicans. A hilarious “SNL” skit that aired on November 3 depicted Democratic voters as being in a state of maximum anxiety over the 2018 midterms no matter how much they tried to pretend they were feeling optimistic—and according to a new Gallup survey, that skit isn’t off base. Gallup, on Election Day, reported that 81% of voters it described as either Democrats or “Democratic leaners” are “very or somewhat worried” about what will happen in the U.S. if Republicans maintain their majority in either the House of Representatives or the Senate. And only 19% of them are “not too or not at all worried” about the results of that possibility.

However, Gallup finds that Republicans and “Republican leaners,” in contrast, are less worried about what will happen in the U.S. if Democrats obtain a majority in either house of Congress. According to Gallup, 66% of Republicans or “Republican leaners” are “very or somewhat worried” about what would happen with a Democratic majority in the House or Senate—while 34% are “not too or not at all worried.”

Gallup also found that Democrats are less optimistic than Republicans when it comes to their chances of having a majority in the House in 2019.

Of the Republicans surveyed, 87% predicted that the GOP would maintain its House majority on Election Day, while only 74% of Democrats believed that their party would retake the House. And Democrats were even less optimistic about the Senate.

Gallup found that 83% of Republicans predicted that the GOP would keep its Senate majority on Election Day, while only 49% of Democrats believed their party would obtain a majority in the Upper House.

In order to achieve a Senate majority this year, Democrats would need to maintain every seat they presently hold while capturing two Republican-held seats. If Democrats could capture the Republican-held seats in Arizona and Nevada and not lose any seats, they would obtain a narrow Senate majority. But those races, according to many polls, are close—and Democratic incumbent Sen. Heidi Heitkamp has been trailing Republican Kevin Cramer in North Dakota’s Senate race.

The morning of Election Day, pollster Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight.com found that Democrats had an 87% chance of retaking the House but only a 19% chance of retaking the Senate. All 435 House seats are up for grabs today. 

Watch the SNL skit below:

 

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          Former FBI Director James Comey Urges Americans to Reject President Trump’s ‘Lying, Misogyny, Racism’ in Epic New York Times Op-Ed      Cache   Translate Page      
"The history of America consoles us, but also, calls us to action.”

Although James Comey spent much of his adult life as a registered Republican and made donations to the presidential campaigns of Sen. John McCain in 2008 and Mitt Romney in 2012, he has hardly been an ally of President Donald Trump—who fired him as FBI director in May 2017. And in an epic New York Times commentary published on Election Day, the former FBI director urges American voters to reject “the lying, misogyny, racism and attacks on the rule of law from our president.”

In 2018, Comey has not been shy about encouraging Americans to vote Democrat in the midterms—even if they are Republicans who, like himself, have policy differences with the Democratic Party. Republicans in Congress, Comey has complained, have been putting their party before the good of their country and become subservient to the Trump Administration. And that theme asserts itself in his Election Day piece.

Comey’s article delves into U.S. history, noting that periods of social progress can be followed by an angry backlash—which is how he characterizes the Trump administration.

“Our country has changed dramatically in recent years,” the former FBI director explains. “We elected a black man president for two terms, and a woman won the popular vote in the 2016 presidential election. We legalized gay marriage, have an entirely new approach to work and technology and families, and we are on a path to the white majority becoming a minority. History shows us that with so much progress and change, a spasm of negativity and backlash was inevitable.”

Drawing a parallel between the Trump era and the 1920s, the 57-year-old Comey notes that progress for African-Americans, women and Jews after World War I was followed by a resurgence in Ku Klux Klan activity during the following decade.

“The years after the end of World War I were a period of stunning progress for our country,” Comey asserts. “Women got the right to vote. Blacks moved into the growing industrial economy. Catholics and Jews flooded in as immigrants. But that change brought reaction. In the 1920s, the Klan was reborn. Millions of Americans joined the KKK, including 16 United States senators, 11 governors and dozens of members of the House of Representatives.”

Comey quickly adds, however, “The Klan fever broke in the late 1920s, and we resumed our upward progress. That’s the story of America.”

Comey goes on to note that Sen. Joseph McCarthy’s witch hunt of the 1950s “disappeared almost overnight” after he was discredited, and that the racist bombing of the 16th Street Baptist Church (a black church) in Birmingham, Alabama in 1963 “led to bipartisan support in Congress to pass the Civil Rights and Voting Rights acts that changed our country for the better.” And history, according to Comey, shows that sooner or later, Americans “resume our upward march.”

“Every American should be speaking about our nation’s values,” Comey concludes. “Every American should be voting those values, which are far more important than even the most passionate policy differences. The history of America consoles us, but also, calls us to action.”
 


          Information Warfare and Security Flaws: Why the American Voting System Is Still at Serious Risk      Cache   Translate Page      
As this election’s results come back, they will reveal whether the misinformation and propaganda campaigns conducted alongside the political ones were effective.

As the 2018 midterms proceed, there are still significant risks to the integrity of the voting system – and information warfare continues to try to influence the American public’s choices when they cast their ballots.

On the day of the election, there were a number of early hitches in voting at individual polling places, such as polling places opening late and vote-counting machines not plugged in. But there seem not – at least not yet – to be major problems across the country.

However, not all the election-related news and information voters have been encountering in recent days and weeks is accurate, and some of it is deliberately misleading. As this election’s results come back, they will reveal whether the misinformation and propaganda campaigns conducted alongside the political ones were effective.

Securing election systems

America’s electoral process remains highly fragmented, because of the country’s cherished tradition of decentralized government and local control. While this may leave some individual communities’ voting equipment potentially vulnerable to attack, the nation’s voting process overall may be more trustworthy as a result of this fragmentation. With no unified government agency or office to provide, administer and protect election technologies, there’s not one central national element that could fail or be attacked.

Across the country, though, many districts’ voters will cast ballots with the help of machines that have long-standing security concerns. Fortunately, 45 states keep a paper record of each vote cast – whether for fear of threats to voting integrity or just budget constraints preventing purchase of newer gear. But that means five states – Louisiana, Georgia, South Carolina, New Jersey and Delaware – don’t keep paper records of their voters’ choices.

Voting machine vendors have been reluctant to appear before Congress to explain their systems’ security practices – and shortcomings. However, federal agencies have helped some states reduce the likelihood of voting machines being hacked or physically tampered with.

Beyond voting machines

Election security is about much more than voting machines and vote-counting systems, though they are the most visible technologies at work on Election Day. State systems that track voter registrations, or allow users to register online, are enticing targets for hackers, too. Security firm Carbon Black reported that 81 million voter records from 20 states are available in online forums. This data, obtained by hacking various official and corporate databases, could be used to facilitate voter fraud or sow confusion at polling places on Election Day: How would you feel if you were told that someone using your name and address had already voted?

There are security concerns even in states like Oregon, where everyone votes on paper and mails in their ballots in advance of Election Day. That state’s election officials were targeted by hackers seeking to gain access to state email and database systems. With that access, attackers might be able to digitally impersonate a government official to send false or confusing emails, press releases or other notifications to citizens, journalists or poll workers.

Also at risk are public-facing official websites that carry election information. Merely changing the reported location of polling places or voting hours could prevent some people from voting. Also vulnerable are states’ methods of announcing preliminary election results. At a major internet security conference in August, children were able to compromise replicas of several states’ election-reporting systems. The most remarkable was that in just 10 minutes, an 11-year-old boy cracked the security on a copy of the Florida secretary of state’s website and was able to change the publicly announced vote totals for candidates. That could be enough to cast doubt on whatever was later reported as the official results – and the integrity of the system itself.

Managing information on social media

A more difficult threat to defend against is information warfare, which doesn’t attack voting machines or election officials’ computers. Rather, it targets voters’ perceptions and decisions, seeking to influence how they vote.

Long before the 2016 U.S. presidential election, information warfare was influencing elections around the world, including in Ukraine, Myanmar and Egypt. But after 2016, Facebook and Twitter came under intense scrutiny for their role in providing digital environments that facilitated the spread of misinformation to sow discontent, and special counsel Robert Mueller began investigating Russians’ influence efforts.

In the run-up to the 2018 midterms, Russians and others were still hard at work trying to influence Americans to vote in ways that help foreign interests. In October, the U.S. Department of Justice charged a Russian woman with creating thousands of fake social media accounts allegedly representing American citizens to “create and amplify divisive social media and political content” before the election.

This year, though, unlike two years ago, social media companies are taking action. Twitter and Facebook have both deleted thousands of accounts they identified as engaging in propaganda and influence-peddling. And they have made other efforts to identify and fight falsehoods on their platforms, too.

Nevertheless, online misinformation continues to thrive. More than 80 percent of the Twitter accounts that often shared links to false and misleading information in 2016 are still active today. And the amount of online misinformation is higher than it was two years ago.

Investigating alleged wrongdoing

U.S. intelligence and police agencies are concerned about the potential effects of misinformation on the American electorate. But large proportions of the country don’t trust those organizations to be politically independent. It doesn’t help that the White House continues to claim, without evidence, that voter fraud is a significant problem.

Mainstream news organizations can find themselves under scrutiny too, either for reporting falsehoods that appear to gain traction online or for failing to filter out or properly identify inaccurate information for their readers.

Looking ahead

Protecting democracy is a huge challenge. I’ve written before that it involves more than technical solutions to computer problems. The U.S. government, and the people it serves, must find the desire and the drive to establish secure and trustworthy procedures for running elections across the country. Education is also key, teaching people from an early age how to recognize propaganda and misinformation, and think critically about the information they encounter. Facts are not subject to alternative views; without widespread agreement on common objective realities, society and government cannot function well.

Technology continues to evolve, presenting challenges to individuals and society alike. Emerging “deepfake” technology is already helping create convincing videos of people appearing to say and do things they never said or did. In addition, intelligent social media bots are becoming more human-like, making identifying and blocking them much more difficult. That’s just some of the challenges that democracies will face in the future.

Many of these problems will not have a clearly defined fix, because they involve a nuanced balancing of individual rights and social necessities. Real and lasting solutions must come from civil discourse by rational and objectively informed people who have, above all, the actual honest desire to do it right.

Richard Forno, Senior Lecturer, Cybersecurity & Internet Researcher, University of Maryland, Baltimore County

This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article.

 

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          Border Patrol Conducting ‘Crowd Control Exercise’ on Election Day Near El Paso Hispanic Neighborhood’s Polling Station      Cache   Translate Page      
That Hispanic neighborhood is in El Paso, which happens to be the hometown of Rep. Beto O'Rourke.

The U.S. Border Patrol is preparing for the migrant caravan – still weeks and hundreds of miles away – by conducting a "crowd control exercise" on Election Day in a Hispanic neighborhood a half-mile away from their polling station.

(Looks like this “crowd control exercise” is only about 5 or 6 blocks from the polling site at the Armijo Recreation Center.) pic.twitter.com/Bm8f9XGNyp

— Walter Shaub (@waltshaub) November 6, 2018

That Hispanic neighborhood is in El Paso, which coincidentally happens to be the hometown of Rep. Beto O'Rourke, the popular Democratic candidate challenging U.S. Senator Ted Cruz.

Texas Monthly, reporting on the "exercise," notes that Senator Cruz "has welcomed news of the deployment and criticized his opponent for being soft on immigration. 'He is waiting on the Rio Grande with welcome baskets and foot massages,' Cruz said of O’Rourke recently. Cruz has also consistently pointed out that he has received the endorsement of the national U.S. Border Patrol Union."

A Customs and Border Protection spokesman describes the Election Day event as part of ongoing preparations and insists there is "no link to the election date."

That Hispanic neighborhood is in El Paso, which coincidentally happens to be the hometown of Rep. Beto O'Rourke, the popular Democratic candidate challenging U.S. Senator Ted Cruz.

Texas Monthly, reporting on the "exercise," notes that Senator Cruz "has welcomed news of the deployment and criticized his opponent for being soft on immigration. 'He is waiting on the Rio Grande with welcome baskets and foot massages,' Cruz said of O’Rourke recently. Cruz has also consistently pointed out that he has received the endorsement of the national U.S. Border Patrol Union."

A Customs and Border Protection spokesman describes the Election Day event as part of ongoing preparations and insists there is "no link to the election date."

U.S. Rep. David Price (D-NC) accuses the Border Patrol of engaging "in voter intimidation tactics. In the United States of America. Add this to the list of investigations for the next Congress," he warns.


          The Midterm Elections Show a Major Shift in America's Attitude Toward Charter School Privatization      Cache   Translate Page      
It's not hard to find news stories about waste, fraud, abuse and downright theft in the school privatization sector.

For years, the policy window for privatizing public schools has been wide open, and what was once considered an extreme or at least rare idea—such as outsourcing public schools to private contractors with few strings attached, or giving parents public tax money to subsidize their children’s private school tuitions—has become widespread as charter schools are now legal in all but a handful of states, and voucher programs have proliferated in many forms across the country.

Politicians of all stripes have been extremely reluctant, especially at the national level, to lean into a real discussion of the negative consequences of redirecting public education funds to private operators, with little to no regulation for how the money is being spent. Candidates have instead stuck to a “safe boilerplate” of education being “good” and essential to “the workforce” without much regard to who provides it.

But policy windows can be fleeting (remember “the deficit crisis”?), and multiple factors can rejigger the public’s views. Indeed, in campaigns that candidates are waging in the upcoming midterm elections, one can see the policy window on school privatization gradually shifting back to support for public schools and increasing skepticism about doling out cash to private education entrepreneurs.

‘Vulture Schools’

It is the wave of new progressive candidates who appear to be the ones who are shifting the policy window on school privatization.

Take the campaign of progressive superstar Randy Bryce, running for the congressional seat Paul Ryan held in Wisconsin. The Badger State recently expanded statewide a voucher program that was confined to Milwaukee and Racine, and charter schools have expanded significantly under the leadership of Republican Governor Scott Walker.

On his website, Bryce provides the usual bromides about “every child deserves a quality education” and “charter, private and traditional public schools can all thrive,” but he then adds the curious statement that “no student should see money taken from their classroom in order to serve another.” What does that mean?

Click through the “learn more” prompt and you’ll watch a video in which he makes a much stronger statement about the problems of privatizing public schools. “We can’t afford two school systems, a public one and a private one,” he elaborates, and he blasts “vulture schools that don’t have the same accountability and don’t have the same rules.”

The example of the school he brings up that closed after head count day, and the owners “moved to Florida,” is a real school run by a husband-and-wife team who abruptly closed their Milwaukee private school, after taking more than $2.3 million of state voucher money, and moved to Florida to start another one.

These sorts of scandals have become nearly daily occurrences in the privately operated school industry.

Schools for Scandals

The latest scandal breaks from Arizona, where the state auditor found that parents who used the state’s voucher-like education savings program spent more than $700,000 on cosmetics, music, movies, clothing, sports apparel, and other personal items. Some even tried to withdraw cash with the state-issued debit cards. The state has not recovered any of the money. But the state legislature recently passed a bill to expand the voucher program, which is now being challenged by a recall effort on the ballot on Tuesday.

Earlier this month, in Florida, the founder of a company that operated charter schools in seven counties was found guilty of using those schools to steer millions of dollars into his personal accounts. In one school district alone, “nearly 1,000 students were affected by the chaos and disruption that ensued.”

In California, a recent audit of a charter school found the married couple who ran the school made almost $850,000 in less than two years and secretly hired people and created positions without approval from the school’s board.

A video from Florida that went viral shows an African American boy being denied admission to a private school that his parents used public school voucher money to enroll him in. An enormous white cross adorns the school’s front lawn. This and other similar occurrences of discrimination by voucher-funded private schools in the Sunshine State has prompted the NAACP to call for an investigation into all private schools accepting vouchers. Around the same time, an op-ed appeared in a Florida newspaper recounting the scandal of a voucher-funded private school that stiffed teachers and skipped rent payments. Teachers filed formal complaints about a “lack of basic school supplies,” academic “irregularities,” student safety concerns, and inadequate staffing. But when the school was evicted, it simply moved to a new location and started the whole flimflam all over again.

In Georgia, a police investigation of a charter school found the governing board terminated the school’s leader, made no public announcement of the firing, and never told parents why. At another Georgia charter school, parents were told to “watch your bank accounts” after 6,000 school records were mysteriously transferred to a personal email account.

In Nevada, an analysis of the state’s charter school industry found they increase racial and economic segregation by enrolling far fewer low-income kids and far more white and Asian students than public schools do. A state audit of a charter school in New Mexico found tens of thousands of dollars have been stolen by the school’s employees.

Some Regulatory Control, Please

One doesn’t need to “cherry pick” to find news stories about waste, fraud, abuse, and downright theft in the school privatization sector. The above examples all happened within the last month.

Of course, financial scandals happen in public schools too. That’s why they’re heavily regulated. But the notion that “parent choice” can keep charter schools and private voucher schools clean and honest is disproven nearly every day.

In Washington, D.C., there now seems to be an inkling to address the mountain of fraud created by charter schools and voucher programs. Prompted by a massive scandal involving an online charter school in Ohio, Democratic senators want the top watchdog agency for the federal government to investigate the business practices of online charter schools.

Their investigations can’t stop there. A recent analysis of states with the most charter schools and the most charter closures finds the federal government dumps millions into these schools but provides little oversight and guidance for what to do when these schools close, leaving millions of dollars in taxpayer money at risk to scamming.

More Progressive Democrats Against Privatization

The endless revelations of corruptions in the charter school and school voucher racket are now what’s driving policy, more so than dry, empirical studies about whether privatizing public schools “works” academically.

You can see that especially in the campaigns of progressive standouts like Andrew Gillum, who is running against Ron DeSantis to be the next governor of Florida, a state that is rife with charter school and voucher scandals.

While members of the family of U.S. Secretary DeVos are bankrolling the DeSantis campaign to push their agenda for charters and vouchers, Gillum is determined to stanch the flow of public dollars to the state’s many voucher programs and make charters more accountable for how they spend public money.

A review compiled by the Intercept of progressive candidates running for Congress singles out Leslie Cockburn running in Virginia’s 5th Congressional District. Cockburn opposes school vouchers and shows her skepticism for charter schools by noticing their problems with teacher turnover and their lack of oversight. At a recent meet-and-greet, she said, “We want more funding for public schools, not less. We need to not take away funds from public schools and give them to charter schools or private schools.”

Another candidate, Kara Eastman, running in Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District, says on her website, “We must resist the administration’s political nominees who advertise the benefits of expanding charter schools.”

Among People’s Action’s endorsements in congressional races is Anthony Brindisi, running in New York’s 22nd Congressional District. Brindisi has pledged “to fight any and all attempts to privatize our public education system for corporate gain.”

A candidate endorsed by the Progressive Change Campaign Committee (PCCC), Dana Balter, running in New York’s 24th Congressional District, is a special education teacher turned Syracuse professor who got the endorsement of the powerful state teachers’ union largely because she “understands that giving money away to charter schools is not the right approach.”

Candidates for state houses have similar positions. In the race for West Virginia Senate 1st District seat that pits Democrat William Ihlenfeld against Republican Senate Majority Leader Ryan Ferns, Ihlenfeld says, “I am not a supporter of charter schools … I don’t think charter schools are a good idea for West Virginia. I don’t think we can afford to allow the private sector to come in and profit from precious education resources.”

Of course, some progressive candidates still stick to the old script of “investing in schools” with little regard to who runs them, and a few still cling to the school privatization cause. But the trend that made privatizing public schools an acceptable if not preferential policy has at least stalled, if not completely been thrown into reverse.

This article was produced by the Independent Media Institute.

 

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          Here Are 5 Deceptive Republican Candidates Who Have Been Campaigning on Protections for Pre-existing Conditions While Fighting Relentlessly to Take Them Away      Cache   Translate Page      
Make no mistake: Health care protections are on the ballot today.

 

In the 2010 midterms—when President Barack Obama was serving his first term and Republicans retook the House of Representatives with a 63-seat landslide—health care was not a winning issue for Democrats. The GOP had successfully vilified the Affordable Care Act of 2010, a.k.a. Obamacare, and Fox News viewers actually believed the buffoonish Sarah Palin when she claimed that “death panels” for older Americans were a feature of the ACA. But in 2018, millions of Americans realize that the only “death panels” are insurance companies and Republicans, and the ACA has increased in popularity: according to a Kaiser Family Foundation poll released earlier this year, 54% of Americans now approve of the ACA.

 

Health care has become a winning issue for Democrats, many of whom have been lambasting the GOP relentlessly for its efforts to overturn the ACA and deprive millions of Americans of health insurance—especially if they have pre-existing health conditions, which could be anything from diabetes to asthma to heart disease to back problems. In the 2018 midterms, many Republican candidates have been addressing health care as well, insisting that protecting coverage for pre-existing conditions is a high priority for them. But it’s important to look at what Republican candidates do rather than what they say, and as Obama has been stressing in his recent speeches, many of them are flat-out lying when it comes to health care.

 

Here are five deceitful Republican candidates in key races who been campaigning on protecting Americans’ health coverage while fighting relentlessly to take it away.

 

 

1. Arizona Senate Candidate Martha McSally

 

In the Arizona Senate race, Democratic candidate Kyrsten Sinema has been attacking her GOP opponent, fellow congresswoman Martha McSally, nonstop over health care—stressing that McSally would gladly throw Americans with pre-existing conditions to the wolves. And McSally has responded by insisting that protecting them is a high priority for her. But McSally showed her true colors when, in late October, she snapped at a reporter and asked, “Can we please talk about the things that matter to most voters, instead of repeating the Arizona Democrat Party press releases? Do you have anything to talk about, like the caravan or job opportunities?” And McSally also showed her true colors when, in 2017, she voted for the GOP’s American Health Care Act, which would have repealed the ACA and allowed insurance companies to charge much higher premiums for Americans with pre-existing conditions.

 

2. Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker

 

In Wisconsin, Republican Gov. Scott Walker has been running ads insisting that he will protect Americans with pre-existing conditions if reelected. But when Obama was in Milwaukee recently stumping for Walker’s Democratic opponent Tony Evers, he pointed out that Walker has signed on to a GOP lawsuit that seeks to end those protections (Texas v. Azar). Evers has been calling for Walker to drop Wisconsin from the lawsuit—which, of course, he hasn’t done. When Walker insists that he is looking out for cancer patients or diabetics who are worried about keeping their health coverage, he is—as Obama asserted in Milwaukee—flat out lying.

 

3. Texas Sen. Ted Cruz

 

In 2018, incumbent Sen. Ted Cruz has received a surprisingly strong challenge from Democrat Beto O’Rourke in the Texas Senate race—and health care is one of the issues that O’Rourke has been campaigning on aggressively. Cruz has maintained that protecting Americans with pre-existing conditions is a priority for him, but his record says otherwise. Cruz once helped shut down the federal government over his demand that the ACA be reversed, and he happily voted for the American Health Care Act in 2017.

 

4. California Rep. Dana Rohrabacher

 

In 2017, incumbent Republican Rep. Dana Rohrabacher voted for the American Health Care Act. But in 2018, the California congressman has had the audacity to campaign on protecting Americans with pre-existing conditions—and his Democratic challenger, Harley Rouda, has been calling him out. While Rouda has described the ACA as a “great program,” Rohrabacher has called it “disastrous.” In other words, Rohrabacher is much more interested in playing partisan politics than protecting Americans who have had the misfortune of suffering from cancer, heart disease and other illnesses that insurance companies consider pre-existing conditions.

 

5. Florida Gov. and U.S. Senate Candidate Rick Scott

 

Florida’s two-term Republican governor, Rick Scott, is term-limited in the Sunshine State and has been trying to capture Democrat Bill Nelson’s seat in the U.S. Senate. It’s been a tight race, with some polls showing Scott slightly ahead and others showing Nelson slightly ahead—and Scott has been running ads asserting that if he is elected to the U.S. Senate, he will help protect Americans with pre-existing conditions. But Scott’s record shows that he is lying.

 

Scott has repeatedly called for a full repeal of the ACA, and he is among the 20 GOP governors who has signed on to the Texas v. Azar lawsuit. In contrast, Nelson voted for the ACA in 2010. And Florida’s Democratic gubernatorial candidate, Andrew Gillum, is a strong opponent of Texas v. Azar.

 

 


          Under Assault by Trump's GOP and Supreme Court, Unions Lead Massive Get Out the Vote Effort for Midterms: 'We Vote, We Win'      Cache   Translate Page      
"We don't know any other way. For us, it's a very natural way to survive: organize, organize."

In the face of a coordinated, corporate-funded assault on their very existence by President Donald Trump, Republicans at the federal and state level, and the right-wing Supreme Court, labor unions nationwide have mobilized massive numbers of struggling workersto turn out for Tuesday's critical midterms with the goal of defeating anti-union candidates and electing politicians willing to fight for progressive policies that benefit the working class like Medicare for All, a higher minimum wage, and the fundamental right to organize.

"The Culinary Workers Union registered 10,300 voters for the midterms. This union really gets it done. Still impressed by what I saw reporting on them in Vegas."
—David Jamieson, Huffington Post

"We don't know any other way," said Geoconda Arguello-Kline, the Secretary-Treasurer for the Culinary Workers Union in Las Vegas, which has registered over 10,300 new voters ahead of Tuesday's midterm elections to defeat Sen. Dean Heller (R-Nev.). "For us, it's a very natural way to survive here in Las Vegas: organize, organize."

With the rallying cry, "We vote, we win!" the union has provided resources for workers to learn about the candidates on the ballot, spread the word about the issues at stake in the midterms, and find the closest polling site.

The Culinary Union's get-out-the-vote efforts have been replicated throughout the nation, including in so-called "right-to-work states," where Republican legislatures have barred unions from collecting dues from all workers they represent in collective bargaining efforts to raise wages and improve working conditions.

"Things aren't changing for the better like they thought would happen. Real wages are not keeping pace with inflation. We haven't replaced the well-paying manufacturing jobs that we lost."
—Tim Burga, Ohio AFL-CIO

In Southern states like North Carolina, Tennessee, Florida, and Georgia, the Communications Workers of America (CWA)—which represents 700,000 workers nationwide—say it organized canvassing, mail, and phone bank operations that resulted in over four million door knocks."

In the Midwest, where workers have suffered from decades of deindustrialization, corporate outsourcing, and neglect from politicians who so often claim to care about their plight, the AFL-CIO says it has convinced thousands of union workers who backed Donald Trump in 2016 to turn out for progressive Democrats on Tuesday.

"About half of union households that voted for Trump said they are planning to vote for Democrats in two key statewide races," Vox reported on Monday, citing figures from the Ohio AFL-CIO. "That includes 51.4 percent of Trump voters who plan to cast a ballot for progressive Democrat Richard Cordray for governor and 49.9 percent of Trump voters who favor incumbent Sen. Sherrod Brown—the only Democrat currently holding statewide office."

Tim Burga, president of the Ohio AFL-CIO, said many union workers who initially backed Trump have realized after two years of plutocratic policies and stagnant wages that the president and his billionaire-filled cabinet are not on their side, and never were.

"Things aren't changing for the better like they thought would happen," Burga said. "Real wages are not keeping pace with inflation. We haven't replaced the well-paying manufacturing jobs that we lost."

With a historic number of House Democratic candidates backing Medicare for All, National Nurses United (NNU)—the largest organization of registered nurses in the U.S.—has also been tirelessly canvassing and phone banking in Maryland, Florida, and the many other states where candidates are standing up to America's disastrous for-profit healthcare industry.

See NNU's full list of all 225 House Democratic candidates running on Medicare for All here.


          'Women Are Just Deserting the Republican Party': CNN Analyst Argues Trump Just Realized He's Gone Too Far      Cache   Translate Page      
Trump is making his final election pitch with women surrogates. Gloria Borger thinks that's not an accident.

On Monday, in one of his final campaign stops before the polls open on Election Day, President Donald Trump brought two White House officials to help him stump for Senate candidate Mike Braun at a rally in Fort Wayne, Indiana: White House Press Secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders, and Counselor to the President Kellyanne Conway.

The presence of two of the Trump administration's most prominent, forward-facing women, and Trump's simultaneous comments to local reporters about his "tone" were not lost on CNN political analyst Gloria Borger, who discussed the rally with Anderson Cooper and hit on a key point: that he may understand the most recent House polls show the Republican Party getting crushed among women, in the largest political gender gap in modern times.

"What do you make of President Trump bringing out Kellyanne Conway, bringing out Sarah Huckabee Sanders?" said Cooper. "Also saying, talking about tone, which is something he talked about a lot during the campaign, saying that when he became president he would change his tone ... maybe this was like a one-off in some local affiliate interview, but it's interesting that he's talking about, oh, it's kind of my regret."

"Gee, do you think it could be about women?" said Borger. "I mean, I'm just sort of thinking here that, he brings out all these women onstage, talks about his daughter, talks about his tone. Could it be about that women favor Democrats by about two to one now, and he understands that this is going to be a problem for him, particularly in the House?"

"And you know that he's usually not really reflective about these kind of things, so I thought it was actually quite surprising that he said that," she continued. "But the fact that he is saying it leads me to believe that he really understands that women are just, you know, deserting the Republican Party in droves."

"It doesn't mean he's going to change his tone," said Cooper.

"No," agreed Borger. "No, but I think he wanted to sound like he was."

Watch below:

 

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          Where the Trump Presidency Could Go in This Fever-Dream world of Ours in the Wake of Today’s Election      Cache   Translate Page      
A look at the age of Trump from November 2016 to November 2018 -- and beyond

Who could forget that moment?  The blue [red] wave -- long promised but also doubted -- had, however modestly [however massively], hit Washington and [the Democrats had just retaken Congress] [the Republicans had held Congress] [the Democrats had taken the House].  The media, Fox News and the usual right-wing websites aside, hailed the moment. [Fox News and the usual right-wing websites cheered the president on.] Donald Trump’s grip on America had finally been broken [reinforced].  Celebrations were widespread.  Congressional investigations, possibly even impeachment, were only months and a new Congress away [were now a faint memory], and it was then, of course, that the unexpected struck.  It was then that President Trump, citing national security concerns and a crisis on the U.S.-Mexico border, began the process whose end point we, of course, already know...

Okay, consider that the dystopian me speaking.  We don’t, of course, really know how our story yet ends, not faintly.  While I was writing this piece, I didn’t even know how Tuesday’s vote would turn out, though by the time you read it, you may.  Given the experience of election 2016, it would take a brave [foolish] soul to make a prediction this time around.

I certainly learned a lesson that November.  During the previous months of campaigning that election season, I never wrote a piece at TomDispatch that didn’t leave open the possibility of Donald Trump winning the presidency.  In the couple of weeks before that fateful November day, however, I got hooked on the polling results and on Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight website and became convinced that Hillary Clinton was a shoo-in.

Of course, I was in good company.  As Michael Wolff would later report in his bestselling book Fire and Fury: Inside the Trump White House, on election eve, few in the Trump campaign, including the candidate himself, expected to win.  Most of them, again including The Donald, were already trying to parlay what they assumed was an assured loss into their next jobs or activities, including in the candidate’s case a possible “Trump network.”

So when, sometime after midnight, reality finally began to sink in -- fittingly enough, I had a 103-degree fever and was considering heading for an emergency room -- I was as disbelieving as the president-to-be. (He had, Wolff tells us, “assured” his wife, Melania, who was reportedly in tears of anything but joy that night, that he would never win and that she would never find herself in the White House.)  By then, it was for me a fever dream to imagine that bizarre, belligerent, orange-haired salesman-cum-con-artist entering the Oval Office.

Honestly, I shouldn’t have been the least bit surprised.  During election campaign 2016, I grasped much of this.  I wrote of the future president, for instance, as a con artist (particularly in reference to those taxes of his that we couldn’t see) and how Hillary Clinton’s crew hadn’t grasped the obvious: that many Americans would admire him for gaming the system, even if they couldn’t do the same themselves.  As I wrote at the time: “It’s something Donald Trump knows in his bones, even if all those pundits and commentators and pollsters (and for that matter Hillary Clinton’s advisers) don’t: Americans love a con man.”

I also saw that he was daring in ways unimaginable to an American politician -- because, of course, he wasn’t one -- particularly in promoting his slogan, MAGA, whose key word few of the political cognoscenti paid the slightest attention to: “again.”  At that moment, for presidents or politicians who wanted to become just that, it was obligatory to claim that the United States wasn’t just great but the greatest, most exceptional, most indispensable land ever.  (As Hillary Clinton typically put it that election season: “America is indispensable -- and exceptional -- because of our values.”)  Trump’s “again” in Make America Great Again suggested something quite different and so rang a bell in the heartland.  In the process, he became America’s first declinist presidential candidate. Early that October, I wrote this:

“[A] significant part of the white working class, at least, feels as if, whether economically or psychologically, its back is up against the wall and there’s nowhere left to go.  Under such circumstances, many of these voters have evidently decided that they’re ready to send a literal loose cannon into the White House; they’re willing, that is, to take a chance on the roof collapsing, even if it collapses on them. That is the new and unrecognizable role that Donald Trump has filled.  It’s hard to conjure up another example of it in our recent past. The Donald represents, as a friend of mine likes to say, the suicide bomber in us all. And voting for him, among other things, will be an act of nihilism, a mood that fits well with imperial decline.

“Think of him as a message in a bottle washing up on our shore...”

And yet, on that day of decision, I evidently reverted to the boy I had once been, the boy who grew up with a vision of an idealized America that would always do the right thing.  So I was shocked to the core by Donald Trump’s victory.

In that fever dream of a night, when he washed up on all our shores, I had certainly been trumped, but then, so had he, so had we all.  Under the circumstances, I’m sure you’ll understand why I’ve remained hesitant about putting my faith in polls in this election season or giving special significance to reports that the White House staff was glum as hell about the coming midterms and expected the worst. (After all, mightn’t this be that Michael Wolff election night all over again?)

The American Shooting Gallery

Two years after that fateful November night in 2016, we’re still living in a fever dream of some sort, enveloped 24/7 by the universe of President Trump and the “fake news media,” that provides him and the rest of us with a strange, all-encompassing echo chamber.  America, you might say, now has a 103-degree temperature and there isn’t an emergency room in sight.

