tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5165450453057285644Fri, 26 Jun 2026 08:14:26 +0000Match-Up of The NightThe NotebookAt Center Court with...Countdown to 2010George HillGregg PopovichManu GinobiliOther PeopleSpurs CultureTim DuncanTony ParkerThe RosterCelticsBlog PreviewsRoger Mason Jr.Ian MahinmiLakersMalik HairstonRumorsToros WatchAustin TorosBlake AhearnBlogger MVP and ROY RankingsBruce BowenDerrick RoseDikembe MutomboMatt BonnerO.J. MayoRoger MasonSpursState of the SeasonThe ClipboardThe GrizzliesThe HornetsThe SpursTrade SpeculationVideoWatching the Rotationthe Lakers2008/9 Season2009 DraftAllen IversonAnthony TolliverCody AdamsD-LeagueDavid RobinsonDefenseDirk NowitzkiDwight HowardFrank MaddenGreenHustleJunkieJoe JohnsonJoe SmithJose CalderonKenyon MartinKobe BryantMarburyMarc GasolMark CubanMilwaukee BucksMoviesNewsNotesFromAcrossTheAssociationP.J. CarlesimoR.C. BufordReflections on a RivalRobert HorryRussell WestbrookSacramento KingsStephen JacksonStuff I wrote for other peopleSunsT-WolvesThe 76ersThe Austin TorosThe BullsThe ClippersThe HawksThe KingsThere can only be oneTiago SplitterTom ZillerTorosdraft48 Minutes of HellErratic NBA commentary from a guy with no handles, bad court vision, and a laughable jump shotnoreply@blogger.com (Graydon)Blogger284125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5165450453057285644.post-4993480451705790902Tue, 20 Jan 2009 15:01:00 +00002009-01-20T08:49:57.729-08:00NewsBrand New Day<a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href=" style="margin: 0pt 10px 10px 0pt; float: left; cursor: pointer; width: 175px; height: 241px;" src="; alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5293418298046158194" border="0" /></a><a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href=" Readers,<br /><br />Today is an exciting day for several reasons. Aside from the transition of power which has captured not only the attention of the nation but also the world, there is a much smaller transition which has captured the attention of a small corner of the interwebs: 48 Minutes of Hell is moving to <a href=" new location</a>. From this day forward we will no longer be operating at blogspot and will only be publishing material at 48minutesofhell.com.<br /><br />The second and equally if not far more exciting development is that 48 Minutes of Hell is proud to announce <a href=" we are a member of a new network being launched by ESPN.</a> Entitled the TrueHoop Network, it was pioneered by the minds of Henry Abbott and Kevin Arnovitz and will include several of the best NBA blogs available. Check them out.<br /><br />In the meantime, set a bookmark to www.48minutesofhell.com.<br /><br />-Graydon Gordian and Timothy Varner2009/01/blogfather.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Timothy Varner)30tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5165450453057285644.post-7560700445979444223Mon, 19 Jan 2009 10:00:00 +00002009-01-19T03:54:05.215-08:00Spurs CultureMLK Day Musing on "Spurs Culture"Back in November Gregg <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0">Popovich</span> was busy inculcating roster newbies into Spurs culture. Roger Mason Jr. <a href=" it up this way</a>:<br /><p></p><blockquote><p>"Honestly, it's beyond expectations,'' Mason said. "The most impressive thing that I've seen Pop do is, before the election, he had us watch a video on the civil rights movement. For me, you know he has the X's and <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_1">O's</span> and that he's a great coach, but stuff like that, you don't see that.''</p> <p>On Monday, with San Antonio off to an uncharacteristic 0-2 start, with back-to-back games against the Mavericks and <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_2">Timberwolves</span> looming, <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_3">Popovich</span> devoted about 45 minutes before practice -- on the eve of a historic presidential election -- to a topic that had nothing to do with his players' place and moment in time, and everything to do with it.</p> <p>"It was Dr. King. It was a bunch of current events on the struggles that a lot of African-Americans went through in the civil rights movement,'' Mason said. "It completely threw me off. But when I went home and reflected on it, I was like, Man, he's a special guy.''</p></blockquote><p></p>I'm a cynic on these days--holidays when earnest reflection is typically exceeded by token sentimentalism. I know these days are important. I'm happy we take time to mark our calendars with the most significant events of our history. But still, I'm a cynic. Hallmark Cards, the tiresome prattle of pundits, and the counterfeit care of the news anchor tear all strike a deeply disingenuous tone to me. I prefer gifts out of season to a carefully scheduled parade of gift-wrap. I'm a cynic, but I'm not completely callous. I can be touched. But the honest atheist who will not celebrate Christmas (<span style="font-style: italic;">as Christmas) </span>earns more respect from me than the man who fakes his fa la la way through.<br /><br /><br />Whether a father realizes it or not, the sincerity of his actions creates a culture for his children to live within. If he is unnecessarily absent, the sincerity of his absence creates a culture of longing and loneliness in which the children grow. If he only pays lip service I Love Yous, children will acquaint themselves with a culture of shallow, feigned affection. This kind of thing is inescapable, and adapts to scale. It's true for parents. It's true for teachers. It's true for presidents. It's true for coaches.