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Aaron Patterson Tue, 23 Dec 2025 14:39:52 +0000 en-US hourly 1 /wp-content/uploads/2017/06/11203100_10152714454251021_6426598176861896483_n-1-150x150.jpg Aaron Patterson 32 32 Why social media is such a dumpster fire /2025/06/25/why-social-media-is-such-a-dumpster-fire/ Wed, 25 Jun 2025 06:05:55 +0000 If we assume a basic “increased vote score = increased reach” algorithm, here’s how two kinds of content play out: 1) Strongly emotional, easy to understand content put in front of an echo chamber: This will get very big upvotes and very big reach as long as you find ways to expand that echo chamber (i.e. apply some demographic/interest matching as you increase reach) 2) Thoughtful, rational content that requires some effort to process, put in front of an audience that is ideologically diverse: This will get less total interactions because you have to think, and they’ll be more evenly split between upvotes and downvotes because of the diversity, so this scenario gets no additional reach. Now “upvote and add reach to the stuff with the highest score” is just about the simplest interaction mechanism an engineer could have come up with. I am willing to take McLuhan’s “medium is the message” idea to its logical conclusion and say that we stumbled on this outcome, if perhaps not on accident, simply because it was the easiest path to market share and profits. Going forward as AI gets into the mix, I honestly don’t know what will happen, but I won’t be surprised if the engineering of discourse becomes more subtle. Because I am sure that Zuck and everyone else would love to have less negative attention from Congress. ]]> Google’s grip on the Android app ecosystem is slipping /2025/06/22/googles-grip-on-the-android-app-ecosystem-is-slipping/ Sun, 22 Jun 2025 15:39:44 +0000 Increasingly I don’t need to install apps from Google Play, or rely on the crapware that comes preinstalled on my Android device. Here is a list of the apps I currently use via F-Droid instead: Syncthing-Fork – Serverless file sharing between all of your devicesKOReader – Ebook readerTermux – Linux terminal emulator and package repositoryVLC – Audio and video playerMaterial Files – File managerNewpipe – YouTube clientFossify Gallery – Photo gallery (Also check out the many other Fossify apps) Why Bother? Because all of these apps are GPL licensed. They are clean, fast, and ad-free. No paid features, no intrusive notifications, no tracking. In general they have a very complete set of features but are not bloated. You install them and they just work. ]]> Mastodon’s CEO and creator is handing control to a new nonprofit organization /2025/01/15/mastodons-ceo-and-creator-is-handing-control-to-a-new-nonprofit-organization/ Wed, 15 Jan 2025 07:56:53 +0000 Eugen’s heart has always been in the right place. Mastodon is AGPL so anyone can always fork and take it in whatever direction they want. The nonprofit is probably a good step, many well governed open source projects follow this model. However: growth in the software industry isn’t really about freedom or governance. Never has been. It’s about DISTRIBUTION: in essence how many deals do you strike to get more copies of your software out in front of more users. The giant titans of the industry like Google and Microsoft all have fundamentally the same story. They pursued an aggressive distribution strategy coupled with exclusive dealing, at any cost. For Google it was paying whatever they needed to pay to be the default search engine in all the browsers they could. They were so megalomaniacally focused on it that they created their own browser, pumped so much money into it and did so many deals, that it became the default and dominant one. So insanely focused, they invented Android and made it the most popular mobile OS in the world – largely gave it away for free – just so that it could default to Google services. And as we know, 95% of people never change from the defaults. For Microsoft the story was very similar – at the very beginning they were super aggressive about getting everyone to use their version of BASIC, then DOS, then Windows which finally sealed the monopoly. It was all about doing deals with anyone and everyone who was manufacturing a PC. Once they had a secure position they implemented exclusive dealing – “You can only preload Windows and Office on those PCs you sell or there will be consequences.” Thus the Windows monopoly was locked in and largely persists to this day. You will see echoes of these monster strategies in the ascendance of virtually all tech giants, why is Meta so massive? They did a lot of viral marketing when it was new and that was a big factor. But aside from that the big amplifier was that as the beginning of the mobile revolution they fixated on getting their app preinstalled on every new phone. For a while social + mobile = Facebook was the world, and that was enough to create the company of today. BTW the distribution dynamic even explains why the world is so tech heavy today. Marc Andreesen famously said “software is eating the world” – why is that? Because unlike all other forms of business, the marginal cost of serving your software to one more user is zero. Maybe some pennies. It is easier to go from 1 customer to 1 billion with software than with anything else in history. So any time you go up against software with some other kind of business, you are fighting a losing battle, the economics are against you. So, what distribution deals has Mastodon done? None that I know of. This is an Achilles heel of many benevolent open source projects, they just don’t focus on the distribution. So they are always going to get beat by a company that does, regardless of the ethics. What the solution is, I don’t know, I would love to see AGPL’ed social software blanket the Internet. ]]> Huxley got it right /2024/09/28/huxley-got-it-right/ Sat, 28 Sep 2024 07:21:53 +0000 /?p=250 We were keeping our eye on 1984. When the year came and the prophecy didn’t, thoughtful Americans sang softly in praise of themselves. The roots of liberal democracy had held. Wherever else the terror had happened, we, at least, had not been visited by Orwellian nightmares. But we had forgotten that alongside Orwell’s dark vision, there was another – slightly older, slightly less well known, equally chilling: Aldous Huxley’s Brave New World. Contrary to common belief even among the educated, Huxley and Orwell did not prophesy the same thing. Orwell warns that we will be overcome by an externally imposed oppression. But in Huxley’s vision, no Big Brother is required to deprive people of their autonomy, maturity and history. As he saw it, people will come to love their oppression, to adore the technologies that undo their capacities to think. What Orwell feared were those who would ban books. What Huxley feared was that there would be no reason to ban a book, for there would be no one who wanted to read one. Orwell feared those who would deprive us of information. Huxley feared those who would give us so much that we would be reduced to passivity and egoism. Orwell feared that the truth would be concealed from us. Huxley feared the truth would be drowned in a sea of irrelevance. Orwell feared we would become a captive culture. Huxley feared we would become a trivial culture, preoccupied with some equivalent of the feelies, the orgy porgy, and the centrifugal bumblepuppy. As Huxley remarked in Brave New World Revisited, the civil libertarians and rationalists who are ever on the alert to oppose tyranny “failed to take into account man’s almost infinite appetite for distractions”. In 1984, Huxley added, people are controlled by inflicting pain. In Brave New World, they are controlled by inflicting pleasure. In short, Orwell feared that what we hate will ruin us. Huxley feared that what we love will ruin us. From Amusing Ourselves to Death: Public Discourse in the Age of Show Business, by Neil Postman ]]> Humans are now a middleware layer /2024/07/17/humans-are-now-a-middleware-layer/ Wed, 17 Jul 2024 06:36:39 +0000 /?p=246 It’s the Year of AI, and right now everyone feels compelled to use AI at every opportunity. I reckon I have a good eye for generated content and one thing I’ve noticed recently is that there’s a lot of content being published which is pretty clearly a combination of one or two meaningful paragraphs, plus a big chunk of AI generated fluff. I’m sure the reason for that is because we’re also still in the Age of SEO, and Google really wants an article to be more than a few lines long. (That’s also why you need to read ten pages about Grandma’s rustic kitchen decor and her ritual of lovingly feeding the chickens every morning for 20 years when you were just trying to find a recipe for