And it’s unlikely to get better, whatever happens in the midterm elections.  Those who expect that a Democratic victory or a devastating Mueller reportin the weeks to come will be the beginning of the end for the Trump presidency (or, for that matter, that the victory of an ever more extreme Republican Party will simply prove more of the grisly same) might want to reconsider. Perhaps it's worth weighing other grimmer possibilities in the as-yet-unending rise of what’s still called “right-wing populism,” not just locally but globally.  Here in the United States, with hate and venom surging (and, yes indeed, being encouraged by President Trump for his own purposes), a genuinely ugly strain central to this country’s history is being resurrected.  In the process, a burgeoning number of deeply disturbed (and deeply animated) figures from among the most over-armed civilian population on the planet -- Yemen, of all the grim places, comes in a distant second -- are turning this country into a shooting gallery.

Win or lose today, don’t think that the Donald Trump we have is the one we’re fated to have until the day he goes down in flames. He is distinctly a work in progress, or perhaps it would be more accurate to say: in regress.  In that context, let me mention an evolution of a grim sort in my own thinking over the last two years.

For some time now there have been both thinkers and activists who have been convinced that Donald Trump is an American Mussolini, an outright fascist.  (According to his ex-wife, in the early 1990s he kept a book of Hitler’s speeches by his bedside and, during the 2016 election campaign, he retweeted a Mussolini quote, defending himself for doing so.)  I’ve always disagreed, however.  To my mind, he’s clearly been a man who wants to be idolized and adulated (as happens at any of his rallies) -- wants, that is, to have fans, not (in the fascistic sense) followers; applause and the eternal spotlight, not a social movement.  That, it seems to me, has been an accurate description of the president who entered the Oval Office and occupied it in such a suggestive way these last nearly two years.  But I’ve recently started to wonder.  After all, once upon a time, Donald Trump wasn’t a Republican either.  Let’s face it, he’s a quick learner when it comes to whatever may benefit The Donald.

And keep in mind that he entered an unsettled world already well preparedfor such a presidency by his predecessors in Washington.  If the fascist or, if you prefer, autocratic tendency that lurks in him and in the situation that surrounds him does come out more fully, he will obviously be aided by the ever more imperial presidency that was created in the decades before he left Trump Tower for the White House.

When he entered the Oval Office, he found there a presidency in which -- particularly on the subject of war (the president was, for instance, already America’s global assassin-in-chief) -- his powers increasingly stood outside both Congress and the Constitution. The weapons he’s now bringing to bear, including executive orders and the U.S. military, were already well prepared for him.  The refugees he makes such effective use of, whether from Syria or Central America, came to him, at least in part, thanks to this country’s war and other policies that had already roiled significant parts of the planet.  Before entering the Oval Office, the only aspect of such preparations he had any role in was the increasingly staggering inequalitythat gave a “populist” billionaire president, always ready to put more money in the hands of his .01% pals, a pained but receptive audience in the heartland.

In other words, this world and the fever dream that goes with it were Donald Trump’s oyster before he ever lifted a finger in the White House.  As a result, no election results, no matter whether the Democrats or the Republicans “win,” are likely to bring that temperature down.  In fact, if the Democrats do take the House (or even Congress), Donald Trump is unlikely to become more pliable.  If the Mueller report results in impeachment proceedings in the House, he won’t be humbled.  In the face of any such development, my guess is that his impulse will be to become more autocratic, more imperial, and even possibly more fascistic.  And the same may hold if the Republicans hang onto both houses of Congress.

Waiting for the Red Hats

Even before the vote was in, the evidence was there.  In the lead-up to the election, 5,000-plus U.S. troops (or maybe 15,000?) are headed for the U.S.-Mexico border to deal with what the president has called both an “invasion” and a “national emergency.” ("Fake news!") There, those troops will essentially twiddle their thumbs (since they are legally allowed to do little) simply because the president wanted it so.  There may, in fact, be two soldiers for every desperate refugee, including children and babies, headed toward the U.S. border in that now notorious “caravan” from Honduras.  In other words, on a whim, Donald Trump is already capable of building a wall (of troops) at that border.  The question worth asking is this: In an embattled near-future moment in which a truly Trumpian military figure (think of “him” as the next John Bolton) is in place as secretary of defense and another “national emergency” is declared, where might those troops go next because the president wanted it so?

In the days before the election, the president also threatened to sign an executive order to nullify birthright citizenship -- in the process, threatening to functionally nullify the Constitution (see the 14th Amendment), while bringing back to life the ugliest strains of American racial history just because he wanted it so.  At the moment, he might not even sign that order or, if he does, it might go down big time in Congress and the courts.  But who knows what the future of an executive-order presidency holds, especially with another Supreme Court justice pick or two in place, no matter who controls Congress?

As for those rallies of his: tell me you can’t conceive of a future America in which his adulatory crowds have stopped simply cheering and shouting for him (“Build the wall!” “Lock her up!”) and are now marching for him as well.  Is it really so hard to imagine a future in which there would be a place for a Trump Corps or for “the Red Hats”; for, that is, the kind of social movement that would no longer be confined to the arenas and stadiums of red-state America or even the polling booths of Election Day, one that might indeed be in the streets of this country at the beck and call of a fierce and autocratic billionaire?

In an increasingly unsettled world, an Autocrats, Incorporated moment globally, with an ever more powerful chief executive, and a right wing still on the march, everything that Donald Trump inherited could certainly be intensified further.  And he might be just the man to do it.  In a world in which Congress is no longer fully in his camp, in which legal charges against him, his family, and his cronies only grow, to adapt a title from a Russian novel of the early twentieth century, unquiet could flow The Don -- and in that lies peril for us all.   

Now, excuse me, I’m heading out to vote. 

Tom Engelhardt is a co-founder of theAmerican Empire Projectand the author of a history of the Cold War,The End of Victory Culture. He is a fellow of theNation Instituteand runsTomDispatch.com. His sixth and latest book isA Nation Unmade by War (Dispatch Books).

FollowTomDispatchon Twitter and join us on Facebook. Check out the newest Dispatch Books, Beverly Gologorsky's novelEvery Body Has a Storyand Tom Engelhardt'sA Nation Unmade by War, as well as Alfred McCoy'sIn the Shadows of the American Century: The Rise and Decline of U.S. Global Power, John Dower'sThe Violent American Century: War and Terror Since World War II, and John Feffer's dystopian novelSplinterlands.

 


          White House Officials Reportedly Fear a Major Move from Robert Mueller Coming Soon: 'I’m Very Worried About Don Jr.'      Cache   Translate Page      
Once the midterms are done, Mueller may start right back up again.

With the entire political world laser-focused on the 2018 midterm elections, Special Counsel Robert Mueller's Russia investigation has slipped beneath the radar in recent weeks.

But according to a new report in Vanity Fair, the specter of the investigation is still hanging over the White House.

Gabriel Sherman reported that President Donald Trump's team is fearful that a report from Mueller could come as early as Wednesday — the day after the midterms. Though Mueller's investigation has continued apace behind the scenes, the special prosecutor has respected Justice Department protocol by avoiding any major investigative steps that might affect the election.

Once the election is over, there will be nothing holding him back.

"Sources say besides the president, the ones with the most exposure are Roger Stone and Donald Trump Jr.," Sherman wrote. "'I’m very worried about Don Jr.,' said another former West Wing official who testified before the Senate Intelligence Committee. The possible exposure would be that Mueller would demonstrate that Don Jr. perjured himself to investigators when he said he didn’t tell his father beforehand about the June 2016 Trump Tower meeting to gather 'dirt' on Hillary Clinton."

Sherman also notes that Rudy Giuliani has been conspicuously absent from cable news in recent weeks. He reports that one source said Trump told Giuliani to stay away during the run-up to the election — presumably to avoid focusing the nation's attention on the Russia issue.

If Mueller does celebrate the end of the midterm campaigns with a new investigative salvo, there's no telling what could happen. Trump might even try to preempt any such move by firing Attorney General Jeff Sessions and perhaps even Mueller himself. What happens thereafter could be determined by Congress — and its fate is in the voters' hands on Tuesday.

 

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Investigative journalist Sharyl Attkisson writes in the Hill that the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) has been using its surveillance on American citizens “for the better part of two decades, if not longer.” “Maybe you once thought the CIA wasn’t supposed to spy on Americans here in the United States,” said the Emmy-winning investigative journalist. “That concept is so yesteryear.” She points to newly declassified 2014 documents which “reveal the CIA not only intercepted emails of U.S. citizens, but they were emails of the most sensitive kind,” namely about whistleblowers: The disclosures, kept secret until now, are two letters of “congressional...
          US stocks gain ahead of election returns      Cache   Translate Page      
NEW YORK: Wall Street stocks rose after a quiet session on Tuesday (Nov 6) as investors awaited returns in US congressional elections that are seen as a referendum on President Donald Trump. The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 173.31 points (0.68 per cent) to end the session at 25,635.01 ...
          Americans start voting in midterm verdict on Trump rule      Cache   Translate Page      
Americans started voting Tuesday in critical midterm elections that mark the first major voter test of Donald Trump's controversial presidency, with control of Congress at stake.
          Trump agenda at stake as voters decide control of US Congress      Cache   Translate Page      
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          Brazil's Bolsonaro seeks movement on pension reform this year      Cache   Translate Page      
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          US voters give verdict on Trump as control of Congress at stake      Cache   Translate Page      
(Corrects paragraph 8 to remove Pennsylvania)
          Wall Street holds small gain as US voters head to the polls      Cache   Translate Page      
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          A political year dominated by women faces its electoral test      Cache   Translate Page      

WASHINGTON (AP) — The midterm elections brought a surge of female candidates to ballots across the country. Now, in a year that has been defined by the political awakening and activism of women, Election Day is testing whether those women will reach record-breaking numbers in Congress and in governor’s mansions across the country. In the […]
          Democrats Hope to Flip House Seat in Solidly Red Arkansas      Cache   Translate Page      
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          The Tell: The richest man in Florida sees the stock market falling by 15% if Democrats take control of Congress      Cache   Translate Page      
The stock market could be in for a tumble on Wednesday, warns Thomas Peterffy, a pioneer of computerized stock trading.

          Senior Stop Loss Underwriter - Western Growers Assurance Trust - Santa Maria, CA      Cache   Translate Page      
We passionately advocate for them in the halls of Congress and on the steps of the state capitol. We diligently provide health insurance to their farm workers,...
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          Delegação brasileira participa do Congresso Mundial de Contabilidade      Cache   Translate Page      
Por Rafaella Feliciano Comunicação CFC O presidente do Conselho Federal de Contabilidade, Zulmir Breda, acompanhado de uma delegação do CFC, participam de 5 a 8 de novembro, do Congresso Mundial de Contabilidade (WCOA, sigla em inglês), em Sidney, na Austrália. Os impactos da tecnologia no mundo contábil, as transformações sobre ética contábil, e o papel do profissional da Contabilidade no Continuar Lendo
          The 2018 Midterms Matter. Don?t Let Others Determine the Outcome for You      Cache   Translate Page      
On 11.05.18 02:15 PM posted by Kay Coles James Listening to the pundits and prognosticators, you’d think control of Congress has already been decided. But the fight for our nation’s future is far from finished. It’s happening this week when millions will take part in their civic responsibility on Election Day. Regardless of who wins and who loses, there are certain issues the next Congress will be forced to address. The cost of health care is not sustainable for many Americans. Most polls show this is the top issue for voters—and for good reason. Eight years after President Barack Obama signed it into law, the Affordable Care Act has proved to be anything but affordable. It’s time for Congress to enact reforms that help reduce health care costs while increasing coverage choices for everyone. The debate over immigration has once again been pushed into the public square, as a caravan of several thousand people makes its way through Mexico toward the United States. The...
          Rep. Warren Davidson On The Path He Sees For The Freedom Caucus After The Midterms      Cache   Translate Page      
NPR's Ailsa Chang speaks with Rep. Warren Davidson, R-Ohio, a member of the conservative and libertarian-leaning Freedom Caucus, about what he anticipates for the next Congress.
          Taking Back The House Could Be 'Life And Death' For Democrats       Cache   Translate Page      
Veteran Democratic strategist Paul Begala doesn't think it's hyperbolic to say that "everything" is at stake for Democrats heading into Tuesday's elections. "They always say it's the most important election of your life," he says, explaining that in the past two years, Democrats learned the consequences of being "completely shut out" as the GOP controlled both Congress and the White House. If Democrats fail to take back the House and make significant gains at the state level, they'll be shut out again, without a say in legislation and judicial appointments. Ron Klain, a former top aide in the Clinton and Obama White Houses, calls the upcoming election an issue of "life and death" for Democrats. He says if Democrats lose on Tuesday, their worst fears come true and President Trump has a free hand. "[It will mean] he can fire Jeff Sessions and essentially end the Mueller investigation and replace him with the attorney general of his choosing. It means that Trump could continue to roll
          Election Eve Wrangle      Cache   Translate Page      
Whatever happened to 'vote your hopes and dreams'?


There will be a blue wave, unless there isn't.  The red firewall will break the azure tsunami, unless Trump's hate spew has punched suburban holes in it.  The US House flips (but maybe not), and the Senate stays in Mitch McConnell's terrapin-like appendages, except maybe for a systematic polling error, a la 2016.

No wonder Team Donkey is experiencing some cognitive dissonance.



Who, or what, gets the blame if the Ds can't get it done tomorrow?  Voter suppression, from Georgia to North Dakota to Texas college campuses like Prairie View A&M and Texas State?  Voting machines flipping straight-ticket votes (to Ted Cruz?)  There will still be plenty of finger-pointing at Russian hackers and Green candidates, I feel certain.  Even if some dropped out of their race and endorsed the Democrat.

[The old Catch-22: "Greens should run in state and local races and build up to presidential races" instead of playing spoiler (sic) every four years.  "Greens should drop out and endorse Democrats because this is the most important election of our lifetime".  You know, since the one two years ago.  That was their fault Democrats lost.  Blah blah.]

There may be some less nefarious, more legitimate reasons the election will be won -- or lost; for example, the strength of women voters.  Notable for the demographers, moderate Republican women who live in suburban America turning out to cast their ballots against Trump and the GOP.  No, wait; it's the youth vote.  That's it *snaps fingers*, the children are our future.  Either is better than blaming the Latinxs, after all.  We're all tired of hearing that.

Hold on a minute: this is a midterm election, and Texas Democrats who haven't elected one of theirs since, you know, Jim Hightower was Ag Commissioner always lose because they can't raise any money for consultants, advisers, pollsters, etc.  Except they did, a shitpot full of dough, in 2018 -- at least those running for Congress; not so much the statewides save Congressman SuperBeto, whose massive Bernie-like ATM machine reversed both the prevailing Texas narrative and the cash flow, doubling the take of Senator Serpent Covered in Vaseline.


The Cult of RFO'R aims for the upset tomorrow evening.  Rumor has it happening.


So as President Shitler is fond of saying: we'll see what happens.  I'm ready it to be over; how about you?  Here's your roundup of lefty blog posts and news from the final week before E-Day.

==================

One unplumbed premise that the midterms might reveal is whether the strength of the Lone Star grassroots has shifted from one major party to the other, either because of 'outsiders' becoming 'insiders' or because there needs to be a "bad guy" to focus on and motivate the base.

Jim Henson, director of the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas at Austin, says Democrats nationally — and in some parts of Texas — have unleashed the kind of intensity we used to see from the tea party.

“So the question of whether there is still that ability to motivate Republican voters on the other side is the big question going into this cycle,” Henson said.

Henson believes one reason the tea party’s galvanizing force has slipped in local and congressional races is that conservatives no longer have Barack Obama to target. And Donald Trump has taken over the role of chief agitator of conservatives.

Tea party-backed candidates have also been elected. In Texas, the movement has been changed by that success.

“I think once you have people who are part of institutions, it inevitably looks different, because you aren’t banging from the outside,” Henson said. “Like it or not, you are part of the status quo, and you are part of the establishment.”

Perhaps the only competitive statewide contest down the ballot shows signs of GOP panic, as indicted felon/AG Ken Paxton digs in to the deepest pockets of the friends he has left.

In addition to the TV ads, Paxton’s recent campaign finance filings have indicated that Republicans in high places are tuned in to the race in its home stretch. In recent days, the attorney general has received a $282,000 in-kind donation from Gov. Greg Abbott’s campaign; more than $350,000 in in-kind contributions from Texas for Lawsuit Reform, the political arm of the tort reform group; and $10,000 each from two of the biggest donors in the Republican Party: Sheldon and Miriam Adelson.

Millard Fillmore's Bathtub linked to a picture of Sweaty Beto, which may have been the Halloween costume of the year.


Stirred by Trump's call, armed militia groups head south to welcome the tired, poor, huddled masses yearning to breathe free intercept the invading (sic) migrant caravan.

Asked whether his group planned to deploy with weapons, McGauley laughed. “This is Texas, man,” he said.

Off the Kuff examined a pair of statewide judicial races.

In Harris County, the Texas Observer foresees a day of reckoning for Republican judges who have held fast to the money bail system, rewarding their friends and penalizing the poor.

Isiah Carey of Fox26 was first with the news that Houston mayor Sylvester Turner's first announced challenger next year will be former Democrat*, now (?) not-Trump Republican, non-DWI-convict and megawealthy trial lawyer -- Rick Perry's defense attorney, for those catching up -- Tony Buzbee.  *Lookie here, from Texpatriate:

(D)espite being the one-time Chairman of the Galveston County Democratic Party, a two-time Democrat nominee for the State Legislature and the once rumored Democratic candidate for Lieutenant Governor. However, of late, Buzbee has been appointed to the Board of Regents of his alma matter, Texas A&M University, and become a key financial supporter of both Perry and (Gov. Greg) Abbott.

Durrel Douglas at Houston Justice blogged the 2019 Houston City Council District B early line.  And in an excellent explainer, described how the local activist/consultant game -- getting paid to do politics, that is -- is a lot like having the app on your phone for the jukebox down at the local bar.

Socratic Gadfly, returning from a recent vacation, took a look at a major nature and environment issue that fired up up opposition to Trump — the Bears Ears downsizing — and offered his thoughts on the value of the original national monument site versus critics of several angles, and things that could make it even better.

Therese Odell at Foolish Watcher also leavens the politics with some Game of Thrones news.

And Harry Hamid's midnight tale from last week moves ahead to 1 a.m. (with no accounting for Daylight Savings Time and 'falling back' noted).

          Polls Start Closing in 330 Minutes      Cache   Translate Page      
As noted polls start shutting down in less than a half hour, so early results should be in by 11 PM or so. Of course, the Democrats think they are entitle too 475 Congressional seats every two years, and get … Continue reading
          Get out and vote! KMXT live coverage begins at 4 p.m.      Cache   Translate Page      

  Polls are open until 8 p.m. KMXT live national election coverage from NPR begins at 4:00.   Alaskans go to the polls today to decide who will sit in Alaska’s lone seat in the Congress, and to elect a new governor and lieutenant governor. Voters will also decide who will represent Kodiak in the ...

The post Get out and vote! KMXT live coverage begins at 4 p.m. appeared first on KMXT 100.1 FM.


          Polls Begin Closing As Americans Vote In U.S. Midterm Elections      Cache   Translate Page      
WASHINGTON – Polls have started closing in parts of the United States, as Americans cast ballots in one of the most bitterly fought midterm elections in years, a vote that will decide the controls of Congress for the next two years. The November 6 vote for all 435 seats in the House of Representatives and 35 of the Senate’s 100 seats will also heavily influence the next two years of Donald Trump’s presidency. There were scattered reports of problems in some places around the country,...
          Election pits Trump's brute strength vs Dems' resistance      Cache   Translate Page      
The energy and outrage of the Democratic resistance faced off against the brute strength of President Donald Trump's GOP on Tuesday as voters across America decided whether Democrats should control at least one chamber of Congress for the first time in the Trump era.
          WELL, here it goes...POLLS are starting to CLOSE....INTERACTIVE MAP...      Cache   Translate Page      
https://www.cnbc.com/2018/11/06/midterm-news-early-election-results-to-watch-in-the-battle-for-congress.html
          Midterm elections: First polls close as voters cite Trump and health care as key issues - Washington Post      Cache   Translate Page      

Washington Post

Midterm elections: First polls close as voters cite Trump and health care as key issues
Washington Post
Polls have now closed in parts of Indiana and Kentucky — the beginning of the end for Tuesday's momentous midterm elections. The results of Tuesday's election, only now beginning to trickle in, could bring significant changes to Washington after two ...
What Time the Polls Close, State by StateNew York Times
Election Day: Blue wave? Red wave? Turnout? Finally, voters have their sayUSA TODAY
2018 Election: Live Coverage And ResultsFiveThirtyEight (blog)
CNN -Wall Street Journal -CBS News
all 6,880 news articles »

          Fountain Valley woman wants Congress to check Trump, but not impeach him      Cache   Translate Page      

          O futuro ministro da Economia, Paulo Guedes, falou em prensa no Congresso para aprovar a atual reforma da Previdência até o fim do ano      Cache   Translate Page      
O economista Paulo Guedes, futuro ministro da Economia de Jair Bolsonaro, defendeu uma prensa no Congresso para que o atual texto da reforma da Previdência seja aprovado até o fim do ano. Caso o tempo de esgote e o projeto não seja votado, a nova equipe econômica apresentará uma nova proposta de reforma, o que...
          Bolsonaro disse que reforma da Previdência pode estabelecer uma idade mínima de 62 anos para se aposentar      Cache   Translate Page      
O presidente eleito, Jair Bolsonaro, voltou a defender que a reforma da Previdência seja votada ainda este ano. Bolsonaro defendeu que seja aprovada uma idade mínima para aposentadoria. Se não os 65 anos propostos pelo governo Temer, pelo menos 62 anos de idade que, para o presidente eleito, é um número que “passa” no Congresso. “Conversei...
          Election Day A Test Of Democrat Resistance To Trumpism      Cache   Translate Page      
Election Day A Test Of Democrat Resistance To Trumpism

There were first-time voters and straight-ticket voters and some who, this go-around, switched sides. They went to the polls considering the caravan of migrants trudging across Mexico, their health insurance and their paychecks, an impotent Congress and the nation’s poisonous political culture that has divided even families and friends along party lines.

Read more on Yeshiva World News >


          Dr. Evil Runs for Congress      Cache   Translate Page      
Jimmy chats with Dr. Evil (Mike Myers), who is running for Congress in the midterm elections, about his five-point evil plan. Subscribe NOW to The Tonight Show …
          FAA chief urges funding reform      Cache   Translate Page      
Acting FAA administrator Dan Elwell said he wants to see funding reform from US Congress, adding that the current practice of appropriating through continuing resolutions complicates planning and budgetary efforts at the agency.

read more


          Facebook Founder Threatens ‘Hate Speech’ Crackdown Ahead Of Midterm Elections      Cache   Translate Page      
WEB Notes: Translation – Facebook is cracking down on speech they do not approve of. One week ahead of America’s midterm congressional elections, Facebook founder and CEO Mark Zuckerberg says the world’s largest social network is ramping up...

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          Incumbent Calvert likely to be re-elected to U.S. House      Cache   Translate Page      
U.S. Rep. Ken Calvert, R-Corona, is heavily favored to be re-elected Tuesday, Nov. 6. The Inland Empire’s longest-serving congressman, Calvert, 65, was first elected in 1992. He has won his last five general elections with an average of 59 percent of the vote. Despite her long odds, Democrat Julia Peacock, a high school teacher, threw her […]
           They stand among equals: Spatial distribution patterns of new biotypes of weedy rice in Malaysia       Cache   Translate Page      
Mispan, S.M. and Bakar, B. (2008) They stand among equals: Spatial distribution patterns of new biotypes of weedy rice in Malaysia. In: International Weed Science Congress, 23-27 June 2008, Vancouver, Canada. (Submitted)
           Directionality and dispersion analysis on branching patterns in straits rhododenron (Melastoma Malabathricum L)       Cache   Translate Page      
Faravani, M. and Bakar, B. (2008) Directionality and dispersion analysis on branching patterns in straits rhododenron (Melastoma Malabathricum L). In: International Weed Science Congress, 23-27 June 2008, Vancouver, Canada. (Submitted)
           Allelopathic potential of brassica juncea (L) czern var ensabi as a natural herbicide       Cache   Translate Page      
Toossi, A.F. and Bakar, B. (2008) Allelopathic potential of brassica juncea (L) czern var ensabi as a natural herbicide. In: International Weed Science Congress , 23-27 Jun 2008, Vancouver, Canada. (Submitted)
           The transfer of care in global capitalism: The feminization of migration as household survival strategy amongst foreign domestic workers in Malaysia       Cache   Translate Page      
Thambiah, S. (2008) The transfer of care in global capitalism: The feminization of migration as household survival strategy amongst foreign domestic workers in Malaysia. In: International Interdisciplinary Congress on Women, 3-9 July 2008, Madrid, Spain. (Submitted)
           Local lexical intrusions in english dailies: A comparison of Malaysian, Singaporean and Pakistani newspapers       Cache   Translate Page      
David, M.K. and Kuang, C.H. and Shaikh, Q.A. (2008) Local lexical intrusions in english dailies: A comparison of Malaysian, Singaporean and Pakistani newspapers. In: International Congress of Linguists, 21-26 July 2008, Seoul, Korea. (Submitted)
           Effect of a physical fitness intervention program within a physical education class on cardiovascular endurance among Malaysian secondary school boys       Cache   Translate Page      
Shabeshan, R. (2008) Effect of a physical fitness intervention program within a physical education class on cardiovascular endurance among Malaysian secondary school boys. In: ICHPER-SD Anniversary World Congress , 9-12 May 2008, Kagoshima,Japan. (Submitted)
           Russian chastushka and Malay pantun       Cache   Translate Page      
Pogadev, V.A. (2008) Russian chastushka and Malay pantun. In: Indian Folklore Congress, 18-20 February 2008, Bengal, India. (Submitted)
           Role of spiritual values in spiritual development       Cache   Translate Page      
Husain, A. (2008) Role of spiritual values in spiritual development. In: World Congress on Psychology & Spirituality , 5-8 January 2008, New Delhi, India. (Unpublished)
           Sensor fault tolerant controller for a double inverted pendulum system       Cache   Translate Page      
Yang, S.S. and Chen, J. and Mohamed, H.A.F. and Moghavvemi, M. (2008) Sensor fault tolerant controller for a double inverted pendulum system. In: 17th World Congress, International Federation of Automatic Control, IFAC, 6 - 11 July 2008, Seoul, South Korea.
           Integral sliding mode control for improved robustness and accuracy of induction motors       Cache   Translate Page      
Mohamed, H.A.F. and Yang, S.S. and Moghavvemi, M. (2008) Integral sliding mode control for improved robustness and accuracy of induction motors. In: 17th World Congress, International Federation of Automatic Control, IFAC, 6 - 11 July 2008, Seoul,South Korea.
          Karnataka bypoll results live | BJP leads in Shivamogga, Congress in Ballari      Cache   Translate Page      
The bypoll results are also seen an indicator of people’s mood ahead of the 2019 Lok Sabha elections - Source: www.thehindu.com
          Secular parties need to unite to defeat BJP: ex-MP      Cache   Translate Page      
Chinta welcomes TDP-Congress tie-up - Source: www.thehindu.com
           Branching patterns of Melastoma Malabathricum as influenced by density regimes       Cache   Translate Page      
Faravani, M. and Bakar, B. (2008) Branching patterns of Melastoma Malabathricum as influenced by density regimes. In: 5th International Weed Science Congress, 23-27 Jun 2008, Vancouver, Canada.
          INLD crisis may alter political equations      Cache   Translate Page      
As Chautalas fight for the legacy of Devi Lal, the Congress emerges as likely beneficiary - Source: www.thehindu.com
           Study of genetic diversity in sunflower promising inbred lines using morphological traits       Cache   Translate Page      
Avin, F.A. and Nabipour, A. and Zali, A. (2008) Study of genetic diversity in sunflower promising inbred lines using morphological traits. In: 5th International Crop Science Congress & Exhibition, 13-18 April 2008, Jeju, Korea.
           Genetic diversity among Iranian sunflower restorer and CMS lines       Cache   Translate Page      
Nabipour, A. and Avin, F.A. and Ebrahimzadeh Navaii, F. and Khodarahmi, M. (2008) Genetic diversity among Iranian sunflower restorer and CMS lines. In: 18th EUCARPIA General Congress, 9-12 Sep 2008, Valencia, Spain.
          Election Day 2018      Cache   Translate Page      

As we receive numbers from the Brazos County elections office, they will be posted here. Election night interviews will also be posted here after they are aired on 1620 and radioaggieland.com U.S. SENATE (BRAZOS COUNTY ONLY) Ted Cruz Beto O’Rourke Neal Dikeman CONGRESS DISTRICT 17 (BRAZOS COUNTY ONLY) Bill Flores Rick Kennedy Peter Churchman TEXAS […]

The post Election Day 2018 appeared first on WTAW.


          Illinois' 14th Congressional District: Hultgren facing stiff challenge from Underwood      Cache   Translate Page      
Facing a challenger who epitomizes a new force of opposition to President Trump -- college-educated minority women -- Randy Hultgren finds himself in a battle, and he has his supporters.
          Women Who Are Early Risers Have Lower Risk Of Breast Cancer, Study Finds      Cache   Translate Page      
A team of UK researchers found that women who wake up early have a 40 to 48 percent reduced risk of developing breast cancer. In other public health news: why you should get your flu shot now; U2's Bono thanks Congress for maintaining AIDS funding; an exploration of the brain's working memory; and more.
          Novartis Weighs $4 Million Price Tag For New Gene Therapy Drug      Cache   Translate Page      
The drug would be used to treat spinal muscular atrophy, a rare genetic disorder whose most severe form is fatal for almost all patients before age 2. In other pharmaceutical news, drugmakers are eyeing changes in the congressional lame duck session to save them money on Medicare, Insys is considering selling off its opioid-related assets and federal inspectors find more problems at Akorn manufacturing plants.
          What Democrats And Republicans Hope To See In The Next Congress      Cache   Translate Page      
Rep. Cheri Bustos, D-Ill., and Rep. Tom Rooney, R-Fla., share what their respective parties hope to see in the next Congress.
          Stocks end higher as investors turn attention to midterms      Cache   Translate Page      

U.S. stocks finished higher on Tuesday ahead of midterm election results. The S&P 500 ended higher by 0.6% at around 2,755, according to preliminary numbers. The Dow Jones Industrial Average picked up around 175 points, or 0.7%, to 25,637. The Nasdaq Composite was up by more than 0.6% at around 7,376. Investors are closely watching the midterm results, with most anticipating a split Congress with Democrats taking control of the House, and Republicans retaining a Senate majority. That could set up investors for a legislative impasse in Washington, usually seen as a positive by Wall Street.

Market Pulse Stories are Rapid-fire, short news bursts on stocks and markets as they move. Visit MarketWatch.com for more information on this news.


          Here's a map showing where the Senate and House will likely be won and lost      Cache   Translate Page      
The midterm election results that will come in after 8 p.m. ET will make or break Democrats' chances of taking control of Congress.
          29-year-old Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is poised to become the youngest woman in Congress      Cache   Translate Page      
The millennial New Yorker is running on a platform of universal Medicare, tuition-free college and the abolition of ICE.
          Election Day anxiety is a real thing, and here’s why it’s so much worse in 2018      Cache   Translate Page      

There was a time when midterm elections were considered “off-years,” and candidates had a hard time even getting people to the polls. Not this year. The 2018 midterms feel much like a presidential election. And in a way they are: The races are widely seen as a referendum on Donald Trump and everything he represents.

They also feel personal, as if our very identities and belief systems are being tested.

“One of the things that elections produce in us is some tension and anxiety, because we have an interest in particular outcomes,” said Cleveland Clinic psychiatrist Scott Bae, “and we perceive that we don’t have a whole lot of control over them, and that’s a great formula for tension in any atmosphere.”

Politics shouldn’t be so personal, and it doesn’t always have to be. Often, there are fairly bland policy debates behind all the rhetoric and emotion, a competition of ideas about how to guide your country, your state, or your city forward. Focus on that part, and you can ignore the noise.

These days, much of that noise comes from media, especially social media, Bae says. Because we’re in a culture where the media is so present in our lives, it can be hard to ignore the political banter. But whenever possible, he recommends staying in tune with just enough to know what you need to know, but don’t allow the noise to become so overwhelming or confusing that you decide not to vote.

It’s also wise to remember that politics is a relatively slow-moving thing. The outcome of the midterm races won’t result in quick and drastic policy changes. The races are mostly about the country’s views on two years with Donald Trump, and whether Congress should put a check on his power.

Try to take it easy as the results come in tonight. Limit your Twitter and Facebook time, and maybe even take heart in the fact this election seems so much more high-stakes than usual. It is, after all, democracy working in real time.


          It’s not just you: Google Trends is showing long waits to vote      Cache   Translate Page      

Today, Americans are heading to the polls for a chance to either show support for the Trump administration and its Republican Congress or to let the Blue Wave roll in. But first, we all have to wait in line.

All over the country, voters are anecdotally reporting incredibly long lines–and data backs them up. A real-time visualization of Google search data shows that searches related to “long wait times” are spiking all over the country.


According to the map, which was built by Google News Initiative and Pitch Interactive, it’s not just your polling place that’s overrun with people. For instance, at 11:53 a.m., the national average of people Googling “long wait times” spiked by 481% in Bluffton, South Carolina. At 12:24 p.m., that search was skyrocketing by 566% in Newburgh, Indiana. An animation starting at 6 a.m. Eastern Time shows these spikes hitting dozens if not hundreds of polling places around the country, especially around 1 p.m. Eastern–lunch time–and morning on the West Coast.

While some see this as a positive indication that more people turned out to vote in this election, others call the long wait times another means of voter suppression. After all, not everyone has the luxury to stand in line for hours to cast their vote.

Whether you view it as a sign of hope or a sign of all the work that still needs to be done, do your best to stay in line. Even if the polls close while you’re waiting, you will still get a chance to vote.


          Blue Wave watch: 4 ways to track election results and get either ecstatic or furious      Cache   Translate Page      

Saturday Night Live made fun of it. Steve Bannon admitted he’s worried about it. But until the races are over, no one really knows if the 2018 midterm elections will bring a so-called Blue Wave of Democratic victories.