<br /><br />"Spurs culture" is something of a nebulous expression. But whatever it is, it aims to be sincere, and it seeks sincerity from its contributors. Gregg <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_4">Popovich</span> was able to connect with Roger Mason through 45 minutes of sincere, unscripted reflection on the triumphs of the civil rights era. I'm convinced these sort of moments have played major contributing roles during the Spurs' decade of dominance. One can not quantify the power of a culturally defining moment, and, drastically scaling down in terms of significance, neither can one quantify the relationship between a certain type of culture and winning.2009/01/mlk-day-musing-on-spurs-culture.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Timothy Varner)2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5165450453057285644.post-5774139017308986442Mon, 19 Jan 2009 09:01:00 +00002009-01-19T08:23:10.337-08:00At Center Court with...At Center Court with Brett Hainline<a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href=" style="margin: 0pt 10px 10px 0pt; float: left; cursor: pointer; width: 180px; height: 140px;" src="; alt="" border="0" /></a><span style="font-family:georgia;">Brett Hainline is the man over at <a href=" City Hoops</a>, the best place on the net for Bobcats analysis. In addition to keeping close tabs on the Cats, Brett also manages a <a href=" ass stats page</a>--it includes Spurs stats, o ye faithful. Clamor on over. Brett and I discuss Popovich, Brown, and some other stuff below. </span><br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;font-family:georgia;" >TV:</span><span style="font-family:georgia;"> Your recent piece entitled </span><a style="font-family: georgia;" href="; target="_blank">Defending a Bobcats Defense</a><span style="font-family:georgia;"> was tremendous</span><span style="font-family:georgia;">. The Bobcats are on the come up since the Richardson trade, and, based on your numbers, Diaw's defense is a contributing factor. I'm guessing Larry Brown (who I assume pushed for the trade) did not run your fancy pants numbers before saying, "yeah, get me Bell and Diaw." To what extent do you believe veteran coaches and GMs can intuit the sort of stuff your data shows?</span><br /><blockquote><span style=";font-family:georgia;font-size:100%;" >BH: </span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family:Arial;font-size:100%;" ><span style="">I think coaches and GMs see enough basketball to tell who forces their man into tough shots, who gambles too much on defense, and who does a good job defending the pick and roll. But coaches have put Kobe on the All-Defensive teams 8 times, despite his sometimes flagging interest at the end of the court (before the Royal Order of Kobe Supporters tear me a new one – Kobe is a very good defender…when he tries – is that good enough to be among the league’s best for 8 seasons?) and that tells me that they can also buy into the hype and might be making some of their decisions on reputation. They saw his greatness – and then stopped looking hard at him (and others – he is not the only one to make it on his name). Like my post showed – stats can be used to paint a very detailed picture of a player’s influence on a game, far beyond just how someone scored against him. I think there is a limit to how much a person could intuitively track all the varied fields that paint a more complete picture of a defender’s abilities. </span></span></blockquote><span style="font-weight: bold;font-family:georgia;" >TV:</span><span style="font-family:georgia;"> Half a season in, what's your take on Larry Brown as the Bobcats coach?</span><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;font-family:georgia;" ></span><blockquote><span style="font-weight: bold;font-family:georgia;" >BH:</span><span style="font-family:georgia;"> </span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family:Arial;font-size:100%;" ><span style="">With the Bobcats seemingly headed towards merely matching last season’s win total…I am actually generally very pleased. Larry Brown has the team playing actual basketball and their defense is world’s better than last season – they currently stand 12<sup>th</sup> in the league in defensive efficiency (and even better since the Diaw trade), after finishing last year at 21<sup>st</sup>. The Bobcats are actually approaching being good at something. The offense is still a work in progress, but after a lot of early season struggling with more plays and complexity than they were accustomed, the Cats are making offensive progress. Overall, I can not complain (except about playing Juwan Howard over Ryan Hollins and Alexis Ajinca--the Cats are very unlikely to make the playoffs so why not give the kids a chance?).</span></span></blockquote><span style="font-weight: bold;font-family:georgia;" >TV:</span><span style="font-family:georgia;"> For some reason, the Popovich-Brown friendship fascinates me. How would you compare the two coaches, in light of one another?</span><br /><span style="font-family:georgia;"><span style="font-weight: bold;"></span></span><blockquote><span style="font-family:georgia;"><span style="font-weight: bold;">BH</span>: </span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family:Arial;font-size:100%;" ><span style="">Stylistically, they seem very similar – their teams play old-school basketball (well, sort-of, depending on the era, old school was actually pretty up-tempo, but the style they play seems old-school), with a focus on defense and a slow pace. But…Pop – 13 seasons, 1 team. Larry Brown – 29 years (including ABA), 10 teams. In real world terms, one is the monogamous, long-married husband, the other a confirmed bachelor, moving from passing fancy to passing fancy. Do they secretly envy each other? What do they have in common to form their friendship around? I can only assume that, just like in real life, the answer is probably basketball.</span></span></blockquote><span style="font-weight: bold;font-family:georgia;" >TV:</span><span style="font-family:georgia;"> Do you think the Cats are stuck with Adam Morrison?