cookies on Google.) You need to write longer articles for Google so you can sprinkle in the keywords that matter. Just like non-fiction books are often five times longer than they need to be, because to justify the retail price the publisher demands at least 200 pages. But those books were still all human written (nowadays? who knows). So nowadays probably millions of human-hours are being frittered away as people read paragraphs of machine-generated content which was generated with another machine as the primary audience. We are now a middleware layer in the paperclip factory, with AIs optimizing their revenue above us, and different AIs optimizing their revenue below us. Our attention is the transit pipe. In recognition of the concern, this is a short, fully AI-free post. ]]> My all-time favorite video games /2022/09/10/my-all-time-favorite-video-games/ Sat, 10 Sep 2022 05:09:55 +0000 /?p=206 Why not list them here. In rough chronological order. Incomplete, very much WIP. Shadowgate (NES) (1989)Final Fantasy VI (1994)Chrono Trigger (1995)World of Warcraft (Original trilogy, Vanilla/TBC/WotLK) (2004)Shadowrun Returns, Shadowrun: Dragonfall (2013)Rimworld (2013)Technobabylon (2015)Tormentum – Dark Sorrow (2015)Valheim (2021) ]]> Asian Geopolitical Predictions, September 2022 /2022/09/10/asian-geopolitical-predictions-september-2022/ Sat, 10 Sep 2022 05:08:33 +0000 /?p=204 The caveat here is that nothing really bad has happened since the end of the Cold War, but I like to write down predictions and find out in a few years whether I was right or not. No specific timeline for this. This sounds great. A) Encouraged by deterioration of global supply chains, domestic unrest, and Xi Jinping thought/Wolf Warrior diplomacy/whatever, China takes Taiwan, giving it a strategic position in the first island chain. B) US fails to retake Taiwan and commences a military buildup in the region. New US bases from Japan down to Southeast Asia. C) The resulting sanctions and embargoes end supply chains as we know them. Small and export-led economies are the hardest hit. North America fares the best as it has the capacity to be self-sufficient in energy, manufacturing etc. Europe somewhere in between. And here I was just last week feeling I was underweight on ex-US stocks… (Update 2025: Three years later, A) hasn’t happened yet! The Chinese have been reserved, compared to my scenario. But I may have been correct on direction, if not magnitude, as we are seeing global supply chains come under threat and US/China tensions on the rise.) ]]> A splash of cold water for the Mars futurists /2022/08/30/a-splash-of-cold-water-for-the-mars-futurists/ Tue, 30 Aug 2022 07:39:47 +0000 /?p=201 I think for an average Martian Joe any type of outdoor recreation would be a rare thing. Rip your suit in this rugged rocky landscape and almost immediately you start to develop serious injuries, pass out and die. And what if you vomit? How do you pee? Cheaply protecting someone from radiation, near-vacuum, and below freezing temperatures while keeping them comfortable is way beyond our current level of tech. Most likely if we actually built a city of people on Mars, life would be similar to living on an earth city but with low-G and you never go outdoors. We’d replicate typical earth city attractions and add a low-G spin where it was appropriate. Access to nature would be a problem (expensive fake Earth hab dome, dangerous outdoor games, no unfiltered sunlight on your skin, etc.) Elon’s ravings notwithstanding, what makes sense to me is extensive robotic exploration of Mars, perhaps operated by a skeleton crew of people who don’t need quite the extensive training and qualifications of an astronaut. With enough exploring, experimenting and digging and we’re likely to find something very exciting. ]]> Arcane: Season One is a Stupendous Achievement of Animated Storytelling /2022/02/25/arcane-season-one-is-a-stupendous-achievement/ Fri, 25 Feb 2022 14:10:55 +0000 /?p=192 Arcane is a nine episode animated series based on the world and characters of the video game League of Legends. I played League of Legends many years ago but was never a huge fan. When this adaptation was released in November, I gave it a miss. LoL didn’t strike me as a particularly fertile medium for incubating good television. A few months later I learned, through the accident of one recommendation algorithm or another, that Sting had written a song for the Arcane soundtrack, titled What Could Have Been. Really? THE Sting? Holy shit, this is actually one of his better songs in my opinion. OK, I reasoned that if they were willing to hire Sting and he made the effort to get this right — I might as well give Arcane a watch. What followed was the fastest series binge of my life. Critics have almost universally acclaimed Arcane as the greatest video adaptation ever made. Admittedly, this is a low bar. That genre is filled with cash grabs and low budget productions. (Not the case with Arcane, which took six years to create, and is rumored to be the most expensive animated series ever produced.) In fact, Arcane’s triumph in its own category is so obvious that the question which has preoccupied fans and critics since its release has been: Is Arcane the best animation ever created in the West, period? I struggle to think of anything better. How about in the East? That raises the bar substantially. Are we dealing with something here which rivals the ethereal creativity of Miyazaki’s capstones or the existential heft of the better Ghost in the Shell adaptations? I’m not sure, but owing to the progress of technology and the talent of Fortiche Productions, the quality of Arcane’s animation surpasses them all. Its music is also one hell of a ride (Sting, Raymond Chen, Imagine Dragons, and Pusha T all contributing original work to one album? WTF*$!#! planet am I on?!). And we still haven’t gotten to the real strength of Arcane: its story and character development, which have lit the Internet on fire with endless plot analyses and fan reaction videos. This show makes people cry, man. It makes them cry buckets. It tackles subject matter which is deeply relevant to modern audiences, but it’s smart enough not to beat them over the head with moral conclusions. I question whether a story like Arcane’s could ever be the story of a live action production, and I’m not talking about the fantasy elements — I’m talking about the personal impact of the issues around which the plot revolves, the flaws of its heroes, the humanity of its villains, and how close to home the hard parts clearly hit for a surprising number of people, which a Hollywood studio in 2022 would struggle to give the green light. Joker comes to mind as a live action production in this category and that’s about it. (I think Arcane is better than Joker.) So ironically this is a computer animated production which manages to be more real than just about all the live action out there. Arcane certainly has its flaws, which I’ve started to notice after watching it three times — but it feels like talking about them would be doing it a disservice at this stage. It has no equal within its category. In the future people may talk about animation in terms of what came before Arcane, and what came after it. You should watch it now. It’s too soon to give all the other stuff much consideration — right now, the thing to do is just to watch it. ]]> Can Twitter Be Salvaged? /2020/05/09/idea-of-the-day-quality-twitter/ Sat, 09 May 2020 08:28:00 +0000 /?p=159 Twitter’s very popular, but the way it reduces communication to a series of hastily crafted, artificially truncated blurbs produces dystopian quantities of toxic and fallacious discourse. Quality Twitter is a website which attempts to provide a better experience. It presents Twitter threads with a Medium-style reading experience. (A Twitter thread is a series of tweets which are all written by the same author and have been linked together by that author.) Individual, non-thread tweets as well as all comments are excluded. Threads are displayed as if they were “long read” style articles. Popular topics or hashtags are featured on the homepage like a news site, so the user can browse through multiple “articles” on the topic he’s interested in. The theory behind this is that Tweet threads tend to be the highest quality content on Twitter, with single tweets and comments generally containing most of the knee-jerk trash. (A casual scan of recent Twitter threads found this to be true, though a lot of threads are still garbage, and many feel disjointed when you read them because they weren’t composed as a single piece of prose.) Quality Mastodon might work too, if Mastodon supports threads, but Twitter has more content. This idea is similar to threadreaderapp.com, but they differ in a few ways: 1. TRA requires opt-in, they only “unroll” a thread if someone requests it. Opt-in is irrelevant to my idea; as far as I know, presenting any Tweet thread in this format is compliant with the Twitter ToS. The focus of Quality Twitter is to expose the best content for popular topics or hashtags, so Quality Twitter would instead monitor those hashtags and add new threads as they emerge. 