First, a little math: To take back the House, Democrats need to flip at least 23 seats, per CNBC. With all 435 Congressional districts up for reelection tonight, that’s definitely doable. Flipping the Senate is seen as less likely, but with Senate races in the running in key states—Arizona, Texas, and Nevada, in particular–anything’s possible.

If you’re looking to track the election results online without a TV, I’ve rounded up a few options below:

  • PBS NewsHour: Always a good option for cord-cutters. Its election-night coverage will be live-streamed via YouTube and you don’t need one of those pesky cable logins. I’ve also embedded the video below. Find it here.
  • Politico’s Election Results: This infographic is a good resource, with a simple design and updated in real time. Find it here.
  • The New York Times live results maps are a personal favorite. You can find the House map here and the Senate map here.
  • Live Governor Results: Another resource from the Times, which will track the results of the 36 gubernatorial races on the ballots in the 2018 midterms. Find it here.


          The colors of the midterm elections? Purple, green, and gold      Cache   Translate Page      

Krysten Sinema, a Democrat running in a hotly contested race for Senate in Arizona, sets her name in purple against a golden desert sunrise. Sri Preston Kulkarni, a Democrat running for Congress in Texas, uses a blue lone star bursting into shades of purple and red.

For the most part, this election’s campaign design looked fairly predictable: Nearly 75% of Democrats and and more than half of Republicans used blue as their primary campaign color this year. If you’re a Republican running in a solidly Democratic district, you’re three times more likely to use red as your logo color than your peers in Republican districts. But in general, candidates choose blue–a color strongly associated with America from the beginning, from the color George Washington chose for continental army uniforms to the resolution of the Second Continental Congress in 1777 describing a flag with white stars against a “blue field representing a new constellation.”

[Image: courtesy Center for American Politics and Design]

Things get more interesting when you take a closer look at Democratic candidates specifically, though. Democrats were twice as likely to choose purple as their running color compared to Republicans–and three times as likely to choose green.

[Image: courtesy Center for American Politics and Design]
These numbers come from the Center for American Politics and Design, a new group of designers and creative directors including Susan Merriam of Graj + Gustavsen, Kevin Wiesner and Lukas Bentel of Hello Velocity, and Will Denton and Seth Kranzler of Channel Studio. Their analysis of every campaign brand in the midterm election is a glimpse into the visual culture of campaign season–and in some cases, a way to track the evolution of visual identities across the political spectrum.

“Overall, it’s interesting to think about why some of these trends exist,” says Merriam over email. “Given the production value of a lot of these logos, we can guess that many of these design decisions aren’t (necessarily) 100% calculated or engineered to appeal specifically to the audience’s psyche, but that they are symptomatic of the designers’ and candidates’ own.”

One trend the analysis calls out: The similarity between well-known corporate brands and campaign identities. [Image: courtesy Center for American Politics and Design]

Do the purple, gold, and green campaigns of 2018 reflect the simmering conflicts within the Democratic party, with left-leaning candidates renouncing party leadership and centrists attempting to align more closely with Republicans?

But Merriam points out another detail: All of those purple campaign logos, 21 are women, four are men of color, and only one is a white man. “Why do only women or men of color use purple?” Merriam continues. “That would probably be relevant for a larger discussion about the relationship of white masculinity and color theory.”

[Image: courtesy Center for American Politics and Design]

A slew of low-fi campaign logos are highlighted by CAPD’s analysis, including Republican Ron Curtis’s comic sans wordmark set against an American flag graphic. In another election, such details might have been funny–and let’s be honest, they are still kinda funny–but it would be naive to see them as stupid or thoughtless. If the 2016 presidential campaign taught us anything about the power of design in politics, it was that “bad design” can be an incredibly powerful way to broadcast a candidate’s outsider status successfully.

“I hope going forward we can do some more analysis in relation to past elections as well,” Merriam says. “I’m interested to see for example the difference 2016 had on branding overall. As politics becomes increasingly polarized, are there more bold, red candidates with torch iconography? Will we also see more logos like Ocasio-Cortez‘s that try and get away from the traditional color schemes of the Democratic party? I would guess so, and we shall see.”

[Image: courtesy Center for American Politics and Design]

Red was associated with the Republican party long before Donald Trump slapped on his first MAGA hat–but it hasn’t been the color of the GOP for all that long. The “red state, blue state” trope seems to have emerged alongside contemporary network television coverage of politics within the last two decades. In 2004, The Washington Post’s Paul Farhi traced it to the 2000 election:

The first reference to “red states” and “blue states,” according to a database search of newspapers, magazines and TV news transcripts since 1980, occurred on NBC’s “Today” show about a week before the 2000 election. Matt Lauer and Tim Russert discussed the projected alignment of the states, using a map and a color scheme that had first shown up a few days earlier on NBC’s sister cable network, MSNBC. “So how does [Bush] get those remaining 61 electoral red states, if you will?” Russert asked at one point…

Newspapers began discussing the race in the larger, abstract context of red vs. blue. The deal may have been sealed when Letterman suggested a week after the vote that a compromise would “make George W. Bush president of the red states and Al Gore head of the blue ones.”

In this nightmare of a campaign season, it’s fascinating to remember that the simplistic language we use to talk about national politics–as if it were game between two teams of different jersey colors–was bestowed upon us by network graphics departments that chose those colors for on-air analysis.


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Let's introduce the president to actual checks and balances.
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Thong, M.K. (2008) Descriptive epidemiology of birth defects in Malaysian births: a population-based study. In: The 4th Congress of Asian Society for Pediatric Research, May 3-6, 2008, Hawaii Convention Center, Honlulu, Hawaii, USA.
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Bono has a message for Congress: Thanks for ignoring U.S. President Donald Trump. Trump has sought to slash hundreds of millions of dollars of funding for AIDS programs at home and abroad, but the U2 frontman says members of Congress “have so far...
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Gli americani tornano al voto per scegliere i rappresentanti al Congresso. Una chiamata alle urne che ha tutta l'aria di un...
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It’s crunch time for campaigns, as the countdown clock continues ticking toward Election Day on Tuesday. President Trump is employing the help of some of the biggest names on the political right to help promote Republican members of Congress. Talk-radio host Rush Limbaugh and Fox News anchor Sean Hannity will be joining the president in […]
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First-time Democratic candidate Lizzie Fletcher hopes to turn Texas' Congressional District 7 blue for the first time in 18 years.
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The 46-year-old Texas congressman hopes to become the first Democrat in 24 years to win a statewide race.
          Second Circuit Offers Excellent Discussion of Accomplice and Conspirator Pinkerton Liability and Exception (11/16/18)      Cache   Translate Page      
I have previously written on a tax iteration of the use of what I call derivative criminal liability -- i.e., not liability as a principal of the substantive offense but liability as an accomplice (aider or abettor) or a conspirator (Pinkerton liability).  John A. Townsend, Theories of Criminal Liability for Tax Evasion (May 15, 2012), available at SSRN: http://ssrn.com/abstract=2060496.  Basically, my concern was that by charging in the pleading that a defendant was a principal of the crime, an aider and abettor or causer of the crime, and a co-conspirator liable under Pinkerton, the Government was getting an advantage in the jury charge that overstated its case.  At least in the context of tax evasion, liability for the substantive offense for nontaxpayers (return preparers or abusive shelter promoters) incorporated the other potential liabilities and, if the defendant was not liable for the substantive offense, he was not liable for the other nominal offenses.  By charging the jury on all three, the impression could be given to the jury that if he was not guilty of one or two, he still could be convicted of the third.

I write today on a recent Second Circuit decision that, although not a tax case, addresses some of these derivative liability theories so ubiquitous in white collar crimes generally.  In United States v. Hoskins, 902 F.3d 69 (2d Cir. 2018), here, the Court address a related issue in the context of the FCPA.  The Court framed the issue as follows:
In this case, we are asked to decide whether the government may employ theories of conspiracy or complicity to charge a defendant with violating the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act ("FCPA"), even if he is not in the category of persons directly covered by the statute. 
* * * *  
The central question of the appeal is whether Hoskins, a foreign national who never set foot in the United States or worked for an American company during the alleged scheme, may be held liable, under a conspiracy or complicity theory, for violating FCPA provisions targeting American persons and companies and their agents, officers, directors, employees, and shareholders, and persons physically present within the United States. In other words, can a person be guilty as an accomplice or a co-conspirator for an FCPA crime that he or she is incapable of committing as a principal?
I will now offer substantial "cleaned up" quotes (see my discussion of the cleaned up technique here), with most footnotes omitted:

A. Conspiracy Liability 
For purposes of this appeal, we assume that Hoskins was neither an employee nor an agent of a domestic concern and therefore does not fall within the terms of the statute. But accomplice and conspiracy liability are generally not so limited. A get-away driver for a bank robbery team can still be prosecuted even though he has not by force and violence taken from the person or presence of another any property belonging to . . . any bank. As the common law has long recognized, persons who intentionally direct or facilitate the crimes physically executed by others must be held accountable for their actions. This recognition was effectuated by developing the doctrines of conspiracy and complicity, principles that are now codified in statutes. Under 18 U.S.C. § 2(a), a person who does not personally commit the acts constituting an offense is liable as a principal if he or she "aids, abets, counsels, commands, induces or produces" the commission of those acts by another. In addition, 18 U.S.C. § 371 punishes anyone who conspires with another to commit the offense. Thus, by the plain language of the general statutes regarding conspiracy and accessorial liability—which nothing in the language of the FCPA purports to overrule or limit—if Hoskins did what the indictment charges, he would appear to be guilty of conspiracy to violate the FCPA and (as an accomplice) of substantive violations of that statute. 
Conspiracy and complicity statutes do not cease to apply simply because a statute specifies particular classes of people who can violate the law. It is well established in federal criminal law that a person may be liable for conspiracy even though he was incapable of committing the substantive offense. That principle was already deeply ingrained when the Supreme Court unanimously ruled in 1915 that persons not themselves bankrupt could be guilty of conspiring with someone who had declared bankruptcy to hide assets of the bankrupt's estate from the bankruptcy trustee, even if a non-bankrupt party could not be convicted of the principal offense. With respect to complicity, the same principal was so clearly entrenched as a matter of the common law of crimes that the Supreme Court saw no need to cite a particular precedent when it unanimously recognized in 1833 that someone who procured, advised and assisted a postmaster to remove from the mail and destroy a letter was guilty of violating, as an accomplice, a statute prohibiting postal employees from taking mail entrusted to them for delivery.  
Thus the firm baseline rule with respect to both conspiracy and complicity is that where the crime is so defined that only certain categories of persons, such as employees of a particular sort of entity, may commit the crime through their own acts, persons not within those categories can be guilty of conspiring to commit the crime or of the substantive crime itself as an accomplice. Longstanding principle and precedent thus reinforces what the plain language of the conspiracy and aiding and abetting statutes command. 
B. The Affirmative-Legislative-Policy Exception 
There is a narrowly circumscribed exception to this common-law principle. In certain cases it is clear from the structure of a legislative scheme that the lawmaker must have intended that accomplice liability not extend to certain persons whose conduct might otherwise fall within the general common-law or statutory definition of complicity. A classic illustration is statutory rape, which makes it a crime to have sexual relations with a person who is under a statutorily defined age of consent. Applying the literal definitions of accomplice liability, a youthful participant who voluntarily consents to the act would be guilty of rape as well, because he or she intentionally aided or solicited the commission of the criminal act. But the legislature, in criminalizing the conduct of the adult participant and not that of the juvenile, obviously conceptualized the under-age party as the victim of the crime, and not a co-participant. Despite the common-law recognition of conspiracy and accomplice liability, and of the general principle that one could be guilty as a conspirator or accomplice even if the statute were defined in such a way that one was not capable of committing it as a principal, the common-law courts had no difficulty in recognizing an exception in those circumstances.  
Here the government concedes that the common-law principle of conspiracy liability admits of exceptions but argues that the FCPA falls outside those exceptions. Hoskins, by contrast, contends that the FCPA demonstrates an affirmative Congressional intent to exclude certain persons from liability under the statute. The parties' dispute focuses on two cases, Gebardi v. United States, 287 U.S. 112, 53 S. Ct. 35, 77 L. Ed. 206 (1932), and United States v. Amen, 831 F.2d 373 (2d Cir. 1987), and it is thus profitable to consider both in some detail. 
1. Gebardi 
In Gebardi, the Supreme Court considered a conviction under the Mann Act, a statute that imposes a penalty upon
any person who shall knowingly transport or cause to be transported, or aid or assist in obtaining transportation for, or in transporting, in interstate or foreign commerce any woman or girl for the purpose of prostitution or debauchery, or for any other immoral purpose.
The Mann Act criminalizes such transportation with or without the woman's] consent. The government convicted both a man and woman for conspiracy to violate the Mann Act, on the theory that the woman conspired to transport a person—herself—merely by consenting to the man's transportation of her. 
The Supreme Court reversed the convictions. The Court first noted that the Mann Act plainly covered cases where the woman consents to her own transportation, rather than just cases where her transportation was forced, yet it does not specifically impose any penalty upon her, although it deals in detail with the person by whom she is transported." Because it would be obvious that women would participate in many violations of the statute, but the statute discussed no punishment for the women, the Court concluded that Congress intended for the women not to be liable for at least some class of violations of the Act. In particular, the Court determined it could not infer that the mere acquiescence of the woman transported was intended to be condemned by the general language punishing those who aid and assist the transporter . The penalties of the statute are too clearly directed against the acts of the transporter to support the view that Congress intended the woman always to be liable.  
Having decided that Congress intended to leave the woman unpunished when she merely acquiesced in her own illegal transportation, the Court next considered whether she could be convicted of conspiring to violate the statute in such circumstances. The Court concluded that she could not. The Court emphasized, again, that Congress set out in the Mann Act to deal with cases which frequently, if not normally, involve consent and agreement on the part of the woman to the forbidden transportation, but that this acquiescence was not made a crime under the Mann Act itself. Consequently, the Court perceived in the failure of the Mann Act to condemn the woman's participation in those transportations which are effected with her mere consent, evidence of an affirmative legislative policy to leave her acquiescence unpunished. The Court explained that it was
a necessary implication of that policy that when the Mann Act and the conspiracy statute came to be construed together, as they necessarily would be, the same participation which the former contemplates as an inseparable incident of all cases in which the woman is a voluntary agent at all, but does not punish, was not automatically to be made punishable under the latter. It would contravene that policy to hold that the very passage of the Mann Act effected a withdrawal by the conspiracy statute of that immunity which the Mann Act itself confers. Because the defendant in Gebardi had merely consented to her transportation, the Court ruled that her conviction for conspiracy could not stand; and because she had not conspired to violate the Mann Act, her companion had no one with whom to conspire. Both of their convictions for conspiracy were reversed. 
In determining that the woman in Gebardi was not liable as a conspirator because of Congress's "affirmative legislative policy" to leave her unpunished, the Gebardi Court distinguished its reasoning from an older common-law limitation on conspiracy liability—a rule widely known as Wharton's Rule. Wharton's Rule states that an agreement by two persons to commit a particular crime cannot be prosecuted as a conspiracy when the crime is of such a nature as to necessarily require the participation of two persons for its commission, such as dueling.  
The Court in Gebardi alluded to Wharton's Rule. But the Court stated that Wharton's Rule did not apply, because the Rule requires voluntary consent while criminal transportation under the Mann Act may be effected without the woman's consent as in cases of intimidation or force. Consequently, the Court did not rest the decision upon Wharton's Rule, nor upon the related one that the attempt is to prosecute as conspiracy acts identical with the substantive offense. Instead, the Court explicitly situated its ruling upon the ground that we perceive in the failure of the Mann Act to condemn the woman's participation in those transportations which are effected with her mere consent, evidence of an affirmative legislative policy to leave her acquiescence unpunished. 
2. Amen 
We applied the reasoning of Gebardi in United States v. Amen, 831 F.2d 373 (2d Cir. 1987). In Amen, the Court considered the "continuing criminal enterprise" statute, a provision designed to reach the 'top brass' in the drug rings, or, to put it differently, the kingpin in an enterprise. A defendant was convicted on the theory that he conspired with, and aided and abetted, an enterprise's kingpin, even though the defendant himself was not the kingpin. 
The government conceded that the statute did not apply to an enterprise's employees. It nevertheless attempted to distinguish between mere employees and those who otherwise help the kingpin, and to argue that non-employees who knowingly provide direct assistance to the head of the organization in supervising and operating the criminal enterprise can be punished for violating the "kingpin" statute under conspiracy and aiding-and-abetting theories. 
We explained, however, that the government's theory lacked support in legislative history and seemed totally unworkable because many employees would provide greater assistance to the kingpin than non-employee third parties, and that it made little sense to extend the government's theory to one group if it concededly could not reach the other. This application of complicity and conspiracy would disrupt the carefully defined statutory gradation of offenses; the low-level henchman would find himself subject to the more severe penalties applicable to the kingpin. Because the Court determined that Congress did not intend for the "kingpin" statute to apply to the class of individuals involved in the case, the defendant's conviction was overturned. Id. 
3. Identifying an Affirmative Legislative Policy 
Accepting Gebardi's teaching that conspiracy and complicity liability will not lie when Congress demonstrates an affirmative legislative policy to leave some type of participant in a criminal transaction unpunished, the question becomes how to identify such a policy. As the common-law principle outlined above indicates, we cannot identify such a policy whenever a statute focuses on certain categories of persons at the exclusion of others. Gebardi confirms this, emphasizing that its reasoning was concerned with something more than an agreement between two persons for one of them to commit an offense which the other cannot commit. In Gebardi that "something more" was a recognition that because a woman's participation was "an inseparable incident of all cases in which the woman is a voluntary agent" capable of entering into a conspiracy, Congress's silence as to the women's liability was a conferral of immunity. Similarly, in Amen the Court saw that the continuing criminal enterprise provision was designed to reach the top brass in the drug rings, not the lieutenants and foot soldiers and broadening the scope of liability with the conspiracy statute would subvert that purpose. In both instances the courts looked to the text of the statute and the purpose that Congress was trying to achieve, thereby honoring their over-arching obligation to give effect to congressional intent when interpreting statutes. In keeping with traditional principles of statutory interpretation, as well as the analysis employed in Gebardi and its progeny, an affirmative legislative policy can be discerned by looking to the statute's text, structure, and legislative history. 
4. Government's Arguments for a Narrower Principle 
The government argues for a much narrower reading of Gebardi that would effectively circumscribe the ability of the courts to ascertain congressional intent in enacting criminal statutes. The government argues that Gebardi forecloses liability for conspiracy or complicity only when (1) the defendant's consent or acquiescence is inherent in the substantive offense, or (2) the defendant's participation in the crime is frequently, if not normally a feature of the substantive criminal conduct. A number of problems arise with either of these narrow readings of Gebardi. The government's first reading of Gebardi is foreclosed because, at least in the conspiracy context, it is the same as Wharton's Rule. As noted, where a substantive offense requires persons to agree in order to commit it, Wharton's Rule disallows liability for conspiracy based on the same agreement required for the substantive crime. Here, the government suggests that we should read the Gebardi principle to mean the same thing: that liability for conspiracy is barred when the defendant's consent or acquiescence is inherent in the substantive offense. The opinion in Gebardi explicitly stated that its reasoning was not based on Wharton's Rule; thus that cannot be the basis for the exception. n6
   n6 Wharton's Rule applies only to conspiracy, which means that there could be daylight between it and the government's proposed rule that neither conspiracy nor complicity liability will lie where the defendant's consent or acquiescence is inherent in the substantive offense. But within Gebardi itself, the government's proposed rule would have operated identically to Wharton's Rule, since Gebardi dealt only with a conspiracy charge. And since the Supreme Court said in Gebardi that it was not relying on Wharton's Rule, the government's rule cannot be defended as the rule the Supreme Court meant to adopt. 
The government's argument that the exception is limited to situations where the defendant's conduct is inherent in the substantive offense is also inconsistent with Amen. Our holding in Amen, which considered an individual who was not an employee of the criminal enterprise, did not turn on the fact that the defendant was essential to the existence of the criminal transaction under consideration. Although a "criminal enterprise" with a "kingpin" must have employees, and such employees are thus essential to the statute's application, the enterprise need not work with non-employee third parties. Amen held that the "kingpin" statute did not apply to third parties, and did so based on the intentions of Congress rather than because third parties were required for a criminal enterprise to exist.  
Second, we do not share the government's view that Gebardi asks whether a certain type of defendant's conduct is frequently, if not normally involved in an offense.  With respect to the statute giving rise to Gebardi—the Mann Act—there was no question that a woman's participation in the crime was frequently, if not normally a feature of a violation. Indeed, a woman's participation, either willing or unwilling, was required in every violation. But the Court did not merely ask whether her involvement was "frequently, if not normally" a feature of a violation; instead, the Court discerned the legislative policy of the Mann Act, and provided immunity only to the extent it comported with the Act's policy. 
Indeed, in United States v. Holte, 236 U.S. 140 (1915), a predecessor case to Gebardi, the Court explicitly held that a woman could be found guilty for conspiring to violate the Mann Act. The Court described a hypothetical case where immunity would not be appropriate: 
Suppose, for instance, that a professional prostitute, as well able to look out for herself as was the man, should suggest and carry out a journey within the [Mann Act] in the hope of black-mailing the man, and should buy the railroad tickets, or should pay the fare from Jersey City to New York,-she would be within the letter of the [Mann Act], and we see no reason why the act should not be held to apply. We see equally little reason for not treating the preliminary agreement as a conspiracy that the law can reach, if we abandon the illusion that the woman always is the victim. 
The Court's analysis in Holte, much like in Gebardi, did not merely ask whether a woman would frequently if not normally be present for violations of the Mann Act. Instead, the Court determined Congress's policy in enacting the statute, and limited liability consistent with that policy. To be sure, the fact that a woman was invariably part of a violation of the Act was relevant in discerning congressional policy. But the rule the Holte Court adopted was much more nuanced than could be justified by simply observing those offenses for which women would be present: by definition, a woman's presence was required for every violation of the Act. 
Finally, the government relies on Ocasio v. United States, 136 S. Ct. 1423 (2016), a recent decision that it believes to have drawn narrowly the exception exemplified by Gebardi. The opinion in Ocasio considered an incident of bribery charged under the Hobbs Act, and a charge of conspiracy to violate the Hobbs Act by paying the same bribe. Although the language of the Hobbs Act prohibits "extortion" committed by the obtaining of property from another, with his consent under color of official right, jthe Supreme Court has held that this tortured language is best understood as the rough equivalent of what we would now describe as taking a bribe. In other words, the Hobbs Act's text speaks as though a bribe-payer is being "extorted," when, in reality, the bribe may be a consensual one paid to secure some advantage. 
The defendant in Ocasio contended, using the language of the Hobbs Act, that he could not be convicted of conspiracy. He noted that the Hobbs Act criminalized obtaining of property from another. He then contended that a conspiracy charge was not appropriate, because the conspirators, who were the officials taking the bribe and the persons paying it, had not agreed to obtain money from another—that is, from a person who was not a member of the conspiracy. The Court rejected this argument, explaining that it did not matter that the defendants who paid the bribes did not have the objective of obtaining money 'from another' because the money in question was their own. The Court simply reasoned that it was sufficient for the defendants to conspire with others who would take money from another, even if that other person happened to be the conspirator himself.  
The opinion in Ocasio emphasized that the crime in question, Hobbs Act extortion, bears a meaning not readily discernible from its text. Because, as noted, the statute essentially criminalizes taking a bribe, the Court was unwilling to indulge the defendant's argument that the text indicated an affirmative legislative policy to leave the "extorted" party unpunished, or a desire to punish only the party taking property from another. 
Although Ocasio arose in a setting where a statute's language arguably suggested that certain persons are spared from liability, the unique features of Hobbs Act extortion limit Ocasio's helpfulness to the government. Because the Supreme Court did not agree that the Hobbs Act manifested the "something more" present in Gebardi, namely any intention to limit liability for the payer of a bribe, the Court rejected the argument that conspiracy liability should be circumscribed based on any such limitation. The subtext of defendant's arguments is that it seems unnatural to prosecute bribery on the basis of a statute prohibiting extortion, but this Court held in Evans that Hobbs Act extortion 'under color of official right' includes the rough equivalent of what we would now describe as taking a bribe. . . . We have no occasion to overrule Evans. Consequently, the case does not demonstrate a narrowing of the affirmative-legislative-policy exception, but simply a situation where there was no affirmative legislative policy to leave the bribe payers unpunished. Moreover, Ocasio's independent ruling that incapacity to commit a substantive offense does not, without more, preclude conspiracy or complicity charges, is merely a reaffirmation of the common-law principle addressed above, not an abdication of the affirmative-legislative-policy exception. 
C. The Affirmative Legislative Policy Regarding the FCPA's Coverage 
Applying the teachings of Gebardi and Amen to the FCPA, we find the "something more" that evinces an affirmative legislative policy to leave the category of defendants omitted from the statutory framework unpunished. In particular, the carefully tailored text of the statute, read against the backdrop of a well-established principle that U.S. law does not apply extraterritorially without express congressional authorization and a legislative history reflecting that Congress drew lines in the FCPA out of specific concern about the scope of extraterritorial application of the statute, persuades us that Congress did  not intend for persons outside of the statute's carefully delimited categories to be subject to conspiracy or complicity liability. Our conclusion is consistent with the reasoning of other courts that have addressed this question.
I think that is enough to inform this blog's readers of the holding and reasoning in the case.  The reasoning is fleshed out in greater detail, so I encourage readers whose interest is piqued by this introduction to read the full opinion.

Judge Lynch writes an excellent concurring opinion.  Here are some quotes:
The problem for Hoskins, however, as for the get-away driver, is that 18 U.S.C. § 2 punishes as a principal anyone who, although he or she does not personally commit the acts constituting the offense, aids, abets, counsels, commands, induces or procures the commission of those acts by another; in addition, 18 U.S.C. § 371 punishes anyone who conspires with another to commit the offense. The indictment in this case expressly charges that someone (specifically the alleged co-conspirator Pomponi, who was an employee or agent of a domestic concern) did engage in substantive violations of the FCPA, and that Hoskins conspired with, and aided and directed, that person in the commission of the offense. 
As the opinion for the Court expressly recognizes, were we to rely solely on the plain language of the general statutes regarding conspiracy and accessorial liability — which nothing in the text of the FCPA purports to override or limit — if Hoskins did what the indictment charges, he would appear to be guilty of conspiracy to violate the FCPA and (as an accomplice) of substantive violations of that statute, just as the wheelman for the bank robbery team is guilty of conspiracy and of substantive violations of the bank robbery statute. That is precisely the result that the conspiracy and complicity statutes, and the common-law doctrines that long preceded such statutes and which the statutes codify, are designed to effect. 
Moreover, as the Court also recognizes, the fact that the FCPA specifies that only particular classes of people can violate the law by bribing foreign officials does not in itself restrict the reach of conspiratorial or aiding and abetting liability to those same classes of people. Many offenses are defined such that they may be committed only by the actions of particular types of people. But as the Court's opinion ably documents, the firm baseline rule with respect to both conspiracy and complicity is that where the crime is so defined that only certain categories of persons may commit the crime through their own acts, persons not within those categories can be guilty of conspiring to commit the crime or of the substantive crime itself as accomplices. That is not only the rule established by federal precedent; as the Court notes, that position is "universally held" in the states and in other Anglo-American jurisdictions. Id. n.4, quoting the American Law Institute, Model Penal Code and Commentaries, § 2.06 at 323 (1985). 
That baseline principle, like most principles, admits of exceptions, some of which have longstanding common-law roots. One such exception, as the Court's opinion notes, is exemplified by the Supreme Court's opinion in Gebardi v. United States, 287 U.S. 112 (1932). Sometimes we can infer from the apparent purpose of the statute that the legislature cannot have intended to extend accessorial liability to a class of persons who might better be thought of as victims of the crime (such as a willing underage participant in a sex act defined as rape because of the underage party's incapacity to consent, even where the minor intentionally facilitates the act and is old enough to have the capacity to commit a crime), or where a legislative sentencing scheme distinguishes levels of culpability among various participants, and treating the less culpable party as an accomplice of the more culpable one would undermine that scheme (as in the case of narcotics transactions, where possessors of illegal drugs for their own use are punished less severely than distributors; the purchaser is not treated as the accomplice of the seller even though he or she intentionally facilitates the sale). 
This exception, however, must be construed narrowly. Discerning when the legislature must have intended to exempt a particular class of persons from the plain text of its statutes is a tricky business. What, after all, in the language or structure of the statute distinguishes one statute that limits the category of principal offenders from another, such that some few should be singled out as clearly intending to preclude some persons outside that category from liability, and distinguished from the general run of statutes where no such intention can be discerned? Nothing, or at least not much, in the statutes at issue tells us to exclude some or all persons not within the designated category from accomplice liability. 
In my view, it is helpful in most cases to look to the traditional principles derived from the common law, and embodied in the legislation and judicial decisions of the fifty states, which have the primary responsibility for enforcing criminal law in this country. That is not an idiosyncratic position of my own; it was the view expressed by Justice Jackson, writing for a unanimous Supreme Court in Morissette v. United States, 342 U.S. 246 (1952). The Morissette Court looked to the common law and the rulings of state courts of last resort, on whom fall the heaviest burden of interpreting criminal law in this country, to interpret a federal statute (the prohibition on theft of federal property) that lacked any express prescription of criminal intent. Justice Jackson concluded that, since Congress acted against the backdrop of an unbroken course of judicial decision in all constituent states of the Union, its silence about mens rea reflected the adoption of common-law principles, rather than their rejection. 

          Polls close in eight states as voters decide control of U.S. Congress      Cache   Translate Page      
Polls closed in eight states on Tuesday as Americans cast votes nationwide at the end of a divisive campaign to decide whether President Donald Trump's fellow Republicans maintain their grip on the U.S. Congress.

          U.S. voters targeted with limited 'misinformation' on social media: DHS      Cache   Translate Page      
The U.S. government has received reports of limited "misinformation#source%3Dgooglier%2Ecom#https%3A%2F%2Fgooglier%2Ecom%2Fpage%2F%2F10000" targeting American voters in social media posts on Tuesday, a Homeland Security Department official said as citizens cast ballots in hotly contested congressional elections.

          Eunício desautoriza Senado e libera entrada de jornalistas em visita de Bolsonaro a Congresso      Cache   Translate Page      

Ainda presidente do Senado Federal, o senador não-reeleito Eunício Oliveira (MDB-CE) deu uma contraordem e determinou a liberação da entrada de jornalistas no plenário da Câmara dos Deputados, na manhã desta terça-feira (6). Na ocasião, o presidente da República eleito Jair Bolsonaro (PSL) vai visitar visitar o local.

Ontem, a direção-geral do Senado informou que a presença dos jornalistas estava proibida. Mas, segundo informações da Coluna do Estadão, Eunício disse que não sabia da decisão e que iria revogá-la. "Nunca faria isso", ressaltou.

Fonte: Bahia Noticias 

          NLC Suspends Nationwide Strike As FG Agrees To Pay N30,000 Minimum Wage      Cache   Translate Page      
  
The organised labour unions have called off the planned nationwide industrial action initially scheduled to commence today to press home workers’ demand for a new national minimum wage.
 
The National Chairman of the Nigeria Labour Congress (NLC), Ayuba Wabba, announced the suspension last night in Abuja at the end of the last meeting of the tripartite committee set up to come up with the new minimum wage.
 
Wabba said the decision to suspend the action was reached after agreements were reached and documents signed.
 
“Having reached this position and agreements signed, the proposed strike action is hereby suspended,” he said.
 
Wabba however, refused to disclose the figure of the new minimum wage arrived at by the committee.
 
He said the figure would only be made public after the committee’s report would have been presented to President Muhammadu Buhari by 4.15pm on Tuesday.
 
According to him, only one figure would be presented to the President.
 
Daily Trust however, authoritatively gathered that the government agreed and signed the N30, 000 demanded for by the workers.
 
Two union officials and a senior government official confirmed the N30,000 agreement.
 
The Chairman of the committee, Amma Pepple, expressed delight that their assignment had been concluded.
 
“I am happy to report to you that we have concluded our assignment and we will submit our report to the President by 4.15pm on Tuesday.

"We will reveal the figure at the presentation,” she said.

          Congress govt’s ‘faulty’ policies landed farmers in ‘unprecedented’ crisis: SAD      Cache   Translate Page      
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          Okorocha Is An 'Embarrassment' - Oshiomhole Insists Uzodinma Is APC Candidate For Imo State      Cache   Translate Page      
  
Speaking while addressing a press conference on Friday in Abuja, the National Chairman of the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC), Adams Oshiomhole attacked the Governor of Imo State, Rochas Okorocha, calling him an “emperor.”
 
According to PREMIUM Times, Oshiomhole, who was reacting to comments made by the governor on the outcome of APC primaries, described Okorocha as “an embarrassment” to the APC.
 
Recall that Okorocha on Thursday, after meeting President Muhammadu Buhari, said the party chairman is destroying the party with his method of handling party primaries.
 
And in a swift reaction on Friday, Oshiomhole accused the governor of imposition of candidates in his state.
 
Oshiomhole declared that the “NWC has met and we have upheld the result of the Gulak committee and we have prepared the name of Hope (Uzodinma) to be submitted to the INEC.
 
“If Governor Rochas chose to relocate to the (Presidential) Villa and use the ground of Villa to try to intimidate me to create a dynasty, I will – even on one leg but powered by the truth – uphold the best interest of APC members and indeed of APC people in Imo State.”
 
The national chairman, who has been accused of mishandling the party, assured Nigerians that his party will defeat the candidate of the main opposition People Democratic party (PDP) in next year’s presidential election.

          PEC da Reforma Tributária ouve Receita Federal e Ipea      Cache   Translate Page      
A reforma tributária está em discussão no Congresso desde 2003.