</span><br /><span style="font-family:georgia;"><span style="font-weight: bold;"></span></span><blockquote><span style="font-family:georgia;"><span style="font-weight: bold;">BH</span>: </span><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);font-family:Arial;font-size:100%;" ><span style=""><span style="font-family:georgia;">Like an unwanted leg. Except I kind of want Adam around, just in case he winds up proving everyone wrong. I’d hate to see him moved elsewhere only to become a solid contributor (anything more seems like ridiculous fantasy at this point). Aside from being used in a trade to make salaries match, I do not see the Bobcats being able to trade him. After a decent start to the season, he has struggled mightily and probably forced the Bobcats into holding onto him for next year (which they already picked up, for the low, low sum of only $5 million – yay! Sigh.).</span> </span></span></blockquote><span style="font-family:georgia;">Brett and I exchanged questions this time around, so visit <a href=" City Hoops</a> for my answers to a set of Spurs questions. And <a href=" game previews are not too shabby</a>, either. </span>2009/01/at-center-court-with-brett-hainline.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Timothy Varner)0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5165450453057285644.post-9194818189782974215Mon, 19 Jan 2009 08:59:00 +00002009-01-19T02:18:14.740-08:00Trade SpeculationThe Trade Season Tilt-A-Whirl: Twirl No. 1<a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href=" style="margin: 0px auto 10px; display: block; text-align: center; cursor: pointer; width: 499px; height: 257px;" src="; alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5292927195654544354" border="0" /></a><br /><a href=" Daily Dime</a> has Spurs Nation talking about San Antonio's alleged interest in <a href=" Collison</a>. Nick Collison? Really?<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Positives</span><br /><ul><li>excellent rebound rate</li><li>good defender</li><li>high FG%</li></ul><span style="font-weight: bold;">Negatives</span><br /><ul><li>at what price?</li><li>compromises <a href="2008/12/over-last-several-weeks-handful-of-our.html">the 2010 Cap Strategy</a></li></ul>One member of a <a href=" message board </a>fired up <a href=" Trade Machine</a> and discovered that a salary dump of Vaughn, Oberto, and Udoka for Collison satisfies the CBA. Even if the Spurs included a 2009 second round draft pick(s) into the equation, one wonders if Presti would give up Collison for so little talent in return? The big variable here is how much of Fabricio Oberto's 2009/10 contract is guaranteed. The usual sites disagree, but <a href=" indicate</a> that next season's contract is only partially guaranteed. If that is the case, Presti could clear 18 million or more (depending on Oberto's contract) from his future cap--he would head into next summer with a payroll somewhere in the low to mid-30s. <br /><br />Right now, it looks as if only Memphis is likely to be in the same cap space neighborhood as OKC. But how much money is Michael Heisley willing to spend in a bad economy? In other words, would Sam Presti want cash to spend in a buyer's market? And in a year when the competition for talent is scarce? More specifically, does Presti want to add a Carlos Boozer or David Lee--with money enough left for, say, Zaza Pachulia--to his core of Durant, Green and Westbrook? This might be the perfect storm of opportunity for the ambitious young GM. Turning Nick Collison into Carlos Boozer would be a neat party trick.<br /><br />On the court Collison is an ideal fit for San Antonio, but is he worth jeopardizing their 2010 cap space? I'm not sure. Perhaps, there is a different way to ask the question. Are the Spurs playing for championships now or later? Collison is not a bit player. His presence would immediately shore up the frontline.2009/01/trade-season-tilt-whirl-twirl-no-1.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Timothy Varner)3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5165450453057285644.post-153267302118516993Mon, 19 Jan 2009 06:50:00 +00002009-01-19T00:53:08.141-08:002008/9 SeasonDefenseIt's the Personnel, Pop<a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href=" style="margin: 0px auto 10px; display: block; text-align: center; cursor: pointer; width: 400px; height: 170px;" src="; alt="" id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5292920743249480738" border="0" /></a>Jeff McDonald has turned in <a href=" should-read article</a> replete with quotes from Coach <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0">Popovich</span> about the Spurs lackluster defense. This is typical <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_1">Popovich</span> banter, always <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_2">pre</span>-packaged and ready for arrival in mid-January. But somehow, this season, <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_3">Pop's</span> analysis strikes me as more than a motivational ploy.<br /><br />We've recently <a href="2008/12/notebook-bucks-spurs-12-30-08.html">written that the Spurs are not as good as their record</a>. <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_4">Popovich</span> <a href=" to agree</a>: “The only thing that's saving us is that everybody else is beating everybody else up, so our record looks basically as good as anybody <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_5">else's</span>,” <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_6">Popovich</span> said. “It's fool's gold, as far as I'm concerned.”