2. TRA has a poor discovery, browsing and reading experience. You can only discover threads by searching for hashtags. They don’t give you any hints as to which hashtags might be interesting to search for. The thread browsing and reading experience is mediocre. URLs are not SEO friendly. Overall, the site doesn’t feel like a destination. This is all pretty easy stuff to fix so it probably just isn’t the focus of the small team behind TRA. Would Quality Twitter work as a business? Maybe, but I’m not sure it’s a slam dunk. The content would be better than Twitter, but worse than Medium. The only means of revenue generation I can think of are ads and subscriptions, and traditional publications struggle to make ends meet online through these methods. The presentation of the content might be more satisfying than Twitter itself, but it would definitely be less addictive. Still, there might be a lot of people who would like to read the more thoughtful content posted to Twitter and avoid the rest, and the idea isn’t capital intensive (the engineering is pretty simple and not much else to the product). Dependency on Twitter is an obvious liability but could perhaps be mitigated by introducing other sources of content (any textual social media would be a candidate for inclusion). This points to a deeper problem: in the world we live in today, billions of dollars are being poured into software which hijacks our lizard brains in order to maximize profits for its owner, even when this isn’t in the best interest of the user. Examples include most popular social media as well as play-to-win/lootbox video games, which compulsive addicts spend tens of thousands of dollars on. These products are the Frosted Flakes of software, you don’t eat it because it’s healthy, you eat it because your brain is hooked on sugar. Most people who use this software don’t know any better or are using it for the same reasons we all get addicted to something: we crave a distraction to dull the pain of existence. Have we ever found a way to counteract the lure of tobacco, alcohol, drugs or gambling? My initial answer to this question was no, all we’ve come up with is regulating these things to limit the damage they cause in excess. But I realized we actually do have another trick up our collective sleeve, which is to substitute something that’s equally addictive, but less harmful. This is a big part of vaping is so popular, it’s equally addictive to smoking, but probably less deadly, so the switch makes sense to both the lizard limbic system and the rational prefrontal cortex. Sure enough, a lot of people are making this switch. I have to think more about this. ]]>


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Marketing - Aaron Dwyer Aaron Dwyer's Journey Sun, 01 Jan 2023 02:23:54 +0000 en-US hourly 1 Joel Bauer Reveals Speakers Training Tactics /joel-bauer-reveals-speakers-tactics/ /joel-bauer-reveals-speakers-tactics/#respond Tue, 26 Feb 2008 12:42:15 +0000 Check these 2 videos out. I’ve never seen Joel Bauer live but just by watching these 2 videos that I stumbled upon, it’s very clear to see the man is a master at selling from the front of the room. He’s coming out to Australia 17th-20th April and will be speaking with Mal Emery at […] The post Joel Bauer Reveals Speakers Training Tactics first appeared on Aaron Dwyer.]]> Check these 2 videos out. I’ve never seen Joel Bauer live but just by watching these 2 videos that I stumbled upon, it’s very clear to see the man is a master at selling from the front of the room. He’s coming out to Australia 17th-20th April and will be speaking with Mal Emery at the ultimate speaking event. If you’ve seen Joel speak live before, leave a comment and let me know what you thought of his presentation. AaronThe post Joel Bauer Reveals Speakers Training Tactics first appeared on Aaron Dwyer.]]> /joel-bauer-reveals-speakers-tactics/feed/ 0 Script Smart Update and Hillbilly Fire Sale /script-smart-update-and-hillbilly-fire-sale/ /script-smart-update-and-hillbilly-fire-sale/#respond Sat, 16 Feb 2008 12:02:10 +0000 Click the PLAY button on the player to start the video (Length: 2 minutes) Yes the vista update to Script Smart is coming, I’ve been saying that for ages, but the video explains why. I’m in a firesale and didn’t even know it. Check out the video for more info, but here’s the direct link […] The post Script Smart Update and Hillbilly Fire Sale first appeared on Aaron Dwyer.]]> Click the PLAY button on the player to start the video (Length: 2 minutes) Yes the vista update to Script Smart is coming, I’ve been saying that for ages, but the video explains why. I’m in a firesale and didn’t even know it. Check out the video for more info, but here’s the direct link to this. Paul Kleinmeulman’s Hillbilly Firesale Get there fast it’s only on for four days. Feb 15-19 2008 AaronThe post Script Smart Update and Hillbilly Fire Sale first appeared on Aaron Dwyer.]]> /script-smart-update-and-hillbilly-fire-sale/feed/ 0 Gary Halbert Videos /gary-halbert-videos/ /gary-halbert-videos/#respond Thu, 19 Apr 2007 20:13:20 +0000 I thought I’d take the time to post an entry with the Gary Halbert videos that I’ve found to be interesting on youTube. You can sign up for more if you wish (the signup was down when I tried but the will probably fix it) I wish I had had the chance to see […] The post Gary Halbert Videos first appeared on Aaron Dwyer.]]> I thought I’d take the time to post an entry with the Gary Halbert videos that I’ve found to be interesting on youTube. You can sign up for more if you wish (the signup was down when I tried but the will probably fix it) I wish I had had the chance to see Gary Live. These are in better order than they come out in youTube. Enjoy. Human Engineering Triple Your Response Gun-to-the-Head Marketing The Biggest Mistake The Biggest Mistake Part 2 Door-to-Door Rave Review Ad Copy System Carbon Copy Letters CopyWriters Success Trait Refund Strategy Part 2 You’re My HeroesThe post Gary Halbert Videos first appeared on Aaron Dwyer.]]> /gary-halbert-videos/feed/ 0 How To Use Website Scripts To Increase Your Online Profits (PodCast) /podpress-test/ /podpress-test/#respond Thu, 23 Nov 2006 00:39:20 +0000 I recorded this podcast in May 2006 when I was ramping up for the Script Smart launch and never got around to using it. Mike Stewart just blogged about this WordPress Plugin called PodPress which allowed me every so easily to get this podcast into this blog post. Thanks Mike, it is an awesome plugin […] The post How To Use Website Scripts To Increase Your Online Profits (PodCast) first appeared on Aaron Dwyer.]]> I recorded this podcast in May 2006 when I was ramping up for the Script Smart launch and never got around to using it. Mike Stewart just blogged about this WordPress Plugin called PodPress which allowed me every so easily to get this podcast into this blog post. Thanks Mike, it is an awesome plugin and can’t wait to try a video feed with it. I highly recommend you get this plugin. What you will learn in this podcast – What are website scripts and the different types out there – Get to know about the infamous tell-a-friend scripts – Get the low-down on the current status of the ever so popular Popups (no they are not dead!) – How to simply get your customers attention with personalisation (using their name in your web copy) – How to automatically limit your supply to get people taking immediate action on your offers – Become aware of SPAM hijacking with your contact form pages (see Script Smart for more info) – Some words of wisdom about where to find scripts (like HotScripts and ScriptArchive) and how to use them appropriately Of course you should check out Script Smart, my internet marketers script toolbox, it’ll save you a lot of time and money when you’re ready to start using decent sales based scripts. Leave me a comment with what you think about my podcast. AaronThe post How To Use Website Scripts To Increase Your Online Profits (PodCast) first appeared on Aaron Dwyer.]]> /podpress-test/feed/ 0 Another eBay Marketing Experiment /another-ebay-marketing-experiment/ /another-ebay-marketing-experiment/#respond Sat, 23 Sep 2006 05:08:39 +0000 I am right into online video. It’s just so darn easy to do. I thought I’d test how video does with an eBay listing. This time with a high ticket item like a car. Let me know what you think of the video presentation. Thanks Aaron The post Another eBay Marketing Experiment first appeared on Aaron Dwyer.]]