Leia mais em https://www.contabeis.com.br/noticias/38417/pec-da-reforma-tributaria-ouve-receita-federal-e-ipea/


          11/4/2018: Worldwide: Dummies’ guide to US midterms      Cache   Translate Page      
Q What are the midterm elections? A All seats in the House of Representatives and a third of seats in the Senate (the two bodies that make up US Congress) are up for grabs. Q What will it tell us and why does it matter? A It is the first time we really...
          Congress-JD(S) not an unholy alliance, Kumaraswamy tells BJP after 4:1 win      Cache   Translate Page      
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          Il Dell Technologies Forum 2018 fa tappa a Milano      Cache   Translate Page      

Appuntamento il 15 novembre al MiCo - Milano Congressi per toccare con mano la tecnologia che rende possibile la trasformazione dell’IT

Leggi tutto l'articolo Il Dell Technologies Forum 2018 fa tappa a Milano su Top Trade


          Why Democrats Didn't Campaign More on Net Neutrality      Cache   Translate Page      

As Americans line up to vote on Tuesday, some of net neutrality’s most vocal defenders remain confident that the issue will be a determining factor in the 2018 midterm elections. Privately, however, some Democrats have expressed doubt that the battle over the ‘net is key to regaining control of Congress—even as…

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          Media, Trump Must ‘Tone Down’ Rhetoric After 2018 US Midterms - Columnist      Cache   Translate Page      
On Tuesday, US voters cast ballots to fill 435 seats in the US House of Representatives, one-third of the 100-member Senate and other local and state positions. The outcome of the 2018 midterms will determine if the Republican Party can maintain control of both chambers of Congress.
          Over Half of American Voters Believe US on Wrong Track - Exit Polls      Cache   Translate Page      
WASHINGTON (Sputnik) - More than fifty percent of US citizens believe that the country is on the wrong track as they head to cast votes in midterm congressional elections, according to the first exit polls.
          Midterm Elections Proceed Amid Reports of Technical Issues Across US      Cache   Translate Page      
WASHINGTON (Sputnik) - The 2018 congressional midterm elections are proceeding with record number of voters participating to elect candidates for the 435-seat US House of Representatives and a third of the 100-seat US Senate, but deficiencies in the election process and infrastructure have been reported across the United States.
          Midterms Day Turnout High in All Places Democrats Have to Win - Pollster      Cache   Translate Page      
WASHINGTON (Sputnik) - Election Day turnout has been very high in all districts that Democrats need to win to recapture chambers of the US Congress, leading pollster John Zogby said on Tuesday.
          Time to vote! Today is Election Day – polls in Pennsylvania, New Jersey open till 8 p.m.      Cache   Translate Page      
Area voters will head to the polls on Tuesday for a midterm election that could see the balance of power shift toward the left in the U.S. Congress.
          Burning forecast 06.11.2018      Cache   Translate Page      

Burning forecast 06.11.2018

The EUR/USD is waiting for an impulse.

Today is the US midterm elections in Congress. The Fed's decision on rates and monetary policy will be released on Thursday at 18.00 London time.

The EUR/USD rate has formed a range - the upward movement looks more likely.

We are ready to buy the euro at a break above 1.1455, stop 1.1410, target 1.1755.

Alternative: Sell from 1.1300.

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The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
          GBP/USD. 6 November. Results of the day. The mood of the British about Brexit has changed      Cache   Translate Page      

4-hour timeframe

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The amplitude of the last 5 days (high-low): 117 p – 130 p – 276 p – 89p – 91p.

The average amplitude for the last 5 days: 141 p (135 p).

The pound continues not too strong, but a confident and almost recoilless upward movement against the background of a new wave of rumors that the final agreement with the EU has been reached by 95%. This was once again stated by British Prime Minister Theresa May. We have repeatedly drawn the attention of traders to the fact that May's political positions are falling, and many are unhappy with her plan for leaving the EU. However, the current main problem of Britain is that there is no consensus on many issues. For example, 2 years ago during the referendum the majority of votes for the exit from the EU was minimal. Now, according to surveys of independent agencies, Brexit support is at only 46% (was 52%). That is, again, the mood has changed, but the advantage of those who voted against is minimal. Thus, the United Kingdom is at a crossroads, when, despite the "95% readiness of the agreement", there is a huge number of issues and disagreements both in Parliament and among the population. The theme of elections to the US Congress has so far had a very weak impact on the currency pair. Most likely, the reaction will follow after the results of the elections. From a technical point of view, the pair almost fulfilled the resistance level of 1,3102. Thus, the price rebound from this target can provoke a round of downward correction.

Trading recommendations:

The GBP/USD currency pair continues to move up. Thus, it is now recommended to continue to be in long positions with a target of 1,3102, and in case of overcoming this level, with a target of 1,3206. A turn of the MACD indicator down (may be discharged) will serve as a signal to reduce longs.

It is recommended to open sell positions not earlier than fixing the price below the critical line, which will mean changing the trend for the instrument to a downward one. In this case, sales with a target of 1.2757 could be considered.

In addition to the technical picture, fundamental data and the timing of their release should also be taken into account.

Explanation of illustration:

Ichimoku Indicator:

Tenkan-sen-red line.

Kijun-sen – blue line.

Senkou span a – light brown dotted line.

Senkou span B – light purple dotted line.

Chikou span – green line.

Bollinger Bands Indicator:

3 yellow lines.

MACD:

Red line and histogram with white bars in the indicator window.

The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
          Today's election in the USA is the main political event not only of the day, but also of the year. Typically, such elections      Cache   Translate Page      

analytics5be19d4ded01d.jpg

Today's election in the USA is the main political event not only of the day, but also of the year. Typically, such elections do not exert strong pressure on the dollar or financial markets. The current situation is unique, so we should expect a violent reaction and surprises until the impeachment of the current president.

On the eve of the elections, the dollar yields to most of the key currencies, holding positions against the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc. This indicates that market participants do not expect a stock market crash.

In general, the markets have already laid in the current quotes the victory of the Democrats in the elections to the House of Representatives. Any other result can lead to significant fluctuations.

Note that with the full leadership of the Democratic Party, the legislation of recent years in the field of economic incentives may be partially repealed and the question of impeachment of Donald Trump will be raised. In this situation, the next two years will be extremely restless. Experts predict a "political dead end and big fireworks".

If victory is in the hands of the Republicans, it will mean an expression of trust in Donald Trump and his policies, the world will have to accept protectionism. In addition, markets will see opportunities for further tax cuts. Stocks will go down, bond yields will start to increase, and the dollar will rise.

Three possible scenarios and currency movements

  • The Republican Party retains control of Congress. This is a bullish dollar scenario. The USD / JPY rate can reach 114, and EUR / USD can reach 1.1350.
  • The Democratic Party gets a majority in the House, the Republican holds the Senate. The dollar will accept such news without enthusiasm, but not much upset. It is expected that the pair USD / JPY will take the mark of 112.50, and EUR / USD will be in the range of 1.1450-1.1475.
  • The victory of the Democrats is absolute control over both chambers. This will please dollar "bears". The pair USD / JPY will take the mark of 112, and the pair EUR / USD will rise above 1.15.
The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
          Where will the dollar rate go in the near future?      Cache   Translate Page      

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This week, there should be two events that can determine the further movement of the US currency. We are talking about the upcoming elections to the US Congress and the next meeting of the Federal Reserve, which will be held on Thursday.

It should be noted that the so-called "midterm elections" usually do not have a significant impact on the markets, but this time, largely because of the contradictory policies of the White House, they have become an extremely important event.

According to recent polls, there is still a high probability that Democrats can take control of the House of Representatives, and Republicans can maintain a majority in the Senate. However, the parties are now almost nostrils in the nostril, so the balance of political forces in the US parliament may be unpredictable.

Experts predict that if Democrats gain the majority of seats in the House of Representatives, then EUR / USD may rise to the level of 1.15, and USD / JPY, on the contrary, may decline to the level of 112. If the Republicans manage to keep control over Congress, then USD / JPY may rise to 114, and EUR / USD to sink below 1.13.

At the same time, it is not likely that the elections will have a long-term impact on the dollar exchange rate, since investors will quickly turn their attention to the prospects for US monetary policy.

It is assumed that at the next meeting, the Fed will leave the interest rate unchanged and announce its further plans to tighten monetary policy. Thus, the impact of this event on the dollar will be temporary and limited.

The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
          EUR / USD: Interim congressional elections will determine the direction of the US dollar      Cache   Translate Page      

The US dollar strengthened its position against the euro and the British pound yesterday, but the uncertainty in the elections to the US Congress did not allow for the formation of a larger upward wave. Let me remind you that today, there will be midterm elections to the US Congress, which may in the short term affect the US dollar rate.

US congressional elections

If the Republican Party succeeds in retaining the majority in the House of Representatives, this will lead to the strengthening of the US dollar and its return to the region of last month's highs paired with the European currency.

If the situation changes and the majority in the House of Representatives is received by the Democratic Party, the dollar may decline substantially, although with the increase in interest rates in the United States, the decline will not be continuous. It should also be remembered that tomorrow, the meeting of the Federal Reserve System will begin, the results of which will be announced this Thursday. However, given the fact that at this meeting on monetary policy, no one plans to raise interest rates, its results are unlikely to significantly affect the US dollar.

Basic data

As for the data that came out yesterday in the afternoon, it should be noted that the indicator of activity in the US service sector rose in October. It happened due to the good growth of new orders. According to Markit, the final PMI Purchasing Managers Index for the US service sector rose to 54.8 points in October from 53.5 points in September. Let me remind you that the index values above 50 indicate an increase in activity.

The PMI Purchasing Managers Index for the non-manufacturing sector of the United States slowed down a bit, but turned out to be better than economists' forecasts.

According to the ISM Institute for Supply Management, the purchasing managers index for the non-production sector in October dropped to 60.3 points from 61.6 points in September, while economists had forecast that in October the index would be 59.5 points.

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An excellent indicator of growth in employment trends in October indicates a good state of the labor market. According to the Conference Board report, the employment trends index in October of this year rose to 110.72 points against the September value of 110.39 points.

US sanctions

Yesterday, the US administration imposed a series of sanctions against Iran. It was known about them for a long time, however, the sanctions began to operate from yesterday. As noted in the report, the ban concerns the import of oil from Iran, and also applies to more than 700 Iranian banks, companies, and individuals. As the Minister of Finance of the USA Mnuchin noted, the sanctions will be in effect until the Iranian authorities change their destabilizing policies.

As for the technical picture of the EUR / USD currency pair, it remained unchanged. Yesterday's attempts of both "drag and drop" to both buyers and sellers did not lead to success, and the market continued to be in the side channel. It is likely that market participants are waiting for the fundamental signals, which I mentioned above. The breakthrough of resistance 1.1420 will strengthen the presence of euro buyers, which will lead to the resumption of an uptrend with the updating of resistance levels of 1.1450 and 1.1480. In the case of a decline below the support level of 1.1390, the pressure on the euro may increase significantly, which will lead to a larger downward trend with a return to the lows of last month in the area of 1.1300.

The British pound fell yesterday after the data on the service sector, but buyers quickly returned to the market, while remaining optimistic about the conclusion of the Brexit transaction.

According to Markit, the PMI Purchasing Managers Index for the UK services sector in October this year dropped to 52.2 points from 53.9 points in September. The company is concerned about a moderate increase in business activity in October, as new orders rose at the slowest pace since July 2016, despite the fact of rising production costs.

The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
          Trading Plan for 11/06/2018      Cache   Translate Page      

Yesterday, there was enough reason to resume the strengthening of the dollar, because the data on business indices in the US was even better than the wildest assumptions. Thus, the business activity index in the service sector increased from 53.5 to 54.8, while the preliminary assessment showed an increase to 54.7. The composite index of business activity rose from 53.9 to 54.9, while, according to preliminary data, growth was expected to 54.8. In turn, the business activity index in the UK services sector fell from 53.9 to 52.2, once again demonstrating business concerns about the uncertainty caused by the confusion with Brexit. Investors simply do not understand what awaits them in the near future, after the UK withdraws from the European Union. While there is no clear understanding of how trade relations will be built between the United Kingdom and Europe, there can be no talk of any optimism on the part of investors.

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The growth of the dollar was hampered by preparations for today's elections in the United States, where Congress and almost a third of senators will be fully re-elected. Almost certainly, the Democrats will be able to take revenge for 2016, when the Republicans got the majority of the seats in Congress and in the Senate. And that's not counting the White House, where they also sent their delegate. Many fear that as soon as the Democrats get a majority in the legislature, they immediately begin to actively interfere with Donald Trump, for whom they have the most tender and touching feelings. So, there is a high probability of a certain paralysis of the American power system, which always leads to greater radicalization of US foreign policy.

So today, the factor of elections in the United States of America will have a major impact on the market. These exit-polls will determine the mood of market participants, and most likely, given the apparent uncertainty about how relations will be built between the various branches of government, it is worth waiting for a negative reaction. In addition to all this, the JOLTS data on open vacancies should show their reduction from 7,136 thousand to 7,100 thousand. The European data will not be able to affect investor sentiment, especially since the final data on business activity indices will simply confirm the preliminary estimate that showed them decline. Also, the growth rate of producer prices is likely to remain unchanged.

The euro / dollar currency pair returns to the level of 1.1440 after a rollback. It is likely to assume a temporary fluctuation within the level of 1.1440 (1.1430 / 1.1450) on the general information and news background.

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The currency pair pound / dollar demonstrates active upward interest, reaching a range level of 1.3000 / 1.3050, where an attempt is being made to fix above it. Probably assume fluctuations within the slide-positive level, where traders should keep track of price fixing 1.3000 / 1.3090 when placing orders.

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The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
          "Donkeys" vs. "Elephants": main scenarios of the US election results      Cache   Translate Page      

The dynamics of trading on the foreign exchange market this week will be determined by China, Brexit, and congressional elections. And if the real prospects for a trade war and Brexit will be known only in a few weeks, then we will know the results of the American elections tomorrow. On the eve of the plebiscite, the dollar is noticeably nervous, since with a high degree of probability the "elephants" (the historical emblem of the Republicans) will lose control over the House of Representatives, retaining the majority only in the Senate.

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In general, this result was predictable long before the election. The composition of the lower house of Congress is re-elected every two years, that is, in the middle of the presidential term (hence the name "midterm elections"). As a rule, the ruling party fails in these elections, losing a majority in one of the chambers. Even the most popular American presidents could not project their success on the party they represented in order to "survive" the intermediate plebiscite. The rare exception in this regard is Bush Junior, but at that time, the Americans had just experienced September 11, which explains their political cohesion.

Given the odiousness of Donald Trump and the lack of absolute support even within the Republican Party, the result of the 2018 elections is not difficult to predict. By and large, the main intrigue now is how strong the Democrats will have over the Republicans in the House of Representatives and how the alignment of forces in the Senate will change.

The latest polls show that members of the Democratic Party in the House of Representatives guaranteed 202 seats for themselves, but only 195 for Republicans. In total, there are 435 seats in the lower chamber, so 38 more positions remain in the air (ratings of candidates in these constituencies are about are equal), but, in the opinion of the overwhelming number of experts, the Democrats will definitely take the majority here. In the Senate, there is a struggle for only 35 seats out of 100, since only part of the Senate mandates are rotated during the midterm elections. Here, the advantage will remain with the Republican Party, at least, many analysts are sure of this.

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In the context of the foreign exchange market, the main question is how the dollar will react to the results of today's elections. The most realistic scenario (Lower House for Democrats, Upper for Republicans) is unlikely to cause a flurry of volatility, although it will put downward pressure on the US currency. The Democratic-controlled House of Representatives will put Trump in a very awkward position, primarily regarding the implementation of a number of legislative initiatives. However, the Republican control over the Senate will allow the president to continue to pursue the personnel policy required by the White House. The Upper Chamber approves (or does not approve) candidates nominated by the head of state for key government positions.

Due to the fact that this, the most likely, option is now widely discussed (including among traders), it will not cause any panic in the markets. Moreover, according to some experts, the dollar may ignore this result. Another thing is if the election results are unexpected, in this case, dollar pairs will be influenced by strong volatility.

We are talking about two unlikely scenarios. If the Republicans maintain the status quo and vice versa, if the Democrats manage to take control of both houses of Congress. Despite the unlikelihood of such options, they cannot be excluded. In favor of losing the Republicans, the fact that the number of supporters of Donald Trump's policies last week fell by four percent, according to a weekly survey, says. In general, the head of state is supported by 40% of respondents, while 54% of respondents were dissatisfied with his policies. By and large, the mid-term congressional elections reflect the Americans' opinion on the actions of their president following the two years of his rule. Therefore, Trump's downgrade may also affect the overall Republican result.

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There is another opinion, already in favor of the Republican Party. According to experts, Donald Trump has a very large number of so-called "hidden supporters". In the public plane (including during polls) they do not talk about their true political views, but in the polling booth "silent fans" support Republicans, associating them with Trump's policies. It is worth recalling that in the last election, many polls gave the victory to Hillary Clinton, but as you know, Trump won them. According to a number of political scientists, a similar sociological discrepancy occurred precisely at the expense of "hidden supporters", which this time may present a surprise.

Thus, despite numerous sociological studies, the intrigue of the midterm elections remains. This means that it is not advisable to trade dollar pairs in the next day due to the unpredictability of the greenback reaction to their results.

The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
          EUR / USD pair: plan for the US session on November 6. Only the election results wake up the market      Cache   Translate Page      

To open long positions on EUR / USD you need:

Apparently, traders do not take the risk before the results of the midterm elections to the US Congress, which leaves the market balance of buyers and sellers. In the first half of the day, it was not possible to get above the level of 1.1417. Now, the main goal is the maximum around 1.1425. Only its breakdown with consolidation above will form a new upward trend in the EUR / USD pair, which will lead to an update of the maximum of 1.1473 and 1.1516, where taking profits are recommended. In the event of a euro decline in the second half of the day, it is best to consider long positions to rebound from a minimum of 1.1355, or after the formation of a false breakdown in the support area of 1.1389.

To open short positions on EUR / USD pair, you need:

The market is on the side of sellers, as they managed to form a false breakdown in the area of resistance at 1.1417, which I paid attention in my morning review. At the moment, the task of the bears is to break through the support of 1.1389, which will lead to a larger sale of EUR/USD pair to test the weekly minimum of 1.1355, where taking profits are recommended. However, the main target is the area of support at 1.1309, which is located near the low of last month. In the case of growth above 1.1425, you can count on sales only after updating the maximum of 1.1473.

Indicator signals:

Moving averages

Trade is conducted on the same level with the 30- and 50-day average, which indicates the lateral nature of the market.

Bollinger bands

The volatility of the Bollinger Bands indicator is very low, which does not give signals to enter the market.

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Description of indicators

MA (moving average) 50 days - yellow

MA (moving average) 30 days - green

MACD: fast EMA 12, slow EMA 26, SMA 9

Bollinger Bands 20

The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
          Forecast for USD / JPY for November 6, 2018       Cache   Translate Page      

USD / JPY pair

The Japanese yen yesterday remained almost unchanged in price, having only fixed on the daily chart above the balance line. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator during this time has moved to the territory of the growing trend. On the four-hour chart, the situation continues to increase.

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The American stock market yesterday grew by 0.56% and the Japanese rose by 1.02% today. Optimism in the stock market before the elections to the American Congress is more stable, as the market itself seems to be less susceptible to the results of these elections than the currency market.

We are waiting for the yen at the border of the embedded line of the price channel at 114.88.

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The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
          Dollar on the threshold of midterm elections      Cache   Translate Page      

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The dollar slowed down after three consecutive weeks of growth, because investors are fully focused on the special elections in the United States, which could lead to volatility in world markets.

Despite the sale of the dollar in the second half of last week, hedge funds have added their dollar reserves, making a bet on the highest levels since December 2016, as the latest macroeconomic indicators encourage bullish rates.

The market analysts warn that an unexpected result in the US midterm elections could provoke a massive cessation of long positions in dollars and undermine the dollar, which rose 7% from April lows against its competitors.

It is expected that the elections to the US Congress will help the Democratic Party, which has strong chances to gain control of the House of Representatives, and the Republicans, most likely, will retain an advantage in the Senate.

The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
          The dollar will continue to grow, or why there is no reason to decline      Cache   Translate Page      

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The dollar held in tight ranges compared to its main competitors on Tuesday, investors are in no hurry to act in anticipation of the election results, the first serious test of Trump's policy of tax breaks and trade protectionism.

It is expected that the election to the US Congress will help the Democratic Party gain control of the House of Representatives, and the Republicans are likely to retain the Senate. Dollar bulls will be happy to receive a Republican-controlled Congress, because it will support Trump's policies. So if Republicans gain control, the dollar will rise. On the other hand, if Congress is split, Democrats will get the House of Representatives, and Republican Senate, the prospect of a legislative stalemate will make Trump's policy, including tax cuts, difficult and will negatively influence the dollar's dynamics in the short term.

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While the US currency is holding very confidently, the dollar index versus the main currency basket at the level of 96.33 points, having reached a 16-month high of 97.20 points last week. Euro slightly, but fell to 1.1404 dollars. Against the yen, the dollar climbed 0.1 percent, to 113.27 yen, also close to a maximum in four weeks.

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The material has been provided by InstaForex Company - www.instaforex.com
          If Trump gets his midterm wish, interest rates could go even higher - CNBC      Cache   Translate Page      

CNBC

If Trump gets his midterm wish, interest rates could go even higher
CNBC
If President Donald Trump gets his wish and Republicans hold Congress, he may also get something he doesn't like — even higher interest rates. The view in the bond market has been that a GOP Congress would be more likely to move forward with making ...
Even if Democrats Take the House, It's Business as Usual for BanksBarron's
Strong economy likely to keep Democrats from winning midtermsNew York Post
After midterms, stocks could pop 20%Fox Business
Benzinga -USA TODAY -Washington Post -ABC News
all 7,662 news articles »

          Xiamen Stone Fair Call for Speakers      Cache   Translate Page      

The Xiamen Stone Fair is seeking speakers for its World Stone Congress (WSC) educational program at the 2019 edition of the exhibition, which is scheduled from March 6th to 9th. WSC is a series of events and seminars dedicated to discovering trends and innovations in the stone industry.


          Hundreds of women candidates are ready to make history Tuesday night      Cache   Translate Page      
SAN FRANCISCO, CALIFORNIA — Tracking hundreds of women candidates running in races at every level, in every U.S. state and territory, requires spreadsheets. Lots of spreadsheets. Volunteers and staff at Emerge America‘s headquarters are following high-profile congressional races all the way down to women running to serve on their school district governing board, as a […]
          Why The Race For Virginia's 7th Congressional District Is One To Watch      Cache   Translate Page      
In the race for one of Virginia's House seats, Tea Party incumbent Rep. Dave Brat is in a tight re-election race against former CIA officer Abigail Spanberger.
          Congress party vies for comeback in key India polls      Cache   Translate Page      
State votes will show if former party of power is in shape to challenge Modi in 2019
          Virginia election results: Democrats flip first House seat of night as Jennifer Wexton wins      Cache   Translate Page      
Democrats have flipped their first House seat of the night, with Jenifer Wexton projected to beat out incumbent Republican Representative Barbara Comstock in Virginia's 10th congressional district.
          Virginia election results: Democrats flip first House seat of night as Jennifer Wexton wins      Cache   Translate Page      
Democrats have flipped their first House seat of the night, with Jenifer Wexton projected to beat out incumbent Republican Representative Barbara Comstock in Virginia's 10th congressional district.
          Polls close in 11 states as Democrats seek to capture U.S. Congress      Cache   Translate Page      
Polls closed in 11 states on Tuesday as Americans cast votes nationwide at the end of a divisive campaign to decide whether President Donald Trump's fellow Republicans maintain their grip on the U.S. Congress.

          Factbox: Seats projected to flip in U.S. House of Representatives elections      Cache   Translate Page      
U.S. voters on Tuesday went to the polls in congressional elections for all 435 seats of the House of Representatives. The Democratic Party needs to pick up 23 seats to wrest control of the chamber from the Republican Party.

          U.S. voters targeted with limited 'misinformation' on social media: DHS      Cache   Translate Page      
The U.S. government has received reports of limited "misinformation#source%3Dgooglier%2Ecom#https%3A%2F%2Fgooglier%2Ecom%2Fpage%2F%2F10000" targeting American voters in social media posts on Tuesday, a Homeland Security Department official said as citizens cast ballots in hotly contested congressional elections.

          No signs of breaches in U.S. election infrastructure: DHS chief      Cache   Translate Page      
There have so far been no signs of breaches in U.S. election infrastructure during voting in Tuesday's congressional elections, U.S. Department of Homeland Security Secretary Kirstjen Nielsen said.

          Trump says would prefer softer tone as president but has 'no choice'      Cache   Translate Page      
Donald Trump said on Monday he wished he had taken a softer tone in his first two years as U.S. president, even as he continued to bash individual Democrats and fan fears over immigration while campaigning on the eve of congressional elections.

          Factbox: Fast facts about the U.S. elections      Cache   Translate Page      
Control of both houses of the U.S. Congress and 36 state governorships are at stake in Tuesday's elections, which are widely viewed as a referendum on Republican President Donald Trump's first two years in the White House.

          Our Enemy: The (Imperial) Presidency      Cache   Translate Page      

Many Americans fear the dysfunction in Congress and the rise of an “activist” Supreme Court. Both worries are misplaced, at least in relationship

The post Our Enemy: The (Imperial) Presidency appeared first on The Imaginative Conservative.


          Gold moves in small range as traders await U.S. midterms      Cache   Translate Page      
From Sumita Layek: Gold held a narrow $5 range on Monday as investors were cautious ahead of the U.S. midterm elections, which will determine whether the Republican or Democratic Party controls Congress. Spot gold was little changed at $1,232.00 per
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          Trump: ‘The Democrat Agenda Is a Socialist Nightmare’      Cache   Translate Page      

At a rally in Cleveland, Ohio, on Monday, President Donald Trump painted a bleak picture of America if the Democrats win control of Congress.


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          Poll: More Americans Say Trump Respected by Congressional Dems than by Media      Cache   Translate Page      
Pres. Trump interviewed by reporter. (Screenshot)


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          The Democratic Party doesn’t deserve your vote      Cache   Translate Page      

The record of the Democrats proves that voting for the “lesser evil” doesn’t stop evil.

NO ONE reading this article needed one, but the last weeks were a reminder anyway: that there is no low point of hate and fearmongering that Donald Trump can’t sink below.

Trump and his “brain” trust decided that the Republicans’ best bet for the midterm elections would be to slander a caravan of refugees from violence and oppression in Central America — and to send who knows how many U.S. soldiers to the border to meet this grave threat.

They succeeded in whipping up their right-wing base. But they also sharpened the outrage and anger of millions of people who already oppose Trump — and who will vote in today’s elections with a sense of alarm about stopping the fanatic in the White House.

In almost every case, those millions who want to vote against Trump will have no real choice but to vote for the Democratic Party, which has also been determined — but not about stopping Trump’s crimes.

During the same weeks when Trump piled one anti-immigrant atrocity on top of another, the leaders of the “party of the people” were determined not to say anything about it.

The Democratic Party doesn't deserve your vote

House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi had the same infuriating message of evasion last weekend that she’s repeated for months. Rather than let voters “think the Democrats are all about impeachment, investigation, caravans, ‘scaravans,’” Pelosi recommended: “Don’t take the bait, just stick with health care, good-paying jobs and clean government.”

The Democrats are likely to make gains at all levels of government in today’s elections, probably enough to win a majority in the House, if not in the Senate. It will be a pleasure to watch some of the most monstrous Republicans go down to defeat.

If the Democrats win big, it will be because millions of people use this election to register their opposition to Trump, the Republican Party and the right wing agenda.

It won’t, however, be because the Democratic Party is providing an alternative to the Trumpian status quo, much less a lead to the popular resistance that has confronted the Trump administration from its first day in office.

This election has been a departure in one respect: The media spotlight has fallen on a number of left-wing candidates running as Democrats in this election, including members of the Democratic Socialists of America. The left needs to absorb the lessons of this development.

But we do know that those candidates won’t be calling the shots come January. As an institution, and under the leadership of those who will call the shots, the Democrats aren’t committed to the kind of change that most of their voters would like to see.

Whatever they say — or don’t say — on the campaign trail, the Democrats’ dismal record in office shows that they will disappoint their liberal base with compromises and capitulations to the Republicans.

Unless, that is, both Democrats and Republicans face pressure from outside the two-party system.

This is the key to building an actual resistance to Trump and the Republicans: Not voting for Democrats in the hope that they will change anything for us, but relying on the strength of our co-workers, our fellow students and our community to educate, agitate and organize struggles that put forward a left-wing alternative.


THE MISERY of living under Trump has produced some of the largest protests in U.S. history, starting with the Women’s March on the day after his inauguration.

These demonstrations have been an ongoing reminder of both the rejection of Trump and his politics by a majority of people in the country and the desire of millions of people to start doing something about it.

Democratic Party leaders have a use for the first part — but not so much for the second.

Thus, throughout the upsurge of anger over Brett Kavanaugh’s confirmation to the Supreme Court, Democrats expressed their opposition — most of them, anyway — while trying to channel people’s outrage toward the voting booth and warning that protests could go too far and “alienate” potential supporters.

The unions and large liberal organizations, including organizers of the Women’s Marches, didn’t make the call to mobilize another massive show of anti-Trump strength, so the protests against Kavanaugh that did take place were angry and powerful, but scattered.

The dynamic is even more telling when it comes to immigrant rights.

The most recent of the truly massive anti-Trump demonstrations was the Families Belong Together mobilizations in late June that brought out hundreds of thousands of people for protests and marches in 750 cities and every state to vent their anger at the administration’s cruel family separation policy.

But this fall, the Democrats were mostly silent on the issue. They were advised — by the progressive think tank, the Center for American Progress, among others — to “spend as little time as possible” talking about immigration during election season, so as not to emphasize an issue where it’s taken for granted that the Republicans have an advantage.

Actually, the mass protests and even more massive public revulsion at Trump’s policies showed the potential for putting Republicans on the defensive — and on an issue they depend on to rev up their right-wing base.

But the Democrats followed the same election-year strategy they always do: chase every last “swing voter” in the political middle of the road, and that means avoiding anything controversial.


THE PROBLEM goes beyond timid campaign tactics. The Democrats’ strategy is the logical outcome for a party that says it stands for immigrant justice to satisfy its more liberal base at election time, but that stands in practice for a status quo where implementing justice would be a social and political threat.

It is no coincidence that the Democratic Party’s actual agenda on immigration issues mirrors that of Corporate America: support for a system that allows immigration to supplement the U.S. workforce at various levels, but that disciplines that workforce by keeping most immigrants in a second-class status.

Thus, the hopes in 2008 that Barack Obama would pass real immigration reform during his first months in office were fated to be dashed.

Not only did Obama fail to achieve any initiative, even a compromised one, to legalize the status of any undocumented workers, but he followed through on Corporate America’s other priority of using enforcement to maintain control over workers — and deportations went up, not down.

This experience illustrates the problems with voting for the Democrats as the lesser of two evils. On immigration, the “lesser evil” candidate in 2008 ended up presiding over more actual evil than his “greater evil” predecessor, George W. Bush.

In the era of Trump, it usually isn’t hard to figure out who the greater evil is in any one election. But as the American socialist Hal Draper wrote, the problem isn’t the answer, but the question itself — because it accepts the limits of the two-party system and distorts the political outlook of people who need to be a part of changing the world.

Let’s go back to Obama and the issue of immigration. In 2008, the immigrant rights movement was only two years away from an amazing high point that really did achieve a victory. The mega-marches and “day without an immigrant” strikes of 2006 stopped reactionary Republican legislation that would have criminalized all of the undocumented in the U.S.

But under Obama, the same liberal forces that helped organize the 2006 upsurge were far quieter, hoping that they could work with their supposed ally in the White House. Calls to protest Obama’s lack of action were met with warnings that being too radical would hand the Republicans an issue to hammer the Democrats with.

And so Barack Obama became the deporter-in-chief without facing mass opposition on the scale of 2006 — and the promise of any reform, even with the twisted compromises that the Democrats insisted on, went unfulfilled.

Malcolm X once said that “you put the Democrats first and the Democrats put you last.” When Nancy Pelosi and the leaders of the Democratic Party know they can count on the party’s liberal base to vote for their candidates, no matter what, they can move in the direction that inevitably feels more comfortable: to the right.


THOUGH YOU’D never know it to listen to Pelosi, there are more Democratic candidates this year who progressives might want to vote for, rather than only voting against the Republicans.

The anti-Trump upsurge of the past two years has helped the Democrats field a more diverse group of candidates than ever before, and more Democrats are willing to say they stand for progressive proposals like Medicare for All.

This is also the result of a surge of candidates who, following the lead of Sen. Bernie Sanders, explicitly identify themselves as democratic socialists. Their successes are a direct result of the hard organizing work of members of DSA and other left forces, and those successes have, in turn, raised the prominence of DSA and socialism in general.

Among DSA members in particular, there is sharp opposition to the neoliberal, pro-corporate program championed by the likes of Pelosi, Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama. Though many DSAers will likely choose to vote for establishment-sanctioned Democrats in 2018 and 2020, others will make the principled decision to refuse to support those Democratic candidates who don’t support them.

This is an important development for anyone who looks forward, as we do at SW, to the establishment of a left-wing political force independent of the two-party system.

But our analysis would be inadequate if we didn’t point out the dangers for socialists trying to build their forces within a capitalist party that is hostile to their aims. The very success of left-wing candidates within the party makes it harder to resist the pressure that draws them further in.

Thus, DSA member Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez won a primary election upset for a seat in Congress from New York City over powerful party boss Joe Crowley. Her victory was a blow to the party leadership — but her new prominence led to requests, to which she agreed, to endorse and campaign for Democrats who are well to her right.

Historically, the Democrats have been willing to tolerate a left within the party and a certain amount of criticism as a price worth paying for having well-known figures who can build enthusiasm among the party’s liberal base.

The great danger for the left has been to be drawn in — and to, as a consequence, tailor and limit its message and strategy based on the needs of the Democrats, rather than the Democrats changing the party’s aims and actions in any significant way.