<br /><br />According to McDonald, the first game stat Pop looks at is field goal percentage defense. <a href=" class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_7">Basketbawful</span> wrote</a> about this area of concern a couple weeks back, saying:<br /><blockquote>This kind of shocked me, but the Spurs are only 21st in the league in field goal percentage defense (45.7), which is barely better than the Heat (45.8) and Warriors (also 45.8). The fact that they're one of the best teams in <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_8">PPG</span> allowed but one of the worst teams in <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_9">FGP</span> allowed tells you pretty much all you need to know about the pace of their games.<br /></blockquote>It's hard to argue with the evidence, especially if you've watched any games of late. The 76<span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_10">ers</span> might the toughest match up in the league for San Antonio. Their athletic 3s and 4s recently obliterated the Spurs defense, and notably Bruce Bowen. Young and <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_11">Iguodala</span> cruised to 27 and 21 points, respectively. Meanwhile, the laterally-challenged Bowen and Finley registered plus/minuses of -13 and -26. Philly scored at will.<br /><br />The painful truth is that the Spurs have hard-to-overcome personnel issues--not insurmountable, but terribly problematic. The Spurs will struggle to defend athletic wings. Bowen's decline causes one to wonder how effectively the Spurs will successfully limit the offense of playoff go to scorers, such as Kobe Bryant and Carmelo Anthony. In their recent game against the <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_12">Lakers</span>, Pop only gave Bowen 6 minutes of playing time (although, truth be told, I suspect Bowen was given the short hook because of offensive, not defensive, limitations). <a href="2009/01/typical-spurs-lakers-stuff-random.html">As I noted</a> after the game:<br /><blockquote>The Spurs played last night's game with basically one swing player: Michael Finley. <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_13">Ime</span> <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_14">Udoka</span> didn't make it off the bench and Bruce Bowen logged a mere 6 minutes. The Spurs used a trio of Hill, Mason, <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_15">Ginobili</span> at one point. In the '08 Western Conference Finals, Kobe Bryant averaged 29.2 points on 53% shooting. Nothing had changed last night. It looks as if <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_16">Popovich</span> has decided that Bowen can't slow Bryant, so he might as well put his team in a better position to trade baskets.</blockquote>Coincidentally, might this offer a partial account for <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_17">Pop's</span> frequent <a href="2009/01/small-ball-spurs.html">forays into small ball?</a><br /><br />When the Spurs play Kurt Thomas and Tim Duncan together, they have a front court whose foot speed is closer to slow and plodding than quick and nimble. This creates difficulties against 4s <a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href=" style="margin: 0pt 10px 10px 0pt; float: left; cursor: pointer; width: 195px; height: 262px;" src="; alt="" border="0" /></a>and 5s that can score by facing the basket and putting the ball on the floor. This is obviously qualified by the fact that Thomas and Duncan are on most short-lists of good defensive big men. It's no surprise then that they are an effective tandem against certain, if not most, line ups. This criticism is only relative to quick, athletic <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_18">frontcourters</span>. Thomas and Duncan can't stick with the long speedsters. Pop doesn't have a body on his bench to play alongside Duncan that is particularly suited to defend athletic, turn and face <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_19">bigs</span>. <a href="2009/01/every-team-needs-two-matt-bonners.html">Austin <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_20">Croshere</span> is not the solution to this problem</a>, no matter how much he potentially helps elsewhere.<br /><br />Another issue along the <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_21">frontline</span>, one that certainly contributes to an opponent's field goal percentage, is the Spurs' lack of a second shot blocker. Kurt Thomas, again, is a good defender, but he's not exactly the Sultan of Swat. Duncan hasn't played alongside a great shot-altering center since David Robinson, with <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_22">Rasho</span> <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_23">Nesterovic</span> checking in as the closest qualifier. The Spurs defense, as most readers of this site know, attempts to force perimeter players baseline and funnel them into the clutches of its shot blockers. Although it's not an absolute necessity, the Spurs D is better outfitted with twin towers who can spike the set of opposing penetration.<br /><br />This brings us back to <a href=" sobering piece</a>:<br /><p></p><blockquote><p>“We suck on ‘D,'” <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_24">Popovich</span> said, with the “D” standing for defense.</p> <p>That was the entire text of <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_25">Popovich's</span> State of the Team address, as succinct as it was devastating. All follow-up questions fishing for a silver lining were quickly rebuffed.</p> <p>Do you mean all game long, or just in fourth quarters?</p> <p>“No, pretty much throughout,” <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_26">Popovich</span> said. “Both individually and team-wise, we suck. We're pretty consistent that way.”</p> <p>Surely there is a way to fix this problem, some sliver of hope on the horizon?</p> <p>“I don't know if I have an answer to that,” <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_27">Popovich</span> said. “If I did, we wouldn't suck quite so bad.”