> I am right into online video. It’s just so darn easy to do. I thought I’d test how video does with an eBay listing. This time with a high ticket item like a car. Let me know what you think of the video presentation. Thanks AaronThe post Another eBay Marketing Experiment first appeared on Aaron Dwyer.]]> /another-ebay-marketing-experiment/feed/ 0 Keep Up With Internet Marketing News Using IMNewsWatch /keep-up-with-internet-marketing-news-using-imnewswatch/ /keep-up-with-internet-marketing-news-using-imnewswatch/#respond Thu, 31 Aug 2006 11:57:40 +0000 Check this out. IMNewsWatch is a great resource for keeping up to date with the constant goings on with internet marketing. Go and have a look and get on their daily email updates. I couldn’t find an RSS feed which would have been awesome. If someone knows what it is please comment and let everyone […] The post Keep Up With Internet Marketing News Using IMNewsWatch first appeared on Aaron Dwyer.]]> Check this out. IMNewsWatch is a great resource for keeping up to date with the constant goings on with internet marketing. Go and have a look and get on their daily email updates. I couldn’t find an RSS feed which would have been awesome. If someone knows what it is please comment and let everyone know. Thanks AaronThe post Keep Up With Internet Marketing News Using IMNewsWatch first appeared on Aaron Dwyer.]]> /keep-up-with-internet-marketing-news-using-imnewswatch/feed/ 0 Free Internet Marketing Script Resources /free-internet-marketing-script-resources/ /free-internet-marketing-script-resources/#respond Tue, 18 Jul 2006 15:55:36 +0000 I’ve started a collection of free internet marketing script resources to start to build traffic up around my new script software. So far I have a tell-a-friend script and a 404 error page alert script. Both are fabulous and if you are into internet marketing then you should check them out. /resources However the 404 […] The post Free Internet Marketing Script Resources first appeared on Aaron Dwyer.]]> I’ve started a collection of free internet marketing script resources to start to build traffic up around my new script software. So far I have a tell-a-friend script and a 404 error page alert script. Both are fabulous and if you are into internet marketing then you should check them out. /resources However the 404 error page alert script every single person that has a website should have this one. I truely believe that. No visitor should have to contact you that a page link is broken, it should be automated. That’s what this script does. Sends you an email when a 404 error page is triggered for whatever reason. Thanks AaronThe post Free Internet Marketing Script Resources first appeared on Aaron Dwyer.]]> /free-internet-marketing-script-resources/feed/ 0 Does Copywriting Work On eBay? /out-to-prove-copywriting-works-anywhere/ /out-to-prove-copywriting-works-anywhere/#respond Fri, 05 May 2006 04:34:49 +0000 It’s been awhile since I’ve sold on eBay, so I’ve used my fledgling copywriting skills to test out a different way of doing eBay listings than the majority of listings. The telling of stories to sell the product, is always mentioned by the gurus. Check it out. The average price for one of these […] The post Does Copywriting Work On eBay? first appeared on Aaron Dwyer.]]> It’s been awhile since I’ve sold on eBay, so I’ve used my fledgling copywriting skills to test out a different way of doing eBay listings than the majority of listings. The telling of stories to sell the product, is always mentioned by the gurus. Check it out. The average price for one of these is $50, so I’ll wait to see what this one goes for. I got a bid in the first 4 visits of the page, which was nice. AaronThe post Does Copywriting Work On eBay? first appeared on Aaron Dwyer.]]> /out-to-prove-copywriting-works-anywhere/feed/ 0 Review Of World Internet Summit ’06 – Sydney Australia /world-internet-summit-roundup/ /world-internet-summit-roundup/#respond Wed, 15 Mar 2006 02:52:07 +0000 I have never been to an event in my life that has influenced me as greatly as World Internet Summit 2006 – Australia. This page is a dedication to those speakers and attendees at that conference that I drew inspiration from and made acquaintences that I hope to grow.I had one and only one regret […] The post Review Of World Internet Summit ’06 – Sydney Australia first appeared on Aaron Dwyer.]]> I have never been to an event in my life that has influenced me as greatly as World Internet Summit 2006 – Australia. This page is a dedication to those speakers and attendees at that conference that I drew inspiration from and made acquaintences that I hope to grow.I had one and only one regret with my time at the conference. I booked my return flight home with not enough of a buffer if the conference went over time. Of course as these things do, it did go overtime and I had to leave early and missed most of the last presentation and the closing. I’m really mad at myself for that, but I’m going to use that as a driving force so that on the next conference I’m free enough in my life that I can make a holiday out of it and not miss a single second of the event. I’ll give you my general overview of my time at the conference and then I’ll take you through my thoughts on what I got out of each of the speakers in the order of their appearance at the conference. General Overview of Whole Conference. Looking back over my time at the WIS 2006 I really accomplished so much. You don’t realise how much until you write it down or talk about it with others. I bought the ticket, the travel, the accommodation, the food, and I didn’t skimp. Why. Because when Brett said most of the speakers were staying at the Crown Plaza then that’s where I was going to stay. How many of the 420 attendees can say they had breakfast and chatted with Ted ciuba, Tom Hua, Brett McFall, David Cavanagh, Kirt Christensen, caught transport and chatted with some of those guys as well plus Matt Clarkson, and Mike Stewart and started to build a rapport with them even if in extermely small doses. Not just sitting next to them but actually talking with them and just about internet marketing either. I met so many good people that may not only become clients of mine or ask me for help, but be potential business opportunities just waiting to blossum. I met other attendees (not just speakers) that also are in the game, where I was a member of their list. Fantastic to not just be an email address and meet the people face to face. I got to tell them that I appreciate what they give (pay) back. I was exposed to a world that I never really knew existed. I always sat next to different people at breakfast, lunch, and in the conference room. Always talking and seeing what they were into, you never know where your next business partner is. I met one guy whom I know can help me finish an information product I’ve been working on for over 8 months, but haven’t been able to finish for many reasons that no longer seem to be issues at all, thanks to my new found mind set. So I sit here and think was it worth going to World Internet Summit. It would have cost me more than the whole trip many times over if I hadn’t gone. What’s priceless to me is that I just didn’t get financial growth out of it, I drew personal growth even to point of putting me onto the path of saving my marraige. Something I certainly didn’t expect to find a solution for. But really hear me when I say it’s what you make of it. You can buy a ticket and go, but if you’re just there to scoff at everything that’s said thinking you know better like some guy that was sitting next to me on the Saturday, you’ll never get anywere near what’s delivered. I felt like moving seats if only there was a spare spot to move to. I had to hold myself back from giving him a serve as it was detracting from my enjoyment. My advice is to Just go! and go with your mind open, don’t judge anyone (the speakers especially) before you know a bit about them and don’t be afraid to talk to people. The most unassuming attendees that I spoke with turned out to really have their online business cranking. I’ll mention about the offers that the speakers present to you and they are certainly tempting since they enable you to fast track your internet marketing experience. Sure you can do it yourself but it’s going to take a lot longer. To the attendees that I met that were just beginning on the internet, once they knew I had some online experience they were asking me which speakers offer they should get and is it a good deal etc. All I told them was wait until the end of the conference and decide which one speaker you got the