Socialist Worker has maintained since its founding that we look forward to the creation of an independent left alternative to the two-party system, and we put this into practice in every election by supporting only independent left-wing candidates. We say that the Democratic Party doesn’t deserve your votes — and you shouldn’t give it something it doesn’t deserve.

There are only a few such independent left candidates around the country in 2018 offering an opportunity to cast a protest vote against the limitations of the two-party system.

More numerous are the very important referendums where socialists should take a stand: Issue 1 (drug law reform) in Ohio; Question 1 (safe staffing) and Question 3 (transgender rights) in Massachusetts; and Proposition 10 (rent control) and Proposition 11 (paramedics’ rights on the job) in California, to name a few that SW has written about recently.

Ultimately, organizing a socialist resistance in the Trump era depends much more on the struggles of every day other than Election Day. That was our task every day leading up to November 6 — and every day after, when we look forward to uniting to fight the Trumpian right, as well as its Democratic Party enablers.


          An international struggle for science and justice      Cache   Translate Page      

With a growing recognition of the urgent need to act to stop climate change — and the inherent ecological destruction that is built into capitalism, a system predicated on relentless growth and the drive for profit — activists with Science for the People, an organization dedicated to building a movement around radical perspectives on science and society, is expanding the fight for climate justice and ecosocialism.

Inari Sosa, Paulina Zedillo and Fercho Tekuatl, biologists of the National Autonomous University of Mexico (UNAM) and members of the promotional core of Ciencia para el Pueblo (Science for the People-Mexico), explain the launch of the group there, in a statement translated into English by Martín Ochoa and Brian M. Napoletano.

IN LIGHT of the serious social and environmental problems the world faces, we in the scientific community cannot afford to remain ensconced in academia’s ivory towers, as though we were not involved directly in these issues. Facing a corporatist techno-science in service to capital accumulation, we must take the opposing side of a critical science linked to struggles for justice. Construction of a science from, with, for and of the working people is a key task of those fighting for social liberation and respect for all life on Earth.

Those of us in the different areas of investigation and applied science must assume that in addition to intellectuals, we are also part of the working class that moves the world and its history. Thus, our opportunities for employment are governed by the constant changes in the labor market; even the orientation and development of our creative powers are strongly conditioned by the funding of powerful political and economic interests whose support is premised on their own profit. Thus, the results of scientific knowledge are constantly being appropriated by private interests in contradiction to the common good.

Meeting after the March for Science in Mexico City in 2018
Meeting after the March for Science in Mexico City in 2018 (Fernando Estañol Tecuatl)

We therefore have a duty to stand for and fight alongside the rest of our class: the working class, as well as the other groups oppressed by the capitalist system. For this, we require complete political independence from the bourgeoisie and its parties.


WITH THIS perspective we, scientists of different political allegiances, at the beginning of 2016 agreed that we need an anti-capitalist rallying point to facilitate efforts to politicize, organize and mobilize our profession. We, along with our comrades in different states around the country, come together in the promotional core of a broad new anti-capitalist group: Science for the People-Mexico.

In so doing, we support the historical project of Science for the People, a social movement that emerged in many universities in the United States at the end of the 1960s, and that, for more than two decades of intense political and intellectual activity, contributed to the struggle in defense of the environment, against racism and imperialism, and on many other fronts fought for a better world.

This political position was bolstered by two important factors: (1) the strong internationalist connection we have had with Science for the People, which is re-emerging and rebuilding itself; and (2) the anti-capitalist tendencies and approaches that we — those who make up the promotional core — have developed in our participation in various movements, such as the Unión de Científicos Comprometidos con la Sociedad (the counterpart to the Union of Concern Scientists of the USA), the “#Yosoy132Ambiental,” the postgraduate assemblies against the CONACYT’s (the National Council for Science and Technology) funding cuts, the Nueva Central de Trabajadores (New Workers Center); work with several labor unions such as the AMINSHAE (an important union of researchers and other workers in the medical sector), the “Consciousness for Humanity” of the EZLN (the Zapatista Army for the National Liberation); several other initiatives aimed at popularizing knowledge and local ecological activism; involvement with other left organizations of different traditions; and other experiences we have had that enrich this project.

In January of the present year, we convened the first meeting as the promotional core of Science for the People-Mexico at the UNAM’s Institute of Ecology, with the international presence of Ivette Perfecto and John Vandermeer, activists in Science for the People at the University of Michigan.

Thereafter, we have undertaken several activities, such as: the participation of one of our delegations in the congress to relaunch Science for the People, held in Ann Arbor, Michigan; the elaboration of pronouncements and manifestos; the organization, in alliance with other groups, of the second march for Science in Mexico City and Morelia; solidarity and support to labor unions in the medical and research sector; meetings for programmatic discussions and debate about the current political situation; solidarity with diverse local struggles; contribution to debate in different scientific forums; and the realization of our own forums in Mexico City and Morelia, with the collaboration of some of our comrades such as Lala Peñaranda from Science for the People-New York.

“Ciencia para el Pueblo” is constituted as the Mexican branch of the international Science for the People organization, although we have programmatic and organizational autonomy. Within the Mexican context, we are an internationalist referent that does not adhere to borders and boundaries. We are a broad space of cooperation between different leftist political currents, as well as activists with no political affiliations.

At present, we are involved in a growing campaign for organization and programmatic discussion about the development of a science that fights for social liberation and the care of life on Earth. In the medium term, we intend to consolidate a network of committees and contacts in several parts of the country, with a view to holding a congress in which we could consolidate a national organization that coordinates active participation in multiple struggles and produces materials on diverse themes, including agroecology, gender studies, integrated watershed management, political ecology, political economy, sustainability, climate change, etc.


THE NEXT administration, headed by Andrés Manuel López Obrador (AMLO), will be the result of a negotiated transition that guarantees the maintenance of the interests and privileges of the oligarchy in the face of the regime’s political crisis on the one side, yet attempts to diffuse the social unrest channeled into the polls on the other. It is already expressing ambiguities and contradictions in several areas, for example: the appointment of Elena Álvarez from the Unión de Científicos Comprometidos con la Sociedad (the Union of Scientists Committed to Society) at Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnologia (the National Council for Science and Technology) and the appointment of Víctor Villalobos — see the “Monsanto Law” — at the Secretaría de Agricultura, Ganadería, Desarrollo Rural, Pesca y Alimentación (the Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock, Rural Development, Fisheries and Food); or the proposal that major issues such as the decriminalization of abortion or the construction of the new Mexico City International Airport.

AMLO will, obviously, retain intact the foundations of neoliberalism while at the same time seeking to form a political clientele through mostly symbolic concessions to social movements.

In this scenario, the possibility of changing the correlation of forces in favor of the working-class majority, the native people, and the care for biodiversity will lie with the independent mobilization of all the groups in resistance today. Science for the People supports national and international self-organization in peasant movements, student movements, urban workers, women, gender activists, people living with disabilities, those affected by environmental degradation, migrants, victims of structural violence, and other oppressed groups, with the aim of forming a social pole capable of challenging the national oligarchy and its international backers, and of initiating a process of radical transformation of the country and the world.

For a science for life, for a science for the people.

First published at the website of the Workers’ Revolutionary Party of Mexico. Translation by Martín Ochoa and Brian M. Napoletano.


          Fear and loathing and more fear      Cache   Translate Page      

Elizabeth Schulte documents the new low points that Trump and the Republicans are reaching — and the dismal failure of Democrats to stand up for justice.

YOUR PRESIDENT wants you to hate and fear immigrants.

That was the message of a new attack ad that Donald Trump himself tweeted a little over a week before the midterm elections. The ad featured an undocumented immigrant jailed for killing two California sheriff’s deputies and then scenes of the refugee caravan currently making its way through Mexico to seek asylum from poverty and violence in Central America.

Lettering above the man on trial reads: “He killed our people.”

The last-minute campaign ad aimed to create an indelible image of immigrants as murderers who are “invading” the U.S. with the Democrats’ blessing — and an equally indelible conclusion that only Trump and the Republicans will protect you from violence.

Numerous Republicans running for office embraced and echoed Trump’s ramped-up campaign of racist scapegoating against immigrants.

Donald Trump

Rep. Duncan Hunter of California issued an ad claiming that his Democratic opponent, Ammar Campa-Najjar, a former Labor Department official, is trying to “infiltrate Congress” on behalf of the Muslim Brotherhood and is a “security risk.”

In upstate New York, the National Republican Congressional Committee aired several commercials attacking a Democratic candidate for Congress, Antonio Delgado, who is Black, for having been a rap musician. In one ad, several white upstate New Yorkers speak to the camera: “Antonio Delgado would be fine in Los Angeles, maybe New York City,” but “nobody talks like that around here.”

These vile ads leading up to the midterm elections have a history. Politicians of both main political parties have created similar ones using racism and xenophobia to whip up fear and reinforce the most backward and divisive ideas in U.S. society.

In 1988, the presidential campaign of George H.W. Bush ran a commercial featuring “Willie” Horton — his name was William Horton, but “Willie” fit the stereotype the ad makers were after — a Black man accused of a killing a white woman while free on a prison work-release program in Massachusetts under then-Gov. Michael Dukakis.

The ad aimed to whip up fear about crime — and the fear of Black people committing crimes in particular.

But Republicans aren’t the only ones to pander to racism during their campaigns.

During the 1992 presidential campaign, Democratic candidate Bill Clinton thought he could score points by attacking anti-racist activist and recording artist Sister Souljah for her comments about the Los Angeles rebellion that year. For that matter, Clinton’s running mate Al Gore was the first candidate of either party to use Horton against Dukakis — during the 1988 Democratic primaries.

It says a lot about the cynicism of the politicians of the “world’s greatest democracy” that they’ve used coded and not-so-coded racism so freely during elections over the decades.


IN THAT sense, Trump’s ads are very much a part of the U.S. political system. But under the current circumstances, there’s a twist: Trump’s racist anti-immigrant ad is advising his supporters to do more than fear and hate immigrants. It encourages them to take action.

The message came through loud and clear to far-right militia groups, who stated that they are traveling south to “protect” the border for when the caravan arrives.

Militia units told the Associated Press that they were planning on gathering with guns and bulletproof vests. Immigrants are “just laughing in our face,” fumed Shannon McGauley, president of the Texas Minutemen. “It’s a free-for-all in America.”

The vigilantes won’t be alone, of course. Hundreds of U.S. troops have already arrived at the border near Hidalgo, Texas, with more to come. Their stated mission is to help U.S. Customs and the Border Patrol, and there were plenty of photo ops of soldiers setting up barbed-wire fence along the Rio Grande.

“I saw that beautiful barbed wire going up,” Trump said at a campaign rally in Montana. “Beautiful sight.”

All of this is part of Trump’s “Operation Faithful Patriot,” which grows larger by the day, depending on the whims of the president — from 5,000 active-duty troops last Wednesday to 15,000 a few days later. This is in addition to thousands of National Guard troops who are also gathering at the border.

Asked by reporters whether the troops planned to fire on immigrants trying to cross the border, Trump responded that if caravan members threw rocks, the military “would consider that a firearm because there’s not much difference.

The Trump administration is preparing for a confrontation — not just at the ballot box with the midterm elections, but literally a confrontation at the border, led by racists inspired by Trump’s America First rhetoric that demonizes immigrants seeking relief from poverty and violence.


THIS IS an important moment for those who oppose anti-immigrant racism to stand up and be counted. And yet at exactly that moment — as the elections have provided a spotlight for political leaders to step forward and oppose Trump’s anti-immigrant racism — the Democrats are...silent.

Instead of meeting Trump’s racist campaign message with the alarm it deserves, the Democrats are doing the opposite.

For example, House Democratic leader Nancy Pelosi responded to Trump’s threat to revoke birthright citizenship with the statement: “Clearly, Republicans will do absolutely anything to divert attention away from their votes to take away Americans’ health care.”

It isn’t just the party leadership, either. Down the line, that’s how Democrats are responding: stay on message, because the winning campaign message isn’t about protecting the caravan, it’s about health care.

Yes, health care is an important issue — and one that affects millions of Americans. But championing health doesn’t mean not challenging anti-immigrant racism.

Not that the Democrats are even addressing health care in any effective way. The most that the Democrats are putting forward on health care is a defense of Barack Obama’s Affordable Care Act — which many people support against Republican efforts to dismantle it, but which is deeply flawed and ineffective at its supposed goal of universal coverage.

Democrats are drawing the line at stopping Republicans from letting insurers use pre-existing conditions as an excuse not to cover people. The GOP should be stopped, of course — but it’s not exactly a bold stand in defense of health care justice.

But this is the perennial logic of the Democratic Party under the constraints of the two-party system in the U.S.: Don’t make the message too radical, because the party’s base of support that would agree with a more radical message is going to vote for you anyway, since they have nowhere else to go.


IN MANY ways, immigration is the perfect message for Trump. Not just because racism plays to the Republicans’ right-wing base, but because the Democrats have so little to say in response.

The Democratic Party has no long-term solution to the suffering of refugees who are part of the caravan to the border.

Even the most liberal Democrats agree that while reforms are needed and programs like DACA (Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals) should be protected, there’s also a need for strict immigration standards and heavily militarized border security enforcement.

This summer, U.S. immigration policies took center stage when it was revealed that Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) was separating undocumented children from their families and detaining them in cages.

The inhumane conditions endured by undocumented children sparked protests around the country, many organized by liberal organization like MoveOn and Indivisible, which ordinarily don’t stray too far left of the Democratic Party line.

Outrage at what the U.S. government was doing led to calls to “Abolish ICE” — and in short order, some Democratic Party figures were adopting a slogan that weeks earlier would have only been heard from the left.

The demand to do away with a hated government enforcement agency that terrorizes millions of undocumented immigrants fit the moment like a glove. The unbelievable cruelty of the Trump administration had come together with the explosive nature of the struggles of ordinary people against him.

But that was then. For the past months leading up to the midterm elections, the Democrats have been running away from the issue of immigration in any form. The Center for American Progress, a well-known liberal think tank, advised Democratic candidates to avoid the discussion of immigration and pivot to...you guessed it: health care.

Even democratic socialist Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez — whose primary victory last spring over a machine Democrat helped popularize the Abolish ICE slogan — had softened her message by late August, when she said in a tweet, “#AbolishICE means not having an agency that incarcerates children and sexually assaults women with impunity. It does not mean abolish deportation.”

Trump is sowing fear to whip up his conservative base. But the Democrats are sowing fear of a different kind among their base — fear of Trump and fear of talking too radical and “alienating” moderate voters.

The resistance to Trump’s atrocities on immigration will need to ignore the Democrats’ cynical political calculations and organize opposition that stands proudly under the banner of “Abolish ICE.”

We need a socialist alternative that understands that the real “immigration problem” in the U.S. is the billions wasted militarizing a border and persecuting the vulnerable that could be used to welcome people across it if they want to come.


          Don't Step in the Tawanka!      Cache   Translate Page      
All I can say is 'Tawanka'! Regardless of what congressional seat or what state the seat is in the formula is always the same. With this Two Party/One Party system both the Republicans and Democrats each have their candidates well scripted.
          Election night live: Exit polls show huge Trump factor      Cache   Translate Page      
Live updates about the pivotal elections to determine control of Congress.
          The Latest: GOP’s Massie re-elected in Kentucky 4th District      Cache   Translate Page      
The Latest on the general election in Kentucky (all times local): 8 p.m. Republican U.S. Rep. Thomas Massie has won another term in Kentucky's 4th Congressional District. The former Lewis … Click to Continue »
          Michigan 2018 Election Guide: U.S. Congress      Cache   Translate Page      

The polls are open until 8 p.m.! Cast your vote! Michigan 2018 Election Guide: U.S. Congress Source

link: Michigan 2018 Election Guide: U.S. Congress


          Forex and Gold Forecast with Market Analysis      Cache   Translate Page      
(MENAFN - DailyFX) US DOLLAR FUNDAMENTAL FORECAST: BULLISH Midterm elections to overshadow status-quo Fed policy announcement Baseline bets favor divided Congress, which may boo...
          Republican Policy Is Inviting A Nightmare (or 3)      Cache   Translate Page      
Numerous prominent Republicans and former Republicans, some of whom were in top positions in Republican White Houses and Congress, have urged voters to vote for Democrats in this election (often for a whole set of reasons related to democracy and protecting the core essence of the United States that I'm not even going to discuss in this article)
          Alaska’s Election 2018: U.S. House Candidates Galvin, Young      Cache   Translate Page      
Side-by-side portraits of 2018 Alaska U.S. House candidates Alyse Galvin and Don Young.There are two candidates running for Alaska’s lone seat in the U.S. House of Representatives: Don Young and Alyse Galvin. This is independent candidate Galvin’s first time running for the congressional seat, which Congressman Young has held for the last 45 years. KNOM sat down with both Young and Galvin in the studio.
          Alaska’s Election 2018: Gov. Candidates Begich, Dunleavy      Cache   Translate Page      
Side-by-side headshot-style portraits of Mark Begich and Mike Dunleavy, wearing jackets and ties.KNOM spoke with Alaska gubernatorial candidates Mark Begich and Mike Dunleavy about their goals for Western Alaska. Particular topics of importance were education, subsistence, and climate issues.
          11/6/2018: YOU: A HEARTFELT THANK YOU      Cache   Translate Page      

LONDON Bono has a message for Congress: Thanks for ignoring U.S. President Donald Trump. Trump has sought to slash hundreds of millions of dollars of funding for AIDS programs at home and abroad, but the U2 frontman says members of Congress “have so...
          Balance of Power in Congress- Live Updates      Cache   Translate Page      
Track the balance of power between the major parties in Congress as results come in for House and Senate races. And stay tuned to 88.3 and WAER.org for continued coverage of the Midterm Election. Loading...
          Balter and Katko's Final Message to the 24th Congressional District Ahead of Election Night       Cache   Translate Page      
The most expensive race in the history of the 24 th congressional district ends today. All told, republican incumbent John Katko and democratic challenger Dana Balter have raised a record $5 million combined for the race. But they know it’s not about fundraising anymore, all that matters now is getting people to the polls. Both candidates have been up since dawn trying to do precisely that. If you are unsure about voting in today’s election, Balter has a message for you. “The most important thing is that people come out today and cast their votes ,” Balter said . “This is our chance to stand up and raise our voices and demand the government we deserve. We are incredibly lucky to have the ability to do that in this country, and we want to make sure everybody exercises that right.” At around 10 AM, Balter walked out of the Bishop Harrison Center in Syracuse after casting a ballot for herself. Standing outside the church and surrounded by family members, the first-time candidate gave her
          Money Well Spent      Cache   Translate Page      
For all of the obsession with campaign fundraising, there doesn't seem to be much interest in how it is spent. On the teevee at the gym around 4:45 I saw an ad for a Republican congressional candidate. I suppose it wasn't too late!!!
          Below Deck      Cache   Translate Page      
I bet Alito and Gorsuch and Kavanaugh will do everything to run interference for top people, especially Trump, and they can afford lawyers, but the little people should run out the door now.

Working for President Donald Trump has never been easy, but his staffers can expect a whole new level of mayhem if Democrats win control of the House on Tuesday.

Democratic control of even one chamber of Congress would unleash an onslaught of hearings, subpoenas and document demands as lawmakers investigate everything from the president’s personal tax returns to his controversial policies on immigration, health care and the environment.

          Urgent Press Release: Greenfield denounces Republican PAC dirty trick      Cache   Translate Page      

It has come to my attention that today I became the unwitting, unwilling “beneficiary” of a Republican PAC in Texas that has delivered $49,000 worth of mailers, robocalls, and social media ads exclusively to registered Democrats in New York’s 19th Congressional District, attacking Antonio Delgado, and comparing him unfavorably to me.… Read more ...


          Ayanna Pressley Is Officially Massachusetts's First Black Congresswoman       Cache   Translate Page      

On Tuesday night, Ayanna Pressley became the first black woman to represent Massachusetts in Congress. She ran uncontested in the general election.

Read more...


          Comment on A Few Big Legislative Races, Scattered Through Florida by palmcoaster      Cache   Translate Page      
On election day I have a big question regarding Trump's and GOP tax breaks for who? In two years of this POTUS not only I didn't get any tax breaks but further more my taxes are higher. Also so many new jobs and busting bright economy...where? Not in this county and not at my groceries and other necessities bills that have been affected by a huge inflation with just a dozen eggs double or triple price as everything else. The GOP's are inflating this huge balloon called economy by giving tax breaks to themselves and the other Greedy Opulent People aka GOP and on our backs because the Trump-oso in 2 years raised our debt left by Obama at 586 billions to 786 billions now. But sure this GOP Congress and their minions are not crying out loud about the debt ceiling now like their chastised Obama! Man this FL Senate seat may mean lots of hundreds of millions as Ricky S candidate invested 12.5 millions of his own Medicare fraud acquired funds in his FL Senate campaign. https://www.tampabay.com/florida-politics/buzz/2018/11/01/nine-days-11-million-rick-scott-pumps-more-of-his-wealth-into-florida-senate-race/
          McNamara’s Martyrs: Low-IQ Substitutes for College Men With Deferments      Cache   Translate Page      

This is not a well-known story. Congress covered it up at the time. This was bipartisan murder. The military could not meet its quotas. The draft was failing. Volunteers could not fill the ranks. In response, Robert McNamara devised a solution: draft low-IQ men who could not read or write. The military drafted over 300,000 … Continue reading "McNamara’s Martyrs: Low-IQ Substitutes for College Men With Deferments"

The post McNamara’s Martyrs: Low-IQ Substitutes for College Men With Deferments appeared first on Antiwar.com Blog.


          Minimum Wage: Buhari Begs NLC To Shelve Impending Nationwide Strike      Cache   Translate Page      
By Ganiyu Nasirudeen ABUJA, NIGERIA (AFRICAN EXAMINER) – Hours to the impending strike organized by the Nigeria Labour Congress (NLC) to press for the payment of the new National minimum wage, President Muhammadu Buhari has taken the humble pie by sending an appeal to the workers’ union leadership to shelve the planned industrial action. Mr. President […]
          Podcast: Kevin Cramer, Eric Trump, Kelly Armstrong, Tom Emmer      Cache   Translate Page      

On the radio show today, Congressman Kevin Cramer took calls and questions during his last appearance on the show before election day. Eric Trump made the case for sending Republican majorities back to Congress to support his father’s agenda. Also North Dakota and Minnesota U.S. House candidates Kelly Armstrong and Tom Emmer talked about their...

The post Podcast: Kevin Cramer, Eric Trump, Kelly Armstrong, Tom Emmer appeared first on Say Anything.


          Pope: let's pledge to ban anti-Semitism from humanity      Cache   Translate Page      

By The Associated Press


VATICAN CITY — Nov 5, 2018, 6:30 AM ET



WATCH: The U.S. Department of Justice has subpoenaed Catholic dioceses in Pennsylvania in its investigation of abuse by priests.



Pope Francis is urging efforts to ensure that anti-Semitism is "banned from the human community."

Francis lamented current anti-Semitic attitudes as he greeted visiting rabbis from the World Congress of Mountain Jews from the Caucasus at the Vatican Monday. He didn't mention last month's massacre at a synagogue in Pittsburgh. But he referred to the upcoming 80th anniversary of Kristallnacht, when German Nazis attacked Jews and their property, and the recent 75th anniversary of the roundup and deportation of Jews in Rome, when the city was under Nazi occupation.

Francis said: "Sadly, anti-Semitic attitudes are also present in our own times. As I have often repeated, a Christian cannot be an anti-Semite; we share the same roots."

He added: "We are called to commit ourselves to ensure anti-Semitism is banned from the human community."





          Interesting Recent Links - Toledot 5779 - Day 3      Cache   Translate Page      
These are the interesting links from the past 24 hours:
Geula-Related
כי לה' המלוכה על ידי מערכת כי לה' המלוכה
אירוע מוזר: דגים בים המלח – תאונות בכביש 90 | רמזים לגאולה



Security Incidents
Algemeiner.com by JNS.org
IDF Stops Arab Attempt to Stab Soldier In Kiryat Arba
Matzav.com - The Online Voice of Torah Jewry by editor
Terror Attack Averted In Kfar Adumim
Hamodia by Dov Benovadia
Border Guards Foil Stabbing in Maale Adumim
כיכר השבת על ידי דניאל הרץ
ניסיון דקירה נכשל: המחבלת נורתה ונוטרלה
כיכר השבת על ידי כיכר השבת
מזרח ירושלים: 3 ערבים נעצרו לאחר שיידו בקבוקי תבערה
Matzav.com - The Online Voice of Torah Jewry by editor
French Police Investigating Violent Assaults on Two Young Jews in Paris in Single Week
Matzav.com - The Online Voice of Torah Jewry by editor
Terrorist Shot During Stabbing Attack Near Kiryat Arba
Algemeiner.com by Algemeiner Staff
French Police Investigating Violent Assaults on Two Young Jews in Paris in Single Week
Yeshiva World News by Y.W. Editor
HATE IN LONG BEACH: Three Yeshiva Bochrim Shot With BB Gun



Iran
Algemeiner.com by JNS.org
With US Sanctions In Place, SWIFT Suspends Access to Certain Iranian Banks
Algemeiner.com by JNS.org
Pompeo: Iranian Economy Will ‘Crumble’ Under Newly Imposed US Sanctions
Hamodia by Hamodia
Iranian VP: Iran Able to Sell as Much Oil as It Needs Despite U.S. Pressure
Yeshiva World News by ZalmyX
WATCH THIS: Farrakhan Visits Iran, Calls America “Great Satan”; Leads ‘Death to Israel, Death to America’ Chants
Hamodia by Zalman Ahnsaf
Israel to Help U.S. Enforce Iran Sanctions
Matzav.com - The Online Voice of Torah Jewry by editor
Iran President Rouhani Warns Country Faces ‘War Situation’ As He Vows To Bypass New US Sanctions
worldtorahnews by Fox News
Louis Farrakhan, Nation of Islam leader, leads 'Death to America' chant in Iran
Algemeiner.com by Algemeiner Staff
As Renewed US Sanctions Hit, Iranian Regime Test-Fires Missiles in Major Military Exercise Led by IRGC
Algemeiner.com by Algemeiner Staff
Israeli PM Netanyahu Hails ‘Historic’ Reimposition of US Sanctions on Iran
Daily Wire by Hank Berrien
Trump Reimposes Sanctions On Iran. Iran Official Blusters U.S., Not Iran, Will Be Isolated
Yeshiva World News by Yekusiel
Iran Blames Denmark Assassination Plot On Alleged Israeli Conspiracy
Matzav.com - The Online Voice of Torah Jewry by editor
Iran Vows To Defy Us Sanctions And Resist ‘psychological Warfare’ As Embargo Takes Hold
Daily Wire by James Barrett
Farrakhan Leads 'Death To America, Israel' Chant In Iran
Hamodia by Hamodia
Iran Accuses Israel of Failed Cyberattack
Matzav.com - The Online Voice of Torah Jewry by editor
Guards Chief Says Iran Will Resist, Defeat US Sanctions
worldtorahnews by Fox News
Israeli PM praises US sanctions on Iran
worldtorahnews by Fox News
Iranians chant ‘Death to Israel’ and ‘Down with US’ to mark anniversary of embassy takeover
Yeshiva World News by Yekusiel
Iran President Warns Of ‘War Situation’ As Sanctions Resume
Algemeiner.com by Jonathan S. Tobin / JNS.org
Did Trump Blink on Iran Sanctions?
Algemeiner.com by Reuters and Algemeiner Staff
Iran Accuses Israel of Failed Cyber Attack



Asian-Australian Terrorism and Anti-Semitism
Algemeiner.com by Reuters and Algemeiner Staff
Taliban Officials Say They Will Attend Moscow Peace Talks



European Terrorism and Anti-Semitism
Algemeiner.com by JNS.org
Dutch Parliament to Hold Hearing on PA Program Rewarding Terrorism
Algemeiner.com by JNS.org
Labour Party Branch Defeats Motion Condemning Tree of Life Antisemitic Shooting
Hamodia by Hamodia
Six People Arrested in France Over ‘Loose’ Plan to Attack Macron
כיכר השבת על ידי יוחנן בלייך
שרד את השואה: בגטו, בצריף מט ליפול: נחשף ספר תורה עתיק
Matzav.com - The Online Voice of Torah Jewry by editor
Watch: Egyptian Reporter Talks About His Trip To The Death Camps
Hamodia by Hamodia
Germany Tries 94-Year-Old Accused of Helping Nazis in Camp Murders
Matzav.com - The Online Voice of Torah Jewry by editor
French Police Investigating Violent Assaults on Two Young Jews in Paris in Single Week
Algemeiner.com by Algemeiner Staff
French Police Investigating Violent Assaults on Two Young Jews in Paris in Single Week



Mideast Terrorism and Anti-Semitism
Algemeiner.com by JNS.org
IDF Stops Arab Attempt to Stab Soldier In Kiryat Arba
Matzav.com - The Online Voice of Torah Jewry by editor
Terror Attack Averted In Kfar Adumim
Hamodia by Dov Benovadia
Border Guards Foil Stabbing in Maale Adumim
כיכר השבת על ידי דניאל הרץ
ניסיון דקירה נכשל: המחבלת נורתה ונוטרלה
Hamodia by Dov Benovadia
Shin Bet Head: Hundreds of Terror Attacks Thwarted This Year
Hamodia by Dov Benovadia
Partial Demolition Order Issued for Home of Barkan Terrorist
כיכר השבת על ידי כיכר השבת
מזרח ירושלים: 3 ערבים נעצרו לאחר שיידו בקבוקי תבערה
כיכר השבת על ידי ב. ניסני
"סיכלנו 480 פיגועים": ראש השב"כ ארגמן: "השקט היחסי מתעתע"
כיכר השבת על ידי דניאל הרץ
חודש אחרי: בית המחבל הרוצח מהפיגוע בברקן ייהרס
Yeshiva World News by Spira
PM Netanyahu Now Backs Bill Facilitating The Death Penalty For Terrorists
Matzav.com - The Online Voice of Torah Jewry by editor
Terrorist Shot During Stabbing Attack Near Kiryat Arba
Algemeiner.com by JNS.org
Bill Authorizing Death Penalty for Palestinian Murderers Given OK by Netanyahu



North American Terrorism and Anti-Semitism
Algemeiner.com by Hannah Grossman
Alan Dershowitz on Trump, Israel, and Antisemitism
Algemeiner.com by Manfred Gerstenfeld
An International View of the Pittsburgh Murders
Algemeiner.com by JNS.org
Labour Party Branch Defeats Motion Condemning Tree of Life Antisemitic Shooting
Algemeiner.com by David M. Weinberg / JNS.org
Israel Plays an Important Role in Fighting Antisemitism
Matzav.com - The Online Voice of Torah Jewry by Editor
Am Echad Letter to MKs Re Government Recognition of Reform and Conservative Movements in the Wake of the Pittsburgh Massacre
Yeshiva World News by Yekusiel
Police Accuse NC Man Of Threatening Synagogue, Burning Cross
Hamodia by Hamodia
Pipe Bomb Suspect Scheduled for Election Day Court Hearing
Yeshiva World News by ZalmyX
WATCH THIS: Farrakhan Visits Iran, Calls America “Great Satan”; Leads ‘Death to Israel, Death to America’ Chants
Hamodia by Hamodia
A Remarkable Reaction to a Horrible Event
Hamodia by Hamodia
Letter by Am Echad to Members of the Israeli Knesset
Matzav.com - The Online Voice of Torah Jewry by editor
Mother Of Mail Bomb Suspect Cesar Sayoc Says, ‘This Is Not How I Raised Him’
Algemeiner.com by Shiri Moshe
Professor: BDS Panel at University of Michigan Was an ‘Unrelentingly Anti-Israel Propaganda Fete’
Yeshiva World News by ZalmyX
HATE IN NYC: NYPD Looking For Suspects Who Threw Metal Pipe at Williamsburg Shul; Swastika Drawers Arrested [VIDEO]
Yeshiva World News by ZalmyX
Steelers’ Quarterback Wears Special Cleats to Honor Pittsburgh Victims
Yeshiva World News by Y.W. Editor
HATE IN LONG BEACH: Three Yeshiva Bochrim Shot With BB Gun
worldtorahnews by Fox News
Louis Farrakhan, Nation of Islam leader, leads 'Death to America' chant in Iran
Matzav.com - The Online Voice of Torah Jewry by editor
Twitter Apologizes After ‘Kill All Jews’ Becomes A Trending Topic
Matzav.com - The Online Voice of Torah Jewry by editor
FAKE NEWS! Rumors Of A Bris At The Tree Of Life Synagogue Confirmed As False
Hamodia by Mordechai Wincorn
Jackson Mayor Calls out “Anti-Semitic” Campaign Material
Daily Wire by James Barrett
Farrakhan Leads 'Death To America, Israel' Chant In Iran



Prayers for Those in Need
Algemeiner.com by JNS.org
Israeli Health Ministry Launches Emergency Measles Vaccinations In Jerusalem
כיכר השבת על ידי דניאל הרץ
גבר חרדי נפצע בינוני לאחר שרכבו נפל עליו
כיכר השבת על ידי אלי רוטמן
עקב מות הפעוטה: פאניקה בשכונה: כך הילדים יחוסנו מחצבת
Matzav.com - The Online Voice of Torah Jewry by editor
Hundreds Gather In Mir’s Bais Yeshaya To Receive Vaccinations After Eight Talmidim Were Hospitalized With The Measles
Hamodia by Hamodia Staff
Eight Mir Yeshivah Bachurim Hospitalized With Measles
Matzav.com - The Online Voice of Torah Jewry by editor
Fire Breaks Out At Kosher Butcher Shop In Montreal
כיכר השבת על ידי דניאל הרץ
המלחמה בחצבת: משרד הבריאות התגייס
Yeshiva World News by Y.W. Editor
MAILBAG: Time to Stand Up to the Anti-Vaxxers
Hamodia by Mordechai Wincorn
Medical Organizations in Lakewood Respond to Measles Outbreak
Yeshiva World News by Poch854
Israel: Health Ministry Begins Taking Action Against Non-Vaccinated Children; Yeshivas Mir Urges Vaccinations