</p></blockquote>The Spurs can always seek to address their personnel issues through trades or free agent acquisitions, except that they are extremely short-handed on assets and teams are not looking to give away the sort of player(s) the Spurs need in return. Even if the Spurs were able to land a player who has the physical wherewithal to stand in the gap, there is no certainty he could learn the system quickly enough to boost the Spurs back into the realm of the elite. These defensive issues pose the most critical challenge to the 2008/9 championship run. Color me anxious.2009/01/its-personnel-pop.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Timothy Varner)2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5165450453057285644.post-6994219303781056151Sat, 17 Jan 2009 19:42:00 +00002009-01-17T12:04:24.823-08:00Derrick RoseGeorge HillMatch-Up of The NightMatch-Up of the Night: The Curse of Graydon vs. Poor Scheduling<a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href=" style="display:block; margin:0px auto 10px; text-align:center;cursor:pointer; cursor:hand;width: 400px; height: 200px;" src="; border="0" alt=""id="BLOGGER_PHOTO_ID_5292355717996234530" /></a>Although I have only lived in Chicago for a little over a year, I am almost legendary amongst Chicago sports fans. For you see I have attended 8 Chicago sporting events and never once has the home town team won. Cubs, Bears, Bulls, doesn't matter. If I am present they lose. For the most part this is frustrating because I like Chicago sports teams and wish them the best. But one day a year this is a sure fire way to ensure I fall asleep with a smile on my face: The day the Spurs come town. <br /><br />Alas, I am not in Chicago. I am in Washington D.C. So I am not only missing the game (which is frustrating enough in its own right), but there is now the slightest chance we might lose when originally there was no shot whatsoever at a Bulls victory. Poor scheduling on my part (really, poor scheduling on whoever thought the inauguration should be in January. It's the east coast people. Can't we do this in May?).<br /><br />Anyways, in their first meeting this season an under-staffed Spurs squad (Parker was still out) managed to top the Bulls 98-88. I characterized that contest as a chance to compare Hill and Rose and despite whatever media hype may surround the first round pick, Hill had the better game. But Rose has continued to improve over the season while Hill's momentum has slowed a bit. The Bulls are also coming off of a particularly impressive performance against the Cleveland Cavaliers, who I happen to believe are the best team in the NBA. The Spurs, on the other hand, let their post-Laker momentum slip a bit as they got thoroughly handled by a surging Sixers squad. The game starts at 8:30 Eastern/7:30 Central.2009/01/match-up-of-night-curse-of-graydon-vs.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Graydon)0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5165450453057285644.post-6698088441242941611Fri, 16 Jan 2009 20:20:00 +00002009-01-16T13:09:40.959-08:00Match-Up of The NightThe 76ersMatch-Up of the Night: Consistent Perimeter Shooting vs. Hot Perimeter ShootingI've never understood why the Spurs are labeled as a boring team. Ok, scratch that. I understand that people find our slow pace of play and defensive-minded style to be boring. But the spurs let it fly from the perimeter at an alarming rate and however worrying it may be from the perspective of offensive efficiency, I happen to find barrages of three pointers to be exciting. Which is why I am excited for this evening's contest with the 76ers. <br /><br />Traditionally Philly doesn't take a lot of outside shots (for the majority of the season they have had the fewest 3-point attempts of any team). But under new coach Tony DiLeo the Sixers have started <a href=" heat up from from beyond the arc:</a><br /><blockquote>The Sixers are near the bottom of the NBA in 3-point shooting (32.2 percent), but they've connected on 34 of 70 attempts (48.6) during their [5 game] winning streak. </blockquote>The Spurs, on the other hand, have lived and died by the long ball for a good season or two now. A look up and down the roster will reveal a whole bevy of players who love nothing more than making it rain from 24 feet away from the basket. But, unlike the Sixers, we do so at an impressively consistent rate. Bonner and Mason are amongst the top three in the league in 3-point percentage (1st and 3rd, respectively). And Ginobili, Bowen, Finley, and even Udoka can hit outside shots at a decent rate. Although the average fan may not think of Spurs-Sixers as an exciting match-up, there's a good reason to believe these two squads may provide us with a bit of fireworks this evening.2009/01/match-up-of-night-consistent-perimeter.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Graydon)1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5165450453057285644.post-1556148132506932179Fri, 16 Jan 2009 17:36:00 +00002009-01-16T10:01:05.341-08:00Every Team Needs Two Matt Bonners<a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href=" style="margin: 0pt 10px 10px 0pt; float: left; cursor: pointer; width: 226px; height: 233px;" src="; alt="" border="0" /></a>The Spurs <a href=" signed Austin <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_0">Croshere</span> to a 10-Day contract</a>. Since it's only a 10-Day at this point, I'll simply offer a brief, off the cuff assessment.<br /><br />Just before learning of the signing, I posted about <a href="2009/01/small-ball-spurs.html">the Spurs fascination with small ball. </a>I encourage you to read that post, and insert "<span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_1">Croshere</span>" where necessary. Austin <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_2">Croshere</span> brings 3 point offense and spacing to the table, and <a href="2008/12/rise-of-red-rocket.html">could be helpful against the <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_3">Lakers</span></a>.