most out of and go with their offer. Do exactly as they say and don’t deviate from their path. I spoke with those people again on the 3rd and 4th day and they had bought several of the speakers offers and were still asking me the same question. I’m not quite sure what that’s all about.? So did I pick up any offers? The timing wasn’t right for me to do so since I’m already learning from Trevor Crook and other reasons, but if I was to have moved on an offer it would have been Stephen Pierce’s simply because his speech resonated the most with me. I know that when the time is right I will take up an offer. I look back now at what I accomplished in four days and I amazed myself. And you know what, I held back a bit for fear of the unknown. Next time I will unstopable. Thanks Brett, Tom and Ted for providing this event and I owe each of you a drink. I didn’t get a chance to buy you one this time around, but I will next time. Let’s get to my roundup of the speakers. Derek Gehl I first joined IMC’s (Internet Marketing Center) 2 years ago when Cory Rudl was running the show. I’d never really known of Derek Gehl before he took over the company, but when Cory passed I remember getting an email from some other internet marketer and I actually sent an email to Jim Edwards asking if it was true. He confirmed that it sadly was. Shortly after that Derek started emailing to the list and the fact that he didn’t miss a beat clearly showed me that he must have been Cory’s right hand man. Derek know’s his stuff. Enough said, the proof is in the results. When I saw him on stage it actually triggered in me a defining moment in my life. No BS. I can see it now as a delayed reaction from Corey’s passing. His untimely death was a defining moment and a wake up call for me that I’d been suppressing all this time. I remember going out of my office and telling my wife what had happened and saying now here is a guy with all the freedom that he wants and bam all gone. My perspective has now shifted. I thank Derek for coming to Australia to be my trigger even if it was in a sort of half removed way. I had a picture taken with Derek but I never told him about this, since my moment of clarity only happened as I wrote this on the plane trip home. Hopefully he’ll see my message one day. Morgan Westerman I am usually stone cold with my emotions but over the last few years since I’ve had children and my family has grown I’ve mellowed out immensly. But I didn’t realise how much, until Friday 10 March at WIS2006 while listening to Morgan speak. The man is a master of sutulty and appreciation of the quietly spoken word. He showed his “Interview With God” website and I outwardly shed a tear, the website making me think about my family. I was amazed, to let that emotion out in front of people I didn’t even know. But it didn’t stop there. His message about moving people emtionally and paying forward will reside with me forever. As he closed his speech, he recounted a moment of his life in childhood (I think he must have wanted to be a magician at some point of his life) and it really hit it home for me, and I shed another tear. Afterwords I just had to have a photo taken with him and I told him what an impact he had on me, and that my wife would be astounded at my display of emotions. Truely an amazing 1 1/2 hours. Thank you again Morgan. I hope to see you speak again soon. Kirt Christensen Boy was this guy tall. But the fact that he carried his list around his neck on a USB drive was all he needed to say without even opening his mouth. I actually sat next to him at breakfast and didn’t know who he was at the time, but we were talking about what he had on his USB drive. It was clear to me then what was most important to him in his business. It didn’t tweak with me until he was introduced on stage and his achievements, just how important it was and the power that resided in that little USB key.I carried my laptop around with me the whole conference (even during the breaks), since it is my lifeline to my web business, but all he had was his USB key. As Brett McFall would say. Hold your right arm out straight then point to your chin and say “Hmmmmmmm”, lighbulb moment!Building my list is a goal that I’m now going to be striving towards. Oh and his speech was good as well but his simple actions spoke louder to me than his words. Thank you Kirt David Cavanagh I’ve been on David’s mailing list since he had “Number One Position” (2 1/2 years ago) and I’ve grown to know him through his emails. I knew he could write but boy can he speak. He never shuts up 🙂 He is truely a giver and a teacher of solid information. How do I know this. He must not have had a spare 5 minutes to himself the whole time he was there. His speech was David. Just as he is in his emails. He abandoned his formal speach and gave the crowd what they asked for, literally. Whatever questions they had asked him in the halls he answered to all of us. I didn’t mind because I know that if I ever need help or a sounding board for an idea, David will be happy to help, and I’ll be ready to listen. The guy was so busy being bailed up in the breaks that I didn’t even get a chance to have a photo with him, but I plan to use that as a motivating force to have me making enough money online that next year I’ll do more than just have breakfast with him, but I’ll buy him a beer or 2. David you can hold me to that. Love your style. Thanks David Brett McFall I’ve been on Brett’s list longer than anyones. In fact he was my first exposure to an internet marketer, but I never told him that (I sort of wish I had) since it was him that set me on this path of learning about marketing. I’ve always had that entrepreneur in me and over the last 5 years it’s just blossomed and I’ve embraced feeding it and growing it. I’d never though about it until now what was my trigger. I have been working with the web since 1992 when there was just a Lynx browser, text only! But I only started taking money online in the last 3 years, nothing major, but something. I’ve been building websites for people for ages but I’m talking about making an income from online ventures. Brett is a genius. I currently use Trevor Crook as a business coach who most of you would recognise as a previous speaker of other World Internet Summits. Brett’s speech was not new to me since I have been learning copywriting from Trevor, but it was talking to Brett at other times that was fantastic. I had breakfast with him twice and rode to the conference in his car with Ted Ciuba and Tom Hua. The golden nuggets that I will be using to really get my business moving were priceless. I did manage to bail him up for a photo and I know I will be meeting in the future. That I can be certain of. Thanks Brett. Linda Forsythe The only lady presenter in the conference this year was Linda. I had never heard of Linda before and didn’t know about the “Walking With The Wise” range of books. This lady has rubbed shoulders with others that I had heard of. Dan Kennedy, Donald Trump and the list goes on. Linda’s message was simple yet extremely powerful and important. Association. Just by being at this conference I was already a part of that process without even knowing it. Building association with the speakers and other fellow attendees. I didn’t realise the power of her words until I was putting this page together. Look at what I have achieved in four days and the association that I have formed (even on a minute scale) with the speakers at this event. Just being aware of the concepts Linda put forward is fabulous. PS I think the Walking With The Wise Entrepreneur is fantastic. Thank you Linda. Ted Ciuba Now here is a real showman. I didn’t know where I read it, but someone was referring to Ted as the P.T. Barnem of the internet. Now that fuelled my preconceived idea of who Ted was. But boy was I wrong. I had breakfast with him on the Friday and on the Saturday as well, but little did I know at the time what I was to experience when he took the stage on Saturday after lunch. Where Morgan had triggered emotions in me, Ted moved me intellectually. I honestly didn’t think he had it in him. I remember thinking during the speech where the hell is this coming from. I did have a tear in my eye again! This time because I hadn’t been exposed to priming my mind and using simple techniques to achieve it. He spoke about “Think and Grow Rich”, and as he was talking I thought back to how my own father had handed down to me his copy of the book and that when I read the book in my early teens (16 years ago) that I never really understood it, and that’s what made me sad. I don’t think my father really understood it either or maybe he just had a difference interpretation of it. Such ashame that he couldn’t guide me in entrepreneurial thinking