Deaths
כיכר השבת על ידי כיכר השבת
בתוך הכינרת: לאחר 56 שנה: אותרה גופת הטייס הישראלי
כיכר השבת על ידי אלי רוטמן
עקב מות הפעוטה: פאניקה בשכונה: כך הילדים יחוסנו מחצבת
כיכר השבת על ידי ישי כהן
תיעוד: עצרת במלאות השבעה לפטירת השר דוד אזולאי
Hamodia by Dov Benovadia
Partial Demolition Order Issued for Home of Barkan Terrorist
Hamodia by Dror Halavy
Police: 40 People Killed in Road Accidents in October
כיכר השבת על ידי דניאל הרץ
חודש אחרי: בית המחבל הרוצח מהפיגוע בברקן ייהרס
כיכר השבת על ידי דניאל הרץ
תאונת עבודה?: טבריה: גבר נהרג ככל הנראה מנפילת אבנים
Yeshiva World News by Spira
Driver Involved In Fatal Crash That Killed The Atar Family Did Not Have A Medical Marijuana License
Hamodia by Hamodia Staff
Harav Binem Levin Z”l
Yeshiva World News by Spira
VIDEO: Police Arrest Mafia Suspect in Targeted Vehicle Explosion That Killed 2 in Tel Aviv
Matzav.com - The Online Voice of Torah Jewry by editor
Two Dead In Car Explosion In Southern Tel Aviv



Great Rabbis
כיכר השבת על ידי אריאל אלחרר
גלריה: הברית לנין מרן הגר"ע יוסף זיע"א
Matzav.com - The Online Voice of Torah Jewry by editor
Leading Poskim In Yerushalayim Rule That Everyone Must Be Vaccinated
כיכר השבת על ידי ישי כהן
תיעוד: נשיא בית הדין הגר"ד לאו ביקר בארצות הברית
כיכר השבת על ידי שאול כהנא
מתקפה חריפה: הרבי מערלוי על הריקוד במטה 'דגל' בחיפה: "צלם בהיכל"
Hamodia by Hamodia Staff
Harav Binem Levin Z”l



Miracles
Algemeiner.com by JNS.org
Dutch Parliament to Hold Hearing on PA Program Rewarding Terrorism
Matzav.com - The Online Voice of Torah Jewry by editor
Terrorist Shot During Stabbing Attack Near Kiryat Arba



Judaism
Matzav.com - The Online Voice of Torah Jewry by editor
Watch: R’ Yossi Serebryanski Shares His Inspiring Story
כיכר השבת על ידי יוחנן בלייך
ב'כינוס השלוחים': שליח חב"ד הפתיע את הנוכחים בכינוס בביצוע ראפ • צפו
Matzav.com - The Online Voice of Torah Jewry by editor
Watch: Chabad Speaker Raps Onstage At The Kinnus Shluchim
Matzav.com - The Online Voice of Torah Jewry by Editor
Am Echad Letter to MKs Re Government Recognition of Reform and Conservative Movements in the Wake of the Pittsburgh Massacre
כיכר השבת על ידי יוחנן בלייך
שרד את השואה: בגטו, בצריף מט ליפול: נחשף ספר תורה עתיק
Matzav.com - The Online Voice of Torah Jewry by editor
Leading Poskim In Yerushalayim Rule That Everyone Must Be Vaccinated
Matzav.com - The Online Voice of Torah Jewry by editor
Photo: Orthodox Jews Spotted In The VIP Section Behind The President During A MAGA Rally In Cleveland
Myrtle Rising - Blog by Unknown
Rav Avigdor Miller on Non-Domestic Roles for Women
Hamodia by Hamodia Staff
Rabbinical Council of Europe Convened to Tackle the Challenges of the New Generation
כיכר השבת על ידי ישי כהן
בדיון חריג: בית הדין גזר שנת מאסר והסרבן הסכים לגרש
כיכר השבת על ידי כיכר השבת
חצות לילה בכותל: גשם ומתפללים • גלריה
Yeshiva World News by Y.W. Editor
5,600 Chabad Shluchim And Guests Reflect And Celebrate At International Banquet [VIDEOS & PHOTOS]
Matzav.com - The Online Voice of Torah Jewry by editor
FAKE NEWS! Rumors Of A Bris At The Tree Of Life Synagogue Confirmed As False
Shirat Devorah by Devorah
Thoughts on the Migrant Caravan
Going Home ... To Yerushalayim by Neshama
Rabbi Mizrachi on Parshas Toldot
Yeshiva World News by Y.W. Editor
Photo Essay Part 1: Annual Chabad Kinnus Hashluchim Held In Rockland County; Attended By Nearly 6,000
worldtorahnews by JTA
At least 40,000 Jews gather in Hebron to mark biblical purchase of Cave of the Patriarchs



Election Stuff
Matzav.com - The Online Voice of Torah Jewry by editor
ELECTION DAY: Control of Congress, and Verdict on Trump, at Stake in Midterm Elections
Algemeiner.com by Reuters and Algemeiner Staff
Control of Congress, and Verdict on Trump, at Stake in US Elections
Yeshiva World News by Y.W. Editor
BLUE WAVE OR RED TSUNAMI? Americans Are Casting Votes To Decide
כיכר השבת על ידי שאול כהנא
מתקפה חריפה: הרבי מערלוי על הריקוד במטה 'דגל' בחיפה: "צלם בהיכל"
Emes Ve-Emunah by Harry Maryles
It's the Economy, Stupid!
Algemeiner.com by JNS.org
The Top 10 House Races of Concern to Jewish Voters




          Flickr of Destruction      Cache   Translate Page      
Last April, photo sharing service SmugMug purchased photo sharing service Flickr and I was optimistic: Flickr of Hope. I still am, but Flickr's tension between being a public good and a private company is hitting the fan (so to speak) after they announced that they will delete photos from free accounts that have more than 1,000 photos: Why we’re changing Flickr free accounts.

I have 1,433 photos at Flickr and I'm not paying for a pro account so 433 photos will disappear in January. I'm not a pro member for many of the same reasons Brian Sawyer writes about here: So Long, Flickr, and Thanks for All the Photos. (Brian edited the Flickr Hacks book I co-wrote in 2006.) At one time I shared all of my photos online at Flickr but I don't use the service today. I downloaded those photos long ago, but I still think it's valuable to leave them in their original context. They're not important historic documents that need to be preserved but maybe the Flickr archives as a whole do count as an important historic document?

Alt copyright framework Creative Commons thinks so: CC Working with Flickr to Protect the Commons. They say, "Flickr is one of the most important platforms to host and share CC licensed works on the web, and over 400 million of the photos there are CC licensed – representing over a quarter of all CC licensed works on the web." Flickr's new policy could remove a good number of those but I haven't seen any estimates.

Flickr is in a difficult position. As a private company they can't store an infinite number of photos for free indefinitely. That's traditionally the role of institutions like The Library of Congress but does the LOC care about millions of personal snapshots? Maybe the Internet Archive could take them on, but I can imagine it would strain their resources as well.

I hope Creative Commons can help Flickr find a home for those photos. If not a new home, maybe a grant of some kind to help with the costs to preserve our collective history.
          What are the key takeaways from Election Day?      Cache   Translate Page      
There are some key takeaways coming to light from Election Day as midterm elections could shed light on President Trump's impact on voters. "CBS This Morning" co-anchors Norah O'Donnell and John O'Donnell, and CBS News chief Congressional correspondent Nancy Cordes join "CBS Evening News" to break it down.

          America on knife's-edge: First polls close in House and Senate races that could doom Trumpism      Cache   Translate Page      
As polls closed one time zone at a time in what politicians have called 'the most important election' in most Americans' lives, Democrats drew first blood by knocking off a GOP congresswoman.
          Republicans face a tough challenge to hold the House      Cache   Translate Page      
The battle for Congress is underway as voting winds down in several states. Republicans, who currently are in the majority in both chambers, face a tough challenge to hold the House. CBS News' Anthony Mason has the latest results from the exit polls.

          Cross River guber: Parties gear for a three-horse race      Cache   Translate Page      

CLEMENT JAMES writes on the 2019 governorship in Cross River State, which seems a three-horse race between the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), All Progressives Congress (APC) and Social Democratic Party (SDP) given the personalities the parties are fielding   Clearly, the forthcoming elections, especially the governorship election, is expected to generate enormous interest in Cross […]

The post Cross River guber: Parties gear for a three-horse race appeared first on Newtelegraph.


          Uzodinma to Okorocha: You underestimated your dwindling popularity      Cache   Translate Page      

The persistent claim by Governor Rochas Okorocha of Imo state that the ruling All Progressive Congress (APC) will lose elections in the state, including over 5 million votes in the South-East following the party’s failure to give gubernatorial ticket to his son-in-law, Uche Nwosu, was yesterday dismissed as an empty threat and wishful thinking of […]

The post Uzodinma to Okorocha: You underestimated your dwindling popularity appeared first on Newtelegraph.


          Midterm Election Night 2018: We're Partying With Congressional Candidates and State Legislators!      Cache   Translate Page      
Weed! Tacos! A Motherfucking Blue Wave! by Stranger Election Control Board

6:10 PM

FINALLY, FLORIDA BRINGS US SOME GOOD NEWS


***

Jump to:

6 PM: THE BIG TURNOUT IS HIGHLIGHTING THE BIG SHORTCOMINGS IN THIS COUNTRY'S VOTING SYSTEM

5:40 PM: FLASHBACKS AND FEELINGS AS THE POLLS START TO CLOSE ON THE EAST COAST

5:10 PM: THE SECB RUNS INTO BEN GIBBARD AND JOHN RODERICK

***

6:00 PM

THE BIG TURNOUT IS HIGHLIGHTING THE BIG SHORTCOMINGS IN THIS COUNTRY'S VOTING SYSTEM


In Missouri, a poll worker asked a voter if they were a member of a caravan. In Texas, a poll worker got canned for saying racist shit and bumping a voter. (The former poll worker now faces a criminal assault charge.) All over the country, lawyers are running to courts to get orders to keep polling stations open so that people standing in long line—often for many hours—will be able to vote. And in Georgia, where shit is real fucked up, the shady Republican Secretary of State who's running for governor against Democrat Stacey Abrams while also overseeing the state's unfair election system—this shady dude who claims nothing's wrong with Georgia's voting system had his own troubles voting. Karma's a blank ballot, dude.

Everyone, everywhere, listen to Beto:

***

5:40 PM

FLASHBACKS AND FEELINGS AS THE POLLS START TO CLOSE ON THE EAST COAST


The SECB is like the rest of you with the Post-2016 Traumatic Stress feelings. So we A) don't believe any of it until the Russians stuff the final batch of votes in all the boxes and B) desperately want these early signs of unusually high voter turnout and general Trump-rejection to be real. So lets take some deep, centering breaths, go to the New York Times's "calm place" and stare at water flowing over a hand-model's hands when necessary, and focus, for now, on the positive:

AND:

You ask: What about badass fighter pilot Democrat Amy McGrath in blood-red Kentucky? It's close. Send her the best vibrations you pick up at the calm place.

***

5:10 PM

THE SECB RUNS INTO BEN GIBBARD AND JOHN RODERICK ON OUR WAY TO FUEL UP ON TACOS


John Roderick, Nathalie Graham, Rich Smith, and Benjamin Gibbard on Seattle streets shortly before midterm election results.
John Roderick, Nathalie Graham, Rich Smith, and Benjamin Gibbard on Seattle streets shortly before midterm election results. CF

On our way to fuel up on tacos before a night of crashing election parties, the SECB ran into Ben Gibbard (lead singer for Death Cab for Cutie and the Postal Service) and John Roderick (lead singer of The Long Winters and a former Seattle City Council candidate). We ran into them a block away from Carmelo's Tacos, our favorite new taco joint tucked inside Hillcrest Market.

Asked for predictions, Roderick said, "We take the House and lose the Senate. And who knows what happens after that." Gibbard concurred with Roderick's prediction.

"I think the governors' races are going to be a wash," Gibbard added. "Remember that beautiful, innocent time when we thought we could believe in polls?"

Roderick said, "All I want is to see Dino Rossi lose. I want to see him go straight into a hole. Put him up for dogcatcher."

After we parted with the famous musicians, a 22-year-old member of the SECB said, "I'm pretty cool in the face of fame."

The SECB hard at work while Carmelos makes us tacos. Also pictured: the balls of dough that get flattened into tortillas.
The SECB hard at work while Carmelo's makes us tacos. Also pictured: the balls of dough that get flattened into tortillas. CF

This post will be updated as more information trickles in. Or floods. We honestly don't know.

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          Exit polls: This election is about Donald Trump      Cache   Translate Page      
Two-thirds of voters say their vote in today's congressional election is about Donald Trump, according to early exit polls, and more say they're showing up at the polls to express opposition than support for the President.

          Comment on Hours after his grand entry in ‘Lutyens’ club,’ Republic TV takes down Arnab Goswami’s old piece slamming ‘Lutyens media’ from its website by Yug      Cache   Translate Page      
You guys are paid congress worker and this muslim journalisting taht one can see is titally fake..you thjnk that ownjng a news channel mean writing anything without any facts is simple and people can be foolded is really idiotic...yiu guys always write negative news against govt to demean bjp..
          Comment on Demand grows for banning of ‘habitual abuser’ Sambit Patra from TV, Rajdeep Sardesai apologises by Adl      Cache   Translate Page      
What about congress leader, Niprum, kamalnath, Rahul Gandhi and shasi
          Comment on Demand grows for banning of ‘habitual abuser’ Sambit Patra from TV, Rajdeep Sardesai apologises by Mahesh kumar      Cache   Translate Page      
Sambit Patra is a fine orator who debates with facts. Congress spokespersons only can shout.
          Comment on Demand grows for banning of ‘habitual abuser’ Sambit Patra from TV, Rajdeep Sardesai apologises by nagaraj      Cache   Translate Page      
Dr. Sambit Patra is a great personality, while the Congress is having only pidi`s, India don't need pidi`s, pls ban pidi`s.
          Comment on Demand grows for banning of ‘habitual abuser’ Sambit Patra from TV, Rajdeep Sardesai apologises by Dharamvir Dhanda      Cache   Translate Page      
Sambit Patra is the finest debater.When congress unable to match they start asking fr his removal.his prescence becomes must watch debate.
          Comment on Demand grows for banning of ‘habitual abuser’ Sambit Patra from TV, Rajdeep Sardesai apologises by D.keshav      Cache   Translate Page      
Who are these people objecting ?Communists, congress,urban Naxals.Not to worry about their objections.!! They can continue to raise objections,most of the public supports Sambit.
          Comment on Demand grows for banning of ‘habitual abuser’ Sambit Patra from TV, Rajdeep Sardesai apologises by Vishwas wadekar      Cache   Translate Page      
Salman Khurshid called PM as Napinsak, Rahul calls Modi as Chor, Sonia calls PM Maut ka Saudagar, Iyer calls PM as Beech Jatika, Kharge calls PM as dog, so what is wrong if Sambit calls a Chanchal as Kutta. Who are objecting.... Traitors like Prashant Bhushan, Shehla Rashid, Useless Divya Spandana....these are Hindu haters and Congress per animals. So why worry about them.
          Comment on Demand grows for banning of ‘habitual abuser’ Sambit Patra from TV, Rajdeep Sardesai apologises by Diwakar Yadav      Cache   Translate Page      
Sambit Patra words are true and fact if congress people doesn't value the position of prime minister and where are these people they don't have voices to raise mr sasi tharoor may call pm scorpion and if patra call them dog and etc what wrong in that I support bjp and their spokes person the show runs by the people not so called peoples of jnu or some lawyers..Etc.. we have freedom to express see when u throw stone on your house made of glass it will break so you people maintain the sa city of politics then expect the same from othersalso
          Election Night: The Battle For Control of Congress      Cache   Translate Page      


          Those Who Carried Out Operation Choke Point Should Face Penalties      Cache   Translate Page      

Last August, the Department of Justice more or less told Congress it would no longer help the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation break the law. The... Read More

The post Those Who Carried Out Operation Choke Point Should Face Penalties appeared first on The Daily Signal.


          Why The Race For Virginia's 7th Congressional District Is One To Watch      Cache   Translate Page      
In the race for one of Virginia's House seats, Tea Party incumbent Rep. Dave Brat is in a tight re-election race against former CIA officer Abigail Spanberger.
          What Democrats And Republicans Hope To See In The Next Congress      Cache   Translate Page      
Rep. Cheri Bustos, D-Ill., and Rep. Tom Rooney, R-Fla., share what their respective parties hope to see in the next Congress.
          Rep. Warren Davidson On The Path He Sees For The Freedom Caucus After The Midterms      Cache   Translate Page      
NPR's Ailsa Chang speaks with Rep. Warren Davidson, R-Ohio, a member of the conservative and libertarian-leaning Freedom Caucus, about what he anticipates for the next Congress.
          Rasmussen: Republicans Kick the CRAP Out of Democrats      Cache   Translate Page      
Although Rasmussen didn’t say Democrats will get their asses kicked, their poll certainly implies it. The latest poll shows Republicans advantages. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds that 46% would choose the Republican candidate if the elections for Congress were held today. Forty-five percent (45%) would vote […]
          Cramer's lightning round: Celgene could recover if the Democrats win the House      Cache   Translate Page      
Jim Cramer says a biotechnology stock could launch a recovery if the midterm elections bring a blue wave to Congress.
          Key House races to watch, and their implications for American politics      Cache   Translate Page      

Editor’s note: This is the last in a four-part series considering the outcome of the November 2018 elections for the United States House of Representatives in the context of our Monopoly Politics projections. Read the first part here, the second here and the third here.

Following all 435 U.S. House of Representative races on Election Day can be a daunting task. Not to worry; we’ve done the work for you, using our Monopoly Politics model to project not only who will win, but by how much.

Compare actual results to our projections for a 50-50 baseline year to determine just how red or blue the much-discussed “wave” taking the House will be.

Pay special attention to these key races; we’ll be right there with you.

Bellwethers

This short list, based on analysis by several political commentators and our own Monopoly Politics projections, highlights races that might indicate whether 2018 favors Democrats or Republicans retain control.

Key Races with Women Candidates

A pink wave may be looming thanks to a record number of women candidates on the ballot. According to FairVote’s analysis, as many as 29 new women legislators could join the U.S. House in 2019. Monopoly Politics has not made high-confidence projections for 19 of these contests nor for the seven in which women incumbents are in danger of losing their seats, making these races to watch.

Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania is a state to watch thanks to the new maps created after the Pennsylvania Supreme Court ruled the state’s 2011 districts were unconstitutional. In the first general election since the lines were redrawn, it’s likely the balance of seats each party holds will shift.

Monopoly Politics projects that Democratic candidates will win five seats, Republicans eight, and the winners of the five remaining seats are not projected. FiveThirtyEight and The Cook Political Report characterize four of these as favoring the Democrat and one as a toss-up, meaning Democrats could pick up an additional three to four seats, dramatically altering the partisan breakdown of the state’s congressional delegation.

A final race to watch in Pennsylvania is the 17th Congressional District, which features two incumbents: Keith Rothfus of the former 12th Congressional District and Conor Lamb of the former 18th Congressional District.

Maine

The U.S. House races in Maine will make history no matter who wins because the seats  will be determined using ranked choice voting (RCV). In the 1st Congressional District, incumbent U.S. Rep. Democrat Chellie Pingree and Republican challenger Mark Holbrook said they will not rank candidates. Meanwhile, independent candidate Marty Grohman has been an outspoken backer of RCV.

Incumbent U.S. Rep. Republican Bruce Poliquin is facing Democratic challenger Jared Golden and independents Tiffany Bond and Will Hoar in the 2nd Congressional District. The two independents in the race are forecasted to receive a little over 4 percent of the vote share. Under the traditional single-winner plurality system, the two independents could pull enough votes from the other candidates to “spoil” the race. A “spoiler effect” does not occur with RCV however, because votes are counted until one candidate secures a majority.

Overall Projections

If Democrats retake the House in 2018, it will likely be by a very slim margin of seats. Monopoly Politics projects the outcomes for 379 of the 435 seats at the highest level of confidence—projections which have proven to be 99.9 percent accurate. Of those, 206 seats are projected to go to Republicans, and 173 to Democrats.

The remaining 56 seats are too competitive to call with a high level of confidence, but a few could make the difference in control of the House.

infogram_0_5dbdc784-facc-45da-8751-9e237d256d50Make or Break Districtshttps://e.infogram.com/js/dist/embed.js?D8dtext/javascript


Could our projections be wrong?

There are some instances in which Monopoly Politics’ projections — though made with our highest level of confidence — might be off. There are two potential reasons.

First, our high-confidence projections may be inaccurate due to a change in voter behavior. Our projections take into account only the last presidential election’s partisan dynamic. Whether the shift from 2012 to 2016 was temporary or indicative of a lasting “Trump Effect” could impact the accuracy of our 2018 projections. Consider, for example, the close race in Iowa’s 3rd Congressional District. The district favored Obama in 2008 and 2012, then swung to Trump in 2016. Polls show the Republican incumbent is trailing, though Monopoly Politics projects a Republican winner.

Following the election, FairVote will analyze how accurate our partisanship metric is compared with those that include both 2016 and 2012 election data. If our metric is more predictive of the results, we’ll know that the Republican base has shifted, with Trump voters forming the new base for Republicans. If it doesn’t, that suggests Trump’s base may be willing to vote for Trump, but not for down-ballot Republicans.

The other reason our projections might be wrong is that partisan waves can increase the chance of a statistical fluke. While our model requires at least a 56 percent partisan preference before making a high-confidence projection, an overall 54 percent Democratic wave would bring those seats which favor Republicans by 56 percent within competitive range.

(Note: Such a wave year would be far outside the norm, which is why our high-confidence projections do not anticipate waves. Our full projections do take this kind of partisan shift into account, and we remain confident our projections will prove reliable when adjusted for 2018’s two-party preference.)

If there is a large “blue wave,” races such as Georgia’s 6th Congressional District may give wins to Democrats even though Monopoly Politics calls the seat “safe” for Republicans.

The takeaway?

That control of the House rests on just a few competitive seats highlights how broken the American political system is. Monopoly Politics’ projections are both extremely accurate and extremely simple, without regard to fundraising, scandals or polls. Until the reforms outlined in the Fair Representation Act are in place — including multi-winner districts elected via ranked choice voting — only a fraction of seats will ever be truly competitive.

The upcoming release of Monopoly Politics 2020, the next edition of our series, will project U.S. House race winners nearly two years in advance, underscoring the problematic predictability of our system.


Illustration by Mikhaila Markham


          Let’s make elections about the issues, not “spoiler” hacks      Cache   Translate Page      

On the eve of the 2018 midterm elections, the issue of “spoilers” and third-party and independent candidates is front and center in several of most high-profile elections, even as Maine is showcasing the best solution: ranked choice voting.

President Donald Trump brought attention to how the major parties can manipulate voters through use and abuse of the role of third-party candidates. On Saturday, the president tweeted that allies of incumbent Democratic Sen. Joe Donnelly have been seeking to elevate the Libertarian Party candidate as more conservative than the Republican nominee for U.S. Senate:

Rumor has it that Senator Joe Donnelly of Indiana is paying for Facebook ads for his so-called opponent on the libertarian ticket. Donnelly is trying to steal the election? Isn’t that what Russia did!?

The Indiana Democratic Party indeed has issued ads that compare Republican Mike Braun and Libertarian nominee Lucy Brenton - not because they want Brenton to win, of course, but because they know that conservative votes for Brenton are votes not being cast for Braun.

Both parties engage in such tactics regularly, with controversies this year including the staff of a Republican congressman in Virginia collecting fraudulent signatures in an effort to help a former Democratic congressional nominee get on the ballot as an an independent. As Trump points out, Russian hackers of our elections in 2016 engaged in the same tactic in the presidential race, which former Republican congressman John Porter and I explained in an op-ed earlier this year.

More generally, third parties and independents are under attack across the nation for “spoiling” elections, as detailed last month by FairVote intern Ryan Joy. Notably, the past month has seen a run of prominent independents and third parties dropping out to avoid dividing a potential majority vote. Dropouts include the incumbent independent governor of Alaska Bill Walker and candidates running in major statewide races in Arizona, Maine, Oregon and - at least for one day - Michigan. In Georgia, votes for Libertarian nominees in elections for governor and secretary of state may trigger a December runoff election, as Georgia seeks to uphold majority rule.

Congressman Porter and I turn to a better way to secure our elections and put voters first:  ranked choice voting (RCV). Already used in 11 cities, with five additional cities recently enacting it for their next elections, RCV is being showcased this year in Maine in multi-candidate races for U.S. Senate and U.S. House for the first time in American history. Grounded in the editors’ experience with RCV in mayoral elections in Portland and the statewide primaries in June, this editorial in the Maine’s largest paper, The Portland Press Herald, about the withdrawal of independent gubernatorial candidate Alan Caron makes a compelling contrast between our usual single-choice, “top-of-the-heap” plurality system with ranked choice voting:

Caron came into the race with decades looking at Maine’s economic history and formulating ideas about what could make it grow now. But for most of the race, the first question he was asked was how he would navigate the spoiler question….. How different would this race have been if ranked-choice voting had been in play? Instead of asking him to drop out, people might have asked him about his plan to make the state energy independent by 2030, or two free years of higher ed for students who live in Maine for 10 years. Instead of focusing on how to prevent the worst possible outcome from the election, voters could have thought about what the best outcome could look like. That doesn’t mean that candidates like Caron would win, but they would at least have a chance to make their case.

Next Tuesday, Mainers will be able to compare the two voting systems. They will be able to rank preferences in the multi-candidate races for U.S. Senate and Congress but not in the three-way race for governor. Any of them who did not fill out a ranked-choice ballot in the June primary will get a chance to decide what’s more confusing: Marking a ballot that indicates a first and second choice, or trying to handicap a multi-candidate race, figuring out who’s a legitimate contender and who’s a spoiler.

In his news conference Monday, Caron said that he would work to pass a constitutional amendment to permit ranked-choice voting in state races. That remains the best way to address this problem.

FairVote’s senior fellow David Daley foreshadowed this editorial in his recent excellent analysis for the journal Democracy:

“[Ranked choice voting] is not a partisan reform. There will be times when it might help Democrats, or aid Republicans, or boost independents. This is a reform for voters, and a reform that incentivizes politicians to campaign and govern beyond their bases. RCV is the most significant reform we could enact to give voters more meaningful choices and ensure winners with true majority support. Candidates shouldn’t be dropping out, and offering voters fewer choices, just when most voters are beginning to pay attention. Likewise, there’s no need for voters to spend late October obsessing with polls and fretting a spoiler vote, or having to return a second time to the polls in November. The solution is as easy as 1, 2, 3.”

Let’s do what’s best for voters - and best for upholding the integrity of our elections - and avoiding electoral tactics based on undercutting representative democracy. Let’s enact ranked choice voting across our federal and state elections.


Illustration by Mikhaila Markham 


          Urgent: Steve King      Cache   Translate Page      

Everyone: call on AT&T to stop funding the racist congresscritter Steve King.

If you sign, please spread the word!


          Wexton beats Comstock as Dems flip suburban Va. district      Cache   Translate Page      

CHANTILLY, Va. (AP) - Democrat Jennifer Wexton defeated two-term Republican incumbent Barbara Comstock on Tuesday in a northern Virginia congressional race that drew national attention.

The race was long seen as a prime opportunity for Democrats to pick up one of the 23 seats they need to gain to take ...

          Denver Riggleman wins in Virginia's 5th District      Cache   Translate Page      

Republican Denver Riggleman on Tuesday was elected to represent Virginia's 5th Congressional District in Congress, turning aside a challenge from Democrat Leslie Cockburn.

Mr. Riggleman, a distillery owner/operator, will succeed retiring GOP Rep. Tom Garrett and deny Democrats what the party had eyed as one of several realistic House pick-up ...

          VoteCast: Nevada voters say nation headed wrong way      Cache   Translate Page      

A majority of voters deciding pivotal midterm races in Nevada said the country is headed in the wrong direction, according to a wide-ranging survey of the American electorate.

As voters cast ballots for governor, U.S. Senate and members of Congress in Tuesday's elections, AP VoteCast found that about 4 in ...

          Библиотека Конгресса США: Веб-архивы зарубежного права      Cache   Translate Page      

Данная заметка библиотекаря – специалиста по электронным коллекциям Чарльза Хосейла (Charles Hosale – на фото) была опубликована на сайте Библиотеки Конгресса США 22 октября 2018 года в блоге «Сигнал» (The Signal).

Право и государственное управление являются главными областями веб-архивации, осуществляемой Библиотекой Конгресса, и эти веб-архивы занимают видное место среди тематических коллекций, доступных на сайте Библиотеки loc.gov. Правовая библиотека Конгресса (The Law Library, https://www.loc.gov/law/ - часть Библиотеки Конгресса США, хранящая 2,65 миллионов томов – Н.Х.), располагающая крупнейшей в мире коллекцией материалов по вопросам права и юриспруденции, также координирует сбор материалов правовых веб-сайтов посредством пяти значительных коллекций:
Эти коллекции включают более 1500 заархивированных веб-сайтов, многие из которых являются частью недавно выложенного (см. https://blogs.loc.gov/thesignal/2018/08/more-web-archives-less-process/ ) массива из 4240 новых заархивированных сайтов (см. https://www.loc.gov/websites/ ) в составе 43 событийных и тематических коллекций (см. https://www.loc.gov/websites/index/partof/ ).

Чтобы получить дополнительные сведения о новом Веб-архиве зарубежного права, я побеседовал с Робертом Браммером (Robert Brammer), старшим специалистом по правовой информации Правовой библиотеки. Помимо создания коллекций заархивированных веб сайтов для Правовой библиотеки, Роберт участвует в качестве эксперта по предметной области в программе развития сайта Конгресса ( https://www.congress.gov/ ). Он создал чатбот для раздела Правовой библиотеки в Facebook Messenger, а также является членом группы, ведущей блог «In Custodia Legis» (Хранитель законов, см. https://blogs.loc.gov/law/ ). Роберт объяснил, что Веб-архив зарубежного права включает иностранные юридические материалы, в том числе официальные онлайн-бюллетени и материалы сайтов судебных органов. Их важно собрать по той причине, что многие зарубежные юридические материалы теперь размещаются в Интернете, причем некоторые юрисдикции полностью отказываются от бумажных публикаций.


Главная страница Веб-архива зарубежного права на сайте Библиотеки Конгресса

Правовая библиотека пришла к идее создания новой коллекции, когда их её специалисты по зарубежному праву отметили, что правовые материалы некоторых юрисдикций сложно приобретать или же они считаются подверженными риску исчезновения из Интернета. Роберт во взаимодействии с экспертами отбирал юрисдикции для сбора и архивирования материалов. Новая коллекция гарантирует, что Правовая библиотека Конгресса и впредь сможет предоставлять всесторонний и своевременный доступ к иностранным правовым материалам для исследователей со всего мира. Действительно, основным достоинством этой коллекции является не какой-либо один веб-сайт, а спектр контента из самых разных стран. Теперь Библиотека Конгресса может обеспечить доступность этих ресурсов для будущих поколений!

Чарльз Хосейл (Charles Hosale)

Мой комментарий: Подобная коллекция была бы полезна и нашим специалистам, в первую очередь в плане материалов из стран СНГ и ближнего зарубежья.

Источник: блог «Сигнал» (The Signal) на сайте Библиотеки Конгресса США
https://blogs.loc.gov/thesignal/2018/10/foreign-law-web-archives/

          Federparchi - La relazione del presidente Sammuri al Direttivo di Federparchi      Cache   Translate Page      
Le linee programmatiche presentate alla prima riunione del 6 novembre
(06 Nov 18) Siamo all’indomani di un congresso di Federparchi che ritengo particolarmente importante. Personalmente è il settimo al quale [...]

          PR Fiume Sile - XVII Congresso Nazionale A.I.I.A.D. “Monitoraggio e gestione responsabile della biodiversità degli ecosistemi acquatici continentali italiani: crostacei, ciclostomi e pesci”      Cache   Translate Page      
Dal 7 al 10 novembre a Roma
(Treviso, 06 Nov 18) [...]

          Exit polls show healthcare is the biggest issue for voters — and that could be a good sign for Democrats      Cache   Translate Page      

Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer

  • Early exit polls show that a plurality of voters identified healthcare as the most important issue in the 2018 midterm elections.
  • The polls could be a good sign for Democrats, who made healthcare their top issue during the campaign.
  • Preelection polls also showed voters trusted Democrats over Republicans on healthcare.
  • But exit polls can be unreliable and it's unclear how the focus influenced individual races.

Healthcare was the driving issue for many Americans in Tuesday's midterm elections, according to early exit polls, and the focus could be a good sign for Democrats.

According to early exit polls, healthcare was the most important issue for a plurality of voters in the midterms. An exit poll conducted by CNN, NBC, and other major outlets found 40% of Americans picking healthcare as their most important issue. Immigration came in second with roughly 20% of people selecting it as the top issue.

An exit poll conducted by the Associated Press' Votecast system also found that healthcare was the most important issue, but by a slimmer margin. 26% of Americans selected healthcare as the top issue with immigration nabbing a 23% share and 19% of people picking the economy.

Read more: Midterms 2018 LIVE: Follow along for live results and coverage of a wild election night

Healthcare was a dominant theme for Democrats throughout the election season with both House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer imploring candidates to focus on the issue during the waning days of the campaign.

"I write to acknowledge the vital role Congressional Democrats played in protecting the Affordable Care Act and exposing the GOP’s monstrous health care agenda – and I urge all of us to continue to push this message in the next 24 hours," Pelosi said in a letter to colleagues on Monday.

Read more: The 2018 midterms will have a big impact on healthcare, from Medicaid to nurses to abortion — here are the key issues

The focus on healthcare may also be a good, though incredibly early, sign for Democrats' hopes of retaking the House of Representatives. According to polling done before the election, Americans generally trusted the party more on healthcare and Democrats poured money into advertising on the issue.

Additionally, support for Obamacare and the law's preexisting conditions protections are at relative high points — both are issues that the Democrats harped on in the lead up to Election Day.

On the flip side, Trump and the GOP largely played defense on healthcare and attempted to turn the focus onto the strong economy or immigration issues like the migrant caravan. But that fight seems to have been blunted.