<br /><br /><span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_4">Croshere</span> has a wealth of experience. He's played in a number of playoff games, including one trip to the NBA Finals. That counts for more than a consolation prize to me. <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_5">Croshere</span> is also better than Matt Bonner at putting the ball on the floor after a ball fake. That doesn't say much, I know. But it is something. I think the two <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_6">bigs</span> could play together for short stints, as odd as that would seem. Austin <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_7">Croshere</span> is better than Anthony <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_8">Tolliver</span>, so in that limited sense the Spurs have improved themselves.<br /><br />The downside of this is that Spurs are now tapped-out in terms of roster space, with lingering needs for rebounding/interior defense and wing scoring. If <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_9">Croshere</span> works out, I have to imagine the Spurs plan to address at least one of those issues through a trade. It's also possible they buy out <span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_10">Jacque</span> Vaughn to create a roster space, though doubtful.<br /><br />We'll know more in 20 days (<span class="blsp-spelling-error" id="SPELLING_ERROR_11">Croshere</span> will likely receive two 10-Days from San Antonio before they make a decision on him). For now, it's a smart look and see 10 Day for a veteran who could, theoretically, fit the system at a thin position.2009/01/every-team-needs-two-matt-bonners.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Timothy Varner)2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5165450453057285644.post-6281772234935678013Fri, 16 Jan 2009 14:00:00 +00002009-01-16T09:27:01.451-08:00Gregg PopovichThe Small Ball SpursTimes have changed. If pressed, Tim Duncan will now admit to being the San Antonio Spurs starting <span style="font-style: italic;">center</span>. Gregg Popovich's team is shape-shifting, with few observers taking notice. Tim Duncan as center is part of a broader, albeit subtle, change. The Spurs frequently moonlight as a small ball team.<br /><br />Gregg Popovich has always been willing to mix in small ball line ups if the action on the floor called for it. But this season, his willingness to play small has morphed into a underlying commitment; small ball is part of a larger strategy, which I'll turn to in a moment.<br /><br />The superficial evidence of the Spurs playing small is easy enough to spot. Michael Finley, who is really a shooting guard, plays small forward. When Ime Udoka plays, he's often used as a small ball 4. The Spurs <a href=" effective 5-man units</a> this season are small ballish. Parker, Mason, Finley, Bonner, and Duncan are the most frequent combination, boasting a win% of 68.7. Hill, Mason, Finley, Bonner, and Duncan have a gaudy win% of 80. Both of these line ups feature 4 out and 1 in---in other words, 4 perimeter players and a big. The Spurs' trot out 4 guard floor combinations like Parker, Mason, Ginobili, Finley and Duncan most games for at least a short spurt. Michael Finley does not strike me as a small ball 4, but that hasn't stopped Pop.<br /><br />Jeff McDonald <a href=" reported</a> these words in relation to the Warriors-Spurs early December contest:<br /><p></p><blockquote><p>Ninety minutes before his team ran headfirst into a silver and black buzz saw Saturday night, Golden State coach Don Nelson stood on the AT&T Court and accused his good friend and former assistant Gregg Popovich of thievery.</p> <p>Nelson had just finished watching film of Popovich's Spurs team, running offensive schemes that looked more than vaguely familiar.</p> <p>“A lot of it he stole from me,” Nelson said with a wink...</p><p>...Apprised of the Xs and Os robbery charges Nelson had levied against him pregame, Popovich pled no contest.</p> <p>“I would imagine he's probably right,” Popovich said. “It's all either his play, or a variation.”</p> <p>Using Nelson's own medicine against him, the Spurs (11-8) set a season scoring high for a regulation game, surpassed only by a 129-125 double-overtime victory at Minnesota.</p></blockquote><p></p>Even when the Spurs play 4 out, 1 in with Duncan, there is no guarantee he'll function on the low block. As I wrote a couple weeks back, <a href="2009/01/tim-duncans-new-habits.html">Tim Duncan is more of a jump shooter this season than ever before. </a>The evidence is indisputable. The amount of time he spends stroking his mid-range game will decline some in the playoffs, where he's sure to spend lots of time on the low block. Nevertheless, Duncan is something of a face and shoot 5 this season.<br /><br />The Spurs also seem committed to having at least two perimeter bigs on their roster. In past seasons, this meant Horry and Bonner. This year, for a time at least, it meant Bonner and Tolliver. Now <a href=" suggest</a> that a player like Austin Croshere could be brought in to replace Anthony Tolliver. In other words, more shooting.<br /><br />The other small ball indicator is the Spurs love affair with the 3 pointer. They rank 5th in 3 point attempts and they shoot the league's best percentage.<br /><br />Some of this is circumstantial, but I'm convinced Popovich committed himself to more small ball over the offseason. If you recall, the Spurs drafted Hill, signed Mason, and flirted with free agents Jannero Pargo and Salim Stoudamire. 3 out of 4 of those players are 3 point aces, and they're all perimeter players.<br /><br />Am I suggesting the Spurs are the new Golden State Warriors. Not at all. But it's obvious that one of Pop's strategies this season is to open up the offense and score a little more. As you might expect, team scoring and pace are slightly higher than last season. As mentioned above, the team brought in multiple scoring options for their bench. Put differently, Hill replaced Vaughn, Mason replaced Barry, Finley replaced Bowen, and Bonner replaced Oberto/Horry. In every case, the Spurs get more scoring.