as I so desperately desired. I will be going to hunt that old book down from wherever I’ve stashed it and I’m not just going to read it this time, I’m going to try to understand it. I thank you Ted for reminding me to NEVER JUDGE A BOOK BY ITS COVER! I’m not just blowing smoke up his arse saying this just for the sake of it. The man made me think outside where my current head was at. I made sure that I had my photo taken with Ted and he got one for himself with me as well. Yes I told him how I felt after his speech because I always give credit where credit is due, and if someone can alter the way you current approach your thinking, that is truely powerful. Thank you Ted. Mike Stewart I was introduced to Mike Stewart through a previous World Internet Summit audios that I’d listened to, but never really took much notice until he got into video, and with his partnership with Jim Edwards (Jim was my second internet marketer that I was exposed to). I have never seen such a condensed overview of audio ever but he was there to talk about video and did he what! Since I’m a techie and have done some previous mucking around with video on my home movies (the family kind of course), I had a rough idea but I didn’t realise that it could be done that easily. How do you think I got these videos together that you are watching now. Just as Mike did it. Well slightly different tools, but similar result. It’s the fastest video production I’ve ever done and so far the best. Sure I’ve got a long way to go but I’m sure you’ll agree it gets the job done. I’m a video convert so thank you Mike. PS Couldn’t pass up an opportunity for a photo with the man himself. So there it is. Thank you Mike. Stephen Pierce Now I had no idea what to expect from Stephen since I’d only heard about him and not been exposed to him before. On first impression I’ll mention that he was so smooth that he appeared arrogant to me (which of course in his case is deserved). However once again I was proven wrong. Note to self I must stop prejudging people. This man knows his craft backwards. I don’t mind revealing that Morgan and Ted had both triggered a change inside me, Stephen not only re-triggered those feelings and thoughts but he strapped a rocket on my back and took me to whole new place. Why am I saying this, not to make him feel good, I’m sure he gets compliments all the time, but because he had me in tears. I’m talking about tears running down my face even with my eyes closed for 2 minutes. I’m talking if I wasn’t sitting in a room with over 400 other people I would have lost control completely. I can’t even write this down or talk about it without getting emotional. What can do that to you. I’ll tell you from my point of view. It’s clarity on what you really really want in life. And for me it’s not materialistic (that’s just a means to an end). I want to share with you that I’ve been working hard, very long hours building my business over the last 3 years to the exclusion of my wife and to lesser degree my two lovely children. The ugly word of divorce had been mentioned several times and not by me. Without knowing it, trying to get to goal at all costs, I was undermining any chance of ever achieving it. Once I found my clarity thanks to Stephen, I knew right then and there at the conference that when I shared that clarity with my wife, that it would steer our marraige back into the right direction. I know it’ll take time, but you have to be moving in the right direction. Now for me, the whole four days could have been skipped and if I had just listened to the 1 1/2 hours of Stephen speak and nothing else it would have been worth it many times over. Of course I had my photo taken with Stephen and I truely have to thank him and I’ve made a promise to myself that I’m going to visit him personally at his ThinkUBator in Ann Arbor USA to give him an update on how it’s going with me. Thank you Stephen. You’ve probably saved marraiges before I owe you a big one! Mike Filsaime I had a chat to Mike before his speech on Sunday and he was a very nice guy. I really didn’t know much about Mike other than I got a shitload of emails promoting his Butterfly Marketing course. Let me just say this. A butterfly may flap it’s winds and cause tiny waves of change, but for me this whole conference was like a Teradactl was flapping it’s wings. And it wasn’t just Mike talking about this concept either, Tom Hua, Morgan Westerman, Kirt Christiansen spoke on similar lines. Viral or Buzz marketing is what the internet is for, so embrace it. I managed to sneak a photo in with Mike as well. Thanks Mike Tom Hua What an unassuming man Tom is. But he knows his craft. I’ve been on Tom’s list for a long time now as well, but since he doesn’t reveal much (if any) of himself to his list, I didn’t really know what to expect from him. Tom owns what I believe will become the biggest web hosting provider in Australia. The current big players here won’t be able to pull their heads out of there arses fast enough to catch him. Since I run a small hosting company I know what I’m talking about. He is very committed to his hosting company and his other ventures and it’s that sort of belief that I’m striving towards. I had a chance to chat with Tom both in Brett’s car on the way to the venue one morning and at breakfast on Sunday. I hope to use Tom’s new BodaIT company based in China to help grow my own business. I now know and trust Tom and feel I have an Asian contact now that will enable me to introduce any relevant information products into the Asian market. For some reason I didn’t get a chance to have a photo with Tom. I will get one next time we meet. Thanks Tom Matt Clarkson As I’ve mentioned already I booked my flight to early and had to leave the conference early, I actually missed most of Matt’s presentation. But I did get a chance to speak with him on the shuttle bus on the way to the venue on Sunday morning. We spoke about focus and dealing with the doubting ones around us (mostly family, friends, and colleagues). They can be a real negative influence and make it extremely difficult to pull yourself out the mindset and make whatever your striving for happen. I make my living online but it’s still with my own 2 hands and using my limited time. My wife and family so far just haven’t understood where I’ve been coming from for the past two years, in my efforts to generate passive income online. I know as soon as I achieve on passive project of substance, she will be the biggest convert and together we will forge forward faster than I currently think is possible. I just have to make it happen and get some runs on the board. I’ve known Matt for about 3 years now, before he got into internet marketing. Boy has he moved ahead in what appears to be leaps and bounds but as he says every little bit helps and adds into bigger bits working to whole system and plan. I’m still really upset that I had to leave during his speech, so I’m looking forward to the opportunity to hear him speak again. Thanks MattThe post Review Of World Internet Summit ’06 – Sydney Australia first appeared on Aaron Dwyer.]]> /world-internet-summit-roundup/feed/ 0


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Comments on: 18 days, 19 games, and 1 thin line Baseball news, insight and analysis from Aaron Gleeman Fri, 01 May 2026 05:19:27 +0000 hourly 1 By: Dirleton #comment-6990 Sat, 16 Jul 2011 11:57:12 +0000 “On the same program” = for one admission. Other definitions specify “Before the same crowd” which is the same thing as one admission. Anything else is just marketing BS. ]]> By: Large Canine #comment-6987 Fri, 15 Jul 2011 21:45:10 +0000 Now you get one game for the price of five ]]> By: Son of Shane Mack #comment-6979 Fri, 15 Jul 2011 03:16:04 +0000 I always thought a doubleheader meant you got two games for the price of one. If the Twins charge separate admission for the two games, is it still a doubleheader? Sure it is. True, in the “old days” – there wasn’t time between the doubleheaders – especially in the pre-lights days and they had to get in both before darkness. Also, you would get a two-fer as far two games for one admission. But, that’s not the actual definition of the doubleheader. It’s been decades since you got two games for the price of one in the majors. ]]> By: Pedro Munoz #comment-6978 Fri, 15 Jul 2011 03:10:41 +0000 I always thought a doubleheader meant you got two games for the price of one. If the Twins charge separate admission for the two games, is it still a doubleheader? ]]> By: Son of Shane Mack #comment-6977 Fri, 15 Jul 2011 02:26:13 +0000 The Twins play two seperate games on 7/18 – a doubleheader is something else. A Doubleheader is two games on the same day. July 18th meets that definition. The “classic” doubleheader is