The results do come with a few caveats. Exit polls are prone to unreliability and just because voters were focused on healthcare doesn't mean that they voted for Democrats.

But Democrats largely wanted the midterm elections to be a referendum on the GOP's handling of healthcare and it appears the party got its wish.

SEE ALSO: A fight over the most popular piece of Obamacare could define the 2018 midterm elections

Join the conversation about this story »

NOW WATCH: This top economist has a radical plan to change the way Americans vote


          New York Post: Trump robocalls 55,000 Staten Island, Brooklyn homes in support of Donovan      Cache   Translate Page      
Taking no chance of losing the only Republican congressional seat in his hometown, President Trump delivered an 11th-hour taped message to 55,000 households on Staten Island and in southern Brooklyn, 
          U.S. midterm elections 2018: Democrats steal House seats from Republicans in key Virginia, Florida races      Cache   Translate Page      
Two years after the election of Donald Trump electorate are headed again to the polls around the U.S. to make a decision whether or not the president will proceed governing with a Republican-controlled congress or if a “blue wave” will give Democrats keep an eye on. All 435 seats within the ...
          Where to find election results tonight      Cache   Translate Page      
* Click here for WBEZ’s election results. They have statewides and congressional. * Click here for the Sun-Times’ state Senate results, click here for the paper’s state House results, click here for their Cook County results and click here for their DuPage County results. The full set of results from the paper is here.
          US Elections Preview: 7 major banks expectations from Mid-Term elections      Cache   Translate Page      
US Congress holds midterm elections on Tuesday and as we get close to the Election Day, here are the expectations as forecasted by the economists and researchers of 7 major banks regarding the outcome. Most of the economists and researchers are suggesting that the *markets should be braced ...
          Lone’s candidate Mattu elected Srinagar Mayor with BJP support      Cache   Translate Page      
Mattu bagged 40 votes against 26 for Congress’ GR Hajam. Four votes were found invalid. PC claims that 22 corporators fought on its symbol and it managed the support of 18 independents.
          Is This "The Most Important Election Of Our Lives" Or Just Another Distraction?      Cache   Translate Page      

Authored by Charles Hugh Smith via OfTwoMinds blog,

The problem isn't polarization; the problem is neither flavor of the status quo is actually solving any of the nation's most pressing system problems.

As I write this at 5 pm (Left Coast) November 6, the election results are unknown. While various media are trumpeting this as "the most important election of our lives," the less eyeball-catching, emotion-triggering reality is this election is nothing but another distraction. No matter who "wins," none of our systemic problems will be addressed, much less solved.

Does either party have the will or coherent grasp of what's broken to fix America's healthcare mess? No. The Democrats' "solution" is to take the bloated, ineffective Medicare system that incentivizes blatant fraud, overbilling and profiteering and increase the sickcare cartels' power and profits via "Medicare for All."

This is akin to giving defense contractors the power to set the Pentagon budget. Oh, wait, they already have that power.

In the exact same fashion, Medicare's soaring budget is set by profiteering' cartels. Nothing will change in "Medicare for All" except taxes will go up and the cartels will skim additional billions in rentier profits.

The Republican solution is to call quasi-monopolies and cartels "markets."Since turning everything into a market solves all problems, that's the "market-based "solution." But since healthcare is run by cartels, which fix the "market" to their own benefit, there really is no "market" in healthcare, and nobody's interested in establishing one because that would crater cartel profits.

As I've noted many times, our dysfunctional healthcare will bankrupt the nation all by itself. Sickcare Will Bankrupt the Nation--And Soon (2011)

U.S. Healthcare Isn't Broken--It's Fixed (May 16, 2018)

How about a systemic solution for opioid addiction? If you believe either party has a solution," you need to reduce your Ibogaine intake. Opioids and other addictions (like social media and mobile phones) are immensely profitable and so the cartels and monopolies profiting from addictions fund politicos in both parties to insure their profits aren't reduced.

How about a dysfunctional weapons procurement system? Both parties love trillion-dollar weapons programs as long as the money sluices into enough Congressional districts. So what if the weapon system is defective, already outdated, poorly designed, the wrong system for the challenges ahead or simply not cost-effective-- as long as the campaign contributions are gushing into D.C. and politicos can brag about "jobs" created by building failed weaponry, nothing will change. The Pentagon can beg Congress to stop building the darn thing and the Pentagon will be ignored: there's simply too much money at stake to care whether it actually serves military needs.

How about soaring debt loads on every sector of the economy? Money that goes to pay interest can't be invested or spent elsewhere, and that starves the economy of productive investment. The super-wealthy own much of the debt and receive much of the interest income. This is a systemic problem that isn't viewed as a problem because the super-wealthy own the political process.

The "solution" to crushing student loan debt ($1.4 trillion and counting) is to transfer the entire debt to the taxpayers, meaning the federal government issues another $1.4 trillion in debt to pay the super-wealthy who own all the student loans. Nice for the super-wealthy and politicos, not so nice for future taxpayers burdened with trillions more in debt.

Neither party can accept that higher education is a failed, dysfunctional system. And so the "solution" is borrow another couple trillion and pay interest to the super-wealthy who own the debt, all for an "education" that often has little value in either the economy or the debt-serf students' lives.

The problem isn't polarization; the problem is neither flavor of the status quo is actually solving any of the nation's most pressing system problems. This is why we're coming apart at the seams: problems are being left unaddressed and so they only become more entrenched and destructive.

*  *  *

My new mystery The Adventures of the Consulting Philosopher: The Disappearance of Drake is a ridiculously affordable $1.29 (Kindle) or $8.95 (print); read the first chapters for free (PDF) My book Money and Work Unchained is now $6.95 for the Kindle ebook and $15 for the print edition. Read the first section for free in PDF format. If you found value in this content, please join me in seeking solutions by becoming a $1/month patron of my work via patreon.com.


          CIA's 'Surveillance State' Is Operating Against Us All      Cache   Translate Page      

Authored by Sharyl Attkisson, op-ed via The Hill,

Maybe you once thought the CIA wasn’t supposed to spy on Americans here in the United States.

That concept is so yesteryear...

Over time, the CIA upper echelon has secretly developed all kinds of policy statements and legal rationales to justify routine, widespread surveillance on U.S. soil of citizens who aren’t suspected of terrorism or being a spy.

The latest outrage is found in newly declassified documents from 2014. They reveal the CIA not only intercepted emails of U.S. citizens but they were emails of the most sensitive kind — written to Congress and involving whistleblowers reporting alleged wrongdoing within the Intelligence Community.

The disclosures, kept secret until now, are two letters of “congressional notification” from the Intelligence Community inspector general at the time, Charles McCullough. He stated that during “routine counterintelligence monitoring of government computer systems,” the CIA collected emails between congressional staff and the CIA’s head of whistleblowing and source protection.

McCullough added that he was concerned about the CIA’s “potential compromise to whistleblower confidentiality and the consequent ‘chilling effect’ that the present [counterintelligence] monitoring system might have on Intelligence Community whistleblowing.”

“Most of these emails concerned pending and developing whistleblower complaints,” McCullough stated in the letters to lead Democrats and Republicans at the time on the House and Senate Intelligence Committees — Sens. Dianne Feinstein (D-Calif.) and Saxby Chambliss (R-Ga.), and Reps. Mike Rogers (R-Mich.) and Dutch Ruppersberger (D-Md.).

The March 2014 intercepts, conducted under the leadership of CIA Director John Brennan and Director of National Intelligence James Clapper, happened amid what’s widely referred to as the Obama administration’s war on whistleblowers and mass surveillance scandals.

Is that legal?

According to the CIA, the spy agency has been limited since the 1970s to collecting intelligence “only for an authorized intelligence purpose; for example, if there is a reason to believe that an individual is involved in espionage or international terrorist activities” and “procedures require senior approval for any such collection that is allowed.”

But here’s where it gets slippery. It turns out the CIA claims it must engage in “routine counterintelligence monitoring of government computers” to make sure certain employees aren’t doing bad things. Poof! Now, all kinds of U.S. citizens and their communications can be swept into the dragnet — and it’s deemed perfectly legal. It’s just an accident or “incidental,” after all, if the CIA happens to pick up whistleblower communications with the legislative branch.

Or maybe it’s a lucky break for certain CIA officials.

The only reason we know any of this now is thanks to Sen. Chuck Grassley(R-Iowa), whose staffers were among those spied on. Grassley says it took four years for him to get the shocking “congressional notifications” declassified so they could be made public. First, Grassley says, Clapper and Brennan dragged their feet, blocking their release. Their successors in the Trump administration were no more responsive. Only when Grassley recently appealed to current Intelligence Community Inspector General Michael Atkinson, who was sworn in on May 17, was the material finally declassified.

“The fact that the CIA under the Obama administration was reading congressional staff’s emails about Intelligence Community whistleblowers raises serious policy concerns, as well as potential constitutional separation-of-powers issues that must be discussed publicly,” wrote Grassley in a statement.

Legal or not, there was a time when this news would have so shocked our sensibilities — and would have been considered so antithetical to our Constitution by so many — that it would have prompted a swift, national outcry.

But today, we’ve grown numb. Outrage has been replaced by a cynical, “Who’s surprised about that?” or the persistent belief that “Nothing’s really going to be done about it,” and, worst of all, “What’s so bad about it, anyway?”

Some see the intel community’s alleged abuses during campaign 2016 as its own major scandal. But I see it as a crucial piece of a puzzle.

The evidence points to bad actors targeting candidate Donald Trump and his associates in part to keep them — and us — from learning about and digging into an even bigger scandal: our Intelligence Community increasingly spying on its own citizens, journalists, members of Congress and political enemies for the better part of two decades, if not longer.


          US mid-term elections 2018: Why this year's congressional elections matter      Cache   Translate Page      
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          11/6/2018: Primeira Página: Eleições nos EUA testam popularidade de Trump      Cache   Translate Page      
A popularidade do presidente Donald Trump será colocada à prova nesta terça (6), quando os americanos irão às urnas para votar em candidatos para o Congresso e cargos locais. A escalada na crise migratória e o recorde de candidatas mulheres, entre...
          After the US midterm elections, don’t count on a Democratic Congress to soften Trump’s hard line on China      Cache   Translate Page      
With the all-important US midterm elections nearing, and the prospect that Democrats will take control of the House and possibly the Senate, many are wondering if such a change would herald any substantive change in the Trump administration’s or American policy towards China. It is very ...
          Has Mike Bloomberg Begun The Battle For 2020?      Cache   Translate Page      

Authored by Patrick Buchanan via Buchanan.org,

Did former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg just take a page out of the playbook of Sen. Ed Muskie from half a century ago?

In his first off-year election in 1970, President Richard Nixon ran a tough attack campaign to hold the 52 House seats the GOP had added in ’66 and ’68, and to pick up a few more seats in the Senate.

The issue: law and order. The targets: the “radical liberals.”

In that campaign’s final hours, Muskie delivered a statesmanlike address from Cape Elizabeth, Maine, excoriating the “unprecedented volume” of “name-calling” and “deceptions” from the “highest offices in the land.”

Nixon picked up a pair of Senate seats, but Democrats gained a dozen House seats, and the press scored it as a victory for Muskie, who was vaulted into the lead position for the 1972 Democratic nomination.

In the final days of this election, Bloomberg just invested $5 million to air, twice nationally, a two-minute ad for the Democratic Party that features Bloomberg himself denouncing the “fear-mongering,” and “shouting and hysterics” coming out of Washington.

“Americans are neither naive nor heartless,” says the mayor. “We can be a nation of immigrants while also securing our borders.”

That $5 million ad buy was only Bloomberg’s latest contribution to the Democratic Party during an election campaign into which he had already plunged $110 million of his own money.

Contributions of this magnitude support the idea that Bloomberg will seek the presidential nomination as a Democrat. With resources like this at his disposal, and a willingness to spend into the hundreds of millions, he could last in the primaries as long as he wants.

Yet, Bloomberg is no Ed Muskie, who had been Hubert Humphrey’s running mate in 1968 and was widely regarded a top contender for 1972.

The mayor has been a Republican and independent as well as a Democrat. And as The Washington Post’s Robert Costa relates, Bloomberg has drawbacks:

“He speaks flatly with the faded Boston accent from his youth, devoid of partisan passion and with a technocratic emphasis.”

With the energy of the Democratic Party coming from militants, minorities and millennials, would these true believers rally to a 76-year-old Manhattan media magnate who wants to make their party more centrist and problem-solving, and to start beavering away at cutting the deficit?

Yet Bloomberg’s opening move may force the pace of the politics of 2020. Should he announce, and start spending on ads, he could force the hand of Vice President Joe Biden, who appears the Democrats’ strongest candidate in taking back Pennsylvania, and the states of the industrial Midwest, from Trump.

On the left wing of the Democratic Party, which seems certain to have a finalist in the run for the 2020 nomination, the competition is stiff and the pressure to move early equally great.

If Socialist Bernie Sanders is not to lock up this wing of the party as he did in 2016, Sens. Cory Booker of New Jersey, Kamala Harris of California, and Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts may have to move soon.

But even before attention can turn to the presidential race, the U.S. House of Representatives seems certain to witness a leadership battle.

Nancy Pelosi is determined to become speaker again if Democrats take the House today, while the Congressional Black Caucus has entered a demand for one of the two top positions in the House.

Millennials also want new leadership. And to many centrist Democrats in swing districts, Pelosi as the visible voice and face of the national party remains a perpetual problem.

If the Democrats fail to recapture the House, the recriminations will be sweeping and the demand for new leadership overwhelming.

But even if they do capture the House, the rewards may be fleeting.

A Democratic House will be a natural foil for President Trump, an institution with responsibility but without real power.

And should the economy, which has been running splendidly under a Republican Congress and president start to sputter under a divided Congress, there is no doubt that the Democratic House majority, with its anti-capitalist left and socialist ideology, would emerge as the primary suspect.

Also, if Democrats win the House, Maxine Waters could be the new chair of the House Committee on Financial Services, Adam Schiff the chairman of the Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence, and Jerrold Nadler of New York the chairman of the House Judiciary Committee, the repository for resolutions of impeachment. Does that look like a winning lineup?

2019 is thus shaping up to be a year of gridlock on Capitol Hill, with the Senate attempting to expeditiously move through Trump’s nominated judges, and a Democratic House potentially hassling the White House and Trump administration with a snowstorm of subpoenas.

This could be the kind of battleground Donald Trump relishes.

A victorious Democratic Party today could be set up to take the fall, both for gridlock and any major reversal in the progress of the economy.


          Wall Street futures, Asia stocks fall as U.S. elections trickle in      Cache   Translate Page      
Wall Street stock futures and Asian shares dropped on Wednesday as early results of the U.S. midterm elections started to trickle in, with investors bracing for the Republicans to lose their grip on Congress.
          11/6/2018: Poder: Rainha Elizabeth 2ª conhece Brasília e elogia ousada e bela arquitetura      Cache   Translate Page      

No quinto dia da viagem pelo país, a rainha britânica, Elizabeth 2ª, visitou Brasília, sendo recepcionada pelo presidente Arthur da Costa e Silva. Milhares de pessoas se acotovelaram para vê-la no Congresso, no Supremo Tribunal Federal e em todos os...
          NBC: Dem Donna Shalala Flips Florida House Seat      Cache   Translate Page      
Democrats picked up a seat in Florida as it tries to regain control of the House; former Secretary of Health and Human Services Donna Shalala is the predicted winner in the race to represent Florida's 27th Congressional District.
          11/6/2018: Poder Governo Bolsonaro: Congresso veta jornalistas em evento com presidente eleito      Cache   Translate Page      
No primeiro compromisso de Jair Bolsonaro (PSL) em Brasília como presidente eleito, o Congresso vetará a presença de jornalistas no plenário da Câmara. Na sessão solene em homenagem aos 30 anos da Constituição, que acontecerá nesta terça-feira (6),...
          11/6/2018: Mundo: Americanos votam hoje para renovar Congresso e definir futuro de Trump      Cache   Translate Page      

A popularidade do presidente Donald Trump vai à prova nesta terça (6), quando os americanos elegerão uma nova Câmara, parte do Senado e governadores em 36 dos 50 estados. As eleições de meio de mandato são realizadas a cada quatro anos e funcionam...
          Polls close in 11 states as Democrats seek to capture U.S. Congress      Cache   Translate Page      
Polls closed in 11 states on Tuesday as Americans cast votes nationwide at the end of a divisive campaign to decide whether President Donald Trump's fellow Republicans maintain their grip on the U.S. Congress.
          FACTBOX - Seats projected to flip in U.S. House of Representatives elections      Cache   Translate Page      
U.S. voters on Tuesday went to the polls in congressional elections for all 435 seats of the House of Representatives. The Democratic Party needs to pick up 23 seats to wrest control of the chamber from the Republican Party.

          Wexton defeats Comstock in Virginia's 10th Congressional District      Cache   Translate Page      
Democrat Jennifer T. Wexton defeated GOP Rep. Barbara Comstock in Virginia’s 10th Congressional District on Nov. 6.
          U.S. voters targeted with limited 'misinformation' on social media: DHS      Cache   Translate Page      
The U.S. government has received reports of limited "misinformation#source%3Dgooglier%2Ecom#https%3A%2F%2Fgooglier%2Ecom%2Fpage%2F%2F10000" targeting American voters in social media posts on Tuesday, a Homeland Security Department official said as citizens cast ballots in hotly contested congressional elections.

          Ayanna Pressley is Massachusetts’ first black woman elected to Congress      Cache   Translate Page      

          No signs of breaches in U.S. election infrastructure: DHS chief      Cache   Translate Page      
There have so far been no signs of breaches in U.S. election infrastructure during voting in Tuesday's congressional elections, U.S. Department of Homeland Security Secretary Kirstjen Nielsen said.

          Factbox: Fast facts about the U.S. elections      Cache   Translate Page      
Control of both houses of the U.S. Congress and 36 state governorships are at stake in Tuesday's elections, which are widely viewed as a referendum on Republican President Donald Trump's first two years in the White House.

          U.S. networks drop 'racist' Trump ad as critical elections near      Cache   Translate Page      
NBC, Fox News and Facebook pulled an ad by President Donald Trump's campaign that critics had labeled racist as a bitter election fight for control of the U.S. Congress headed on Monday for an unpredictable finish.

          Election night live: Health care replaces economy as most important issue for voters      Cache   Translate Page      
Tuesday’s pivotal midterm elections will decide keep an eye on of Congress — and whilst President Donald Trump’s identify does not seem at the poll, his presidency and his insurance policies are at the line. Practice the NBC Information are living weblog for real-time updates, video, ...
          Polls closing as voters pit Trump strength, Dems’ resistance      Cache   Translate Page      
Polls were closing across the East Tuesday evening as the energy and outrage of the Democratic resistance faced off against the brute strength of President Donald Trump's GOP in a fight for control of Congress and statehouses across the nation.
          Olivia Wilde’s mom Leslie Cockburn loses House race to ‘bigfoot erotica’ fan      Cache   Translate Page      
Actress Olivia Wilde’s mother, Leslie Cockburn, fell to Virginia Republican Denver Riggleman in the state’s 5th Congressional District race. The victory put a damper on the blue wave Democrats were hoping would roll through the region on Tuesday. Cockburn, a former journalist and first-time candidate, made headlines over the summer for statements she made about...
          Rep. Jim Jordan wins seventh term despite Ohio State wrestling team scandal      Cache   Translate Page      
Republican incumbent Jim Jordan has been re-elected to a seventh term in Ohio’s 4th Congressional District. The 54-year-old beat out Democratic candidate Janet Garrett. His victory comes just months after five former wrestlers from Ohio State came forward and accused him of turning a blind eye to sexual misconduct allegations made against a team doctor,...
          First Muslim woman elected to House of Representatives      Cache   Translate Page      
Rashida Tlaib, a 42-year-old Michigan Democrat, became the first Muslim woman elected to Congress on Tuesday. Tlaib ran unopposed in Michigan’s 13th district House race, but fended off a last-minute write-in challenge from a woman she defeated in the August primary. “The first thing I think about when somebody says you’re going to be the...
          Operation Shakespeare: 2 of 2: The True Story of an Elite International Sting by John Shiffman (Author)      Cache   Translate Page      
AUTHOR. (Photo: Internet Archive Book Images Follow Image from page 88 of "Persia past and present; a book of travel and research, with more than two hundred illustrations and a map" (1906)  Identifier: persiapastpresen01jack Title: Persia past and present; a book of travel and research, with more than two hundred illustrations and a map Year: 1906 (1900s) Authors: Jackson, A. V. Williams (Abraham Valentine Williams), 1862-1937 Subjects: Zoroastrianism Publisher: New York, The Macmillan Company London, Macmillan & Co., ltd. Contributing Library: The Library of Congress Digitizing Sponsor: The Library of Congress View Book Page: Book Viewer About This Book: Catalog Entry View All Images: All Images From Book Click here to view book online to see this illustration in context in a browseable online version of this book. Text Appearing Before Image: in turnyielded to the triumphant ascendancy of the Iranian house ofSasan, who restored the Zoroastrian faith as state religion anddreamed of forming a great national power. Their rule lastedover four centuries (a.d. 226-651), but their hope of establish- Text Appearing After Image: --•^V^- Darius III defeated by Alexander in the Battle of Lssus(Pompeian Mosaic in tlie Naples Museum) Note About Images Please note that these images are extracted from scanned page images that may have been digitally enhanced for readability - coloration and appearance of these illustrations may not perfectly resemble the original work. 234 views 0 faves 0 comments Taken circa 1906  No known copyright restrictions  Show EXIF) http://JohnBatchelorShow.com/contact http://JohnBatchelorShow.com/schedules Twitter: @BatchelorShow Operation Shakespeare: 2 of 2: The True Story of an Elite International Sting by John Shiffman (Author) [](https://www.amazon.com/Operation-Shakespeare-Story-Elite-International/dp/1451655169) [https://www.amazon.com/Operation-Shakespeare-Story-Elite-International/dp/1451655169](https://www.amazon.com/Operation-Shakespeare-Story-Elite-International/dp/1451655169) A secret war. A daring sting operation. The great untold national security story of our time: “An impressive and important work…The book has the glamour of a spy novel and the gravity of a meticulously researched exposé” (Christian Science Monitor). On today’s high-tech battlefields, the most lethal weapons are not the big ones, but rather the ones that are small enough to be smuggled inside a pack of chewing gum. Developed and manufactured in the United States at extraordinary cost, these tiny weapons of war—which can guide missiles, see through walls, and trigger anything from a wireless IED to a nuclear weapon—are what currently give the US its military advantage. Unfortunately, they are increasingly being discovered in the hands of our enemies. In Operation Shakespeare, Pulitzer Prize finalist John Shiffman tells the true story of an elaborate sting operation launched by an elite Homeland Security team that was created to stop Iran, Russia, China, and North Korea from stealing US military technology. The sting, codenamed Operation Shakespeare, targets an Iranian arms broker who works on behalf of Tehran. Over the course of three years, the American agents go undercover to outwit not only the Iranian, but US defense contractors and bankers willing to put profit over national security. The chase moves around the world, and as the United States tries to bring the Iranian to justice, his own government plots to assassinate him, fearful of what he might reveal. Tenacious, richly detailed, and boasting unprecedented access to both the Iranian broker and the US agents who caught him, “Operation Shakespeare reads like a spy thriller—but Shiffman’s meticulous reporting leaves no doubt that he is telling nothing less than scary truth” (Daily News, New York)
          Wall Street stock futures dip as investors look to U.S. elections      Cache   Translate Page      
Wall Street stock futures ticked down slightly while Asian shares held very tight ranges early Wednesday as investors awaited the results of U.S. midterm elections, which could see Republicans lose their grip on Congress.
          Polls close in eight states as voters decide control of U.S. Congress      Cache   Translate Page      
Polls closed in eight states on Tuesday as Americans cast votes nationwide at the end of a divisive campaign to decide whether President Donald Trump's fellow Republicans maintain their grip on the U.S. Congress.
          Global stocks gain, dollar flat as U.S. elections prompt investor caution      Cache   Translate Page      
U.S. shares rose on Tuesday while the dollar held steady as Americans went to the polls in elections that could shift the balance of power in Congress.
          Karnataka by election results LIVE: BJP's contention that JDS-Congress coalition is 'unholy alliance' is nullified, says HD Kumaraswamy      Cache   Translate Page      
Karnataka by election results LIVE: Speaking to reporters after Congress-JDS victory in crucial by elections in Karnataka, chief minister HD Kumaraswamy congratulated Congress leaders in the state and at the Centre. 'I also congratulate JDS state leaders and workers who worked towards this ...
          Мнения: Выборы в Конгресс США всех разозлят      Cache   Translate Page      
Сегодня проходят очередные выборы в Конгресс США. Первые результаты станут известны в ночь на 7 ноября по московскому времени.

Сегодня проходят очередные выборы в Конгресс США. Первые результаты станут известны в ночь на 7 ноября по московскому времени.

Эти выборы называют промежуточными, поскольку они проходят в период между выборами президентскими.

Состав нижней палаты – Палаты Представителей – переизбирается каждые два года. Члены верхней палаты – Сената – занимают свой пост шесть лет, поэтому в каждый, как бы у нас сказали, всеобщий день голосования, ротируется только часть сенатских мандатов.

В этом году американцам предстоит избрать всех 435 представителей и 35 сенаторов из 100 (33 в рамках регулярных перевыборов и 2 в ходе специальных довыборов из-за досрочных отставок).

Республиканцы подошли к 6 ноября, обладая контролем над обеими палатами. Более того, именно кандидат от их партии находится в Белом доме. Однако первые выборы в Конгресс после избрания нового президента почти всегда в последние десятилетия складывались для правящей партии неудачно.

Этот электоральный феномен даже назвали «проклятием первых промежуточных выборов». Избежать его смог лишь Джордж Буш-младший в 2002 году. Тогда избиратели все еще находились под сильным влиянием терактов 11 сентября 2001-го и проголосовали за статус-кво.

Все остальные хозяева Белого дома, включая очень популярных в народе Рональда Рейгана и Билла Клинтона (скандал с Моникой Левински разразился гораздо позже), пали жертвой этого проклятия. Точнее, жертвой становилась их партия, которая теряла большинство по крайней мере в одной из палат Конгресса.

Если верить результатам социологических исследований, Республиканскую партию завтра ожидает та же участь. Они, скорее всего, сохранят контроль над Сенатом и утратят контроль над Палатой Представителей.

Еще пару месяцев назад практически все американские СМИ говорили о неизбежной «синей волне» (синий – официальный цвет Демпартии). Демократы были уверены, что одержат уверенную победу и обе палаты окажутся в их руках.

Результаты опросов показывали, что под угрозой оказались даже самые «надежные» мандаты, например, место Теда Круза в Сенате от штата Техас. Неизбежный, как тогда казалось, разгром республиканцев либеральные медиа преподносили в качестве свидетельства успехов антитрамповского «Сопротивления». «Говорящие головы» утверждали, что Америка проснулась и бросилась исправлять свою ошибку, допущенную в ноябре 2016-го.

Расхожей фразой стало: «Имя Трампа формально в бюллетенях не числится, но люди голосуют именно за или против Трампа». Промежуточные выборы в Конгресс превратились в референдум о 45-м президенте США.

И такой поворот предвыборной кампании сыграл против демократов. Правящая партия после первых двух лет нахождения в Белом доме нового президента проигрывает не из-за него, а из-за естественных изменений в настроениях избирателях. Точнее – в степени их мобилизованности.

Те, что выбрали президента, почивают на лаврах. Местный конгрессмен интересует их куда меньше главы государства. Ну а если тот не во всем согласен с хозяином Белого дома, то на такого законодателя и вовсе нет смысла тратить несколько часов своего времени (выборы проходят в будний день, из-за чего утром и вечером на участках выстраиваются длинные очереди).

Их оппоненты, напротив, всеми силами пытаются взять реванш, пусть и частичный, за проигрыш двухлетней давности.

У республиканцев дела бы шли не слишком хорошо даже в том случае, если бы никакого «Сопротивления» не существовало. И даже если бы у президента был заоблачный рейтинг. Такова электоральная динамика в США.

Кроме того, республиканские конгрессмены не слишком радовали своих избирателей. Их единственным успехом стал налоговый билль, принятый в конце 2017 года. Обладая большинством в обеих палатах, они так и не смогли изменить систему здравоохранения (одно из главных их предвыборных обещаний в 2014 и 2016 гг.), оказались не слишком хорошими помощниками президенту и долго раздумывали над тем, стоит ли вообще поддерживать главу государства.

За полгода до выборов стало известно, что не собираются баллотироваться на следующий срок три сенатора и тридцать семь представителей-республиканцев. В их числе оказался и спикер нижней палаты Пол Райан.

В общем, Республиканская партия находилась не в лучшей форме перед очередными выборами. У многих избирателей складывалось впечатление, что партия деморализована, несмотря на значительные успехи новой администрации в экономике.

Значительная часть ядерного электората Трампа относилась к конгрессменам – однопартийцам президента в лучшем случае скептически. Некоторые же сторонники главы государства и вовсе не простили законодателям сопротивления Большому Дональду на этапе праймериз и в первый год инаугурации.

Республиканское большинство в Конгрессе рассыпалось само собой. Демократам оставалось только тихо взять власть на Капитолийском холме. Серьезной борьбы еще совсем недавно никто не ожидал.

Но борцы с Трампом слишком увлеклись своей «священной миссией». Летом первым (и, по сути дела, единственным) пунктом программы каждого демократического кандидата на место в Конгресс было объявление импичмента президенту.

С большим трудом лидеры Демпартии сумели убедить своих конгрессменов в необходимости сменить риторику. Но было уже поздно.

Теперь о намерениях демократов заговорили республиканцы. То, что 6 ноября предстоят не обычные выборы конгрессменов, а голосование за импичмент Трампа, стало основным аргументом консервативных кандидатов.

Очень не вовремя для Демократической партии подал в отставку судья Верховного суда Энтони Кеннеди, и у Трампа появилась возможность провести в высший орган третьей власти еще одного (после Нила Горсича в 2017-м) своего выдвиженца. Им стал Бретт Кавэно, известный своими консервативными взглядами на конституционное право.

Поскольку республиканцы обладали большинством в Сенате, помешать утверждению Кавэно демократы не могли. Но не могли они и отнестись спокойно к изменению состава Верховного суда. Впервые с конца 1960-х ВС США стал бы консервативным, причем на многие десятилетия.

Демократические сенаторы, левые активисты и либеральные медиа бросились в отчаянную атаку. Судью обвинили в непристойном поведении на вечеринке 35-летней давности.

Вашингтон оказался во власти митингующих. Здание Верховного суда было блокировано, а Конгресс практически взят штурмом. На сенаторов-республиканцев группы активистов кричали в коридорах Капитолия. И законодатели чуть было не дрогнули.

Президент проявил твердость. Разрешив провести дополнительное расследование силами ФБР (которое изначально было обречено на провал), он потребовал ни в коем случае не затягивать утверждение кандидатуры Кавэно. Новый судья Верховного суда в конце концов принес присягу.

Конгрессмены предстали перед избирателями не в лучшем свете. Но поведение оппозиции изрядно напугало республиканских избирателей. Теперь для многих из них промежуточные выборы стали такими же принципиальными, как и для демократов.

Еще одной проблемой Демпартии стал раскол в ее рядах. Все бóльшую роль в ней стали играть люди крайне левых взглядов, называющие себя «демократическими социалистами».

Партийное руководство оказалось в сложном положении. Оно не могло дистанцироваться от левых радикалов, потому что они не только захватили улицу, но и стали задавать медийную повестку. С ними пришлось мириться. Но следуя лозунгу 1960-х «требовать невозможного», американские социалисты осложнили лидерам демократов координацию предвыборной работы на местах.

Президент и его сторонники-конгрессмены стали называть Демпартию социалистической. И это стало еще одним фактором мобилизации консервативного электората.

Расколотыми оказались и республиканцы. В результате конгрессмены, не пожелавшие оставаться в «партии Трампа», попросту сошли с дистанции. Многие избирательные округа оказались ослабленными, но партийная повестка была консолидирована.

Президент активно включился в кампанию. Весь последний месяц он регулярно выступал на митингах по всей стране. Ее месседж был прост – если демократы победят, всё, чего удалось добиться действующей администрации за два года, будет обесценено. Все реформы будут свернуты, а сам Трамп и выдвинутый им судья Кавэно будут подвергнуты импичменту.

Демократические стратеги также не теряли времени даром. Им удалось перенести центр тяжести предвыборных программ на вопросы образования и здравоохранения. С одной стороны, это было уступкой социалистической фракции (поскольку главным лозунгом стала «доступная медицина для всех»), но с другой – позволяло продемонстрировать, что у партии есть позитивная программа.

В это время из Гватемалы, Гондураса и Сальвадора выдвинулись несколько тысяч мигрантов, которые маршевыми колоннами двигаются сегодня по территории Мексики. Демократы «не смогли молчать». Они потребовали впустить всех членов иммиграционного каравана на территорию США, называя противников такого «естественного решения» расистами.

Если бы караван уже был на границе страны, телеканалы смогли бы показать Америке плачущих гватемальских детей, которых в нечеловеческих условиях удерживают в пустыне солдаты по приказу Трампа.

Но караван запоздал. За день до голосования на экранах своих телевизоров американцы видят бесконечную колонну людей, состоящую по большей части из мужчин в возрасте до 35 лет, размахивающих национальными флагами центральноамериканских государств.

Все это не могло не повлиять на рейтинги. Результаты соцопросов в воскресенье показывали, что республиканцы не только сохранят большинство в Сенате, но и несколько укрепят его. В Палате Представителей демократы практически гарантировали себе 202 места, республиканцы – только 195. В 38 избирательных округах рейтинги остаются равными.

Сегодняшние выборы ничего не решат. И разозлят всех. Политическая борьба в США станет еще ожесточеннее, а раскол в обществе – глубже.

На его преодоление ни у кого не будет времени. Да и желание такое у политиков вряд ли возникнет. Уже завтра обе партии начнут готовиться к президентским выборам 2020 года.