<br /><br />The Spurs will always be a half-court team. When it matters the offense will run through Duncan. They play inside, out. All of that remains true. My point is simply to say that Popovich has committed to a distinct small ball wrinkle in this year's offense. And as Graydon lucidly described in <a href="2009/01/notebook-breathing-easy.html">yesterday's Notebook</a>, there is a telos to all this. But what?<br /><br />I'll call our readers back to a post I wrote earlier this season, <a href="2008/12/rise-of-red-rocket.html">The Rise of the Red Rocket</a>. Quoting myself quoting Kurt from Forum Blue and Gold quoting Jones on the NBA (got that?):<br /><blockquote>The Kings are a bad match up for the Lakers because their centers play a perimeter game that draws Bynum and Gasol out to the three point line and opens up the lane for drives and causes the Lakers defense to break down leading to easy lay ups or open three pointers. Same thing happened against the Pacers and their perimeter oriented bigs and Detroit and Rasheed’s three point shooting from the center position. Teams with quick penetrating guards and perimeter oriented bigs will continue to be a problem for the Lakers as Farmar and Fisher will never be ball stopping guards, so if Bynum and/or Pau are out on the perimeter those guards are going to have a field day and just chop up the Lakers on defense. Against teams like the Pacers and Kings the Lakers are usually able to make up for this match up issue by outscoring them. But when the Lakers shots aren’t falling, you’re going to have issues like this.<br /></blockquote>And quoting myself, once again:<br /><blockquote>The Spurs are quick to respect all their opponents, but I suspect that their respect for the current Lakers squad runs a little higher. A great indicator of this respect might be found in the presence of not one but two perimeter centers on tap. It sounds pompous, but in San Antonio everything is geared toward May and June.<br /></blockquote>Why more small ball? Yes, I think it has everything to do with the Lakers. That, and Popovich is keeping a bower back until the games start to count. Right now, he's priming the engine of his 3 and 4 guards machine. The low post machine is resting in the garage.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;">Update</span>: Minutes after posting this, the good bots at Google Alerts informed me that Austin Croshere has signed a 10 Day contract with San Antonio....2009/01/small-ball-spurs.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Timothy Varner)2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5165450453057285644.post-8623039943191930931Fri, 16 Jan 2009 03:04:00 +00002009-01-16T07:46:55.932-08:00At Center Court with...At Center Court with Jordan Sams<a onblur="try {parent.deselectBloggerImageGracefully();} catch(e) {}" href=" style="margin: 0pt 10px 10px 0pt; float: left; cursor: pointer; width: 205px; height: 220px;" src="; alt="" border="0" /></a><span><span><span>Tonight's game against the 76ers scares me a little---the 76ers are one of the most athletic teams in the league, which, of course, gives the greyheaded Spurs fits. Nevertheless, I press on. Jordan Sams (JSams) of <a href=" Ballers</a> holds my hand through a few Philly questions. </span></span></span><span style="font-weight: bold;"><br /><br />TV</span>: Andre Iguodala is a difficult cover. According to 82games, <a href="; target="_blank">his adjusted plus/minus</a> is one of the best in the league. Still I see him as a borderline All-Star talent. What are the most salient weaknesses of his game? What must he do to take it to the next level? <div><br /></div> <div><span><span style="font-weight: bold;"></span></span></div><blockquote><div><span><span style="font-weight: bold;">JS:</span> His biggest weaknesses are his jumpshot, the inability to perform in the clutch and the desire to make SportsCenter's Top 10 every time he touches the ball. The jumpshot has been falling as of late, but it's still too inconsistent to be considered good, or even average. He always comes up lame in the clutch, whether it be a missed shot or a stupid turnover, but in my opinion that's not his fault, because he's not the player who should have the ball in clutch situations. That's the coaches fault. And the whole "Top 10" comment was because he often attempts spectacular passes, shots or dunks when a simple one would get the job done, and as you can imagine, I wouldn't be mentioning this if he didn't miss or turn it over every time he tries something spectacular.</span></div> <div><span><br /></span></div> <div><span>To take it to the next level he needs to improve his jumpshot. That's the only true basketball skill he needs a lot of work on.</span></div> <div><span><br /></span></div> <div><span>If he ever plays with someone like Kobe, LeBron or legitimate superstar, he can flourish as the second banana. Think a Scottie Pippen-type player if he ever reaches his full potential.</span></div></blockquote><div><span></span><div><span style="font-weight: bold;">TV</span>: How does the back half of the season set up for Philly? Can they make a push?<br /></div></div> <div><span><span style="font-weight: bold;"></span><blockquote><span style="font-weight: bold;">JS:</span> Without even looking at the schedule, I will personally guarantee they make the playoffs in the East. They can be anywhere from the 4-8 seed, but they'll make the playoffs. I don't know what they'll do when they get there; we'll have to wait and see what they look like when Brand returns.