a late afternoon and evening game with only 20-30 minutes between. They’re not as common nowadays in the majors. However, a Day-Night doubleheader as this is likely to be, is still a doubleheader. ]]> By: frightwig #comment-6976 Fri, 15 Jul 2011 00:06:46 +0000 @minnesconsin If Span gives the Twins an advantage of 1-1.5 WAR over Sizemore or Jackson (and that’s assuming Span is healthy and plays as he did before, while Sizemore continues to be bothered by injuries and Jackson does not progress), but Peralta and A. Cabrera each give their teams an advantage of ~3 WAR over Nishioka (a fair assumption, based on what we’ve seen), I think that matters. Not all of my preferences are equal. If Casilla is a little better than the other crummy 2B currently starting for the Tigers or Indians, that probably doesn’t make up for the difference between Cabrera and Cuddyer (or, gulp, Luke Hughes), or Martinez/Hafner and a suddenly old Thome, or Boesch and Young. Under ideal circumstances, I might take Twins players at 5 positions, but that doesn’t necessarily = WIN TWINS. ]]> By: BR #comment-6975 Thu, 14 Jul 2011 20:12:20 +0000 And given the team’s injuries, I think most people would gladly take 54-54 w/54 to go… ]]> By: AG #comment-6974 Thu, 14 Jul 2011 19:43:16 +0000 Interestingly the Twins’ low point was at the end of the first 54 games; first third of the season; (17-37). If they continue at the pace they’ve been winning since June 1 (24-11 .6857) they will win 13 of the next 19, achieving (barring rainouts) a record of 37-17 over the second third of the season (exactly) leaving them at 54-54 with 54 games to play. Pretty exciting way to play .500 baseball….. ]]> By: BR #comment-6973 Thu, 14 Jul 2011 18:51:24 +0000 Mike: The Twins have to offer arb to a player to be eligible for compensation if the player rejects and signs elsewhere. So the question of whether they can get 2 quality prospects for Capps is only really relevant if they think that’s the least they can get for him. (In other words, they’d be intending to offer him arb and expecting him to reject it.) I agree with you – I don’t think the Twins will offer him arb, b/c he might accept it, and his salary would liklely be big ($9M range). So… If they decide to deal Capps, beause they’re out of it, they won’t be thinking that they need two good prospects back. They’d be happy to get the salary relief for this year and one decent (less than Wilson Ramos, unfortunately!) prospect in return. ]]> By: mike wants wins #comment-6972 Thu, 14 Jul 2011 16:12:48 +0000 No way the Twinsoffer Capps arbitration, is there? If he accepts, they are stuck with him at huge dollars, and no picks in return….I just don’t see that being an influence on their decision (I hope). Cuddy is not going anywhere, they’ll be re-signing him, imo. I’d rather they package a mediocre prospect with Nathan or Kuble, to get a better prospect in return, than to just trade them straight up. that said, I expect them to win 8 games in this next stretch, and to consider themselves squarely in the “not do anything much” zone, because they won’t feel totally in it, or totally out of it. ]]>


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Comments on: Twins trade Delmon Young to Tigers for Cole Nelson and PTBNL Baseball news, insight and analysis from Aaron Gleeman Fri, 01 May 2026 05:19:27 +0000 hourly 1 By: Gendo comment-page-2/#comment-7402 Fri, 19 Aug 2011 19:23:43 +0000 I just want you to love me, Elton. ]]> By: Elton comment-page-2/#comment-7401 Fri, 19 Aug 2011 18:30:58 +0000 I think more accurately, there’s a couple of self-aggrandizing windbags on here who enjoy hearing themselves talk about sabrmetrics. Someone hit the gong, this discussion is over. ]]> By: Pedro Munoz comment-page-2/#comment-7399 Fri, 19 Aug 2011 15:30:18 +0000 I re-read all of Gendo’s comments and I’m not sure where the pompous jerk part comes in. Contrary to your claim, Elton, the posters disagreeing with Gendo are not making valid points. They are mostly spouting nonsense. This is my favorite bit in the post by Citizen: “Your words do not constitute facts. Cannot, in fact, constitute facts. It would be impossible to prove lineup protection does, or does not, exist, because there can be no test of the alternative. You can only know what a player hits with, or without, protection, and cannot know what would have happened had the opposite situation occured under the same circumstances.” Wow. Just wow. Everyone who read that paragraph is now dumber for doing so. I also enjoyed the part where Elton mocks Gendo’s link by pointing out that it was someone else’s work. Does that mean that I can’t argue, for example, the theory of gravity because someone else came up with it? An iffy argument is not one like Gendos’ – which was supported by the study he linked to – but the ones by those he disagrees with, which seemingly were pulled out of their asses. I think Gendo has been more than patient given what he has had to respond to. While everyone reading this site is “somewhat familiar” with sabermetrics, its pretty clear that a number of people don’t understand them at all. ]]> By: Elton comment-page-2/#comment-7396 Fri, 19 Aug 2011 08:38:05 +0000 Gendo You might have more success getting people to consider your ideas if you weren’t writing like a pompous condescending jerk. None of your ideas are that novel. Anyone reading this site is at least somewhat familiar with sabrmetrics. You seem to fancy yourself as some brilliant baseball analyst. So far the only thing we’ve seen are some pretty iffy arguments and a link to someone else’s work you pasted. The posters disagreeing with you are making some valid points. You may be as well, buy they’re getting lost because of the smug nature if your posts. Seems like youre itching for a fight or just out to try to impress peoe It aint working. Let’s have some discussion thats productive, theres enough trolls out there already. ]]> By: Gendo comment-page-2/#comment-7395 Fri, 19 Aug 2011 04:35:14 +0000 Hi citizen: You’re conflating concepts here. I never said anything about run production. If a player hits *after* other players who get on base a lot of course they’re going to get more RBIs just by virtue of more opportunities. That has nothing to do with the concept of protection which has to do with a given player hitting *before* a feared hitter. The theory is that because the pitcher doesn’t want to pitch to that feared hitter he won’t nibble around our protected batter and will give him better pitches to hit. This has not been able to be proved statistically. RBIs would have nothing to do with this. You’d want to look at a stat like wOBA. Your Albert Pujols example is, since we’re continuing this trend, a straw man. You are defeating a point I never made. I’m not sure if that’s intentional or if you’re just misunderstanding me. As for the corked bat issue I would encourage you to read The Physics of Baseball and to check out additional studies like this one: As for the comments I made on baseball players and their kooky beliefs that was of course silly, but all I was saying is them being baseball players does not give them the authority to say things are true just by virtue of that authority. Certainly not in a sport with the wealth of data like baseball has. And for the last point of course you can’t prove lineup protection doesn’t exist. You can’t prove a negative. However it would be accurate to say there is no statistical evidence to prove it exists, so we discount it. It’s like I can’t *prove* there’s no God but that’s silly, we all know there’s no God. ]]> By: citizen comment-page-2/#comment-7394 Fri, 19 Aug 2011 03:58:21 +0000 “In the debate game we call that logical fallacy an argument from authority, Houston.” An authority. I guess that’s a label you’ve never been accused of, eh? “Baseball players think all kinds of dumb things. As an example basically every ballplayer you talk to will tell you corking the bat adds power. That’s been proven conclusively false. Corking the bat lowers the natural frequency of the bat and reduces the amount of energy that can be transferred from bat to ball.” Oh really? “Baseball players think that wearing magical copper bracelets will align the ions in their blood stream and make them healthier.” In the debate game we call that logical fallacy a non sequitur, gendo. Some statgeeks were magical copper bracelets too, but I think we should examine what they have to say, rather than dismiss them based on a copper bracelet. “The fact is that if protection was a real phenomenon there would be a spike in the stats to show it. There isn’t which means it is a statistically negligible factor.” Your words do not constitute facts. Cannot, in fact, constitute facts. It would be impossible to prove lineup protection does, or does not, exist, because there can be no test of the alternative. You can only know what a player hits with, or without, protection, and cannot know what would have happened had the opposite situation occured under the same circumstances. “The only thing the lineup around you can impact is RBIs which is part of why RBIs are a dumb stat.” You have, indeed, just contradicted yourself. If lineup construction affects RBIs, then it has to, by definition, affect the number of runs scored. Or are you claiming that if a team had the pitcher hit in Albert Pujols spot, and vice versa, that St Louis would score exactly the same number of runs? You sir, are a pompous jerk. What’s worse, you are a pompous jerk who doesn’t even know enough to argue intelligently. ]]> By: Gendo comment-page-2/#comment-7393 Thu, 18 Aug 2011 22:00:56 +0000 Now you’ve moved onto ad hominem. You’re not good at this. 