Теги:  Конгресс США, выборы в США, внутренняя политика


          Tight Races Across U.S. As More Polls Close      Cache   Translate Page      
According to Reuters, polls have closed in more than half of the 50 U.S. states after an election campaign that will shape the future of Donald Trump’s presidency. Most of the key races that will determine control of the U.S. Congress and so far, are still too close to call. Tuesday's ...
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-その命、見捨てますか?-
《インチキ遺骨ではなくて、拉致被害者を返せ!安倍首相 金委員長との首脳会談に強い意欲》

73回目の「広島・原爆の日」の平和記念式典に出席した後、安倍晋三首相は記者会見し、拉致問題の解決に向け、北朝鮮の金正恩(キム・ジョンウン)委員長と直接、会談することに改めて強い意欲を示しました。

「最後は私自身が(北朝鮮の)金正恩委員長と向き合い、対話を行い、核、ミサイル、そして何よりも重要な拉致問題を解決をし、新しい日・朝関係を築いていかなければならない」
(安倍晋三首相)

安倍首相は、また、米・朝首脳会談後も北朝鮮が核・ミサイル開発を継続しているとの指摘が出ていることについて

「様々な情報に接している」

と述べるにとどめ、明確な批判はしませんでした。
一方で、

「朝鮮半島の完全な非核化に向け、米・朝首脳間の合意が完全かつ迅速に履行されることを期待している」

と述べ、北朝鮮側に合意の履行を求めました。

■VOA拉致問題動画
https://youtu.be/o2i_u8y8GJM
■政府拉致問題HP
http://www.rachi.go.jp/
■警察庁HP
http://www.npa.go.jp/
■警視庁HP
http://www.keishicho.metro.tokyo.jp
■救う会全国協議会HP
http://www.sukuukai.jp/
■特定失踪者問題調査会HP
http://www.chosa-kai.jp/
■北朝鮮帰国者の生命と人権を守る会HP
http://hrnk.trycomp.net/
■No Fence北朝鮮の強制収容所をなくすアクションの会HP
http://www.nofence.jp/
■北朝鮮人権人道ネットワークfacebook
http://www.facebook.com/nknet2015
■国連の北朝鮮人権調査委員会は2014年2月、北朝鮮帰還事業や拉致問題を含む北朝鮮政府による人権侵害を「人道に対する罪」と認定する最終報告書を発表しました。
<原文>
『Report of the Commission of Inquiry on Human Rights in the Democratic People's Republic of Korea』
https://www.ohchr.org/EN/HRBodies/HRC/CoIDPRK/Pages/ReportoftheCommissionofInquiryDPRK.aspx
<日本語訳>
『北朝鮮における人権に関する国連調査委員会(COI)最終報告書』
https://www.mofa.go.jp/mofaj/fp/hr_ha/page18_000274.html
■加藤 健ブログ「天を回せ!ロビー活動で挑む」
http://kenkato.blog.jp/
■ベナTVHP
http://www.benamu.org
■ベナTVブログ
http://blog.naver.com/benamu1004
■ベナTVFacebook
http://www.facebook.com/bnatv1004
■北朝鮮を離れて自由へ★イ・エラン★のブログ
http://blog.goo.ne.jp/aeran2000
■姜哲煥(カン・チョルファン)さん動画
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T8wXjTN2W8E&feature=youtu.be
■脱北者トーク番組動画
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KJZWxe9P-L8&feature=youtu.be
■脱北者・金柱聖さんの動画[前編](日本語訳付き)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zCPxzwHK8fQ&feature=youtu.be
■脱北者・金柱聖さんの動画[後編](日本語訳付き)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bq4sYy6d6EA&feature=youtu.be
■脱北者・金柱聖さんの動画(3)
https://youtu.be/pMC2G7akiiM
■ベナTV(日本語版)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4YHLDtOoJOo
■ベナTV(日本語版)動画
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KeCTTaSgwx4&feature=youtu.be
■ベナTV(日本語版)動画
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_WZoh00PGV8
■ベナ救出団:日本語(1)
https://youtu.be/USkALHXYyfI
■ベナ救出団:日本語(2)
https://youtu.be/W9yxZD9sjuM
■ベナ救出団:日本語(3)
https://youtu.be/Mv2kbq4hamU
■ベナ救出団:日本語(4)
https://youtu.be/xpocs10Hx0E
■ベナ救出団:日本語(5)
https://youtu.be/SYT--pNiFqc
■ベナ救出団:日本語(6)
https://youtu.be/p1MN3RHXQBc



《特定失踪者・藤田 進さんについて》
※国連人権理事会(United Nations Human Rights Council=UNHRC)が調査要請を受理した事案
◆氏名:藤田 進
(ふじたすすむ)
(Susumu Fujita)
◆失踪年月日:昭和51(1976)年2月7日
◆生年月日:昭和31(1956)年6月16日
◆性別:男
◆当時の年齢:19歳
◆当時の住所:埼玉県川口市南町
◆当時の身分:東京学芸大学教育学部1年生
◆特徴:
1)家ではあまりしゃべらないタイプ
2)ギターがうまかった
◆失踪場所:埼玉県川口市の自宅

【失踪状況】
失踪当日6:30~7:00頃、以前から言っていた新宿のガードマンのバイトに行くといって服を持って家を出たまま帰らず。
後に新宿にある全ての警備会社に電話で問い合わせたが該当者はいなかった。
脱北者が北朝鮮から持ち出した写真が鑑定の結果、藤田 進さんである可能性が極めて高いことが判明。
平成16年1月28日、埼玉県警に告発状提出。
■埼玉県警HP
http://www.police.pref.saitama.lg.jp/
■救う会埼玉HP
http://sukuukai.gozaru.jp/
■藤田隆司さんfacebook
http://ja-jp.facebook.com/takasi.fujita.3
■緑風香ブログ
http://ryokuhuuka.wordpress.com/
■拉致問題を考える川口の会HP
http://kawaguchi.aikotoba.jp/list.htm

《特定失踪者・藤田 慎さんについて》
※藤田 進さん・隆司さん兄弟の叔父
◆氏名:藤田 慎
(ふじたしん)
(Shin Fujita)
◆失踪年月日:昭和35(1960)年
◆生年月日:昭和6(1931)年9月5日
◆性別:男
◆当時の年齢:29歳
◆当時の住所:東京都大田区蒲田
◆当時の身分:三菱重工業か石川島播磨重工業のどちらかに勤務
◆身長:165cmくらい
◆体重:65kg〜70kg
◆特徴:
1)柔道をやっていてがっしりした体格
2)川に潜って魚獲りをするのが好きだった
3)長兄(藤田 進さんの父)と顔が似ている
◆失踪場所:東京都大田区蒲田本町(姉夫婦の当時の居住地)

【失踪状況】
長兄に「旅行に行く」と新品の靴を借りに来る。
次兄夫婦には、「結婚したい人がいる」と相談。
また、弟にお金を借りに来る。
その後音信不通。
失踪から数年後、兄夫婦宅(埼玉県川口市仲町)に年賀状が届く。
字体は達筆(本人の字体に似ていた)。
差出人の名前がなかった。
消印は世田谷だったようである。
昭和51年2月7日、埼玉県川口市で失踪した藤田 進さんの叔父にあたる。
北朝鮮にいるとの不確定情報がある。
■警視庁HP
http://www.keishicho.metro.tokyo.jp
■埼玉県警HP
http://www.police.pref.saitama.lg.jp/
■藤田隆司さんfacebook
http://ja-jp.facebook.com/takasi.fujita.3

《特定失踪者・古川了子さんについて》
◆氏名:古川 了子
(ふるかわのりこ)
(Noriko Furukawa)
◆失踪年月日:昭和48(1973)年7月7日
◆生年月日:昭和30(1955)年1月1日
◆性別:女性
◆当時の年齢:18歳
◆当時の住所:千葉県市原市菊間
◆当時の身分:三井造船社員
◆身長:157cmくらい
◆血液型:B型
◆特徴:
1)中学時代水泳部、高校では卓球部部長。
2)書き初めで入選したことあり、簿記、珠算和文タイプ等資格持っている。
3)左利き。文字を書くのは左右同じに使える。
4)左眉に途切れたような傷がある。
◆失踪場所:千葉県

【失踪状況】
午前中に美容院へ行き、午後から母親と浴衣を買いに行く予定をしていた。
朝早く家を出て、美容院に「今日の美容院はキャンセルしたい。出かけるところができた。母親にも浴衣を買いに行けなくなったと伝えて下さい」と言った。
母親は美容院からの電話で、友達にでも会うことになったのだろうと気にしなかったが、それから何の音沙汰もなくなった。
7月に初めて貰ったボーナスは手付かず、預金通帳も置いたまま。
持って出たのは財布とハンカチくらいしか入らない、いつも持っている小さなバッグ1つだけだった。
その後、家にも勤め先にも全く連絡なし。中学や高校の友人も心あたりはなかった。
元北朝鮮工作員の安明進(アン・ミョンジン)氏が、「1991年に平壌市内の病院にいた女性と似ている」と証言している。
平成16年1月29日、千葉県警に告発状提出。
平成17年4月13日政府に対し拉致認定を求め東京地裁に提訴。
■千葉県警HP
http://www.police.pref.chiba.jp/
■救う会千葉HP
http://sukuukaichiba.web.fc2.com/
■救う会千葉ブログ
http://sukuukaichiba.blog.fc2.com/
■古川了子さんを救う会HP
http://2.furukawanoriko.michikusa.jp/
■しおかぜ収録inハーグ
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=CeE7fbhZALk

《特定失踪者・関谷俊子さんについて》
◆氏名:関谷 俊子
(せきやとしこ)
(Toshiko Sekiya)
◆失踪年月日:昭和49(1974)年7月11日
◆生年月日:昭和32(1957)年5月19日
◆性別:女性
◆当時の年齢:17歳
◆当時の住所:千葉県市原市徳氏
◆当時の身分:薬品会社勤務。定時制高校在学中
◆身長:160cm
◆血液型:A型またはO型
◆失踪場所:千葉市内

【失踪状況】
親類の男性と幼馴染の同級生(女性)と千葉市内の飲食店で飲食後、親類の男性が「車で二人を家まで送ってくる」と店の従業員に言い残して出たまま3人一緒に行方不明となった。
店の従業員は男性の兄と妹。
男性の乗っていた車も発見されていない。
関谷さんは古川了子さん(昭和48年失踪)と同じ高校で3学年下。
古川事件の1年後の同じ7月の失踪。
■千葉県警HP
http://www.police.pref.chiba.jp/
■救う会千葉HP
http://sukuukaichiba.web.fc2.com/

《特定失踪者・遠山常子さんについて》
◆氏名:遠山 常子
(とおやまつねこ)
(Tsuneko To-o-yama)
◆失踪年月日:昭和49(1974)年7月11日
◆生年月日:昭和32(1957)年6月22日
◆性別:女性
◆当時の年齢:17歳
◆当時の住所:千葉県市原市田淵
◆当時の身分:県立高校学生(夜間部)
◆当時の勤務先:千葉市内のスーパーマーケット
◆身長:158cm~160cmくらい
◆血液型:B型
◆特徴:左右どちらかは不明だが眉の上にホクロの切除痕有り
◆失踪場所:千葉市内

【失踪状況】
遠山常子さんと、幼馴染の友人女性である関谷俊子さん、ならびに関谷俊子さんの親戚である峰島英雄さんの3人は、峰島英雄さんの兄妹が勤務する千葉市内の飲食店で食事をした。
峰島英雄さんが、「二人を家まで送ってくる。戻ってくるから、食事を用意しておいてくれ」と兄妹に言い残し、車で飲食店を出たまま三人とも失踪。
峰島英雄さんの車(赤いマーク2)も未発見。
失踪の当日は、関谷俊子さんの引越しの日だった。
引越しが終わったあとに、三人で飲食店に食事に来た模様。
失踪以降、何ら手がかりとなるものは無かった。
■千葉県警HP
http://www.police.pref.chiba.jp/
■救う会千葉HP
http://sukuukaichiba.web.fc2.com/

《特定失踪者・峰島英雄さんについて》
◆氏名:峰島 英雄
(みねしまひでお)
(Hideo Mineshima)
◆失踪年月日:昭和49(1974)年7月11日
◆生年月日:昭和27(1952)年9月2日
◆性別:男
◆当時の年齢:21歳
◆当時の住所:千葉市(稲毛区)轟町
◆当時の身分:会社員(千葉市内の電話工事会社)
◆身長:170cm
◆血液型:B型またはO型
◆失踪場所:千葉市内

【失踪状況】
遠山常子さんと、幼馴染の友人女性である関谷俊子さん、ならびに関谷俊子さんの親戚である峰島英雄さんの3人は、峰島英雄さんの兄妹が勤務する千葉市内の飲食店で食事をした。
峰島英雄さんが、「二人を家まで送ってくる。戻ってくるから、食事を用意しておいてくれ」と兄妹に言い残し、車で飲食店を出たまま三人とも失踪。
峰島英雄さんの車(赤いマーク2)も未発見。
失踪の当日は、関谷俊子さんの引越しの日だった。
失踪以降、何ら手がかりとなるものは無かった。
■千葉県警HP
http://www.police.pref.chiba.jp/
■救う会千葉HP
http://sukuukaichiba.web.fc2.com/

◆昭和53(1978)年6月頃
元飲食店店員拉致容疑事案
被害者:田中 実さん(Minoru Tanaka)
(拉致被害時28歳)
※This person was Abduction by North Korea
欧州に向け出国したあと失踪。
平成14年10月にクアラルンプールで行われた日・朝国交正常化交渉第12回本会談及び平成16年に計3回行われた日・朝実務者協議において我が方から北朝鮮側に情報提供を求めたが、第3回協議において北朝鮮側より北朝鮮に入境したことは確認できなかった旨回答があった。
平成17年4月に田中 実さんが拉致認定されて以降、政府は北朝鮮側に対し即時帰国及び事案に関する真相究明を求めてきているが、これまでに回答はない。
■兵庫県警HP
http://www.police.pref.hyogo.lg.jp/
■救う会兵庫HP
http://www.sukuukai078.net/04.html
■救う会兵庫facebook
http://www.facebook.com/sukuukai078

[In or around June 1978: Former restaurant worker abducted]

Abductee: Minoru Tanaka (28, male, Hyogo Prefecture)
Disappeared after departing Japan for Europe.
The GoJ requested that North Korea provide information on this case at the 12th round of Japan-North Korea Normalization Talks held in Kuala Lumpur in October 2002 and all three Japan-North Korea Working-Level Consultations held in 2004. During the third round of consultations, North Korea asserted that there is no evidence that Mr. Tanaka had ever entered North Korean territory.
Since April 2005, when the GoJ officially identified Minoru Tanaka as an abductee, the GoJ has demanded that North Korea immediately allow him to return to Japan and provide a full accounting of his case. North Korea, however, has not responded.



【SEA OF MERCY】
The book named “Sea of Mercy”
13-year- old junior high school student Takeshi Terakoshi was abducted in May 1963.
He went fishing with his two uncle, Shoji and Soto-o Terakoshi. The fishingboat named Kiyomaru left for the fishing ground nearby Noto island, Ishikawa prefecture.
Kiyomaru encountered North Korean spy vessel. Spies were afraid of detection.
Soto-o and Takeshi were abducted and carried to Chong-jin city. Shoji was considered to be killed at the site.
Families, fellow fishermen and coast guard searched the area, but they could find only Kiyomaru and Takeshi’s school uniform.
They thought 3 persons were in disress and died. Funeral service was held.24 Years were passed.
In 1987, Soto-o’s sister received the letter from Soto-o and surprised.
Soto-o wrote “Takeshi and I am living in Gusong, North Korea”.
Takeshi’s father and mother visited to North Korea in1988 and met with Soto-o and Takeshi.
But they couldn’t say how they carried to North Korea because NK officials watched them.
North Korea made the story of their shipwreck accident and lifesaving.
Since then, Takeshi’s parents visited to him a lot of times but Takeshi and his family members cannot say that Takeshi and his uncles were abducted.
In 1997, Megumi Yokota case was appeared in the media and the national congress. Terakoshi’s case was also observed as an abduction case. But “he” denied that he was abducted and praised North Korea and the Kim family.
In December 2001, Pyongyang publishing company published a book named “Sea of Mercy”.
The author is Kim Myong-ho, Takeshi’s Korean name.
In that book, Takeshi wrote that they are not the abduction victims but happily living in North Korea after they ware saved. Moreover “he" denied other abduction case such as Megumi Yokota and Yaeko Taguchi in this book.
Nine months later, Kim Jong-il admitted and appologized for the abduction activities.
But North Korea still denies Terakoshi’s case as abduction and Takeshi and his family cannot say he was abduction victim because Takeshi himself is a hostage.
“Sea of Mercy”, the title is a symbol of North Korean regime.
          【みんな生きている】お知らせ[大規模写真展]/NNN      Cache   Translate Page      
-その命、見捨てますか?-
《インチキ遺骨ではなくて、拉致被害者を返せ!めぐみさんの帰国まで展示続行!!大規模写真展のお知らせ》

■横田めぐみさんの帰国まで展示続行!大規模写真展を実施します。

1.日時・場所等
◆日 時:平成30年10月5日(金曜日)~横田めぐみさんの帰国まで
◆場 所:
A)神奈川県庁 エネルギーセンター棟2階フェンス
※神奈川県横浜市中区日本大通1
B)川崎競輪場 北門横仮囲い
※川崎市川崎区富士見2-1-6
◆主 催:あさがおの会

2.その他
◆どなたでもご覧になれます。

■神奈川県庁
http://www.pref.kanagawa.jp/access/index.html
■川崎競輪場
http://www.kawasakikeirin.com/pc/access/
■あさがおの会HP
http://www.asagaonokai.jp
■横田めぐみさんのご家族のメッセージ
http://www.rachi.go.jp/jp/message/movie_2.html
■横田めぐみさんのご家族のメッセージ(英語版)
http://www.rachi.go.jp/en/shisei/keihatsu/videomessage_2en.html
■「めぐみへの誓い-奪還-」PV
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=J6cZyGknNi8
■「めぐみへの誓い-奪還-」(英語版)
https://m.youtube.com/watch?feature=share&v=VEQdbP3JlVo
■アニメ「めぐみ」
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=OXGYACTRGjI
■VOA拉致問題動画
https://youtu.be/o2i_u8y8GJM
■政府拉致問題HP
http://www.rachi.go.jp/
■警察庁HP
http://www.npa.go.jp/
■警視庁HP
http://www.keishicho.metro.tokyo.jp
■神奈川県警HP
http://www.police.pref.kanagawa.jp/
■救う会神奈川HP
http://kanagawa.trycomp.net/
■救う会全国協議会HP
http://www.sukuukai.jp/
■特定失踪者問題調査会HP
http://www.chosa-kai.jp/
■北朝鮮帰国者の生命と人権を守る会HP
http://hrnk.trycomp.net/
■No Fence北朝鮮の強制収容所をなくすアクションの会HP
http://www.nofence.jp/
■北朝鮮人権人道ネットワークfacebook
http://www.facebook.com/nknet2015
■国連の北朝鮮人権調査委員会は2014年2月、北朝鮮帰還事業や拉致問題を含む北朝鮮政府による人権侵害を「人道に対する罪」と認定する最終報告書を発表しました。
<原文>
『Report of the Commission of Inquiry on Human Rights in the Democratic People's Republic of Korea』
https://www.ohchr.org/EN/HRBodies/HRC/CoIDPRK/Pages/ReportoftheCommissionofInquiryDPRK.aspx
<日本語訳>
『北朝鮮における人権に関する国連調査委員会(COI)最終報告書』
https://www.mofa.go.jp/mofaj/fp/hr_ha/page18_000274.html
■加藤 健ブログ「天を回せ!ロビー活動で挑む」
http://kenkato.blog.jp/
■ベナTVHP
http://www.benamu.org
■ベナTVブログ
http://blog.naver.com/benamu1004
■ベナTVFacebook
http://www.facebook.com/bnatv1004
■北朝鮮を離れて自由へ★イ・エラン★のブログ
http://blog.goo.ne.jp/aeran2000
■姜哲煥(カン・チョルファン)さん動画
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T8wXjTN2W8E&feature=youtu.be
■脱北者トーク番組動画
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KJZWxe9P-L8&feature=youtu.be
■脱北者・金柱聖さんの動画[前編](日本語訳付き)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zCPxzwHK8fQ&feature=youtu.be
■脱北者・金柱聖さんの動画[後編](日本語訳付き)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bq4sYy6d6EA&feature=youtu.be
■脱北者・金柱聖さんの動画(3)
https://youtu.be/pMC2G7akiiM
■ベナTV(日本語版)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4YHLDtOoJOo
■ベナTV(日本語版)動画
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KeCTTaSgwx4&feature=youtu.be
■ベナTV(日本語版)動画
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_WZoh00PGV8
■ベナ救出団:日本語(1)
https://youtu.be/USkALHXYyfI
■ベナ救出団:日本語(2)
https://youtu.be/W9yxZD9sjuM
■ベナ救出団:日本語(3)
https://youtu.be/Mv2kbq4hamU
■ベナ救出団:日本語(4)
https://youtu.be/xpocs10Hx0E
■ベナ救出団:日本語(5)
https://youtu.be/SYT--pNiFqc
■ベナ救出団:日本語(6)
https://youtu.be/p1MN3RHXQBc



◆昭和52(1977)年11月15日
少女拉致容疑事案
被害者:横田めぐみさん(Megumi Yokota)
(拉致被害時13歳)
※This person was Abduction by North Korea
新潟市において下校途中に失踪。
平成16年11月に開催された第3回実務者協議において、北朝鮮側はめぐみさんが1994(平成6)年4月に死亡したとし「遺骨」を提出したが、めぐみさんの「遺骨」とされた骨の一部からは同人のものとは異なるDNAが検出されたとの鑑定結果を得た。
平成18年4月には日本政府の実施したDNA検査により、横田めぐみさんの夫が昭和53年に韓国より拉致された当時高校生の韓国人拉致被害者・金英男(キム・ヨンナム)氏である可能性が高いことが判明した。

※「白い翼でも黒い翼でも、赤い翼でも青い翼でも、何でも結構なんで、帰って来られる翼をめぐみに与えてほしい」
(横田早紀江さん。拉致被害者・横田めぐみさんの母)
※「正義は必ず勝つ、と私は信じていますので、あとしばらくお力をお貸しください」
(横田哲也さん。拉致被害者・横田めぐみさんの弟)
■新潟県警HP
http://www.police.pref.niigata.jp/
■神奈川県警HP
http://www.police.pref.kanagawa.jp/
■あさがおの会HP
http://www.asagaonokai.jp
■ブルーリボンの祈り会/スイス日本語福音キリスト教会HP
https://www.jegschweiz.com/%E3%83%96%E3%83%AB%E3%83%BC%E3%83%AA%E3%83%9C%E3%83%B3%E3%81%AE%E7%A5%88%E3%82%8A%E4%BC%9A/
■アニメ「めぐみ」
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=OXGYACTRGjI

[November 15, 1977: Young girl abducted]

Abductee: Megumi Yokota (13, female, Niigata Prefecture)
Disappeared on her way home from school in Niigata City.
During the third round of Japan-North Korea Working-Level Consultations in November 2004, North Korea claimed that Megumi Yokota died in April 1994 and handed over what it claimed were her remains. DNA analysis, however, indicates that some of the bones from these remains belong in fact to a different person or persons.
Additional DNA analysis conducted in April 2006 by the GoJ indicated a high probability that Kim Young-Nam, a Korean citizen abducted from the Republic of Korea in 1978 when he was a high-school student, was married to Ms. Yokota.

《特定失踪者・東 修治さんについて》
◆氏名:東 修治
(あずましゅうじ)
(Shu-ji Azuma)
◆失踪年月日:昭和62(1987)年10月
◆生年月日:昭和38(1963)年1月24日
◆性別:男
◆当時の年齢:24歳
◆当時の住所:神奈川県内
◆当時の身分:会社員(病気で休業中)
◆身長:182cm
◆体重:75kg
◆足のサイズ:27.5cm
◆特徴:交通事故により、左手首からひじの間がくの字型に変形している
◆失踪場所:神奈川県横浜市のアパートから

【失踪状況】
昭和63年1月に不動産屋より家族に家賃滞納の連絡があり、家族がアパートを訪ねると突然出て行ったような状態だった。
お金、免許証はなく、車は置いたまま。免許証の切り替えはされていない。
昭和62年10月頃から胃病のため会社を休業中だった。
家族に送金を依頼する連絡があり送金している。
失踪後家族に無言電話があった。
■福岡県警HP
http://www.police.pref.fukuoka.jp/

《特定失踪者・岩佐寅雄さんについて》
◆氏名:岩佐 寅雄
(いわさとらお)
(Torao Iwasa)
◆失踪年月日:昭和36(1961)年12月20日
◆生年月日:大正15(1926)年12月8日
◆性別:男
◆当時の年齢:35歳
◆当時の住所:神奈川県鎌倉市材木座
◆当時の身分:魚屋の店員(板前も出来た)
◆宮城県山元町出身
◆身長:170cm
◆体重:70kg
◆血液型:A型
◆特徴:
1)少し前かがみで歩く癖があった
2)スポーツが趣味で、陸上短距離の国体に2度出場している
3)酒は少々飲む
◆失踪場所:神奈川県鎌倉市の材木座海岸

【失踪状況】
勤めていた店の人に黙っていなくなった。
その後、横須賀のいとこが四方八方探し回ったが消息はつかめず。
■宮城県警HP
http://www.police.pref.miyagi.jp/

《特定失踪者・小川雅樹さんについて》
◆氏名:小川 雅樹
(おがわまさき)
(Masaki Ogawa)
◆失踪年月日:平成5(1993)年8月31日
◆生年月日:昭和43(1968)年8月20日
◆性別:男
◆当時の年齢:24歳
◆当時の住所:神奈川県逗子市
◆当時の身分:無職
◆身長:173cm
◆血液型:B型
◆特徴:眼鏡又はコンタクト使用(乱視)
◆失踪場所:東京都渋谷区幡ヶ谷

【失踪状況】
平成5(1993)年3月、神奈川県内の大学を卒業後、北海道の競走馬を育てる牧場で馬の飼育係として働くため5月に単身北海道に渡り住み込みのアルバイトを始めたが3カ月後の8月下旬、家族に「北海道でのアルバイトを辞めるが家には帰らない」と電話をかけてきた以降、音信不通となった。
家族が北海道の牧場に連絡を取ると8月31日付で牧場を退職していた。
同年11月下旬、都内渋谷区の男性から家族に連絡があり状況を確認した結果、北海道での牧場勤務を辞めた直後に東京まで戻っていたが、神奈川の実家には戻らず都内で知り合った渋谷区の男性宅に数日間、居候した後、荷物を男性宅に残したまま所在不明となっていた。
失踪後の実家には年に2~3回無言電話がある。
■警視庁HP
http://www.keishicho.metro.tokyo.jp
■北海道警HP
http://www.police.pref.hokkaido.lg.jp/

《特定失踪者・岡元幸弘さんについて》
◆氏名:岡元 幸弘
(おかもとゆきひろ)
(Yukihiro Okamoto)
◆失踪年月日:昭和62(1987)年8月31日
◆生年月日:昭和30(1955)年1月14日
◆性別:男
◆当時の年齢:32歳
◆当時の住所:千葉県松戸市
◆当時の身分:ラーメン店店長
◆身長:175cmくらい
◆体重:65kg
◆失踪場所:神奈川県横須賀市

【失踪状況】
失踪前日、釣りに行くと言って千葉県松戸市の家を出たまま、翌日昼の開店時間になっても戻らず。
東電横須賀火力発電所付近で釣りをしているところを目撃されている。
車も残っていた。
当時営業も順調であり仕事にも張合いを持っていた。
借金もなかった。
失踪時浦賀署でも付近の捜索やヘリコプターでの捜索、海保の海上捜索なども行ったが発見できなかった。
■千葉県警HP
http://www.police.pref.chiba.jp/

《特定失踪者・川満敏弘さんについて》
◆氏名:川満 敏弘
(かわみつとしひろ)
(Toshihiro Kawamitsu)
◆失踪年月日:昭和47(1972)年5月
◆生年月日:昭和13(1948)年11月3日
◆性別:男
◆当時の年齢:33歳
◆当時の住所:愛知県名古屋市港区
◆当時の身分:車両メーカーの荷役。その前は神奈川県座間市で自動車メーカーの季節労働者
◆沖縄県出身
◆身長:160cmくらい
◆特徴:
1)痩せ型
2)四角顔
3)浅黒
4)左右いずれかの目頭に切り傷有り
5)世話好きの性格だった
◆失踪場所:大阪府寝屋川市の妹宅を出て

【失踪状況】
妹の出産見舞いで大阪府寝屋川市に来た時は明るかったが、それを最後に失踪した。
季節工の他に名古屋市内で荷役の仕事をしていた。
同じ沖縄出身の人が複数いたが仕事が終わって皆沖縄に帰り、川満さんだけが残った(残った理由は不明)。
愛知県名古屋市か神奈川県で働くと言い残し失踪。
■大阪府警HP
http://www.police.pref.osaka.jp/
■愛知県警HP
http://www.pref.aichi.jp/police/
■沖縄県警HP
http://www.police.pref.okinawa.jp/

《特定失踪者・越川 力さんについて》
◆氏名:越川 力
(こしかわつとむ)
(Tsutomu Koshikawa)
◆失踪年月日:昭和45(1970)年7月19日
◆生年月日:昭和21(1946)年4月18日
◆性別:男
◆当時の年齢:24歳
◆当時の住所:東京都練馬区
◆当時の身分:会社員
◆身長:166cm
◆体重:60kg
◆特徴:両足の指にソバカス模様の点々
◆失踪場所:東京都練馬区のアパート

【失踪状況】
アパートの大家に「海に行ってくる」と言って出ていった後行方不明。
■警視庁HP
http://www.keishicho.metro.tokyo.jp

《特定失踪者・齋藤正治さんについて》
◆氏名:齋藤 正治
(さいとうしょうじ)
(Shouji Saitou)
◆失踪年月日:昭和36(1961)年10月1日
◆生年月日:昭和14(1939)年7月10日
◆性別:男
◆当時の年齢:22歳
◆当時の住所:神奈川県逗子市
◆当時の身分:県立高校定時制に在学していて、アルバイトで運輸省湾口技術研究所に勤めていた
◆身長:170cmくらい
◆特徴:内向的な性格
◆失踪場所:神奈川県逗子市

【失踪状況】
定時制高校に通いながら運輸省(現・国土交通省)のアルバイトのような仕事をしていた。
御両親が早く亡くなり、兄弟はそれぞれ住み込みで働いていた。
正治さんと良司さん(弟)は学年は1年違いだが、正治さんが高校に入ったのは1年遅れ。
同級生の女性が弟の勤務先に訪れ、その女性の話によれば「正治さんが学校に来ない。下宿に行っても生活しているそのままの状態だった」とのこと。
当時、良司さんも住み込みで自由に動けなかったので直ぐには下宿に行っていない。
あとで警察には家出人届は出したが見つからなかった。
正治さんは中学校卒業後すぐ3年ほどパン屋に勤めていたが、退職後は母の妹の家(安浦町)に住所を移し、さらに逗子市に転居していたことがわかった。
転居先は住民票を辿ると逗子市で、住所は元横須賀海軍工廠の宿舎。当時は朝鮮半島出身者が500世帯くらい住んでいたが、原因不明の火事(昭和36年頃)で焼失した。

《特定失踪者・齋藤 武さんについて》
◆氏名:齋藤 武
(さいとうたけし)
(Takeshi Saitou)
◆失踪年月日:昭和58(1983)年10月30日
◆生年月日:昭和20(1945)6月14日
◆性別:男
◆当時の年齢:39歳
◆当時の住所:神奈川県横浜市
◆当時の身分:会社員
◆山形県酒田市出身
◆身長:168cm
◆特徴:子供の時、凍傷で左手親指の爪が欠落。
◆失踪場所:神奈川県横浜市

【失踪状況】
昭和60年1月にアパートの大家から家賃未納の手紙が届き、失踪していることが判明した。
家人が会社に問い合わせたところ、昭和59年10月で退職し、以後行方不明であるとのことであった。
失踪者の部屋の様子は衣服にカビが生え、缶詰は錆び付いているなど数年間も住んでいなかったような感じで、荷物もそのままの状況だった。
■山形県警HP
http://www.pref.yamagata.jp/police/

《特定失踪者・笹垣範男さんについて》
◆氏名:笹垣 範男
(ささがきのりお)
(Norio Sasagaki)
◆失踪年月日:平成4(1992)年9月12日
◆生年月日:昭和49(1974)年3月4日
◆性別:男
◆当時の年齢:18歳
◆当時の住所:神奈川県三浦市
◆当時の身分:予備校生(美大志望)
◆身長:168cm
◆体重:58kg
◆特徴:
1)剣道をしていた(2段)
2)利き腕側の胸が厚い
3)歯並びがよい
4)腹部に2mmくらいのほくろ
◆失踪場所:神奈川県三浦市

【失踪状況】
当日、母親が出勤する時(午前9時)には「今日は予備校(横浜市)で絵の授業はないが空いている教室で勉強できるので行くかも」と言っていた。
姉が昼に出かけるときはまだ自宅にいた。
予備校に行ったかどうかは出席をとっていないので不明。
普段と同じ服装、お金も4、5千円しか持っていない。朝の雰囲気からはとても家出するようには見えなかった。
いなくなる10日位前から誰かと会っている様子。
いつもは夕方5~6時に帰宅するのが、10~10時半に帰宅する日もあった。
前日、前々日は終電で帰ってきた。
誰と会っていたか聞いても答えなかった。
預金通帳は残っている。

《特定失踪者・佐藤剛生さんについて》
◆氏名:佐藤 剛生
(さとうたけお)
(Takeo Satou)
◆失踪年月日:平成9(1997)年7月29日
◆生年月日:昭和46(1971)年11月30日
◆性別:男
◆当時の年齢:25歳
◆当時の住所:千葉県船橋市
◆当時の身分:会社員
◆身長:170cm
◆体