</blockquote></span><div class="Ih2E3d"><span style="font-weight: bold;">TV</span>: Looking at your current roster, I don't see a top tier superstar. Do you think Brand will recover form and become that player? If not, Philly is in a difficult position of having ideal "B" and "C" players without a lead dog. Should they package some of their talent for that kind of player?</div></div> <div><span><span style="font-weight: bold;"></span></span></div><blockquote><div><span><span style="font-weight: bold;">JS:</span> No, I don't think Brand can be that player. I didn't see anything from him before he got hurt to lead me to believe he'd be a superstar for us. Given, he was playing under the horrible coaching of Maurice Cheeks, that might change when he returns, but I doubt it.</span></div> <div><span><br /></span></div> <div><span>Thad's our best chance of having a superstar. He's going to take at least a couple years to develop though. </span></div> <div><span><br /></span></div> <div><span>And no, they shouldn't trade any of their core players. They'll be a force if Brand returns and DiLeo is able to integrate him into the offense. The roster move they must make is to add shooters. Moving Green and/or Dalembert for shooters is the best case scenario.</span></div></blockquote><div><span style="font-weight: bold;">TV</span>: Related to the third question, as the trade deadline approaches, do you expect the 76ers to deal Andre Miller?<br /></div> <div><span><span style="font-weight: bold;"></span><blockquote><span style="font-weight: bold;">JS:</span> I don't see it happening unless they're completely out of it in the east, which I don't see happening either. The question is will he be extended, or will they let him walk in the summer?</blockquote>Check in at <a href=" Ballers for a proper game preview</a>. It seems like they are recovering well from <a href="2009/01/parkers-game-winner-against-76ers.html">the last 76ers-Spurs contest</a>.<br /><br /></span></div>2009/01/at-center-court-with-jordan-sams.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Timothy Varner)0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5165450453057285644.post-4157837029733941405Thu, 15 Jan 2009 22:13:00 +00002009-01-16T10:49:05.605-08:00Kobe BryantManu GinobiliRoger Mason Jr.the LakersThe NotebookThe Notebook: Breathing EasyAs a Spurs fan, it is somewhat heretical to act as if anything other than the postseason has any substantive value. The regular season exists so that the postseason may, and the postseason exists so that a champion may be crowned. Of all franchises, few are as unwaveringly teleological as San Antonio.<br /><br />And then a game like last night’s contest against the Los Angeles Lakers comes along. In May the game will be a footnote, a 5 second slice on an introductory highlight reel. Jagged images of Kobe’s dagger and elephantiasis, quickly juxtaposed alongside Mason’s improbable three-point play and outstretched tongue. For the average NBA fan, the game will be remembered for its final 12 seconds if remembered at all. But that isn’t how I will remember it. I’m going to remember last night’s game as the culmination of a slow and steady cathartic process that began in the waning days of the 2007-08 postseason. <br /><br />There was a point during last season’s playoff run that I grew tired. I felt stressed and angry. Here, on the pages of 48 Minutes of Hell, I repeatedly exploded about missed foul calls and media bias. It was only when the Spurs finally lost that I found myself able to breathe easy; able to sit back and just enjoy the game of basketball. Since the conclusion of the 2008 Western Conference Finals I have been searching for how to make that feeling permanent. I have been searching for temperance. I have been trying to grab hold of a fanhood that has no telos. For some this is not a difficult journey, but for a Spurs fan it is nothing less than a rejection of the principles upon which our belief system is founded.<br /><br />My experience of last night’s game was the fruit of my labor. A sign that the regular season is just as powerful a vehicle of drama and joy as any postseason struggle. It is a rivalry game, maybe even <span style="font-style:italic;">the</span> rivalry game, but at this point is any Lakers-Spurs match-up really about bragging rights?
<br /><br />I won’t remember this game because we defeated a hated rival. I won’t remember this game because in front of a skeptical nation we made a statement. I won’t remember this game because I, for the first time all season, believe a fifth ring is possible. I’ll remember this game because I learned to forget all that and just let the game speak.<br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">___</span><br /><br />In the closing moments of the 3rd quarter Trevor Ariza nailed a three-pointer in the corner, muting the air of control the Spurs had cast over the game. The ball was quickly inbounded to Manu Ginobili, who raced up the floor with 4.5 seconds left. Dodging in and out of purples bodies, his pinball momentum made the court seem as if it was on a slight incline. With the seconds ticking away ever more quickly, he dribbled behind his back and hoisted a 40 foot shot into the air. As the buzzer sounded sharply, the backboard glowed softly and the net nervously flexed as it welcomed an unexpected visitor, the crowd uproariously reclaimed the air of control.<br /><span style="font-weight:bold;">___</span><br /><br />In my head it was crystal clear. I didn’t even need to watch to know the outcome. I saw him receive the pass and crouch into the triple threat position. Mason played him just a tad far off, betraying a concern for the drive that, although not unfounded, would prove near fatal. The camera angle showed the back of his head but I imagined his eyes. When many people look into the eyes of Kobe they see hardened focus but I see something very different. Or at least I pretend I see something different. I pretend I see thousands of little equations scrolling by, an inescapable web of calculus.<br /><br />And