🙁 ]]> By: Pedro Munoz comment-page-2/#comment-7392 Thu, 18 Aug 2011 20:51:28 +0000 “In the spirit of preserving the high quality content of this site, I’ll refrain from further posts” Thank god. We can only stand so much asshattery on one thread. ]]> By: Houston Jimenez comment-page-2/#comment-7391 Thu, 18 Aug 2011 18:58:25 +0000 That was hilarious. You made my day, thanks. In the spirit of preserving the high quality content of this site, I’ll refrain from further posts, since you clearly have baseball figured out to a degree that not even the players themselves do. And here I was, lil’ ol me, thinking MLB players knew more about the game than some self-aggrandizing know it all on a blog showing off that he likes advanced stats. I hope one day you can share your thoughts with some big leaguers and see how they react. I’d pay 10 bucks to see that. I”m out, good luck. ]]> By: Gendo comment-page-2/#comment-7383 Thu, 18 Aug 2011 08:01:49 +0000 In the debate game we call that logical fallacy an argument from authority, Houston. Baseball players think all kinds of dumb things. As an example basically every ballplayer you talk to will tell you corking the bat adds power. That’s been proven conclusively false. Corking the bat lowers the natural frequency of the bat and reduces the amount of energy that can be transferred from bat to ball. Baseball players think that wearing magical copper bracelets will align the ions in their blood stream and make them healthier. The fact is that if protection was a real phenomenon there would be a spike in the stats to show it. There isn’t which means it is a statistically negligible factor. The only thing the lineup around you can impact is RBIs which is part of why RBIs are a dumb stat. ]]>


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Comments on: Twins Notes: Thome, Oliveros, Blackburn, Swarzak, Neshek, and Hardy Baseball news, insight and analysis from Aaron Gleeman Fri, 01 May 2026 05:19:27 +0000 hourly 1 By: vinyl tile #comment-1103664 Tue, 07 Feb 2023 00:46:06 +0000 I would like to express thanks to you just for bailing me out of this issue. As a result of surfing throughout the world-wide-web and coming across suggestions that were not powerful, I assumed my entire life was done. Being alive minus the solutions to the problems you have solved by means of the report is a critical case, and the kind which might have badly damaged my career if I had not noticed the blog. Your own skills and kindness in playing with all the details was invaluable. I am not sure what I would’ve done if I had not discovered such a solution like this. I can at this moment relish my future. Thanks a lot very much for your impressive and effective help. I won’t think twice to refer your web sites to anybody who needs to have tips on this matter. ]]> By: Gendo #comment-7462 Thu, 25 Aug 2011 22:07:07 +0000 I’d like to blast ownership for giving Morneau that contract. 😡 ]]> By: Josh #comment-7461 Thu, 25 Aug 2011 21:40:11 +0000 Look, I like to slap around management as much as the next guy, but while the Pohlads might be collectively among the richest owners in baseball, the team is no longer owner by Carl, who was the richest owner in baseball. The money has been split up among the kids and while they are all fabulously wealthy by any standard I’ll wager they ain’t the richest even collectively any longer. And why would Mauer & Morneau blast ownership? Both got huge deals and right now, Mauer isn’t performing up to his. Morneau has been injured for most of 2 seasons. Blasting ownership would make them look like fools. I would rather see the media take a more critical look at the manager, who gets a free pass. Bill Smith has (justifiably) come under fire this season. But Gardy still gets a free pass even though he was strongly influential behind some of the Twins personnel moves and his on-field performance hasn’t been up to snuff. But he’s a good quote so writers would rather fawn all over him than take a chance ripping him and getting cut out of the loop. ]]> By: Scott #comment-7454 Wed, 24 Aug 2011 11:13:10 +0000 The pohlads only care about meeting their bottom line. They dont care about winning. Alot of these moves can also be traced directly to slashing payroll. Keep in mind, this is the richest owner baseball. I just wish that the star players like mauer and morneau would blast the ownership in the media. ]]> By: Gendo #comment-7453 Wed, 24 Aug 2011 09:04:14 +0000 I hear you Joe, but unfortunately I suspect the Pohlads will continue to be loyal to a fault. I mean, Terry Ryan made it clear towards the end that the game was passing him by but he wasn’t forced out, he left on his own terms and he hand picked his own successor. They really need a major shift in organizational philosophy as you say and a renewed focus on things like on base skills and statistical analysis. Sadly I just don’t think that’s coming. It’s a luddite organization in a lot of ways and they’re more likely to chalk this season up to bad luck than make any real changes. In a perfect world they’d bring in someone like Kim Ng, let her clear out the FO and pick her own manager. Realistically though we’ll be seeing a lot more of the same. :\ So we’re back to hoping a blind squirrel finds a few nuts. ]]> By: joe szymonik #comment-7449 Wed, 24 Aug 2011 01:04:02 +0000 What a depressing season. The avalanche of injuries must certainly be related to what appears to be a mediocre-at-best training staff. If there is a silver lining in these injuries, it is that the ineptness of the front office has been revealed. The injury avalanche augmented what was already a senseless talent drain due to stupid trades over the last few years. Throw in a few ill-advised signings and you have this year’s recipe for disaster. I wish Bill Smith and his team, including Ron Gardenhire, would “get it” and realize that they are very privileged caretakers of a very proud franchise. It’s time to perhaps find a new management team which is creative, can think outside the box, pays some attention to relevant stats, and understands the simple concept of buying low and selling high when trading. I am also tired of hearing that Gardenhire can’t get along with this player or that player. Geez, guys, grow up. Finally, from a purely entertainment business standpoint, this team has been boring and a pain to watch. If the Twins’ front office doesn’t change its approach, the team will lose market share to tractor pulls in Rice Lake. ]]> By: Gendo #comment-7448 Wed, 24 Aug 2011 00:50:22 +0000 Allow me to make my point graphically: ]]> By: Gendo #comment-7447 Wed, 24 Aug 2011 00:31:18 +0000 Someone just mentioned that Felix Pie was released and pointed out that he and Alex Rios have pretty horrific OPS+ ratings this year: Felix Pie 52 Alex Rios 56 Drew Butera? 25. Felix Pie is lapping Butera. ]]> By: Al S #comment-7445 Wed, 24 Aug 2011 00:11:07 +0000 Hardy finally found his niche?He already proved his niche in Milwaukee as a powerhitting shortstop years ago!A bad season on the Brewers and an injury shortened season in Minnesota slowed him down a little.The Twins screwed up not securing him for this season.Either because Gardy’s an idiot or the team is going on the “cheap” again just like back in the Griffith days.Anyway you slice it…horrible move and we got no offense at all from our middle infield this year.I told my buddy the day they got rid of Hardy,what a dumb move it was and that he deserved a whole year to show what he had to offer.Look at him now,25 hrs this year!That would be leading the Twins easily.These stupid moves are becoming the norm for the Twins now,so we better get used to it. ]]> By: Jon L. #comment-7444 Tue, 23 Aug 2011 23:52:52 +0000 Hardy has been very good this season and it looks like he finally found his niche in Baltimore. ]]>

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